Saturday Forecast

84 Comments

3:00AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 3-7)
A northwesterly air flow will bring cool weather to southern New England today, and with upper level low pressure still extending back over the region as it drifts away to the northeast, a few showers may pop up, but the bulk of the region will remain dry throughout the day. A narrow sliver of high pressure moves over the region tonight and early Sunday but the approach of low pressure from the west will send more clouds into the region during Sunday with rain reaching western areas by the end of the day and eastern areas by evening or nighttime. This will be the start of another stretch of wet/cool weather which will last through Tuesday at least. It remains to be seen how quickly this will depart and whether or not Wednesday will be overcast and wet or show partial improvement.
TODAY: Sunshine to start then partly sunny to mostly cloudy with isolated to scattered showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 64-69. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clear overnight. Lows 42-47 interior valleys, 48-53 coast and urban areas. Wind light NW becoming variable.
SUNDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Rain arriving west to east late in the day. Highs 61-66 coast, 67-72 interior. Wind light SE.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Periods of rain and drizzle. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 50-55. Wind SE to E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Overcast. Periods of rain and drizzle. Highs 55-60. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Overcast with rain/drizzle likely. Lows 50-55. Highs 55-60.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows 50-55. Highs 58-65.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 8-12)
Some uncertainty if improvement takes place early in the period or toward the end of the period. So a low confidence forecast at this time is for starting cooler than normal with a few showers around, then a trend to warmer with mainly dry weather.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 13-17)
Cooler with some shower activity possible early to mid period then warmer/drier again.

84 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    1. We’ll see. A ton of diurnal clouds are on the way along with cool air advection.

      1. Understand. I was just surprised at the temperature starting
        point. I expected lower overnight readings. Not that I am complaining because it is a beautiful day so far. 😀

  4. Thank you TK

    Spectacular morning. Guess where my coffee and I are. Accompanied by two grandsons

    1. I noticed. 😉

      I finally synched email to my phone and I get an email any time I have a comment awaiting moderation. 😉

  7. Already 61 here in Wrentham, but it went all the way down to a much colder than expected 44 last night.

    1. We’re about to cap that rise…or at least drastically slow it down.

      Although typically the greatest rate of temperature rise at this time of year is between 7 and 11AM.

  13. Looking forward to another sunny and warm week next week! LOL!

    Well, I don’t care. It’s June and I am still going to change my winter wardrobe to summer clothes. I usually leave a few warmer things out anyway. I usually have done all this by now. We still haven’t uncovered and cleaned our A/C yet; still waiting for some extended 70-80 degree weather. It started out bright and sunny but a bit cool; still sunny but there are plenty of clouds to the west and some are dimming the sun at times.

    1. The jury is still out on the end of the week. Models having grand difficulty figuring out how we get out of the upcoming cool/wet spell. The GFS flip flops run to run, the Euro less so, but somewhat still “uncertain”. Conceivably we could be 80+ as early as Thursday and more believably to some degree next weekend. But that scenario is not even close to a lock and I’m not confident enough to call it.

      I’m confident through Wednesday, then it drops off massively. Hope to have it more figured out by tomorrow.

  15. I notice that TK and now Matt have squares next to their names. Is that WP acting up again?

    1. Those squares suddenly disappeared as soon as I posted but now I see that Tom has one next to his name.

            1. I see one next to JPDs post and I bet it goes away as soon as I post this and one appears beside my name

  16. Now they are gone but it can’t be a device issue if I see them. It could be an Apple device issue. Philip, what are you using to post? Also was odd my name was misspelled this am since it prefills and I have not changed anything or cleared any history. If I did that it would have been erased and not just missing last i

      1. In all honesty, I probably would,not have seen one if Philip had not mentioned them. They are really faint.

  18. And now it rains just as we were getting ready for a graduation cookout. Pity party for myself.

  19. If those squares are due to an Apple device, then it makes sense since I am on an Apple iPhone. If we actually had some serious weather to discuss, I probably wouldn’t have brought it up at all…just found it interesting more than annoying. As long as I can post here, all is good from my perspective. 😀

    Thanks Vicki! 🙂

    1. I agree. And I’m also on an Apple. But it is odd. And it was fun. I agree that I would not have dug into it if we had weather to discuss also.

  20. AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) The lightning capital of the nation is …

    A. Tampa FL
    B. New Orleans, LA
    C. Dallas, TX
    D. Wichita, KS

    2. The lightning capital of the world is …

    A. Tampa, FL
    B. Rwanda, Africa
    C. San Juan, Puerto Rico
    D. Calcutta, India

    Answers later today.

    1. Granddaughter and I looked into this recently. I think this changes and since the one I thought was answer to second, I’ll say A and A. With little confidence

    1. I don’t have an exact time, but I’d think mid to late afternoon down there, if not a bit later.

    2. Temporarily Topkatt88 again until late morning…

      Rain timing, I’d say first drops between 5 and 6, steadier after 6.

  25. We’re 3 for 3 on getting some instability showers in June in Marshfield. I’ve enjoyed the cumulus clouds the last 3 days.

    I’d say June is 3 for 3 so far. I thought today was slightly cool, but I am happy with the last few days weatherwise.

    Too bad this scenario of an Alberta clipper ?? dropping out of central Canada, intensifying and tracking along the south coast didn’t happen during the cold season. It also has the aspect of not exiting quickly and maintaining some moisture behind the main low passage. Would have been a long duration snow event in the cold season.

  26. The update this morning will be after 10AM and hopefully by noon at the latest.

    Errands this morning. My son’s graduation from high school begins at 2PM. I think we’ll be the rain here as it is an outdoor ceremony. A few drops wouldn’t be a big deal. Looks like steady stuff holds off though until later.

    1. I had two sons graduate high school yesterday! As a teacher at Middleborough High School, I had the profound honor of giving them their diplomas.

      Congratulations to you, your son and your family, TK!
      Enjoy the day!

    2. That should say “beat the rain” not.. “be the rain” .. But we will be the rain if it comes in earlier than expected. 😉

  27. Captain and TK, I’m so proud for your. And captain, that was indeed an honor indeed. My mom was active in the schools. I still remember those special moments. Your boys and you have a very special graduation memory.

  28. At 240 hrs out (10 days), GFS op run has a +21C contour over southern New England and the EURO is at +15C.

    One of these times soon, it’s not going to keep getting pushed back and instead is slowly going to work its way forward to day 8, then 5, then 3 and we will see some warm/hot weather.

    1. +21C at 850 “could” equate to a steam bath. I’d rather 50s that you very much.

      How about some mid-80s with low humidity. Is that asking too much?

  29. The 6z GFS is good for quite a few laughs this morning. It develops a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific, has it make landfall in El Salvador (something that has NEVER happend), cross Central America, emerge in the western Caribbean, redevelop into a Tropical Storm, hit Cancun, cross the NE Yucatan, then emerge into the Gulf and blow up into a Hurricane, heading towards New Orleans on Day 16.

    Odds of this scenario verifying? Same as Blutarsky’s GPA.

    One thing to keep an eye on in the tropics. There’s a disturbance in the southern Gulf, part of the remnants of Tropical Storm Beatriz. It’ll head northeast, bringing some much-needed rain to Florida over the next few days. I don’t expect it to develop, but since NHC seems to want to name every rotating thunderstorm over water, you never know what they’ll do. Once it gets out into the Atlantic and over the Gulf Stream, it may strengthen a bit, but it probably won’t be tropical by that point, maybe a hybrid at best.

  30. heading on out before the rain starts but at the moment its a nice sunny day here on Nantucket

  31. Congrats to your son, TK! Nice morning out there. All in all, we did pretty well with the weather this weekend, especially given the pattern we’re in. Rainy and cool the next couple days. Likely 1-2″ of rain for many through Wednesday.

    A much warmer stretch of weather begins next weekend, at least for a few days. Question will be, is it a true pattern change, or an interruption? Not sure yet, but my hopes are rising that it’s a real change.

    1. Does it begin next weekend though? The GFS keeps flip-flopping, so I can’t trust anything it shows. The ECMWF has it starting to warm up next weekend, but even then, the temperatures it has are near to a little below normal (normal highs for mid-June are in the middle 70s). Of course, yesterday’s ECMWF had the warmup starting on Thursday, now it says Saturday.

      1. its going to be one of those seasons in which we keep on waiting for the summer weather to come/ pattern change, it is still technically spring.

    2. I’m going to hold back on the pattern change and kind of leave the idea of June 20 still in play. The warm up next weekend? Well it will probably be warmer than Monday and Tuesday will be. I guess that constitutes a warm-up. 🙂

      I agree with SAK when he says he can’t trust anything on those models. And there is not enough solid evidence in just looking at the current pattern and overall trends to know exactly when a true pattern change will take place. Still too many puzzle pieces to place.

      We always say “this pattern is a tough one” about most, and that’s true, any pattern change is tough to forecast, but I think the most difficult of all in terms of the large scale pattern is the transition from “spring pattern” to “summer pattern”. It’s seldom smooth, and if it is, it happens suddenly and sometimes when you’re not expecting it, or after you think it will happen.

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