Wednesday Forecast

63 Comments

2:33PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
November is here and it follows Boston’s second warmest October on record (by 0.1 degree F). October 1947 retrains the first place ranking. So how do the first days of the new month look? As one would expect, there will be changes from day to day, but nothing outrageous. High pressure which was overhead last night making for areas of frost this morning is slipping away now. A warm front will then approach and pass through on Thursday with more cloudiness although most rain will remain west and north of the forecast area. A cold front will follow this later Friday and will be more notable for its being preceded by very mild air and followed by a weekend chill. At this point, Saturday looks like the weekend pick with fair weather as high pressure noses in from the north, but this high will slide east far enough to bring an onshore wind at the same time a weak disturbance moves in on Sunday, which will turn less favorable.
THIS AFTERNOON: Mostly cloudy. Highs 48-53 interior higher elevations, 53-58 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Slight chance of light rain mainly north and west of Boston. Lows 43-48. Wind light SE.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light rain through early afternoon mainly north and west of Boston. Highs 63-68 occurring late in the day. Wind light SE shifting to SW and increasing to 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 53-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of passing rain showers. Highs 63-68 South Coast, 68-73 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)
Milder November 6, possible rain showers. Additional rain showers followed by clearing and cooler November 7. Fair November 8-10 dominated by high pressure.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)
Overall pattern should be progressive with a couple chilly shots of air during this period.

63 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  1. Thank you, TK!!

    Re DST…My understanding is that other states have said that they may go along if MA does. Maine has considered it, as has VT.

    And heyyyyyyyy – NOBODY had patience? I’m not a nobody. I am very sad 🙁

  4. Thanks, TK.

    Like flipping a light switch, the difference between yesterday and today. Yesterday October’s finest was on display; today November’s typical dreariness presents itself.

    1. And I absolutely LOVE today! This is November! Could be a bit colder but that’ll come this weekend.

    1. I’ll Believe it when I see it.

      Looking at the Euro, you can eye it until the cows
      come home and it ain’t gonna happen.

      😀

    1. I like the idea of getting rid of DST and in so doing AST makes
      the most sense. So what does that make me?

    2. No idea, Ace. It means there will be a lot of tired people or many watching today’s television tomorrow.

  7. Thanks TK. Onto November after a very warm and, at its end, wet October. Not seeing much high impact weather the first half of this month. Very progressive pattern developing as TK has been saying. Mostly zonal flow. Air mass changes every 2-4 days. Averaging a little on the warm side of normal. A few rain threats as well, but no big storms. Next ~10-12 days may be quite a good preview of our overall coming winter pattern.

    2. What you said about the preview of the winter pattern: 100% agree. If I could go above 100% I would.

  8. JPDave…AST is DST year round! The things that you don’t like about DST will still be there and then some. Even darker winter mornings, etc. etc. etc.

    AST=DST
    DST=AST

    And who changes clocks anymore? Our devices automatically change with the time including digital clocks.

  9. Keep in mind, next 10-15 days or so won’t be *totally* quiet or super warm. In fact, we’ll have multiple systems affect us with precip chances. The La Nina driven SE Ridge is there, but it’s not an all eastern US engulfing “death ridge” and I don’t expect it to be one for the most part. Over the winter, it should keep the southeast solidly warm and dry on average, and should trend us towards that direction, but will relent and shift at times and allow some cold shots up this way. But I think we’re going to have a hard time getting high amplitude systems. Fast movers, originating more to our west than our south, and tracking more W-E than S-N compared to average.

    1. Agree again. I might just have you write my winter forecast this year. 😛

      BTW did I ask you if you were going to the conference?

  11. Good morning. Even though it is overcast, I find a quiet serenity in today’s weather.
    Something special that I cannot quite explain. It felt like a Summer’s morning to me today. I love it.

    Although I didn’t really care who won the World Series, I am fine with the Astro’s winning. I didn’t watch a single game. 😀 Once the Sox are out, I could care less.
    So, I guess that makes me a Sox fan and NOT a baseball fan. So be it.

    2. at the moment in typical agreement except for here, I think it will be extremely hard to get any good snows any where on the I95 corridor. I think their snowfall forecast is way over what it will be for Boston.

  13. AccuWeather long range outlook had snowfall 6 inches above normal On I-95 corridor from Boston to NYC when they issued there winter weather outlook last month. Weatheroptics snowfall prediction pretty close to AccuWeather.

      1. I’ll be happy to keep track.

        Last year we did
        Boston
        Worcester
        Providence
        Hartford
        Concord NH
        Burlington (assume VT?)
        Portland (Maine -not Oregon 🙂 )

  15. I was close with my snowfall prediction two winters of ago for BDL. Last winter way off as 62.8 inches fell. I went below normal since October had measurable snowfall and no winter with snowfall in October as ever had above normal snowfall. If we could get two storms with a foot of snow and smaller or medium snowfalls thrown in there weatheroptics and AccuWeather calling for slightly above normal snowfall for Boston could happen even if the winter is a mild one.

    1. I’ll believe it when I see it.

      I cannot remember a memorable snow for last Winter.
      I can remember every snow flake from the previous Winter.
      Last Winter was uneventful in my mind. 😀

      Funny how that works. 😀

      1. Oddly, I cannot remember any from 2015/2016 winter and can a few from last winter. My daughter and I were talking about this just this morning. She said she didn’t think we’d had any snow in 2015/2016. And it is funny how that works.

      2. Well, Boston had 47.6″ last year so there must have been at least “one” memorable snow event. 😉

        1. Well IF I could remember one, I’d post it.
          Therefore there were none for me. 😀
          I didn’t say it didn’t snow, I just Said I can’t remember
          a STINKEN one of them.

          1. Technically it can’t be “Indian Summer” in a given location until they have had a killing frost or a hard freeze. That has not occurred in most locations in southeastern New England yet.

  17. Is it just me or do those winter forecasts always end up predicting above-average snow for this area?

      1. Within reasonable limits. 😀 😀

        If one keeps predicting 300 inches for Boston, not about to occur in anyone’s lifetime. Perhaps during the next ice age????

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