Tuesday Forecast

33 Comments

7:07AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 1-5)
October is here, and coincidentally here come some changes in the impact of the weather locally, although the overall large scale pattern isn’t changing too much – just more of a temporary readjustment. What happens is the ridge that has been centered in the east central US bringing persistent warmth to areas south and west of New England and warm spells into New England flattens and moves west a little bit and allows a significantly cooler air mass from Canada to visit New England for a few days, beginning tomorrow. But first, we get back into the warm wedge of air today as a warm front, which brought some early rain showers, passes through. You’ll even notice the humidity bump up during the day today and especially tonight, not to oppressive levels, but to the point you’ll feel the change. But a strong cold front will sink southward across the region Wednesday, which will be warmest early in the day, followed by a cool down. All the while, we’ll be somewhat unsettled, and though clouds break during the day today and we get into some sun, they return tonight and dominate through Wednesday along with the threat of additional rain showers. The front does not get all that far to the south and a wave of low pressure comes along it and provides a good chance of rain Thursday to early Friday. Any rain is welcomed as we have been quite dry overall of late. By Saturday, though, we’ll be under control of high pressure, which looks like a chilly but great early fall day.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Risk of rain showers morning. Highs 72-79. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Humid turning to damp. Highs 70-77 morning, then falling afternoon. Wind W 10-20 MPH morning, shifting to N from north to south during the morning and early afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 46-53. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain arriving west to east. Highs 53-60. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely. Patchy fog. Lows 48-55. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Overcast with rain tapering off morning. Breaking clouds afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Areas of fog forming. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 6-10)
High pressure moves overhead then offshore October 6, a dry day that starts cold with areas of frost and ends milder. October 7 looks warm but with late-day or nighttime rain showers from a cold front, which moves offshore followed by clearing and cooler weather October 8-9 before it moderates by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 11-15)
Overall pattern much the same, drier than average, up and down temperatures.

33 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    0.03 inch of rain overnight with some light showers.

    Active warm front this morning, although the activity seems to be diving
    SE or even SSE well West of here and “appears” to want to pass SW of the Eastern MA. We shall see if there is enough of an Eastward push and/or if it holds together.

  5. Thanks, TK and Good Morning!
    Happy October…

    No school today in the Columbus, Ohio City Schools because of heat and humidity. High temperature in Columbus is forecasted to be 94 this afternoon.

    2. It’s high time for the nation to commit to AC in every school building regardless of age. I would like to hope the technology is there by now to install it.

      1. Right and do you think tax payers, typically real estate tax payers,
        would go for that? I think too many people would not want
        to part with any money to pay for that. Just mho.

  8. The Açores are in the path of Hurricane Lorenzo and are under a Hurricane Warning.
    The far western island of Flores is in line for pretty much a direct hit. First responders are being flown in to Flores from the other islands. Ireland is expecting a stormy day on Thursday from the remnants of the cyclone.

    1. That thing is behaving exactly as forecast. I gave someone the same scenario about 4 days ago and it hasn’t wavered.

    1. The pattern we ended up with in the country late summer (and earliest days of autumn) was a hybrid of 1983 and 1986. This was the long range forecasting debate earlier in the season, which way would it go? It was a bit of both. Up here, we didn’t get into the heat dome, but rather we got piece of warmth to make the overall warm but not hot September. Like 1986 we got shots of cool air from Canada. The dome of heat was more confined but concentrated to our south and southwest. The one in 1983 was much more expansive and coverage a huge area.

  10. As Captain Fantastic mentioned, the far western islands of the Azores are taking a major hit from Lorenzo: wind gusts well over 100mph. Santa Cruz das Flores, Azores, is out there, basically in the middle of the Atlantic (closer to Nantucket than Berlin!). It rarely gets hit by hurricanes, however. This time is obviously different. I’ll be watching Noticias do Atlantico tonight (Azores News, studio is in Ponta Delgado, on RTP – the Portuguese national broadcasting company).

  11. Framingham is considering banning Halloween due to EEE. I mentioned last weekend to friends that I thought towns needed to start thinking about this. I am hoping they schedule for a weekend day, mid day. All towns out here have a ban on any town activities 6pm-8am. As it should be. If we are cool but warm up end of month, that will not kill them. It will take two or more likely three killing frosts

    1. That’s too bad, but certainly understandable from a public health perspective. I think a killing frost is in the offing between now and the end of October. Let’s hope.

      1. It will take at least two but more like three. I’ll wait for our sensitive impatiens to die. Mosquitoes hide in places frost doesn’t always get.

        But framingham is mentioning It this early so people can come up with a plan B… I am impressed

        1. I hope Framingham takes a “wait-and-see” attitude. Based on their location they should easily have their killing frost within the next two weeks.

          I don’t know the exact date for Framingham but I believe Boston’s first freeze on average isn’t until the first week in November.

          1. Yep that’s what I said they are doing….just letting people know it’s on the table so they can come up with a plan B in the event it comes to that

  12. I bet with a friend that the NL wildcard game would be shorter than any of the NFL games this year, and I might turn out to be right. In any case, I’m tired of hearing from the media and others how boring and slow baseball is, and how exciting and fast the NFL is. I’m sorry. I don’t see it. I like all sports for what they are, not for how they’re supposed to be. There are some boring and slow baseball games. But, there are also some dull and crappy football games. Baseball doesn’t have to change much. Nor does football for that matter. I do think both sports would benefit from getting rid of most reviews and unnecessary breaks. They could learn a bit from hockey in this regard, where reviews are mostly quick and painless, timeouts and other breaks infrequent, and you can actually watch continuous action for long stretches of time without being interrupted by a barrage of bad beer, car, and prescription drug ads.

    1. Hockey is the only major sport that has it right, and of the 4 biggies it has the fewest amount of viewers.

  13. Definitely uptick in the DP tonight.

    Long range looks more the same, up and down. Nothing jumps out at me to get excited. Hope everyone is doing well!!

  14. The GFS Legacy was finally discontinued.

    So far I’m not overly impressed with the new and improved GFS. We’ll see how it does with a winter pattern.

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