7:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 21-25)
High pressure holds control over our weather through Friday, with continued cold weather on the eastern side of the high today, followed by a temperature moderation midweek as the high moves overhead then offshore. By late week we will have a weak cold front return a little chillier air back to the region, and there will be plenty of polar cold in eastern Canada while arctic air is locked up further north. By the time we get to Saturday, high pressure north and low pressure approaching from the southwest puts us on watch for a winter weather event, but the precipitation type, arriving by later Saturday based on current timing, is in question due to the marginal cold air here. Much to figure out between now and then.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing this afternoon.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 5-10 interior, 10-15 coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior valleys, 10-17 elsewhere. Wind calm.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 22-29. Wind S under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Filtered sunshine morning. Cloudy afternoon with rain/mix/snow possible by late-day. Highs 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 26-30)
Low pressure will likely impact the region with rain/mix/snow January 26. Fair, colder January 27. Clipper low or frontal system brings a snow shower risk January 28 followed by fair and seasonably cold weather.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 4)
Watching January 31-February 2 for possible winter storm threat with high pressure in eastern Canada and potential low pressure near or south of New England. Another storm threat is possible by the end of the period.

7:35AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 20-24)
A quiet 5-day period as high pressure approaches today then settles across the region Tuesday through midweek before shifting offshore Friday. We start out with wind and cold today between the approaching high and a departing offshore storm. The northwesterly air flow over the warmer water may bring a few snow showers to outer Cape Cod today. Tranquil weather is expected Tuesday through midweek as high pressure moves overhead. Cloudiness arrives Friday as the high shifts offshore and a warm front moves toward the region.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouds give way to sunshine except additional clouds and a risk of snow showers outer Cape Cod. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 10 at times.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 8-15. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often below 0.
TUESDAY: Sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 26-33. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing late.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior, 10-15 coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior valleys, 10-17 elsewhere. Wind calm.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 22-29. Wind S under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 25-29)
January 25-26 weekend will likely be impacted by a low pressure area, track uncertain, with a risk of snow/mix/rain. Fair, cold January 27. Clipper type low brings snow shower risk January 28. Fair, cold January 29.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 30-FEBRUARY 3)
Watching January 30-February 2 for possible winter storm threat with high pressure in eastern Canada and potential low pressure near or south of New England. Fair, colder to end period.

8:44AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 19-23)
A little tranquility this morning behind our light to moderate snow/mix event of last night. From reports, looks like under 3 inches of snow fell near the South Coast and generally 3-6 inches elsewhere. Here at Woods Hill I recorded exactly 4 inches of snow which ended with a quick burst of sleet in the 1AM hour this morning. So the quick mover is gone, and as it moves away, like several of its predecessors it will blow up in the Maritime Provinces of Canada and help deliver colder air to us starting later today and through MLK Jr Day on Monday. That newly delivered cold, though not deep arctic on origin, will keep it very mid winter feeling through Tuesday before a midweek moderation. All the while high pressure will be in control of the weather with a welcomed quiet period.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. A brief passing snow shower possible evening. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near 0.
MONDAY (MLK JR DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 24-31. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often 10 or under.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 10-20 MPH early, diminishing late.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior, 10-15 coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior valleys, 10-17 elsewhere. Wind calm.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 24-28)
Clouds move in January 24 ahead of a warm front approaching but only a slight threat of some very light precipitation arriving. A low pressure system has to be watched for the January 25-26 weekend but at this point I am not sure of its path and strength. Leaning toward a track just northwest of New England, a quick warm-up for January 25, a quick period of rain showers, then a return to wind and chilly weather to end that weekend but the low track could easily end up further south, so this is a very low confidence forecast at this point. Fair, colder January 27. Clipper low pressure may bring light snow or snow showers to end the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 29-FEBRUARY 2)
Starting out fair and chilly, and then we need to watch the pattern closely for the possibility of a winter precipitation event.

10:46AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 18-22)
Late update, short version. No big changes other than to round out the snow totals by adding a bit to southern areas as the colder scenario wins out, as was expected. A lesson in a storm track being through the Great Lakes and a weak secondary low coming right across the area does not always mean mostly rain. It’s very cold to start out, and by the time it warms up enough for solid rain, the precipitation will have departed. It’s all about the synoptic set-up, not so much what you see in a text book. So we get our moderate winter weather event mainly this evening, and it’s gone by Sunday, but more wind and mid winter cold follows it through Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday. And in fact it gets quite cold here as we get into Tuesday and Wednesday, but with dry weather under the influence of high pressure.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Increasing cloudiness. Highs 23-30. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Snow of 3-6 inches from dusk to around midnight, except under 3 inches South Coast where mix/rain occurs for the second half of the precipitation. Brief mix may get into the I-90 and I-95 areas before the end. Temperatures rise into the 30s. Wind E-SE 10-20 MPH becoming variable overnight.
SUNDAY: Cloudy at dawn with patchy drizzle and freezing drizzle northern MA and southern NH with breaking clouds elsewhere. Variably cloudy balance of day with isolated snow showers. Highs 36-43. Wind variable 5-15 MPH morning, NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers early. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 0.
MONDAY (MLK JR DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often 10 or under.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 10-20 MPH early, diminishing late.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior, 10-15 coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 23-27)
Fair, moderating temperatures January 23-24. Weakening low pressure system passes by January 25 with some cloudiness and possible light precipitation. High pressure rebuilds with fair weather later in the period, seasonably chilly but no arctic cold this time.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 28-FEBRUARY 1)
Quick low pressure wave and cold front brings a snow shower risk January 28 followed by colder and dry weather January 29-30. Watching the end of the period for a possible winter storm threat.

7:21AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 17-21)
Mid winter cold but bright sun today as high pressure in eastern Canada influences the weather here in southeastern New England. And the cold air this high supplies will play a role in the weekend weather as low pressure tracks into the Great Lakes Saturday then down the St. Lawrence Valley Sunday. Many times this track would produce rain here but with plenty of cold air in place and due to the quick movement of the precipitation shield with the low, the bulk of what falls will be in the form of snow – not a big storm but significant enough to warrant shoveling and plowing for a good part of the region. This will occur from the end of the afternoon Saturday through Saturday night. Warm enough air will get involved for a flip to the rain South Coast to about I-90 and perhaps up along I-95 to the northeast, and a brief mix to the northwest, occurring as the precipitation is ending from west to east. This means that rainfall on top of any snow that falls will be limited, which will be good news since more cold air will be set to move back in as this system departs, becoming quite entrenched for the start of next week.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 18-25. Wind NW 15-25 mph, gusting over 30 MPH at times. Wind chill often below 10.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusting over 20 MPH at times. Wind chill often below 0.
SATURDAY: Increasing cloudiness. Highs 23-30. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Precipitation arriving early evening as snow west to east, turning to rain South Coast to I-90 belt and coastline and mixing with rain interior areas north of I-90 before ending pre-dawn. Snow accumulation 1-3 inches in areas that turn to rain, 3-5 inches in areas that mix with rain, with an isolated 6 inch amount possible higher elevations north central MA and/or southern NH.
Temperature rising into the 30s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH evening, E-SE 10-20 MPH overnight.
SUNDAY: Cloudy at dawn with patchy drizzle and freezing drizzle northern MA and southern NH with breaking clouds elsewhere. Variably cloudy balance of day with isolated snow showers. Highs 36-43. Wind variable 5-15 MPH morning, NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers early. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 0.
MONDAY (MLK JR DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often 10 or under.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 10-20 MPH early, diminishing late.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 22-26)
High pressure dominates January 22-23 with a cold start then slight moderation in temperature. Weakening low pressure approaches and moves through, bringing the threat of some precipitation anytime in the January 24 to early January 26 time frame with temperatures not too far from normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 27-31)
This period is a lower confidence outlook, but we’ll have to watch for a strung out area of low pressure to bring a precipitation threat the first couple days of the period, a break, then another storm threat later in the period.

7:39AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 16-20)
Low pressure departs and intensifies as it moves away via the Gulf of Maine and southeastern Canada today through tonight, and this will, combined with a large high pressure area moving across east central Canada, will cause plenty of wind and drag in cold air, returning the feel of mid winter to southeastern New England as we move through Friday and into the weekend, setting up a winter weather event as low pressure moves across the region mid weekend. There are not really any changes to the outlook on this system as discussed in yesterday’s blog. I’ll be leaning toward the lower sides of the preliminary snow amounts mentioned yesterday, not because there is the threat of a flip to rain after the precipitation arrives in the form of snow, but because the narrow width of the precipitation shield and the speed of its movement will simply prevent all that much from falling, even though the bulk of it will be in the form of snow, only changing toward its end from southwest to northeast. This system departs Sunday with another bout of windy, cold, drier weather lasting through MLK Jr. Day Monday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy through mid morning with rain/snow showers ending west to east. Variably cloudy midday-afternoon with isolated snow showers. Highs 38-45. Wind variable becoming NW increasing to 15-30 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH during the afternoon. Wind chill in 20s by late-day.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 15-25 MPH gusting 30-45 MPH. Wind chill falling below 0.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 18-25. Wind NW 15-25 mph, gusting over 30 MPH at times. Wind chill often below 10.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusting over 20 MPH at times. Wind chill often below 0.
SATURDAY: Increasing cloudiness. Highs 23-30. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Precipitation arriving early evening as snow west to east, turning to rain South Coast to I-90 belt and coastline and mixing with rain interior areas north of I-90 before ending pre-dawn. Snow accumulation 1-3 inches in areas that turn to rain, 3-5 inches in areas that mix with rain, with an isolated 6 inch amount possible higher elevations north central MA and/or southern NH.
Temperature rising into the 30s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH evening, E-SE 10-20 MPH overnight.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle, areas of fog, and a risk of rain showers early morning. Variably cloudy with isolated to scattered snow showers thereafter. Highs 38-45 morning. Temperatures falling through the 30s afternoon. Wind variable 5-15 MPH morning, NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts afternoon. Wind chill in the 10s in the afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers early. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 0.
MONDAY (MLK JR DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Isolated snow showers possible. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often 10 or under.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 21-25)
Slight change in the outlook as it looks less likely an ocean storm will be located close enough to the region for impact at mid period, and more likely a low pressure area will approach and impact the region around January 24-25 with snow/mix threat, but even this system may end up being very minor and have minimal impact. Before that, dry and very cold.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 26-30)
Coldest weather eases somewhat. Additional storm threat with snow/mix/rain threat middle to end of period.

7:17AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 15-19)
Low level moisture will cause patches of clouds and fog early today, but a bubble of high pressure approaching brings drier air and turns the weather quite nice, making today the pick of the week if you seek mild and fair conditions. If you do, enjoy it while you can, because things are about to change in a significant way. Low pressure cuts across central New England tonight and early Thursday, producing a some snow and rain showers (snow showers with minor accumulation southern NH and perhaps far northern MA, rain showers to the south). This will be a minor system, but as it exits, it intensifies while moving away, and will be a cog in a machine that will transport much colder air into the region Thursday night through Friday, as a large high pressure area moves across southeastern Canada. But our active pattern sends another low pressure area in our direction for the weekend, and with cold air in place, this one is going to start as snow for all by late Saturday or Saturday night. The big question with this system is how much warm air moves in aloft, and how quickly, dictating a change to rain. There’s still some uncertainty how quickly and how far north this snow to rain line will end up. At just over 3 days away, the initial call is that light to moderate snowfall accumulations will occur and rain will become involved in most of the region before the precipitation exits around dawn Sunday. This system will move quickly enough to prevent heavy snow accumulation and significant rainfall. Cold air does return as that system exits, so whatever is on the ground is destined to freeze up solid by the end of the weekend…
Forecast details…
TODAY: Patchy clouds/fog early otherwise sunshine dominant. Highs 45-52. Wind variable under 10 MPH then W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouds return. Snow/mix showers southern NH and far northern MA with scattered coatings of snow. Rain showers to the south. Lows 30-37. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers morning. Variably cloudy with isolated snow showers afternoon. Highs 40-47 morning. Temperature falling into the 30s afternoon. Wind SW 5-15 MPH early, shifting to NW and increasing to 15-30 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH. Wind chill falling into the 20s.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 15-25 MPH gusting 30-45 MPH. Wind chill falling below 0.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 18-25. Wind NW 15-25 mph, gusting over 30 MPH at times. Wind chill often below 10.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-12. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusting over 20 MPH at times. Wind chill often below 0.
SATURDAY: Increasing cloudiness. Highs 23-30. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Snow arriving evening. Snow turning to rain South Coast to I-90 belt and mixing with sleet/rain to the north overnight. Light to moderate snow accumulation possible. Temperature rising into the 30s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH evening, SE 10-20 MPH overnight.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle, areas of fog, and a risk of rain showers early. Variably cloudy with isolated to scattered snow showers afternoon. Highs 38-45 morning. Temperatures falling through the 30s afternoon. Wind variable 5-15 MPH morning, NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts afternoon.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 20-24)
Dry, windy, and very cold January 20. Dry, less wind, very cold January 21. Watching potential ocean storm in the January 22-24 period which should be mostly offshore but may bring the risk of some snow to southeastern areas as temperatures remain below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 25-29)
Continued colder than average late January with mainly dry weather January 25-26 weekend and a potential storm threat following that.

7:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 14-18)
We’ll be in the firing line of low pressure areas during the next 5 days with 2 passing by and 1 approaching by the end of the period. The first is actually a double miss, one passing south, one passing north, during tonight, but a trough bridge between the 2 will bring rain showers, though those may be mixed with sleet and/or snow in southern NH as the air will be marginally cold enough there to support some frozen precipitation. We’ll have a slightly stronger low passing eastward across central New England early Thursday, mainly a rain producer for our area, with this time the snow being to the north of the forecast area. Behind that second system we get a delivery of much colder air which you will feel for sure, along with wind, by Thursday night and Friday. By Saturday we’re still cold but the wind will have settled down, but clouds will be on their way back in ahead of a winter storm threat, which arrive Saturday night – slightly slower timing than expected previously. On tomorrow’s blog update we’ll re-visit this threat in more detail, but for now expect a snow/mix/rain scenario for the mid portion of the weekend. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers except sleet/snow showers possible southern NH and around the MA/NH border. Lows 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 44-51. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain late but possible mix southern NH. Lows 33-40. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy start with rain showers except mix/snow showers northern MA / southern NH. Clouds/sun midday-afternoon. Highs 38-45. Wind variable becoming W to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill near to below 0.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill below 10 at times.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 8-15. Wind N 5-15 MPH. Wind chill near 0.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Snow except snow/mix/rain south arriving at night. Highs 25-32. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 19-23)
Winter storm moves out January 19 replaced by windy/cold weather through January 20, then dry and more tranquil weather for January 21. Continued cold but may have to watch storminess evolving south of the region by the middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 24-28)
One or two low pressure systems may impact the region, snow/mix favored over rain. Uncertain how the pattern evolved specifically so will re-evaluate this on coming updates.

7:21AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 13-17)
A wave of low pressure on a frontal boundary to the south will toss some cloudiness into the region today over the top of ocean-effect cloudiness coming in on an northeasterly surface flow due to high pressure in eastern Canada. There will be enough low level moisture to produce some rain or snow showers over Cape Cod and a few snow showers for the North Shore, especially Cape Ann, during the day today, with a few flakes back toward I-95 over eastern MA as well. Moisture associated with the wave to the south will stay away. Another disturbance heading eastward from the Tennessee Valley will pass south of New England Tuesday night while a system in the northern jet stream tracks from the Great Lakes to the St. Lawrence Valley. A trough of low pressure connecting these systems will bring some light precipitation, mainly rain but possibly a bit of sleet, to the region late Tuesday. A small bubble of high pressure brings dry weather for the day Wednesday, but the pattern of quick-moving systems means the next low pressure area will be approaching later Wednesday and will cross the region Wednesday night and the first half of Thursday with some precipitation, favoring mix southern NH and northern MA and rain southern MA southward, although this looks like a minor system, precipitation-wise. After it gets by it will intensify and drag down colder air from Canada later Thursday into Friday as high pressure builds across southeastern Canada. Enough cold air will be in place so that when the next in a series of low pressure areas comes along Saturday, everybody will likely start at snow. It remains to be seen if the precipitation will stay snow everywhere. The early indications on the low track is that it will be further south than some of our previous systems, but close enough so that a rain/snow line may be involved. It’s too early for amounts and details of rain versus snow or timing of precipitation, but that will be fine-tuned as it gets closer. The updated detailed forecast follows…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Snow showers possible near eastern coastal areas favoring Cape Cod (may mix with rain there) and Cape Ann MA. Highs 35-42. Wind N to E up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers except sleet/snow showers possible southern NH and around the MA/NH border. Lows 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 44-51. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain late but possible mix southern NH. Lows 33-40. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy start with rain showers except mix/snow showers northern MA / southern NH. Clouds/sun midday-afternoon. Highs 38-45. Wind variable becoming W to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill near to below 0.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill below 10 at times.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 18-22)
Winter storm threat January 18-19 in which the track of the storm will determine a rain/snow line. Early idea is that everybody starts as snow Saturday, greatest impact Saturday night but a mix/change line favors the areas south of I-90, and storm makes an exit during Sunday with windy and cold weather following for the remainder of the MLK Jr Weekend through Monday January 20. Fair, cold weather January 21 and we may be watching another storm threat by January 22.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 23-27)
Snow/mix/rain threat at start and end of period. Fair weather between. Temperatures near to below normal.

4:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 12-16)
Quick update this morning as I’m making no changes to yesterday’s discussion. Our brief shot of anomalous warmth is about to end, but the overall mild pattern still hangs on for a while, although you will feel some January chill again before the conclusion of this 5-day period. Showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will traverse the region early this morning before exiting west to east by later morning. This will be replaced with drier but windy weather for the balance of the day, but since the temperatures hung in the 60s overnight, we’ll still have that warmth around this morning before we slide back to the 50s this afternoon. High pressure to the north of New England will help cooler air filter into the region tonight and Monday, and its position will allow winds to come around to east and perhaps create a few rain/snow showers favoring Cape Ann and Cape Cod by later Monday The active pattern continues as then we will be impacted by 2 low pressure systems before this 5-day period is over, the first being a disjointed system with energy passing by both to the north and to the south of southeastern New England, setting up a risk of rain showers late-day and evening on Tuesday. The second system looks slightly more potent and should have a stronger low pressure area heading from the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes toward northern New England by Wednesday night and Thursday with an episode of rain. Depending on timing of end of precipitation and arrival of cold air during Thursday, we may have to watch for a flip to snow showers before that system departs. Being several days away it’s too soon to know for sure how that will play out. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy through mid morning with showers and possibly a thunderstorm, some which may have powerful wind gusts. Clearing midday and afternoon. Highs 60-67 morning, cooling to 50s afternoon. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH early, diminishing overnight.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. A few rain/snow showers possible Cape Cod & Cape Ann. Highs 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-42. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 44-51. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 37-44. Wind SE 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy morning with rain, possibly ending as snow showers. Clouds/sun afternoon. Temperatures 37-44 early then slowly falling. Wind W to NW 15-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 17-21)
Fair, chilly January 17. Storm system likely impacts the region January 18-19 with rain/mix/snow, details to be worked out. Fair, seasonably cold weather returns January 20-21 behind that storm system.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 22-26)
The active weather pattern will continue with one or two precipitation threats and colder air around, so additional snow/mix will likely be involved with these threats.

8:46AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 11-15)
I joked on the Woods Hill Weather Facebook page yesterday that it would be a “back to the 60s weekend”, referring to 2 days of high temperatures reaching or exceeding 60 degrees, and that indeed will be the case. I was concerned that a frontal boundary would slip down the coast from the northeast and change things up for some areas on Sunday, but that front will remain to the north and the boundary from the west will be charging east, eventually putting an end to the 2-day warm-up. Today will be a rain-free day, although you probably already have noticed damp surfaces starting yesterday and continuing today. This is due to the warmer, relatively humid air making contact with colder surfaces and the moisture condensing there. It’s the same process you see when you get water condensation on the outside of a cold glass of the beverage of your choice. So any wet ground today is not due to rain, but due to that. The only real rain threat comes in the form of numerous showers and possible thunderstorms Sunday morning, from west to east, as the cold front sweeps through. We’ll have to keep a close eye on this activity as winds not too far above the ground will be very strong, and any convective shower or thunderstorm activity can bring some of these winds down to the surface, potentially producing damaging gusts. It will remain breezy behind the front as it clears out rapidly by Sunday afternoon, and the temperature will go down, though this is not an arctic air mass invading so we won’t have one of those temperature nose-dives this time. After this goes by, high pressure shifts eastward through the Maritime Provinces of Canada and as a result a little weak easterly flow sets up here and may produce enough low level moisture for a few rain/snow showers on the Capes (Cod & Ann). The active pattern continues as then we will be impacted by 2 low pressure systems before this 5-day period is over, the first being a disjointed system with energy passing by both to the north and to the south of southeastern New England, setting up a risk of rain showers late-day and evening on Tuesday. The second system looks slightly more potent and should have a stronger low pressure area heading from the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes toward northern New England by Wednesday night, returning a chance of rain to the region. Forecast details…
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers overnight. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Cloudy morning with numerous rain showers and possible thunderstorms moving west to east across the region. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 60-67 occurring by midday then cooling to the 50s during the afternoon. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, potentially strong and locally damaging gusts during the passage of showers/storms, shifting to W 15-25 MPH by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH early, diminishing overnight.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. A few rain/snow showers possible Cape Cod & Cape Ann. Highs 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-42. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain likely at night. Highs 42-49. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 16-20)
The storm system that arrives late Wednesday will exit at the start of this period with a rain shower risk early January 16 followed by wind and falling temperatures. Fair, colder January 17 setting up the potential for a winter storm of snow/mix/rain during the January 18-19 weekend, timing and details to be determined, followed by clearing and colder weather to end the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 21-25)
The active weather pattern will continue with one or two precipitation threats and colder air around, so additional snow/mix will likely be involved with these threats.

7:32AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 10-14)
Only change to this forecast is to report that high pressure in eastern Canada will be slightly weaker than previously expected, allowing parent low pressure to track north of New England this coming weekend, so we push that warm front through today, and hold the boundary to the north until Sunday when the passing low drags it back across as a cold front, allowing for high temperatures near or above 60 in much of the region this weekend before a cool-down. Don’t look for complete clearing behind that system as the frontal boundary won’t get that far to the south and additional, though disorganized energy will be moving along that and across nearby Canada as well early next week.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 44-51. Wind S up to 10 MPH shifting to SW and increasing to 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Temperatures steady 43-50 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers late-day favoring central MA and southern NH. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 15-25 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Scattered rain showers. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 58-65 by midday, then turning cooler. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to W.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partial sun. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Risk of rain or snow showers. Lows 30-37. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Risk of rain or snow showers. Highs 38-45. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 15-19)
Two low pressure systems potentially impact the region in a fast-moving west to east jet stream pattern. First one should track north of the region with warm front / cold front combo producing brief mix to rain then rain later January 15 to rain showers which may end as snow showers January 16 as colder air returns. Fair, chilly January 17-18 then next system threatens with rain/mix/snow by end of period.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 20-24)
Pattern remains active, but more cold air is going to become available nearby in Canada and we will need to start watching for an increasing risk of ice/snow becoming involved with passing low pressure systems.

2:51AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 9-13)
High pressure brings fair, cold weather today. A warm front crosses the region Friday with cloudiness and no more than brief light rain/sleet favoring northern MA and southern NH, but more notably starts a significant warm-up, which will peak Saturday night after record-challenging high temperatures during the day Saturday which will not go down much that night. We’ll end up with rain-free conditions for a good part of the warm-up too as the ribbon of rain associated with an approaching frontal boundary will hold off until Saturday night, preceded by only a few rain showers late that afternoon. Low pressure will be heading into the Great Lakes during Saturday, with a strong southwesterly air flow between it and high pressure which will have shifted off the coast and strengthened a couple days after delivering our dry and cold start to this period. But another sprawling high pressure area across eastern Canada, supplying much colder air, will squelch that low pressure area as it attempts to enter Canada, basically turning it into a series of weakening low pressure waves rippling along that frontal boundary, which will sink through here during Sunday. The race between the end of the precipitation and air cold enough to support sleet/ice will be won by the precipitation, so just expected rain to come to an end, then drying as the temperature goes down during Sunday after a very mild start. By Monday, we’ll be in a colder air mass, and it looks dry at this time, but that frontal boundary will not be too far south of the region and some cloudiness may hang about as a result, so not going to go for complete clearing. Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 26-33. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusting over 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 18-25. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to S.
FRIDAY: Cloudy with spotty light rain/sleet favoring northern MA and southern NH morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon. Highs 43-50. Wind S up to 10 MPH morning, SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Temperatures steady 43-50 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers late-day favoring central MA and southern NH. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 15-25 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Scattered rain showers evening. Rain likely overnight. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely morning. Highs 55-62 morning, falling steadily thereafter to 38-45 by late-day. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, becoming variable 5-15 MPH, then NW 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partial sun. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 14-18)
Two low pressure systems potentially impact the region in a fast-moving west to east jet stream pattern. Current idea is that the first will be very weak and may pass largely south of the region January 14-15, and that the second one’s low center will pass north of the region with a warm front / cold front combo producing a period of rain then rain showers as it should be too mild to support frozen precipitation January 16-17. Timing and tracks may change and will fine-tune with future updates.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 19-23)
Pattern remains active, but more cold air is going to become available nearby in Canada and we will need to start watching for an increasing risk of ice/snow becoming involved with passing low pressure systems.

7:29AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 8-12)
A compact storm intensified and moved very rapidly southeast of New England overnight, concentrating most of its snow shield across Cape Cod and sparing everyone else. With this largely non-event offshore and on the way out, we look ahead to the upcoming active pattern and basically summarize yesterday’s discussion. An arctic cold front crosses the region this afternoon with the risk of a few snow showers and snow squalls, so be on the look-out as those can quickly reduce visibility and in some cases coat the ground with snow. Wind and cold will be the story to end the day and through tonight. Thursday, as many have been since November, will be the coldest day of the week. A warm front cross the region Friday with a touch of rain or inland sleet possible as we quickly lose the cold both at the surface and aloft. Saturday’s weather will remind you of a spring day as we get into a gusty southwesterly wind flow and very mild air, with some high temperature records challenged. Boston’s record high for the date is 62 and there is a risk of reaching that. A strong but slow moving cold front will push through the region Saturday night and early Sunday with a band of rain, which may end as sleet/snow for parts of the region if the cold air is in while the precipitation is still around. At the moment, leaning toward the precipitation to win the race.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing afternoon snow showers possible. Risk of a brief snow squall mid to late afternoon first west, lastly east. Highs 32-39. Wind W increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW late.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing overnight.
THURSDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 18-25 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered light rain, possibly some sleet interior areas, favoring the morning hours. Highs 40-47. Wind SE under 10 MPH shifting to SW up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures steady 40-47 evening, rising to 50-57 overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a passing rain shower. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to N.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain ending in the morning. Temperatures fall through the 40s into the 30s. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 13-17)
Two low pressure systems likely impact the region, about January 14 and 16, based on current timing, with rain favored over snow, along with mostly above normal temperatures, but a subtle shift can change these tracks and temperatures, so need to keep an eye on it.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 18-22)
Still looking at a similar pattern of active weather, probably needing to watch 1 or 2 additional low pressure systems bringing precipitation threats.

7:27AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 7-11)
A small, fast-moving, but intensifying low pressure area forming in the Mid Atlantic will track off the coast and pass just southeast of New England tonight and early Wednesday, producing a mini snowstorm for southeastern New England before exiting. In its wake, a shot of cold air will arrive, perhaps with some additional snow showers Wednesday, and it will be quite cold for Thursday. Although as has been the characteristic of early winter, this cold shot will be short-lived, and moderating temperatures will already be felt by Friday, leading to a rather warm Saturday as low pressure tracks through the Great Lakes to the St. Lawrence Valley and we end up in a moderate to strong southwesterly air flow. We may see a touch of light rain and sleet early Friday as a warm front passes, and then our warmer air arrives. A cold front will try to approach on Saturday but will be held at bay initially by strong high pressure offshore, and that may also keep rain chances down as well, keeping the wet weather mostly west and north of the region to start the weekend.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 33-40. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Snow arrives late evening from southwest to northeast but may start as rain/mix Cape Cod, steadiest overnight I-95 southeastward. Lows 25-32. Wind E 5-15 MPH near the South Coast, variable under 10 MPH elsewhere.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with snow early morning, especially I-95 southeast, ending mid morning with accumulation a coating to 1 inch NW of I-95 and 1-3 inches from near I-95 southeastward. Clearing late morning. Sunny afternoon. Highs 32-39. Wind NW increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing overnight.
THURSDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 18-25 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered light rain, possibly some sleet interior areas, favoring the morning hours. Highs 40-47. Wind SE under 10 MPH shifting to SW up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures steady 40-47 evening, rising to 50-57 overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a passing rain shower. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 12-16)
January 12 starts mild with rain then turns sharply colder with rain possibly ending as sleet and/or snow in some locations as the cold front held to the northwest earlier in the weekend moves through. Brief dry, colder weather January 13 then 1 or 2 additional low pressure areas may impact the region middle to end of this period with more unsettled weather.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 17-21)
Still looking at a similar pattern of active weather, probably needing to watch 1 or 2 additional low pressure systems bringing precipitation threats. Far too soon for detail.