DAYS 1-5 (MAY 5-9)

Spring in our part of the world is not all sunshine, warm temperatures, blooming flowers, and singing birds. Yes, we get any and all of that, and spring can have many nice days, but it also is a season of change, and while we get pushes of warm air from warmer parts of the country to the south and southwest in preview of summer, we still have a pretty cold ocean next to us, and often still some snow left to melt in parts of nearby Canada where some pretty cold air masses can still reside. This mix makes for volatility, and depending on the pattern, sometimes stretches of similar weather for many days. While there is some nice weather in this 5-day forecast, it’s limited, so pay attention if you want to make some plans to enjoy it…

High pressure that kept us fair and cool with varying amounts of clouds Friday and Saturday has given way and now we’re seeing things moving more from west to east across the region, which will be the case for several days. We start out by seeing a trough and frontal system move into and across the region today and tonight with a cloudy sky. Most of the wet weather from this system in our area will occur during the midday and afternoon hours, into tonight. It pushes off to the east early Monday with maybe a lingering shower. And while high pressure begins to build in on Monday, just enough instability will be around to maybe trigger one more brief passing shower in a few locations during the afternoon hours. The pick of the coming week is going to be an easy one: Tuesday. That day, high pressure builds in and we’ll have a mild air mass in place. Away from any direct cooling influences of the ocean, many areas will see high temperatures of 70 or greater that day. But it won’t last. On Wednesday, a disturbance and frontal boundary will move through the region from northwest to southeast, returning unsettled weather to the region. We may get a break for part of Thursday if high pressure to the north is strong enough.

TODAY: Cloudy. A few showers possible mainly west of I-95 midday hours. Widespread showers arrive from west to east mid through late afternoon. Highs 52-59. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with widespread showers this evening. Mostly cloudy with showers diminishing west to east overnight. Areas of fog forming. Lows 48-55. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Clouds and showers lingering in eastern MA and RI early, otherwise a sun/cloud mix with an additional shower possible in the mid to late afternoon hours. Highs 57-64 South Coast / Cape Cod, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs ranging widely from 55-60 Islands & Cape Cod warming as you go west and north until 75-80 west of the I-95 belt. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes developing.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouds increase. Lows 51-58. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Good chance of showers. Highs 58-65 in the morning, then cooling in the afternoon. Wind variable becoming E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and drizzle in the evening. Lows 46-51. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind NE-N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 10-14)

A cool and unsettled stretch of weather is expected during the May 10-12 time period as a series of weak low pressure systems pass over and south of the region. High pressure builds back in with improving weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 15-19)

Large scale pattern should feature upper level low pressure in the US Northeast and southwestern Canada, but weakening later in the period. This pattern would be slightly unsettled but overall drier, and limit the ability to warm significantly.

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 4-8)

An extension of Canadian high pressure delivered enough dry air to clear the region out later yesterday and holds on today so we get a pretty decent day to start the weekend today. But this won’t last too long, as the block that the high pressure area is part of is letting go somewhat as a trough and frontal system move in from the west on Sunday, turning the weather unsettled again. But a more progressive pattern for a few days does mean we’ll see a clearing trend for Monday, though a little patience may be needed, but it will pay off with a Top Ten kind of day on Tuesday – much more sunshine and warmth for the region, except some cooling influences in some coastal areas where wind comes off the water. When midweek arrives, so does our next stretch of unsettled weather. More about that later. First, focus on the 2 or 3 really nice days coming up in the shorter term…

TODAY: Plenty of sun, with intervals of clouds. Highs 54-61 coast, 61-68 inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers arriving west to east late morning on. Highs 52-59 coast, 59-66 inland. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH shifting to SW.

MONDAY: Clouds and showers lingering in eastern MA and RI early, otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 57-64 South Coast / Cape Cod, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs ranging widely from 55-60 Islands & Cape Cod warming as you go west and north until 75-80 west of the I-95 belt. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes developing.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouds increase. Lows 51-58. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain/drizzle developing. Temperatures steady 51-58. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 9-13)

While there may be a drier interval early in the period, the general easterly flow continues into the May 11-12 weekend with cool, unsettled weather more likely, with some improvement potential late weekend / early following week (May 12-13).

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 14-18)

Overall spring block or slow-moving pattern should feature upper level low pressure over or just east of the region – US Northeast to southeastern Canada. This pattern is seasonably cool but not too wet, despite some unsettled episodes with shower chances.

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 3-7)

The pattern during the next 5 days will transition from blocked to more progressive. For today and Saturday, while we’ll have a fair amount of clouds around both days, we’ll be rain-free as high pressure in Atlantic Canada extends its reach into our region. Overall, the region will be noticeably cooler than yesterday was, with the coastal areas the coolest – typical for springtime with high pressure in control. Sunday, the high slides away and a frontal system moves in from the west with clouds and eventually showers, which seem more likely to occur in the afternoon and evening than earlier in the day. This system will exit early Monday with no more than lingering start-of-day showers in southeastern areas, but high pressure will build in with fair weather and mild to warm air early in the week, again with many coastal areas being cooler than interior locations.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy start but a partial clearing trend from east to west allows intervals of sun to become more prevalent with time. Highs range from 53-60 coast to 60-67 inland. Wind NE-E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind E under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 54-61 coast, 61-68 inland. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers arriving west to east afternoon-evening. Highs 52-59 coast, 59-66 inland. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH shifting to SW.

MONDAY: Clouds and showers lingering in eastern MA and RI early, otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 57-64 South Coast / Cape Cod, 65-72 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 68-75 except cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 8-12)

Unsettled weather is most likely May 8 with a trough and front passing by, and again in a potential longer stretch as blocking returns mid to late period, along with a cooling trend (low pressure to south, high pressure to north). Will watch this trend and adjust details.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 13-17)

Overall spring block or slow-moving pattern should feature upper level low pressure over or just east of the region – US Northeast to southeastern Canada. This pattern is seasonably cool but not too wet, despite some unsettled episodes with shower chances.

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 2-6)

Today we manage to flip the air flow around to more southerly, which will allow it to warm in much of the region, less so where this air flow is off the ocean. But even with that, all coastal areas can be vulnerable to sea breeze development because of the weak air flow in place. A small but fairly potent disturbance can pop a few showers and even an isolated thunderstorm later today, favoring southern NH and northeastern MA. As it moves away, Canadian high pressure will begin to nose its way into the region, setting us up with a cooler northeast to east wind for Friday and Saturday. During this time clouds will often be dominant, but intervals of sun can occur both days, with the greater chance of longer sunny intervals on Saturday. Sunday, a frontal system moving in from the west will do so rather slowly being up against high pressure to its east, but will turn the day rather cloudy with a chance of showers. Improvement should occur for Monday, in theory, but there may not be a lot of push of dry air to clear us out that day.

TODAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. Late-day showers and a chance of a thunderstorm favoring southern NH and northeastern MA. Highs 68-75 except cooler coastal areas. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. An evening shower possible. Lows 46-53. Wind shifting to NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 53-60 coast, 60-67 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E-SE under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 54-61 coast, 61-68 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 58-65. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 50-57. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 58-65, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 7-11)

This period is vulnerable to unsettled weather with a frontal boundary in the region and a couple disturbances moving through (timing TBD). Temperatures fairly close to normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 12-16)

General pattern looks spring blocky with upper level low pressure nearby / over the US Northeast to southeastern Canada. This is not a wet pattern in general, but can present a lot of clouds and limit warmth.

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 1-5)

May you have a happy May, which starts today! The weather might not make too many people happy though, as it looks rather grey. That said, we will see a little bit of improvement while a wave of low pressure to our southeast moves away and a little drier air moves in from the north today. But the clouds in place may be stubborn to break, in some areas anyway. While we sit on the cool side of a frontal boundary, more clouds and a shower chance will be with us as a disturbance moves through Thursday. Some partial clearing can occur as high pressure in Atlantic Canada noses its way southwestward into our region during Friday and Saturday. Showers chances are absent from my forecast those two days as triggers and disturbances stay away. Sunday, however, the arrival of a frontal system from the west renews that chance, as the high pressure area gives way.

TODAY: Cloudy with lingering light rain/drizzle possible early, then clouds dominate but may break at times. Highs 53-60, warmest inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A few showers possible. Highs 52-59, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A possible shower in the evening. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 53-60 coast, 60-67 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E-SE under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 54-61 coast, 61-68 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 58-65. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 6-10)

While there will be rain-free / fair weather times, this period is vulnerable to unsettled weather with a frontal boundary in the region and a couple/few disturbances to traverse the region. Temperatures fairly close to normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 11-15)

Similar pattern continues heading into mid May. No major storminess, but a couple disturbances to threaten unsettled weather and varying the temperature pattern, also cooling influences from the Atlantic in play.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 30 – MAY 4)

This is the weather pattern that will separate experience from inexperience when trying to forecast weather even out to a couple days in this region. Guidance at one point would have one believe on just looking at it that a string of fair weather days with highs in the 60s and 70s would be the pattern, and yup we sure had some nice warm air around parts of the region on Monday with mainly fair weather, but not completely fair weather, as a solid batch of showers went through southern NH and northeastern MA at one point during midday with a passing disturbance. This took place in a northwesterly flow aloft while a surface cold front, back-door style, slipped through the region, turning it cooler from northeast to southwest, but not quickly enough to take away the warmth the further west and south you were. So, now that we have all that explained, the rest of the forecast should be easy, right? Wrong. That boundary that went by will sit to our west and south through midweek, and a series of disturbances brings shower chances. Even some thunderstorms went through southern areas early this morning. Additional showers and even thunderstorms are possible today before a weak high pressure area to the north dries us out for Wednesday. After that, another disturbance returns the shower chance ofr Thursday. What once looked like a high pressure area slipping off to the south and east to warm us up for late in the week now looks more like another eastern Canadian high to drive more cool air into the region. The high center will be in the Atlantic Canada region with a nose extending southwestward into New England Friday and Saturday. This brings mainly fair weather but does not allow a significant warm up to take place, especially in coastal areas. Don’t be surprised if part of this outlook is different tomorrow – springtime in New England!

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers around mostly through midday. A batch of heavier showers with embedded thunder favoring Southern New Hampshire and northeastern Mass late morning. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.,

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of light rain. Areas of drizzle/fog. Lows 43-50. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with lingering light rain/drizzle possible early, then breaking clouds. Highs 53-60, warmest inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A shower possible. Highs 52-59, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a possible shower in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 53-60 coast, 61-68 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E-SE under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 55-62 coast, 62-69 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 5-9)

This remains a low confidence forecast. Frontal boundary brings a threat of showers on May 5. Another disturbance renews the shower threat at mid period, but timing uncertain. Fair weather days are most likely May 6 and 9. Temperatures variable, but not far from normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 10-14)

While several systems threaten with some unsettled weather, it does not look excessively wet, nor do temperatures stray very far from normal for mid May. But low confidence outlook, so check updates.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 29 – MAY 3)

Today’s weather will be quite nice, in most areas, most of the time, but the temperature by day’s end is going to end up varying significantly from one part of the area to another. We had a mild night sitting in the “warm sector” or a warm air mass, and while some clouds trying to move in from the northwest can limit the sun, we’ll still warm up nicely, but this will be thwarted along the coast by a sea breeze by midday, and then systematically wiped out by a back door cold front that arrives from northeast to southwest later today and tonight. Some midday showers can slide across southern NH and nearby northeastern MA. Other than that there’s the potential for a pop up shower over inland areas by evening. With the front sliding far enough southwest, high pressure in eastern Canada and weak low pressure moving along the boundary to our south Tuesday and early Wednesday, we’ll have the opportunity to see some rain at times, though not very much, with most of it Tuesday night, but it will be quite cool with a region-wide onshore flow from the chilly Atlantic. Drier air will result in some improving weather during Wednesday as the low moves away and high pressure exerts a little more influence. There are a few adjustments being made to the forecast in today’s update for later in the week. With that boundary still sitting to our south, stronger high pressure still to the north, and a weak disturbance moving through the region in a northwesterly air flow aloft, Thursday’s forecast is a bit different in comparison to my ideas of just 24 hours ago. It looks cloudier and not as warm. We may even see a few showers around as the warmer air to the south fights to move back in, but doesn’t make it. Not even sure it makes it in on Friday either when at the very least the coast is likely to be much cooler than inland areas as high pressure from Canada noses in with fair weather.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Midday showers southern NH and northeastern MA. A late-day pop-up shower possible west of I-495. Highs ranging from 60-67 coast to 67-74 inland occurring by early afternoon, but falling back to the 50s coastal areas with a sharper temperature contrast heading inland during mid to late afternoon. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers in the evening. Mostly cloudy overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind shifting to NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of light rain. Areas of drizzle/fog. Lows 44-51. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with lingering light rain/drizzle possible early, then breaking clouds. Highs 53-60, warmest inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A shower possible. Highs 52-59, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a possible shower in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 55-62 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 4-8)

This forecast is not high confidence so check upcoming updates. Currently thinking the May 4-5 weekend starts mild with fair weather, then a front moves through with showers for a portion of May 5. Next system with a shower threat around May 7 otherwise a fairly dry pattern mid to late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 9-13)

Generally dry pattern with a cooling trend with dominant air flow out of eastern Canada.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 28 – MAY 2)

A warm front went by overnight with showers, and we’re in the warm sector now, but with a northwest flow aloft. A couple disturbances have to go by our area. This brings a couple opportunities for passing showers, the smaller chance being around midday today, the greater chance toward evening when a few of those showers may end up on the heavier side. Not everybody will see them however, and some locations stay rain-free all day. Tomorrow’s shower chance looks limited to inland pop up afternoon ones while a back-door cold front slips into the region from the northeast. Initially a good warm up will be thwarted, especially in southern NH and eastern coastal MA to Cape Cod, by the front’s advance. Enough Canadian high pressure should put the entire region on the cool side of that boundary by Tuesday which also will be an unsettled day as a disturbance moves in from the west. The low center of this system will actually pass south of us by early Wednesday and we never really get back into the warm air. Improvement looks likely Wednesday afternoon though as the system departs, but it will be a cool day with an easterly air flow. Thursday, however, things turn around, figuratively and literally, as high pressure sinks to the south and a west to southwest wind brings a nice warm-up, except to South Coast locations which can’t warm up as much.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Passing showers possible around midday and again late afternoon. Highs 63-70 but 55-62 South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers possible well inland. Highs 65-72 except 58-65 Boston area northward occurring by midday, with potentially falling temperatures midday on, especially Boston area north. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, but may turn NE 5-15 MPH in southern NH and eastern MA.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic rain. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of drizzle/fog. Lows 44-51. Wind SE-E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with lingering light rain/drizzle possible early, then breaking clouds. Highs 53-60, warmest inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing, but patchy ground fog. Lows 45-52. Wind calm.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65 South Coast, 66-73 elsewhere. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 3-7)

Leaning toward mild weather May 3-4 with generally fair conditions until later May 4 when a frontal boundary will go through with a shower threat. Fair, cooler mid period before unsettled weather can return late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 8-12)

No big changes in the general outlook heading toward the middle of May. Generally dry pattern with a couple minor systems to threaten brief unsettled weather. Overall northwest to north flow should result in temperatures averaging slightly below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 27 – MAY 1)

Another chilly sunrise on this Saturday morning as high pressure sits overhead. And another dry day ahead, with a slightly better ability to warm the air mass up during the day than we saw yesterday, but not all that much. The coast will still be vulnerable to a sea breeze, so it’ll be cooler there. Also, the sun won’t stay as bright as it did yesterday, as we’ll have high cloudiness fanning in from the west as the day goes on, thick enough to start filtering then dimming the sun as we head toward late afternoon. This is from a warm front approaching the region from the west. The clouds will thicken up this evening and overnight when a couple of periods of light rain will probably occur in much of the region as the front moves through. Sunday, we enter the warm sector, and you’ll notice that, along with a noticeable increase in humidity (not the stifling type you feel in summer, but nonetheless you’ll notice the air definitely has a more humid feel). A southwesterly air flow will be the transporter of this moisture into the region, but also be a direct sea breeze for the South Coast, which will be coolest compared to the remainder of the region. A weak trough approaching from the west along with a couple disturbances moving through in a northwesterly air flow can trigger a couple of showers, but the vast majority of the day will be rain-free. A similar set-up exists into Monday but with a lesser shower threat, being triggered mainly from daytime heating over interior locations. With the exit of low pressure out of southeastern Canada and an area of high pressure across southern Hudson’s Bay, a back-door cold front will make its way down the coast and into our area during the day Monday, setting up a significant temperature contrast by mid afternoon from northeast to southwest across the region. A trough of low pressure and surface frontal system will move into the Northeast via the Great Lakes and Midwest on Tuesday. Most guidance has trended to an occlusion of the low and our region staying on the cooler side with unsettled weather for Tuesday. The clouds from this system may linger into Wednesday as we keep an cool easterly air flow with weak surface low pressure moving into the waters just southeast of New England. If that system is a little quicker or weaker, Wednesday’s weather will be less cloudy and less cool than what I’m currently calling for. Check updates…

TODAY: Sunniest through midday, then increasing high cloudiness. Highs 56-63 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A period of light rain possible overnight. Lows 47-54. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers through midday, then partly sunny. Highs 63-70 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers possible well inland. Highs 65-72 except 58-65 Boston area northward occurring by midday, with potentially falling temperatures midday on, especially Boston area north. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, but may turn NE 5-15 MPH in southern NH and eastern MA.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 51-58, coolest coast. Wind E-SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of drizzle/fog. Lows 44-51. Wind SE-E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Highs 53-60, warmest inland. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 2-6)

Medium range guidance is inconsistent for this time period with 3 major models showing somewhat different setups and scenarios. This is not unusual for spring. The basic idea is the same. A disturbance may be nearby sometime around May 2 or 3 with a shower threat, and another may be around later in the period, but the overall pattern to me looks dry, and while temperatures can be variable, they shouldn’t stray too far from what is typical for early May.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 7-11)

Generally dry pattern with a couple minor systems to threaten brief unsettled weather. Overall northwest to north flow should result in temperatures averaging slightly below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 26-30)

No big changes from yesterday’s discussion as we head through the final 5 days of April 2024. High pressure keeps the weather fair through Saturday. Dry air and light wind allows coastal sea breezes, though the gradient wind will start to turn more southeasterly as we get to Saturday anyway with high pressure offshore and a warm front approaching from the west later on. For today and Saturday it’s abundant sun during the day and clear tonight. Clouds thicken up Saturday evening and there may be a touch of rain later at night as the warm front moves into the region. Sunday will feature lots of clouds as that warm front moves beyond the region and a weak trough approaches from the west, with a shower threat mainly morning to midday. Sunday afternoon should break out enough to be quite nice, and rather mild, but any south-facing coastal areas will be cooler due to a southwesterly wind that day. Monday’s forecast continues to have an element of complexity – a back-door cold front, typical of springtime here. This simple feature can help set up a large temperature contrast across the region, and I think that will happen. The question to answer still is how far inland/southwest does that boundary get. Fine-tuning coming up for that. Weather-wise I do think the day Monday is dry other than the slight chance of inland pop up showers mainly in the afternoon with the combination of sun’s heating, slightly less stable air, and the frontal boundary in the area. A low pressure trough and frontal system from the west will bring unsettled weather to our region in the form of rain showers for the final day of April on Tuesday.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunniest through midday, then increasing high cloudiness. Highs 56-63 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of light rain possible overnight. Lows 47-54. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers through midday, then partly sunny. Highs 63-70 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers possible well inland. Highs 65-72 except 58-65 Boston area northward occurring by midday, with potentially falling temperatures midday on, especially Boston area north. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, but may turn NE 5-15 MPH in southern NH and eastern MA.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 53-60, coolest coast. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 1-5)

A trough brings a shower chance about May 2 otherwise a dry start to May with somewhat variable but mostly near normal temperatures expected.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 6-10)

Generally dry pattern with a couple minor systems to threaten brief unsettled weather. Overall northwest to north flow should result in temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 25-29)

A large high pressure area will bring us fair weather through Saturday. The air mass being very dry with light winds promotes chilly nights, decent daily warm-ups, but cooling coastal sea breezes. We’ll have about 100% of the possible sun both today and Friday, and almost that much on Saturday, but you’ll notice and increase in high clouds from the west as Saturday goes on. This will be from an approaching warm front as low pressure heads into the western Great Lakes, and then across southeastern Canada. The warm front will struggle to get by the region so that clouds may be dominant over sunshine on Sunday, but we still should see some. Any rainfall with that front should be limited to a quick period of light rain in the pre-dawn hours of Sunday. As a weakening trough of low pressure moves into New England from the west, trailing the low in Canada, it may kick of an isolated shower Sunday but it looks like that activity would occur west and north of the WHW forecast area, so I’m not including it in the forecast. As the Canadian low moves on, a bubble of high pressure moving into eastern Canada will send a cold front southward, and this may sneak down the coast as a back-door front for our region sometime on Monday. This set-up makes Monday’s temperature forecast interesting and/or difficult, as there could be large spread from northeast to southwest across the region. For weather on Monday I’d expect a sun/cloud mix and possible pop up showers mainly over inland locations where there will be more heating and a potential frontal kicker. Still several days to fine-tune this.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 49-56, coolest coast. Wind NW up to 10 MPH in the morning becoming variable with coastal sea breezes developing afternoon.

TONIGHT: Clear. A fog patch may form over some inland lower elevations. Lows 27-34 inland with coldest readings in lowest elevation locations, 34-41 coastal and urban areas. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. A period of light rain possible overnight. Lows 47-54. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 63-70 most areas except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers possible well inland. Highs 65-72 except 58-65 Boston area northward. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, but may turn NE 5-15 MPH in southern NH and eastern MA.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 30 – MAY 4)

A trough from the west brings a better shot of showers on the final day of April. Early days of May trend drier overall but one more front may bring a shower threat about May 2. No major temperature extremes foreseen.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 5-9)

Still not a high confidence forecast but general pattern looks on the dry side, and while temperatures can be variable, should not stray extremely from typical values for this time of year, but may tend to be on the cooler side of seasonal normals.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 24-28)

Today is an unsettled weather day. First, a warm front will send a thick batch of mid level clouds west to east through the region this morning, with areas of light rain, which may take a while to reach ground level due to dry air in place. Eventually these clouds start to thin out but are joined by scattered to broken lower clouds in a south to southwest air flow in the warm sector between the warm front and an approaching cold front, the latter of which will set off a scattered to broken cluster or line of showers and possible embedded thunderstorms from mid through late afternoon, west to east across the region. While some of these may be briefly heavy, they won’t last, and breaks / clearing behind them make the region a candidate for rainbows before the sun goes down. Rainbows or not, what is a certainty is the shot of chilly air that arrives tonight, initially with wind, that will then diminish overnight. This leads to the threat of near to slightly sub-freezing temperatures in normal cold spots. Any early vegetation / plants will be vulnerable to minor freeze damage. While Thursday will be a “below normal” temperature day, high pressure building in will keep the wind in check, and along with that higher angle late April sunshine, it won’t feel too bad out there. Another great day follows on Friday with high pressure in control, but that day will be warmer inland and cooler along the coast as a coastal sea breeze will develop. A quick reminder on the classic sea breeze mechanics: Clear (or mostly clear) sky allowing sun to heat land with a weak pressure gradient in place, so no prevailing wind. The sun-heated land then heats the air near its surface, causing that air to rise, which then has to be replaced, and is done so by the cooler, more dense air from the ocean, which then flows inland to fill the void left by the rising warm air. This is your sea breeze, and will reach its peak while the sun is strongest on Friday, then start to fade as the sun sinks and the sea breeze circulation breaks down. This leads to a fairly calm Friday night under a clear sky, another chilly one. Saturday’s air mass will end up warmer, but we’ll have to overcome a cold start to the morning and we’ll see a fairly significant temperature rise from dawn low temperatures to afternoon high temperatures. Coastal areas once again will be cooler Saturday with an onshore component to the wind, which will be southeast to south ahead of an approaching warm front. That front will send clouds into our region Saturday night that eventually thicken up enough for a light rain threat, but that rain will be limited as again we’ll have plenty of dry air in place. Sunday’s weather will be mild, and while we may have a variable amount of clouds around at times, it looks like we will avoid any rain threat with nothing to trigger the warm and slightly more humid air in place to develop them – so a very nice weekend overall despite a Saturday night interruption, and this is better than it looked like when this time period was in medium range. Another good reason to check updated forecasts as we draw closer to any given day or time period.

TODAY: Clouds thicken this morning with a few periods of light rain likely. Clouds break at times this afternoon for partial sun, but another passing shower and possible thunderstorm can occur during mid to late afternoon. Highs 57-64, coolest South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH, shifting to W at day’s end.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Clear overnight. Lows 28-35 except 35-42 urban centers / Cape Cod & Islands. Wind W 10-20 MPH early, diminishing.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37, coldest interior valleys. Wind calm.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 56-63 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. A period of light rain likely. Lows 47-54. Wind S up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 63-70 most areas except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 29 – MAY 3)

April 29 forecast hinges on the position of a frontal boundary to our north which may drop down as a back-door cold front and cool it down significantly, while inland pop up showers are possible that afternoon. General shower threat April 30 as trough and front swings through west to east. Trend is for mostly fair weather and below to near normal temperatures during the first few days of May, though clouds may be abundant for at least part of that time frame. Not a high confidence outlook there so check updates.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 4-8)

Low confidence / high uncertainty spring forecast. Doesn’t look too wet though or with much in the way of significant temperature departure from what is typical for this time of year, but there is a lot of uncertainty in details. Much fine-tuning to come.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 23-27)

High pressure brings fair weather to our region today and a milder afternoon after a very chilly start. Clouds arrive tonight in advance of a warm front / cold front combo, trailing low pressure passing to our north, and this will result in our only unsettled day this week on Wednesday. Most of the rain shower activity with this system will be around Wednesday morning and midday, but with a secondary trough trailing the low as it moves by our longitude, another shower or even a possible thunderstorm can move through some areas mid afternoon to early evening. A shot of cool air and gusty wind Wednesday night and early Thursday, but high pressure cruises right in and Thursday afternoon is more tranquil, though the day is a cool one. High pressure parks right over the area Friday with dry, quiet weather, and significant temperature diurnal (difference from early-day low to afternoon high temperatures). This will take place again Saturday as the high center sits over us early then sinks to the south. A warm front approaching later Saturday will bring some high and mid level clouds to the region but the day will be a dry one, with any warm-frontal rainfall likely moving far north of our region late Saturday or Saturday night.

TODAY: A stratus cloud patch hangs around Boston’s southern suburbs briefly, otherwise sunshine today with some high clouds arriving later on. Highs 57-64, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 40-47. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely through midday. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny mid afternoon on but an additional shower and/or thunderstorm may move through some areas later afternoon to early evening. Highs 56-63. Wind S 5-15 MPH, shifting to W by late-day.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts early, but diminishing.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind N under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 57-64, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 28 – MAY 2)

Typical spring set-up. We can get quite warm, at least in parts of the region, April 28-29, and lots of clouds and showers can be around on April 28 with the approach of a front from the west. Also, another boundary (a back-door front) may sneak down from the northeast sometime April 29-30 when and ocean air flow can make us quite cool and when combined with another trough coming in from the west, unsettled as well. Conditions may be slow to improve the first couple days of May if we get into this pattern as well, but that part is low confidence, so please check upcoming updates for more.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 3-7)

Overall pattern looks dry but may turn more unsettled later in the period. Temperatures above normal early period, then a cooling trend.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 22-26)

We’re going to have a cool and fairly quiet 5-day period with only one unsettled interruption between 2 pairs of fair weather days. We start with high pressure bringing lots of sun and cool weather for today, Earth Day, the third consecutive Fabulous Monday, a streak that started back on Solar Eclipse Day April 8 and continued with last Monday’s Patriots Day holiday. High pressure overhead brings us a clear and chilly night tonight, but a significant rebound tomorrow (a big diurnal or difference between early morning low and afternoon high temps). Clouds arrive tomorrow night with a weak warm front passing by overnight, and during Wednesday we’ll have a cloudy morning and midday with rain showers aplenty, as a cold front heads across the region. The speed of this system is such that we should see the wet weather come to an end in the afternoon and some partial clearing to follow later on in the day. Another shot of chilly air arrives that night through Thursday night, along with plenty of wind through Thursday, a day that will feature sun and passing clouds. High pressure building back over the region on Friday will mean less wind, more sun, a cold start and a milder afternoon, similar to Tuesday.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 40-47. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely through midday. Breaking clouds late-day. Highs 56-63. Wind S 5-15 MPH, shifting to W by late-day.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind N under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind N to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 27 – MAY 1)

Fair weather to start the April 27-28 weekend as the next trough doesn’t approach / arrive until April 28, and even then its timing may be slow enough that we get through the weekend without much wet weather threat. Changeable / unsettled as a trough and a couple surface lows / frontal systems will be in the area during the April 29 through May 1 period. Confidence is not high enough to forecast this in detail this far in advance.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 2-6)

Overall pattern looks dry. Trends milder earlier period, cooler later period.

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 21-25)

We’ll be in a cool weather pattern during the coming several days. Yesterday’s mild interlude had to be enjoyed with some wet weather to start, and some additional scattered showers for some areas late in the day. Last night though, behind a secondary front/trough, if you were outside you could feel the cool air’s arrival and even hear some gusty wind if inside. That breeze will settle a bit today but not enough to prevent making it feel chillier than the upper 50s it will climb to. We’ll also have a shield of high cloudiness cover a good portion of our sky, spreading in this morning and hanging around until evening, but it may provide the opportunity for a colorful sunset, so watch for that. Also, some fair-weather clouds will pop up underneath the higher cloud deck but those will dissipate later in the day. Tonight, with a clearing sky and the wind dropping off, look for a chill, with some frost potential away from the immediate coast and outside urban centers. If you have sensitive plants outside already, take steps to protect them. This will probably be repeated Monday night as well. High pressure will bring fair weather Monday and Tuesday, with Tuesday being the milder of those 2 days. A trough and frontal system brings our only rain chance during the next 5 days, on Wednesday. Thursday will see the return of dry weather, but we’ll have to deal with a shot of very cool air, gusty wind, and at least a 50/50 sun/cloud mix, if not more clouds than that due to a cold pool of air aloft crossing the region.

TODAY: Limited sun. Highs 55-62. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts to 25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind W diminishing to under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Abundant sun. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouds arrive. Lows 45-52. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Midday and afternoon rain showers likely. Highs 56-63. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain showers ending. Breaking clouds overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind shifting to W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Lots of clouds / intervals of sun. Highs 48-55. Wind shifting to NW and increasing to 15-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 26-30)

As we head down the home stretch of April to the finish of the month, we’ll see some changeable weather, as is typical for this time of year. Looking for fair weather April 26, more tranquil than the day before, but a cold start. Previously I’d been looking at the potential for unsettled weather on the weekend of April 27-28 and that potential is still there, but it may be held back somewhat by a blocking pattern again, and this same pattern probably eliminates that previously-mentioned potential much warmer interlude near the end of the month, which now looks quite a bit cooler to me. Forecasting spring weather in the Northeast – yes it’s harder than any other season – but I’ll continue to monitor the trends here for month’s end.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 1-5)

Early May’s pattern looks changeable, unsettled at times, but not too wet in comparison to recent weather. Confidence is not high here though, with the lower confidence already in place before we even get to day 10 (see previous section). Much fine-tuning of the early May outlook in the days ahead.