Wednesday June 2 2021 Forecast (7:48AM)

63 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 2-6)

Transition time! So technically it’s still spring, until the summer solstice occurs late at night on June 20, but we can get early-season bouts of summer heat, and it appears we may be setting up for one of those to arrive toward the end of this 5-day period. Before we get there, we have some changes to go through – nothing drastic, but notable in the form of a couple more unsettled weather days, but this time not with temperatures that feel more like early April like we saw over the Memorial Day Weekend. Today you’ll notice an increase in clouds ahead of a warm front, which will be moving through the region tomorrow with a few rounds of showers (maybe a few thunderstorms) and an increase in humidity. The parent low for this front will be moving north of us and dragging its cold front through the region on Friday, which will be a rather humid and at times showery day, although a good part of that day may also end up rain-free. But in this case the term “cold front” does not mean that cold air is coming. It may turn a bit cooler and less humid on Friday evening as the front moves offshore, but it’s not going to be followed by a big high pressure area and cool Canadian air. Instead, the jet stream lifting to the north will push that boundary right back across the region as a warm front (with limited activity, just clouds and maybe a brief shower) probably early Saturday, and then during the course of the weekend we’ll build in the summertime heat with dry weather and a gradual increase in humidity, though not to oppressive levels…

TODAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 75-82. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A shower possible. Lows 55-62. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Episodes of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Highs 70-77. More humid – dew point climbing to near 60. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a shower. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Humid – dew point lower 60s. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Highs 72-79. Humid – dew point lower 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 58-65. Slightly drier – dew point upper 50s. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with a shower possible early, then mostly sunny. Highs 80-87. Slightly more humid – dew point near 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in lower elevations. Lows 61-68. Humid – dew point near 60. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 86-93. More humid – dew point lower 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 7-10 (JUNE 7-11)

High pressure offshore brings warm to hot weather with a small risk of a few showers and thunderstorms around as a front from the northwest gets closer to the region, which should eventually push through with some slightly cooler weather mid to late period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 12-16)

Expecting a mostly zonal (west to east) flow pattern with variable temperatures and a couple shower threats amidst mostly dry weather.

63 thoughts on “Wednesday June 2 2021 Forecast (7:48AM)”

  6. Thank you, TK.

    I do like June light. There’s a glow to it. Though June and July are not my favorite months, I love the kind of (sun)light we get as we peak in terms of sunlight hours.

  7. Sad news to report. As some of you may know, I posted photos I took on Friday of the cygnets – young swans – that hatched last week in the Charles river Esplanade park. Unfortunately, the mother swan passed away suddenly on Monday. I posted bits and pieces of the story from the boston.com website. If you scroll down you’ll find pictures I took of the cygnets and parents last Friday. It’s unknown what the cause was of the mother swan’s demise. It sounds like a neurological issue; a stroke of some kind. I do hope it’s not related to the water that’s contaminated with cyanobacteria. I’ve been seeing so many dead fish and also a number of dead Canada geese in recent weeks. https://hubwildlife.wordpress.com/

    1. I heard about that. My wife was very saddened by this.

      I sure hope someone didn’t purposely kill the poor thing.

      If you hear of a cause of death, please post. thank you.

      1. It may be the ducks on the pond in the garden I recall from last year but somehow I think it was one or both swans a few years ago.

    4. Yes, that is very sad news. I imagine wildlife in general has enough issues raising their young having to deal with predators, etc.

      I hope the family gets through this. Any chance the father can find a new mate to help raise his cygnets?

      1. She’s still sick. Thank you for asking. We will have to install a few window AC units. I have four very very good new ones. They are quiet running (well compared to the usual) and work well.

        1. Good luck JPD. Maybe at least the end of this month will have temps in the reverse, much like May.

  9. The cyanobacteria problem I mentioned was well-documented last year as a cause of death of dozens of mallards in the Public Garden last year. So far this year very little has been said about cyanobacteria. As a keen observer of what’s going on in my neighborhood in terms of wildlife, I’ve noticed a similar pattern to last year: Greening of the water – though not as much – and many dead fish. The swan could have simply suffered from a stroke or some neurological seizure. But, apparently this is also what happened to some of the ducks last year. It’s something to keep an eye on going forward.

  10. Philip, you raise a great question. Can the father swan substitute for the mother swan? I think he can. Swans not only mate for life and are very attached to one another, they also share duties in raising their young. The father swan instinctively knew what to do: Protect the cygnets. I don’t think the father swan will search for a new mate. I could be wrong. I believe widowed swans live on their own. But I just looked it up, and it turns out that some widowed swans do find new mates. This story is of a female swan residing at Hampstead Heath (very close to my daughter’s flat). https://www.newsweek.com/swan-covid-19-love-london-city-london-hampstead-heath-1508018

  11. It was not more than maybe 15 or so years ago that swans were rare around here. There was a pair on the Charles River along route 16 in sherborn. The house next to where they nested every summer would take them inside in winter.

    Now there are swans everywhere. We have a pair at the bottom our our street. I never tire of seeing them and then their cygnets.

  12. There are some subtleties in the model runs that may temper the heat in eastern Mass late weekend/early next week.

    First, not a strong gradient. I can see seabreezes kicking in from time to time, even when a backdoor front is not near. Ironically, if a backdoor does approach, its the day before it that may be hottest at the beaches as the backdoor front could provide the gradient needed to keep a W or SW wind on that particular day.

    Second, its going to be humid, but on pivotal weather, the projected dewpoints seem to be running 62F to 65F, as opposed to 68F to 74F. It will keep the heat indices down a little lower and also allow for temps to ´cool´ in the nighttime, so we get lows of 64F to 68F and not those nasty 73F to 77F nights.

    It will be warm, uncomfortable, don´t get me wrong, but hopefully not a brutal stand of heat and humidity more common to July and August.

  14. FYI – the thermometer at Logan appears to be out of whack again. I notice at night that it runs a few degrees warmer than everything around there, and a colleague noted that Logan was 3.0 degrees above normal for May while everyone else in the Metro area was only 0.7 to 1.0 degrees above normal.

  15. Early in the warm season, but, still, the SE Mass and Cape dewpoint front exist.

    I believe water temps are running 55F to 60F south of the Cape and sure enough, the 2pm obs show all dps south and east of Marshfield to Providence running in that 56F to 58F range. Inland areas, dps in the mid-upper 40s. Logan getting a bit of humidity, relatively speaking, off of Massachusetts Bay with a dp of 54F.

  16. Vicki wrote: “There was a pair [of swans] on the Charles River along route 16 in Sherborn. The house next to where they nested every summer would take them inside in winter.”

    It’s so idyllic out there. When I was much younger – in the 1970s – we lived on the Needham/Dover line where the Charles runs through, near a dam (a great fishing spot, as JPD knows) and also Red Wing bay. To this day, I find the drive from Needham through Dover and over to Sherborn and then to South Natick, Wellesley, etc … one of the nicest and most scenic suburban routes in the world. I have been to and lived in many cities, suburbs, and towns, and also a number of countries. There’s something really special about that corner of Greater Boston. I always take guests there, especially folks from Europe, but also Japan. And, invariably they love it, in all seasons, but especially autumn.

    1. Claybrook road is beautiful, especially where it runs along the Charles after Trout Brook empties into it. Love that area and as you know I fish out there often.

      The Charles River and all of its tributaries are TEEMING with fish!! And I mean it.

      2. I have to find claybrook. The barn where daughter had her horses in the mid 1990s was claybrook Farm. It’s name has changed since that time

    2. I avoid highways. When I travel east, I do so on rt 16 ..often into Watertown square and then on to Mt Auburn. It is a glorious ride. My oldest had her horses in holliston on the hopkinton line. She and friends spent countless hours riding through the woods in that area.

      Mt Auburn on its own is a glorious cemetery and the first garden cemetery in the country.

      Joshua, the roads our this way are bucolic also. When I come up over one hill in particular and look out on acres and acres of farm land and silos, I think of VT

  18. My Thermometer is reading 83 which I think is 2 degrees high.
    I have to install my new radiation shield at some point.

    1. Most of the obs in and around Boston, except right along the shore, are running 78-82 right now, so you’re probably right, running a degree or two warm.

      1. Yes, I think so. ONLY when in full sun light, else it has been
        pretty damn accurate. It has a radiation shield, but I think it is too small. I have a new larger one, but I have to figure out how
        to remove the sensor from the old one and insert into the new one. Fun.

      1. Top of Noon Hill (370 feet) Medfield, MA. We used to hike
        the 5 miles or so from my house in Millis to the top quite regularly.

  21. SAK – How did the Logan thermometer get out of whack again? Do thermometers need to be recalibrated every now and then?

    1. All thermometers, electronic and otherwise, should be calibrated regularly. It’s just known that the sensors on whatever equip NWS is using now are absolute crap. Boston is one of many stations that has gone whacked (most of the time too warm). Design flaw I guess. In some cases there are probably sensors that are too close to runways too.

  22. Thanks TK.

    Check out this video yesterday of a rare high elevation tornado near Crested Butte, CO complete with a snow debris field…

    Colorado Storm Chasers
    @COStormChasers
    Jun 1

    Rare Mountain Top Tornado! A Tornado on top of Purple Mountain near Crested Butte Colorado Sunday. NWS in Grand Junction confirmed there was rotation in the area. Purple Mountain sits at 12958. You can even see the snow “debris”! #cowx #wxtwitter
    @ReedTimmerAccu @JimCantore

    https://twitter.com/COStormChasers/status/1399753345603014660?s=20

    1. What a missed opportunity. I think that the algorithm should be changed so that any year including Fred must also include Wilma. So close with Wanda that it hurts.

      3. In 2005 Hurricane Wilma was the strongest storm ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin and the 2nd strongest ever in the Western Hemisphere with a lowest pressure of 882mb. After causing 52 deaths and over $27 billion in damage from the Caribbean into Mexico, Florida, the Bahamas, and parts of Atlantic Canada, the name was retired for obvious reasons.

  27. That documentary about Ted Fujita (PBS American Experience) is on tomorrow, Thursday at 4 pm on the GBHWorld channel. On my FiOS, it’s channel 473. Maybe set your DVR???

    I believe it’s well worth watching!

    Good night!

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