Sunday July 10 2022 Forecast (8:51AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JULY 10-14)

High pressure continues to control the weather through Monday, with moderate temperatures today with the center of the high just to the north and a warm-up Monday as the high center shifts to the south. Fair weather continues with more great early summer conditions including low humidity. Things change Tuesday as a cold front approaches and we get a spike of heat and higher humidity. This also leads to a late-day thunderstorm chance, but most of the activity with the front may hold off until the nighttime hours when it will likely end up weaker and more scattered, so we may not garner much in terms of needed rainfall. While slow-moving, the front should clear the area on Wednesday, but I can’t rule out some morning shower and thunderstorm activity especially near the South Coast. I do think enough drying takes place so we see fair weather for the balance of the day across the region, and still quite warm as the push of cooler air behind the front is not too strong initially. We will cool down a bit more by Thursday as high pressure heads our way via the Great Lakes…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Dew point near 50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87, coolest South Coast. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 61-68. Dew point nearing 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. A late day shower or thunderstorm is possible. Highs 85-92. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60s. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of showers and possible thunderstorms morning, favoring the South Coast. Partly cloudy afternoon. Highs 83-90. Dew point 60s but trending down. Wind variable to W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog interior valleys. Lows 57-64. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point upper 50s. Wind NW up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes possible.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 15-19)

High pressure brings dry and seasonably warm weather July 15-16. Approaching frontal boundary brings higher humidity and increased chance of showers and possible thunderstorms July 17 and possibly into July 18 before an end-of-period return to dry weather, lowering humidity, and seasonable warmth.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 20-24)

A more typical summertime pattern with a bit more humidity and warm to borderline hot weather – though early indications are not for major heat. Eventually we should see some increase in the chance for showers and thunderstorms.

41 thoughts on “Sunday July 10 2022 Forecast (8:51AM)”

  2. Thank you, TK.

    Four kids 10 and under sleeping in my living room tonight. A late night or early morning thunderstorm could be interesting

  5. Thanks TK
    SPC Outlook for Tuesday
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/fema/images/fema01_swody3.png

    This day in weather history shows three tornadoes that touch down in one in Massachusetts in 1759 the other two were in CT back in 1989 and 2013. The 1989 was part of a much larger severe weather outbreak for the northeast with multiple tornadoes including the most impactful one being an F4 in Hamden CT.

    https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1546117033343029251

    1. Love love love this. This is a favorite of my whole family, especially the mom of one of the four.

  9. Thanks TK.

    Even if days “11-15” verify with sustained heat and humidity, we have still lived a very charmed life so far this summer!

    I do wonder though if the second half of summer will be more typical (HHH) than what we have experienced so far. i.e. Could Labor Day weekend be more like July 4th “should have been”?

    I guess I just have a bad feeling that the western heat has to be displaced towards somewhere eventually…

    1. Good news …. If the jet stream stays west-northwest or northwest, then not even small pieces of the heat will head towards New England.

      I think it was summer 2000 that would be the best example of this, with a ton of northwest flow and it was a very mild summer.

      1. That is good news Tom. Hope that verifies. I am so amazed how you guys have such memories of the past. I don’t really recall what happened last summer, let alone back in 2000. 😉

      2. Not a good correlation. Summer of 2000 had below normal temperatures and above normal rainfall for June and July. We’ve had the exact opposite this year.

  10. This weekend weather, I really could go without the other 3 seasons in exchange for the whole year being like this. We’ll allow 25 rainy days to keep everything green.

    1. Well, isn’t that nice of you. Sorry, no can do.
      The weather will be what it will be whether you like it or not. 🙂

        1. I have the Barrow cam to see snow returning in late September 🙂

          I will say I did enjoy the death band marshfield sat under for hours late last January.

          It’s a love/hate thing with the snow 🙂 🙂 🙂

    2. When I lived in Santa Barbara, people said, “If you have to have one boring season all year, this is the one to have.” It was hard to counter that argument.

      After a few years, I got to appreciate the more subtle changes in seasons.

  11. Let’s hope this drought doesn’t continue deep into the fall/early winter. We have enough difficulty getting snow events in here during a wet pattern as it is.

    1. I don’t think we have too much trouble getting snow events to happen here given the last 30 plus years have been snowier than the previous. 🙂

  13. Quite a few low temps under 40 in northern New England this morning. Now that is pretty rare for July.

    1. Estcourt Station (as usual) was the winner at 33. Saranac Lake dropped to 34. Closer to home, Knightville Dam, northwest of Springfield, on the east slopes of the Berkshires bottomed out at 41.

  15. Eric Fisher has reTweeted ? a video is an avalanche and the person videotaping eventually ends up in it.

    What a video !!!!!

    2. Can’t tell exactly where it was. Since most post in in French, I am wondering if this is high up on Mt. Blanc in the Frech Alps or in the vicinity?

      1. Wow. Frightening.

        Translation

        Kyrgyzstan: A glacier broke off near the Juuku Gorge.

        Tourists started filming what was happening before they were hit by the avalanche.

        According to the media, 2 people were hospitalized with injuries & bruises.

          1. Thank you Vicki and JpDave !

            That must be what a pyroclastic flow looks like, except, your incinerated, instead of buried alive.

  16. I can’t get over the thundering sound of all that snow/ice coming down that ravine.

    1. These happen every summer, but it’s exceedingly rare to have somebody that close, in the path, recording it.

  17. Pending the final count, the 60 tornadoes in the US in June is a new record for the least amount of tornadoes in the month of June, breaking the previous record of 63 in 1988. This makes the assumption that no more than 2 tornadoes will be added to the count when the final review is complete. Regardless, that’s a very low tornado count.

    The main reason 1988 has such a low count was due to an extraordinary and persistent heat dome over a good portion of the country for most of the summer, the likes of which we haven’t really seen since, other than smaller versions of this in parts of the Plains and West, where they are more common anyway.

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