DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 24-28)
February’s final five will present a manageable late winter weather pattern. Temperature, for a change, will spend the majority of this period floating around above the long term average – something we haven’t seen much of this winter. We won’t be breaking any records, but despite a couple of episodes of unsettled weather (Tuesday and Thursday) that come in the form of rain showers, it’ll be a pretty nice winter stretch with a dominant westerly flow and a lack of Canadian cold, though it does start to make a comeback on Friday. This may be accompanied by a few rain to snow showers. Before that happens, this milder stretch will allow our fairly widespread ice-packed snow cover to loosen up and start to shrink up. By mid to late week, most walkways and roads that still have ice and snow should have lost most of it. A down-side to this pattern. It’s “pot hole weather”. While some urban and immediate coastal areas hang slightly above freezing at night, the daytime warming and nighttime freezing cycle will result in an increase in pot holes. Keep an eye out for your car rims and suspensions!
TODAY: Cloud / sun mix. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 44-51. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing rain and snow shower possible. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 1-5)
March starts with the return of a colder pattern. Rain/mix/snow potential on the March 1-2 weekend, and another low pressure impact is possible by the end of the period, with fair weather in between.
DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 6-10)
Unsettled weather and below normal temperatures will be dominant during this period. Details TBD.
https://stormhq.blog/2025/02/24/weekly-outlook-february-24-march-2-2025/
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK.
1,095 ❄️
Thank you TK. Walking the shore was absolutely TREACHEROUS this AM. Water on top of ice!
Kiss of Death. You are lucky you didn’t fall!
Oh dear. Please be safe
Thanks TK !
Thank you TK!
Spring is coming fast , love it when March rolls in .
Yup! I had to drive with the window cracked open even though it was chilly outside but the sun was warming the car so much
Thanks, TK.
Been back in Boston for a few days. What a difference 45-50 miles makes. On Saturday I noticed that there was much more snow and ice in Boston than in Providence.
This week’s mild interlude suggests spring and also reflects why I am not a fan of the season: The sun often disappears. We kind of turn into London. However fond I am of London I don’t like gray and 40s. Prefer 20s/low 30s and sun.
Even where I am 25 miles SW of Boston it’s significantly less. Blades of grass started poking through yesterday
Hi Joshua. Hope all is well
No grass on lawns here. I’m the last few years, the crocuses started to appear around this time. I tried to look yesterday but the gardens are covered with several inches of snow and ice.
Thanks TK
Thank you, TK!
7 day forecasts… all stations saying we will hit 50 degree temps in boston. Will boston measure 50 to verify this? https://ibb.co/MxBjsfzR — channel 10 with the bold “warmth returns” text for march 5th.
It now appears that February will leave like a lamb and March comes in like a toothless lion with no claws.
Not according to the 6z GFS which would yield a snowy Saturday:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025022406&fh=135&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Granted, the 0z models were further north with this clipper system next weekend which would result in a warmer solution and less precip.
6z GFS Kuchera Snow for Saturday:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025022406&fh=150&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=snku_acc-imp&m=gfs
Yet another dinky dunker
I like “dinky dunker”!
In the grand scheme of wimpy winter storms, how does that relate to “whoopee ding-dong-daddio”?
Verbatim, that would be my biggest snowfall of the winter
AND on the 12Z run, it goes NORTH!!!
So there ya go.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025022412&fh=129
And as the March lion…MEOWS!!!
Agree
Thanks, TK
Thanks TK.
My snowcover this weekend started at 8 and is allllllll the way down to … 7.
Down to…0 by Friday?
Nope. 4 maybe. Went into this in detail on previous discussions.
You don’t seem all that confident on the 4. 😉
I am.
12Z GFS Kuchera Snow through March 12th
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025022412&fh=384&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=snku_acc-imp&m=gfs
The Massachusetts Snow Hole.
And we all know that model fcst is a lock. 😉
Tim Kelly tweeted that he’s relying on the GFS…. Oh boy
Can’t find it. Do you have a link ?
Pretty much jives with how the winter has gone
38-45 current. Basically the high temps. Also, matched with the forecast range.
Snowcover is a refrigerant. It’s physics.
Snow Rollers
I have seen a number of videos about this and it is always referred to as a rare event. My sister spent time in Montana and says she has seen this. I sense that I never will.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/xAUhSBrRszQ?feature=share
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snow_roller
Reminder: Op runs will continue to show you varying, unreliable solutions.
Ensemble means … trends.
This was always traditionally, for me, the time of the year when the snowbanks would become “my enemy”. As much as I have always been a snow lover, when we got to the end of February, I started to get excited about the coming warmer season, and even though I know around here, especially in the mountains and near the coast, great patience is required before you are rid of snow cover (mountains) or get warmer more noticeably (thwarted by the cold ocean near the shoreline), I would often grab a shovel and start chopping into the snow banks and throwing them on sun-heated pavement to accelerate the melting process. Who knows, I might even do a little bit of that this week. 🙂
Climatology driven by the earth’s tilt says that higher sun angle is now making it so even on a chilly day outside, when you get into the car in the afternoon, you don’t need the heat. In fact, you might even crack the windows. I do that alot at this time of year on the way home from work, since it’s still relatively early (2:30) when I leave there.
This week, of course, is our break, milder, loosening up of the snow & ice. We won’t lose the snow cover the further north and west of Boston you go, but south-facing slopes are already nearly bare, and areas to the south with a thinner snow cover to start will have lost most of it by the time this mild spell is over. Also, typical for this time of year.
And even this time of year when we get those late season snowstorms, it may look like mid winter for a day or two following, but it’s not long before the increasing sun angle does the new snow in a lot faster than would have been possible just a few weeks ago, and certainly back in the low sun days of early winter.
Here’s some good news: Much of the region is getting drought relief from the relatively slow melt of the icy snow cover. The areas to the south lose out on this a little, but up here in my area, we benefit, and improvements will show soon on the drought monitor.
Well, in a little while I’m off to the beach to put the feet in the water for the month of February, and it’s going to be milder in the air but colder in the water than my trip there last month. At least it’s not windy this time. Last time, there was a biting foot-freezing breeze, a wind chill of about 20F with an air temp of 34F and a water temp of 40F.
Today, I’ll arrive just after sunset, and the air temp and water temp are projected to match at 37F. Anyone wanna go? 😉 You have to go in too if you do!
We’ll be there Wednesday. I’ll keep an eye out for any frozen meteorologists! 🙂
P.S. … There’s a South Coast sea breeze of sorts today. Not a classic sea breeze, but more of a boundary driven by a southerly gradient wind. You can see it on the visible satellite loop.
We still have at least a foot of snow on the ground, maybe a little less in sunlit areas. The snow banks are twice as high. it’s very annoying trying to get around the roads and parking lots as they are more narrow from all the snow. My speed bump made of snow is finally clearing up at end of the driveway.
Where is this?
Pepperell
Only made 40 here today.
Logan hit 43.
46 here today
I got up to 42.7 today.
No grass here either, snowbanks are still solid and my neighbors driveway is mostly in the shade and ZERO chance it melts
We have a solid four covering front lawn and it has southern exposure with no shade. The problem is that it isn’t snow, it’s frozen with a layer of ice on top. I’ll check with my daughter to see how the depth is at the barn they go to in northern RI. All paddock grass areas are covered. Horses are stall bound. Here and in RI.
I found it funny that when I opened the blog there were 50 comments which seems appropriate as we become more fixated on the 50 degree streak this week.
Wouldn’t really call it a “streak”. 🙂
Current snow depth
https://www.weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/massachusetts-snow-cover.htm
The “Fish “ posted on x that the chances of getting a 6” storm in Boston are about nil the next 10 plus days. Sounds like snow for the most part is over for the https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1894123565357600947?s=61&t=amECcVYdoTy1CxYo7o0qNw
“For the most part” doesn’t really apply aptly until we reach about March 20.
Longshot. Just saw your snow roller post. Fascinating. Thank you.
New post…