Sunday February 23 2025 Forecast (8:14AM)

52 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

If winter were a rock concert, the storm of last weekend and the follow-up freeze was the last song of the main set, and as we finish up the final weekend of the month and head down the home stretch of the month into the coming week, it’s the pause between the main set and the encore. The question will become how many songs are in the encore, but that’s not going to be answered for a while. The “break” is what we get this period. High pressure slides off the Mid Atlantic Coast today as a mid level disturbance departs our region with clouds giving way to more sun. The early to middle portion of the week will feature a modest warming trend through Tuesday, reversing to a modest cooling trend during midweek. Monday’s previously-discussed disturbance appears to be weak enough to not cause any precipitation – just some clouds. Tuesday, the next one moves through and may produce a rain shower late in the day, with milder air in place. Another one comes along Thursday, and there’s a bit more uncertainty with the track, though while it will be a little colder than the Tuesday one, it will be a marginal temperature situation, but probably a fairly weak system, with a threat for light rain/mix/snow, to be fine-tuned.

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 36-43. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 24-31. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloud / sun mix. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 41-48. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Colder trend. Low pressure moving through with unsettled weather at the start of the period. Additional unsettled weather from low pressure impact on the March 1-2 weekend, but details TBD.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 5-9)

Highest potential for unsettled weather March 5-6, again March 8. Temperatures below normal.

52 thoughts on “Sunday February 23 2025 Forecast (8:14AM)”

      1. It’s funny how “important” a virtually unimportant, arbitrary stat is. If we were counting days without a 5 inch snowfall, they already beat that twice this winter. What about 7? Why not 7? It’s funny that we pick certain numbers that are somehow more important than others.

        When it comes down to it, it’s just statistics. And we still just recently experienced the snowiest 30 year period on record.

        Media would make you think it hasn’t snowed in decades. 😉

        1. And then there are some weird statistics. The recent one I’ve heard is that this is the first time since some year (that I don’t remember) that all three meteorological months have been below average in temperature.

          Eric pointed out that since the average for December is higher now than it was the last time this happened, this winter’s December wouldn’t have been below average back in that year!

            1. Measurements used in snow stats:

              1”, 4”, 6”, 12”, 24” ❄️

              I like to think of these as “milestones”.

  5. Do we need to stand, yell, and applaud to get the encore?

    How about cigarette lighters? Dating myself 🙂

    1. Thank you JimmyJames. Is this the storm where they sand bagged the Charles along storrow drive? We’d been in Florida for the week and our return flight was delayed with a nasty landing once we got to Boston.

  10. Forecast range today: 36-43.

    With about ninety minutes of heating left to go, the current range is 33-40 except 40-43 CC.

    1. Actually, the opening weekend looks unsettled, so no lamb this year. Maybe out that way. We’ll see.

    1. We have a 6 to 8 inch snow cover here in Woburn. Haven’t lost any today, but some of the ice has loosed up a bit. It’s a start.

  14. Just got back from my weekly pond walk. Very tough navigating. A LOT of packed ice, some of it very smooth and slippery. A lot of regulars there, so we’ve forged a pathway through the snow that’s packed down but much more grippy. Thankfully most of the flat spots with the frozen cover have enough space alongside for the back-up “temporary pathways”. We’re a smart crew here in the Wu! 🙂

  15. Was just outside taking care of some things. A couple of observations:

    1. Ice is slippery, but add a thin layer of water on top of it and it is DEADLY slippery. BE CAREFUL!!!!

    2. It is 40 degrees here and even so with DP at 23 it is dry enough to keep the snow in the shade to stay Powdery (at lest under the crust). Pretty cool.

    1. Yes indeed.
      We’re pretty glaciated, and it takes a while to take this out, unless you have anomalous warmth, which we DO NOT, and we WILL NOT, any time soon. Highs in the middle to upper 40s are not that far above normal for late February, so that fails to qualify as “anomalous warmth”. At least it will be warm enough to rid most of the pavements / walkways of ice in the next couple days, but there are still some walkways, like down at my pond, for example, that will NOT lose their ice. Guarantee. I’m actually chronicling it via photos, so I have proof, because there are always people who think I’m making it up. Nope. I don’t need to write fiction about weather. 😉

      1. Negative on the deck. I just went out and it’s still ice capped. That area does not get a lot of sun

    2. 4 inches of pure “black” ice is more than enough.
      4 inches of impure ice polluted with frozen slush may not be thick enough.

      Just putting it into context.

      I have skated on ice 1 1/2 to 2 inches thick with no issues.
      yes, this was PURE ice, solid as could be. 🙂

      1. I would not especially not knowing how the water flows beneath. But there are always the ladders 😉

    1. TV mets posting 50 for Tuesday and Wednesday on their 7 days, but then the words they use are more like “approaching 50.” They’ve been doing this for a couple of days.

      1. Can’t rule out 50 in a few areas with thin or no snowcover, but it’s going to be really hard to do over the vast majority of the area.

        Ironically, it may be Thursday that ends up with the best chance, due to pure warm advection, assuming low pressure does indeed track north of here.

  20. Thanks, TK.

    Shed roofs in our neighborhood have lost all their snow/ice cover today. The squirrels will be happy. On the ground — not a chance.

    1. Roofs are easiest, unless they are north-facing on unheated buildings, like my garage, which the north-facing side will hold snow for a week longer than the south-facing side.

      My brother’s house in North Woburn, before he had his stroke and had to leave it, we used to occasionally have that contest about when his snow pile would melt. He lived on a north-facing hill slope, which is the main reason his snowcover and that snow pile lasted so long. It was pretty much always the last pile of snow in the neighborhood, and his dogs loved it, especially the dog he had most recently.

  21. Lake Erie snow bands can still form despite a mainly frozen lake. More here…

    https://scontent-bos5-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/480913444_1026980162799343_7656255544692761088_n.jpg?stp=dst-jpg_s640x640_tt6&_nc_cat=1&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=127cfc&_nc_ohc=DpJOdt3eA64Q7kNvgEwfsPz&_nc_oc=AdigR1KKZEhzMM5jXikm_SStmCsan0CfHkg_ZCJl2Gqd0Fm6CjCHyCHJj-5mTFCrV4w&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent-bos5-1.xx&_nc_gid=ABsPrqv_1NFTaUJ2SxCOGbS&oh=00_AYB66L24BYtA8nXj_B-irbcrmPmJ1htiJxqgHV27bpvB7w&oe=67C1974C

  22. Looks like Logan’s high was 43. In the range.

    Should be up a few degrees tomorrow. Up a few more Tuesday. Falls off a bit Wednesday, one more mini-spike Thursday.

    After that, a colder trend starts the last day of the month into March.

    1. Those temps are possible mostly in the thinnest snow cover areas, about the top of the range. Most places will stay in the 40s.

      Although, Tuesday will be milder than Wednesday. That’s where I’d put the “50” as the top of the range. A cooler air mass is in place Wednesday before we get a stronger southwest wind on Thursday (the “warmest” day), but also the most unsettled.

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