Sunday March 2 2025 Forecast (7:58AM)

87 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 2-6)

Yesterday’s arctic cold frontal passage has delivered an air mass to the region that is reminiscent of our January weather pattern – dry and very cold. Bright sunshine will help offset the cold slightly if you manage to be in it but out of the biting wind that will work to make it feel colder than it is. High pressure building across the Mid Atlantic will extend itself northward far enough tonight into Monday so that while we remain cold, we’ll see the wind diminish somewhat. Dry weather will prevail with only some high level clouds crossing the region tonight with a weak disturbance aloft. High pressure builds offshore by Tuesday at which time we’ll start a notable warming trend, along with a sun / cloud mix – the clouds generated by warmer air aloft overrunning what is left of our cold surface air mass. Unsettled weather is going to be our midweek weather feature with a strong low pressure area tracking from the Midwest through the Great Lakes. We get its frontal systems – first a warm frontal passage with lots of clouds and maybe some brief light rain early Wednesday. Before its cold front arrives with a ribbon of significant rain later Wednesday to early Thursday, a push of very mild air should drive temps to 50+ over most of the region Wednesday. The details of Thursday’s weather are a little hard to bring into focus at this point. We will see that cold front move through and the initial burst of rain exit, and the beginning of a temperature fall. The question at this point is whether or not a wave of low pressure forms on the front south of our region and moves up, or forms closer to or even beyond our area. The former scenario could result in additional rain, changing to snow as the cold air arrives. The latter scenario would just feature a brief period of rain showers switching to snow showers with less precipitation. Fine-tuning of this part of the forecast will take place the next few days…

TODAY: Abundant sunshine. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 19-26. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind S to SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain early, favoring central MA and southern NH. Rain showers likely late-day, favoring areas west of I-95. Highs 48-55, coolest South Coast. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with widespread rain showers. Areas of fog. Lows 41-48. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely early. Chance of rain/mix/snow showers late. Highs 48-55 early, then falling. Wind shifting to N 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 7-11)

Fair, colder March 7. Low pressure passing south of the region may be close enough to bring snow/mix to the region during a portion of the March 8-9 weekend, with fair and cold weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 12-16)

Active pattern with near to below normal temperatures leaves us vulnerable to storminess which can include mix/snow heading into mid March.

87 thoughts on “Sunday March 2 2025 Forecast (7:58AM)”

  3. A Ch. 4 tv met on last night’s 11:00 broadcast already declared on air that Boston will NOT reach its average March snowfall of 9 inches based on the fact that it hasn’t come close the past several years.

    How can one make that call on March 1st???

    1. You can’t make that call on March 1. But was the actual statement a definitive promise that there’s no way Boston can reach 9.0 inches in the following 30 days? It may have just be worded in such a way that it came across that way.

      Also, if they did say that based on the past several years, the claim that it can’t happen this year would carry zero validity, based on the known climatology of the city / region. This is like the #1 rule – not basing long range future predictions on what happened “the last few years”. It’s no different than blind guessing.

      But, I’m guessing it was just how they worded it. Perhaps I can find the broadcast online.

      1. Nope. Old one is gone. Anyway, the fact is we don’t have enough information to declare that Boston’s Logan airport will not record 9.0 inches of snow this month. We’ll know for sure at the END of the month, though. 🙂

        1. I was able to find the old one. Their site is horrid so you sometimes have to see if someone posted the link elsewhere (had to dig, I wish they made it easy lol)

          1. I didn’t put much effort into looking. Whatever the met said anyway will be forgotten in no time. 🙂

      2. Just found it here: https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/video/next-weather-wbz-weather-forecast-324/#x

        Exact transcript as I listen:

        “On average (in March) 9 inches. Do we think we’re gonna get there? It doesn’t look likely for this march” she says with a slightly pained look on her face as she giggles. This means that she isn’t closing the door totally on it. But she continues:

        “In fact if you look at some of the snowfall data from the past several years for the month of March, we haven’t come NEAR that average. Haven’t been there since 2019. So it’s been really low… I think this one SEEMS like it’s going to be low as well.”

        So, in closing – my interpretation is that she did not declare that we won’t get 9 inches or more, she’s just saying with the looks we have currently and taking into account the trends for the past seven years – odds are against it, so don’t count on it.

        I can agree with that interpretation and I bet she winds up being correct.

        1. Strictly from a meteorological standpoint, the past several years mean nothing in relation to this one. So that statement carries no practical use. It’s only opinion, and not really one based on the climatology of our region.

          1. Oh, I agree the past seven years have zero bearing on what could happen. If it was the past twenty years, I think we’d have to consider factoring it in.

            That said, would you agree that she didn’t fully close the window based on the video (or my transcript lol)

            1. Yes. I would agree.

              My caution Is that even saying what she did is going to be misinterpreted by a lot of people, which is on the people that misinterpreted, to be honest.

              But there is, knowing this, a measure of prevention that can be taken by the news source, and that is to be very careful about how you word things. If I was going to bring that subject up on a newscast, I would have worded it differently, but that’s me. 🙂

          2. Best example:

            March 31, 1997 – Historic snowstorm
            March 31, 1998 – Much of the region has their earliest 90-degree reading ever.

            One year has absolutely nothing to do with the next.

  5. Boston Buoy water temp sitting just under their lowest from last winter…

    Last winter’s low water temp was 39F in February.
    Currently they are at 38.5F here on the 2nd day of March.

    On Monday February 24 my journey into the water at Hampton Beach took me into 37F degree water, which was not nearly as bad as the 32F ice water puddle I had to walk through at the base of the boardwalk. 😉

  11. Thanks Tk . I was watching the news early this morning & if I heard her correctly Thursday Is looking like a soaker .

  13. Thanks, TK!

    Quite lion-like overnight with very gusty winds. Our home is pretty tight andd I still could hear the winds howling.

    As a kid, I listened to Jess Cain a lot on WHDH-AM 850. He/the station had a jingle that started, “March comes in like a lion…”

    I can also remember the Red Sox opening when the HDH had the Red Sox: “You’re just in time for the ballgame. You’re just in time for excitement and fun.”

    Here’s Jess Cain with the Yastrzemski Song from the 1967 season:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X07nkNm7UBc

    1. I often remember such bizarre and trivial things, but ask me where I parked my car, I couldn’t begin to tell you.., 🙂

    2. Between Lamb & Lion, NO CONTEST, NO DEBATE, definitely Lion to start March. It might have been “mild” yesterday, but that arctic front was no slouch. And today, bright but with a BITE!

      Now, how will the month go out? We’ll see how that turns out…

      CPC forecast, BELOW normal temps in the 6-10 day range. This follows a brief warm-up at midweek. A lot of up-and-down, typical for March here in the Northeast.

      Also, Jess Cain’s songs were phenomenal, and some downright silly. We have a vinyl copy of that Carl Yastrzemski song from “The Impossible Dream”. Album is in very good shape. 🙂

  14. Thanks, TK.

    This is indeed my absolute favorite weather type, as TK alluded to. I know it’s not everyone’s cup of tea. But I love it. I try to spend as much time outside as possible on days like today. We’ve been blessed this winter to have plenty of these kinds of days. They can’t take that away from us.

    Climatologically this winter has been vastly different, in my view, from last winter and the one before that. Not a lot of snow. But much more than we had in the last two winters. And we ‘ve had persistent cold, which has been missing for years.

    Who knows what will happen going forward this month. To suggest on March 2nd (!) that we won’t get to our average March snowfall because of the past couple of years’ experience makes no sense at all. Mets must know that this year’s winter has been quite different in multiple ways. Hence, comparing it to last year or the year before is kind of a useless exercise.

    2. It may be an extreme example, but we didn’t really know the April 1 1997 “event” was going to be that big a deal until just a few days before it occurred.

      Many of our late season snowstorms come with less than average lead-time, because of the volatility that comes with the beginning of seasonal transition.

      I for one, am loving today’s weather. Heading out to walk the pond now. It’s 22 here. 🙂

      As of noon, temps across the WHW forecast area range from 17 at Worcester to 28 on Nantucket. Yep, that’s cold.

    3. I don’t know what that met was thinking, but maybe the problem was…she WASN’T!

      2. With all due respect, Mets take a huge beating. I would really like to hear the exact words. Often I can miss a few key ones.

  15. My question for everyone: Do you think we’ll get a 60+ degree day this March? If so, what’s your guess on when? Even though the GFS is unreliable this far out, I’m going to say we get a few of them and I bet it’ll happen next week. I work remote on wednesday so if on March 16th we get a 60+ degree day, I’m going to be out there in shorts running.

    Forgot some drinks I bought at the convenience store yesterday afternoon in the car. My brain went “oh great, you’re gunna have to use ice so your drink is cold”, totally forgetting how cold it got outside. My drink is colder than if I had put it in the fridge. That was always my favorite thing about winter. Or when it snowed enough, we’d make an adhoc drink cooler outside on the deck out of snow.

    2. I do think so Dr. I love March because a cold day like today , I know it’s short lived . March is the transition month of better things ahead .

  16. Greeting and thank you TK.

    Currently 26 here. Pretty nippy for March, but not unheard of…
    18 this morning.

  17. Past events have no bearing on future probabilities. Not in weather, not anywhere. If you roll a pair of dice and it comes up a 7 ten times in a row, the probability you’ll roll a 7 on the eleventh try is exactly the same as it was all other times. The science is simple.

    Meteorology is just as scientific though the science is more complicated than the science behind rolling a pair of dice. The only way you could come to a conclusion of no snow this March is by ignoring the science itself and engaging in tortured logic.

    1. Yup, so true in gambling, consider roulette.
      Let’s say it comes up red 5 times in a row.
      The uneducated gamble would think that it is sure to come up
      black next time. NOPE!!! Same probability as it it were the 1st time. Of course with roulette it is not 50% due to the 0 and double 00, but you get the idea.

      Oh and if you think it eventually HAS to come up black, that is true, and that is why the casinos have table limits. 🙂 One might get luck with doubling up each time, but sooner or later the table limit will come up and one’s money cannot be recouped.

      It’s funny how all those fancy buildings and accessories are financially supported. 🙂

  18. Responding to Dr S. Yes, I love the cold and strongly dislike heat and humidity.

    1. I never minded HHH but I now struggle with it health wise. But I have always had a bias toward cold too.

  19. Sox up 4-0 vs Mets, 1st inning.
    Celts up 30-20, vs Nuggets, 1st period.
    B’s start at 3:30 PM.

    Temp is 28F.

    2. Go teams! March is a fun month for the sports fan. 🙂

      Even for skating fans, like me, the World Championships are in Boston this year – just 1 year ahead of the next Winter Olympics. 🙂

  20. Dr. S ..

    Yes, we (as in the Boston area) will break 60 in March. Maybe even approach 70. But we’ll also see the other end of the spectrum, like today, more than once. March 2025 is going to be remembered for its swings. Twenty nine more days to go..

    Do NOT be surprised if Boston’s largest snowfall of the “winter” is yet to come. People will scoff. People will laugh. People who know history will do neither of those. 🙂

      1. When it went from rain to snow that day, I knew we were in deep doo-doo …

        1. Oh yeah, I knew on that one before it even started.
          People asked me at work how much snow and I used my hand to indicate at least 2 feet! 🙂
          That was a real good one for sure!!!!

          1. 30.0 inches here. Right on the dot. Three-zero. That was my second largest snowstorm in my time of observing weather (which I started doing seriously on January 1 1978). February 6-7 1978 remains my #1 largest snowstorm, in terms of total accumulation. During that storm a synoptic snow band sat for several hours over Boston’s North Shore to northwest suburbs, including thundersnow. My brother had to do the measurement for me on that storm, because I wasn’t “tall enough”, and the wind was so powerful that instead of using the open area in the back yard, he dawned a pair of snow shoes, taped 2 yard sticks together, and wandered down to the middle of the high school field complex, as far away from every object as he could, and took a range of 20+ measurements that ranged from 36 to 44 inches. This did NOT include the 2 inches of crusty snow left on the ground from the January 20 blizzard, that was then largely washed away and/or smoshed down by the January 26 rain deluge (Chicago’s “Blizzard of ’78”), which was then followed by a deep freeze and dry weather that lead up to our own “Blizzard of ’78”.

            Still the most dynamic winter I have ever experienced. It beats everything else, just the month of January alone before the “big one”.

            1. The grand daddy of them all
              I know logan “only” had about 27 inches, I took a bunch of messurements in my street and got an average of 36 inches here. it was NO 27 inches, I assure you!!@

              To me Nothing has compared!
              I remember Bruce Scwoegler saying that morning big snow storm, possibly historical. ya think????

              1. There was a coastal front of sorts between the airport and a short distance west of it. That boundary was also a partial trigger in that synoptic band I talked about.

                I’ve had many conversations with the MA State Climatologist (when I worked with him) about the measurements in that storm and how many of the maps we see are not quite 100% accurate.

  22. That was probably the 3rd coldest-feeling walk I’ve taken all winter, and I’ve taken a lot of walks, and it’s been a cold winter.

    But the combination of wind and cold and the wind’s ability to blow lengthwise across the pond before reaching me for quite a stretch of ground … brrr!!

    I loved every moment of it. 🙂

    1. Walked only a mile along the Swampscott/Lynn shore. Usually do 3-6 miles but it was cold and the wind was WICKED!

      1. You had me looking forward to that all day until I could not get on TNT

  25. Lakers-Celtics (TD Garden) this Saturday on ABC @ 8:30 pm. :mrgreen:

    Maybe a nice snow event as well TK? ❄️ 😉

    1. Can’t rule it out yet. I’m not sure how the parade of low pressure areas will act starting March 5 to around St. Pat’s Day, other than the first one. But the opportunities will be there.

  26. Bruins game from puck drop went 7 min and 35 seconds before the first whistle. That may have been the longest stretch I’ve seen in an NHL game with continuous play.

  27. Temps under-achieved by 1 to 3 degrees in general today.

    Never even made it back to 20 in parts of western MA. Brr!

    1. Wonderful!

      I may cut and paste this note of yours and remind myself of it on, say, July 16th.

      I’m going to try and spend much of the summer in England working on a project. Though it can get hot there, it’s usually short-lived, particularly later in the summer.

    2. I only stepped out once so far today to get drinks I forgot in the car. No thank you!

      1. I just wandered outside to transfer some recycle to the big bin. Refreshing! 😉

  29. The planetary parade is just spectacular this evening…

    With special guest, the crescent moon.

    1. I have never seen Mercury so bright with the naked eye. Through my binoculars you could actually pick out the light sides and dark sides of both Mercury & Venus because of their position relative to ours and the sun’s. Just amazing. Saturn went down a little while ago but I barely caught it on an orange horizon just before it set. I’ve attempted to see Neptune with binocs (near Mercury) but no success there. Probably need a telescope.

      Further up and left (south) after you pass venus & the crescent moon, you see a diamond configuration made by Jupiter, Mars, and two bright stars. I got a pic of that as well. 🙂

      I’m so happy to be able to witness this from where I am. It puts a lot of things in perspective, including just how important we think we are in the much larger picture, when we’re really not. Make the most of your time here – it’s but a wink of an eye relative to the existence of all this wonder that we ignore, lost in our own self-made chaotic conglomeration. Imagine if everybody realized that at once…………….

      1. Vicki refers the crescent moon as “God’s fingernail”. I like that comparison. I’ve always described the crescent moon as creepy but “beautifully haunting” if you will. 🙂

        1. Awww thank you. You are so kind. I’ve been thinking of my mom all night after seeing her moon.

          Interesting fact. My mom loved children especially her grandchildren. Five of my grandchildren were born on the night of a crescent moon. The maternity nurse who helped deliver the sixth had a crescent moon tattoo.

          Wonder what those odds were

        2. I’ve always liked the different ways people see and interpret things.

          When I was little, I remember looking in the western sky some evenings (obviously when the moon was in this phase) and seeing what I called a “spooky moon”. It always seemed more like that to me when it was thinner, and more friendly looking when it was more full. Just my perception as a child. 🙂

          1. I find it fascinating too. I always looked for the man

            My oldest grand who always loved Alice in wonderland calls tonight’s a Cheshire moon.

            1. If you turn the crescent on its side, face up, so that it “smiles” that does makes sense. 🙂

              2. We actually have a smiley face in the sky coming up, next lunar cycle I believe. Crescent moon + 2 planets. I’ll get the details.

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