Saturday March 1 2025 Forecast (8:23AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 1-5)

I used to love the concept of the meteorological seasons, and while I don’t loathe it, it doesn’t hold the appeal it once did, other than “hey it’s kind of neat to fit a season into 3 calendar months, 4 times over (March-May, June-August, September-November, December-February). I’ve morphed into really just appreciating the natural shifts and the way our own solar system marks its time by what it shows us in our sky and what we see in our surroundings. All of that said, today marks the start of “Meteorological Spring”, for what it’s worth, and today will also bring a spring preview – not that we didn’t already have some of that during the mild interlude this week, during the last several days of February. But it continues today, followed by a harsh reminder in under 24 hours that it is still actually winter, when we see our high temperatures on Sunday 25 to 30 degrees colder than what we see today. Ouch! How does this come about? Well, a warm front moved through the region overnight. If you were up late, you may have seen some wet snow, even with some accumulation, well north and west of Boston, which was then a light mix / rain as you got closer to the city and just a little light rain at most from the city southward. While today’s weather features plenty of clouds, it does feature mild air in the warm sector between the aforementioned warm front and an approaching cold front. The latter will pass by later today, and up until that time we can see a few rain showers around. But it will be mild, with many areas topping 50 for a high temperature. The exception this time will be the South Coast and Cape Cod, where some sub-50 highs will the result of a southwesterly wind coming off chilly ocean water. Once the front passes by later on though, the arrival of the cold is immediate. A snow shower may occur in parts of central and northern MA into southern NH, otherwise a clearing process will begin as the temperature performs a free-fall dive. This sets us up for a bright but biting cold Sunday with much of the region staying sub-freezing all day. This comes along with wind that will make it feel colder, only offset slightly by the higher-angle sun which will shine without interruption, other than a few passing fractocumulus clouds. That’s your weekend – a tale of two seasons. Looking into the early to mid portion of next week, we keep the cold, lose the wind, and gain a few clouds Monday as a weak disturbance passes by, but not with enough moisture to cause any precipitation. Surface high pressure builds from the Midwest to the Mid Atlantic later Monday and Tuesday, with our region on the northern periphery of it. The result here is fair weather but some varying amounts of clouds, and also a noticeably less cold Tuesday. By Wednesday, the next low pressure area is heading into the Great Lakes, and its warm front brings an overcast with a good chance of at least a period of rain.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Highs 48-55, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy early with a passing snow shower possible mainly I-90 belt northward, then clearing. Lows 17-24. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25+ MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine with a few passing clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with gusts around 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 19-26. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind S to SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 43-50. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 6-10)

Low pressure moving from the Great Lakes to southeastern Canada brings a cold front through the region with rain showers likely during March 6. Wildcard potential: Watch for low pressure wave coming up along the front as it turns sharply colder which can bring a period of rain/mix/snow later that day or at night. Fair, colder March 7. Low pressure passing south of the region may be close enough to bring snow/mix to the region during a portion of the March 8-9 weekend, with fair and cold weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 11-15)

Active pattern with near to below normal temperatures leaves us vulnerable to storminess which can include mix/snow heading into mid March.

58 thoughts on “Saturday March 1 2025 Forecast (8:23AM)”

  5. Thanks, TK.

    I will enjoy the next couple of days. I’m grateful that we’ve had plenty of sunshine and cold this winter. Not enough snow thus far, but at least it often felt seasonal.

    I hope your health and that of your family is good.

    As I’m currently caring for someone with early onset Alzheimer’s I’m made aware on a daily basis of just how precarious life can be. And so I take nothing for granted.

    1. My maternal grandfather had Alzheimer’s and we eventually had to place him in a nursing home. This was many years ago when the disease was just starting to get publicity.

    2. Take care, Joshua. The person you are caring for is very lucky. My dad and Mac’s mom and her three sisters all were diagnosed with Alzheimer’s. It’s heartbreaking to watch

  8. Even with these recent 50 degree temperatures, there is still plenty of ice on the Charles River with more to form after today.

  9. Water temperature at the Block Island buoy still at 41 degrees. A couple of weeks ago water temperature dipped down to 38 degrees now maybe rising through September.

  11. I didn’t realize that meteorological seasons have been defined for so long. According to Wikipedia:
    In 1780 the Societas Meteorologica Palatina (which became defunct in 1795), an early international organization for meteorology, defined seasons as groupings of three whole months as identified by the Gregorian calendar.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Season#Meteorological

  15. It may be a needle thread, but parts of eastern New England might need to do snow removal on Thursday night or Friday morning this coming week.

    Also, sometime next weekend, same thing except more generalized for southern New England with details TBD.

  16. I am not sure if anyone here has posted about this and if they have, I apologize for the duplicate.

    This is not a political post and I am generally somewhat, apolitical.

    Dr. Hart at Florida State has turned off the his Coolwx.com site due to the federal personnel cuts. Dr. Hart is a brilliant mind, and even greater person. I have used his website for 25 plus years. It was such an easy go to for NAMs and HRRR precip amounts and timing. I will miss it and won’t be as good at what I do without it. I hope we find a place for common ground again soon.

    JMA..

    2. Thanks for posting, JMA.

      I hope that all is well with you. I know that you’re going through a lot with serious health issues in the family.

    4. One has to wonder if the NWS site will eventually suffer the same fate…I am now much afraid of what actual “forecasting” will be like in the coming months. 🙁

  17. Thanks TK.

    Low 30s and snowing hard here at Killington. Was pushing 40 this morning but getting colder now and wind is starting to whip up a bit

  18. A little slice of sun between the current clouds and the arctic front will help build a little convective activity. These will be rain showers in the mild air. But make no mistake, this is a SHARP cold front and if there is any precip behind it, it’ll immediately change to ice pellets and/or graupel then snow. This doesn’t mean every last square inch of real estate will see this. I said IF. But be on the look-out, because a quick burst of frozen precip and falling temps can make for not-much-talked-about icy conditions on untreated surfaces early this evening.

    You heard it here…

  19. SPC day 4/5 extended onvective outlook giving hints of first convective outbreak of the severe weather season.

  20. Hi Joshua,

    Yes there are issues here, but life continues, as those around us recede and then proceed to their next place.

    My mom has physically stabilized (for now), but continues to mentally decline. My brother has had a good week, but outcome is a foregone conclusion. Just a matter of the suffering and when. Lets all give hope for an easier transition.

    I will be in England beginning March 10 for work. Whenever I am there, I think of your commentary on life, weather, and its intersection.

  22. Days like today are great! We walked in Groton from about 1:15 to 2:45. The weather was mostly sunny, warm, and the wind was calm. There were lots of smiling people walking outside.

    Two hours later it’s 35 F, blustery, and snowing.

    1. Gotta love New England. I was out and about enjoying the day also. My thought was to tackle the deck and get out with a fire. Till it wasn’t a good thought

  23. 3” of snow today as we were skiing at Killington. Great conditions!

    Mt Mansfield snow stake hit 102” today. 8.5 feet. Deepest snow depth since 2019.

    1. Sounds like an awesome day. Long trail brewery sounds familiar. If we were there Ryan wasn’t. 😀 cool that he’s there now

      1. Just talked to him as he was walking out, told him I was bummed out when he left Fox 61 in Hartford and went back to Maine. Nice guy!

  25. The B’s win it … barely … much needed after who knows how many losses in a row.!

    Sox won today after loss yesterday.

    The C’s had a super embarrassing loss last night … just horrible. Must make amends tomorrow.

    2. Celts have KP, Jrue and now Jaylen Brown on their injury report for tomorrow, so, it’s going to take a Herculean effort to beat Denver if they’re all out.

      I was shocked they led 25-3 last night but believe it or not I don’t think they blew the game. Without KP or Jrue, give Cleveland credit, they put Sam Hauser in the pick n roll and I love Sam, but he cannot guard Donovan Mitchell or their point guard whose name I forget for 35+ minutes.

      When those 2 get back, Sam will be back to 15-18 mins per game and Cleveland will have to face a better Celtics defender, which should help.

  28. Thanks, TK, while it’s still today!

    It was 52 degrees as I drove into Boston at noon and 23 when I drove back at 10:30ish. I walked out around 5 amongst the wind tunnels, and it was cold heading into the wind — then super cold at 10:30. It reminded me of the time long ago that I was in Buffalo during the first week of December…

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