Monday July 14 2025 Forecast (7:17AM)

68 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 14-18)

Mid July. July weather in the forecast. Sounds about right! This week will feature fairly high humidity, some heat, and several thunderstorm chances. High pressure offshore pumps in the warm and humid air today, and a trough and cold front approaching from the west triggers showers and storms to our west this afternoon. Later timing on the frontal boundary, which is losing identity as is, means that the activity is likely to peak to our west, but still can be fairly potent entering western portions of the forecast area by late afternoon, but losing potency while moving into eastern areas this evening. Areas that do see a stronger one can experience gusty wind and torrential rain with brief, localized flooding. Activity will fade while moving east and southeast tonight, but what is left of the frontal boundary will still be over southeastern sections into Tuesday morning, and can help ignite additional showers until about midday before it moves offshore and largely dissipates. This leads to continued warm and fairly humid weather Tuesday, and a building of heat and higher humidity as we head into Wednesday, a day that high pressure should prevent pop-up storms for the region – though borderline so maybe an isolated one mainly well west and northwest of Boston where than can be some orographic aid from hills. Thursday, heat and humidity continue, but a disturbance approaching from the west means afternoon thunderstorms will become more likely (more on this chance in the next couple updates). Friday, we keep the humidity, but maybe turn down the heat a notch with more cloudiness as a cold front approaches and crosses the region, triggering more showers and storms.

TODAY: Areas of low clouds and fog dissipate early to mid morning, otherwise a sun/cloud mix with more clouds later in the day. Showers/thunderstorms become likely western areas mid to late afternoon and probable eastern areas evening – some strong with gusty winds / downpours, but a weakening trend while activity moves toward the east. Highs 81-88. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lingering showers and possibly a thunderstorm early, favoring eastern areas. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy with least sun morning and most sun afternoon. Additional showers possible RI and southeastern MA mainly until midday. Highs 82-89. Dew point 60+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lower elevation fog patches. Lows 65-71. Dew point near 65. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 86-93 but a bit cooler coastal areas especially Cape Cod. Dew point 65+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog in low elevation locations. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Afternoon thunderstorms develop west to east. Highs 85-92 except cooler South Coast. Dew point 70+. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Chance of showers and thunderstorms early, otherwise variably cloudy with patchy fog. Lows 70-77. Dew point 70+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely, generally in the afternoon. Highs 82-89. Dew point 70+, may drop late-day west to east. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, shifting to NW late-day from west to east.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 19-23)

High pressure provides fair, warm weather but lower humidity July 19, starting the weekend on a nice note. Question for July 20 is how fast does the next disturbance arrive from the west with shower and t-storm chances. Leaning toward quicker timing and a threat before day’s end, but may get through much of day before that. This timing would allow it to clear out for July 21 but need to watch for next disturbance and shower/t-storm threat later in the period as we establish a faster west northwest flow pattern aloft.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 24-28)

Large scale pattern features a ridge of high pressure in the central US. West to northwest flow here brings variable temps that can include heat shots, and disturbances that can bring a couple thunderstorm chances, although rain-free weather would be dominant.

68 thoughts on “Monday July 14 2025 Forecast (7:17AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Made 83 here yesterday
    Late in the day.

    I am headed out fishing this morning. Was hoping the clouds and fog would hang on longer. Nope. Sunny here already. We’ll see how much that affects the fishing. Sometimes it just doesn’t matter and sometimes it does.

  5. Just looked at yesterday’s posts. Regarding the numerous storms of the 50’s, although I was only around 6 yrs. old up to 10 yrs. old in 1961, I do frmember the storms. That actually is when my interest in weather started. We were living in Holbrook and though it was sunny out, a neightor said we would be getting a tornado (she seemed serious) and that tornadoes can come out of a clear sky. I found that odd and looked it up. My interest in tornadoes continued when I did an extra credit report some years later on tornadoes for an Earth Science class. And mostly I remember a lot of the hurricanes we had. Don’t know which hurricane but when we lived in Quincy, near the Furnace Brook Parkway, our street got flooded and people were taken out in boats. Somehow, one of my relatives got us out in a car. I would have continued my interest in weather and science but in high school I didn’t do well in mathematics. So, I became a secretary. But to this day, I still have a strong interest in the weather. I don’t always understand some things, but just looking at the sky, clouds, storms, etc.

    1. Nice, it’s interesting to see what got us interested in weather.

      I think staring out at the street light at nighttime watching it snow is what did it for me.

      1. I have the same memory of a streetlight right in front of our house.

        We had a small front porch that we called a stoop. (It had a roof, so that was probably a regional misnomer.) My Dad and I would go out there during thunderstorms while my Mom went crazy, sure that we would be vaporized!

        The house of one of my Mom’s friends did get struck by lightning. The woman’s name was Millie Sparks. The Family Spark was unharmed. 🙂

      2. For me, the answer is really simple. When I was in first grade, we went to school on a Monday, but got sent home at noon because it was snowing extremely heavily. It kept snowing hard all afternoon and evening. My Dad worked in Framingham at the time (we lived in Brockton). He left work at 3pm and never made it home. When I woke up the next morning, the snow was about 3 feet deep and 2 things popped into my mind:

        1. We’re not going to school for a long time.
        2. How do we get another one?

        And thus my life-long love of weather began. (Oh, and Dad got home the next day in the back of a National Guard truck after spending 2 nights in a shelter in Needham.)

        If you haven’t figured it out yet, that was the Blizzard of 78.

      3. Thank you, Rainshine, for a fun conversation. Thank you to everyone for sharing memories.

        There is nothing like snow in a streetlight. I love the visual image

        Being rescued around the age of five (before flooding was bad) during a hurricane while on vacation in Humarock was my start. But then listening to a forecast another morning while on vacation at Humarock maybe seven years later and hearing the Mets description and announcing to my mom that it was ingredients for tornadoes before the met said it was a thrill. My brother, friend and I organized window watches throughout the day where we’d check our window and report back to the middle of the room. And of course from the time we were very little my mom getting my brother and me out of bed to sit on the stairs during thunderstorms made it a great adventure.

  11. Clouds moved back in excellent. The longer they stay the better. Waiting for bait, but already checked out the river and it is still fairly high., which is outstanding for where I want to fish. BAIT at 9AM.

    1. Happy fishing. Still more clouds than sun here…..hope the same for you and fish are biting

  17. Back from the fishing.
    Clouds remained which was good. Plenty of fish, but NOT what I wanted. Caught a Boat Load of blue gill (not wanted),
    2 bass, one of which was a baby, 1 black crappie, 1 pickerel and one yellow perch. A so-so day.

    79, 69 here YUCK. Still mostly cloudy.

    1. Sounds as if you had a busy day. I have probably asked. Do you use live bait or lures?

        1. Nice.

          As many times as I’ve fished, and it has been far too many to Count, I could never take a fish off of a hook. I could bait a hook with anything from night crawlers to frogs. Sea worms being the only exception. But then I was never a fan of deep sea fishing.

          1. My wife would never take a fish off the hook. But could she ever catch them and cast the line like a pro.

            1. Love it. I have always thought we have a lot in common. I was always lucky with my catches too.

          1. People also ask
            What is the difference between a Great Blue Heron and a gray heron?
            Similar Species to Gray Heron, All About Birds, Cornell Lab …
            Great Blue Heron is a North American species, so it and Gray Heron do not usually occur together. Great Blue Heron is larger, with proportionally longer legs, longer neck, and heavier bill. Adult Great Blue Heron has chestnut thighs (as opposed to gray in Gray Heron).

      1. Yes sir. I have fished there since I was a child. BEST fishing is during high water in the Spring. I have to Fisk elsewhere in the Summer, but today water was still pretty high.

      1. We just drove through some “excessive rainfall” around Palmer/Brimfield, so you may get something.

  22. Glad I’m getting near retirement. I love the independence of being self-employed. But chasing after jobs isn’t easy. And I just found out that a university I’ve worked with for years is losing funding (yes, you guessed it, Trump administration-imposed cuts) and my work with them will terminate on December 31 of this year. It’s half(!) my annual income so a big blow. But I’ll find something to fill the gaps. I only work with not-for-profits nowadays and only produce objective reports (don’t do promotional work). So that is a limiting factor. But I’ve noticed that persistence pays off.

    1. So sorry to hear that! So sad. Best of luck.

      I am so angry at trump and his minions that I feel like I am going to explode!!!!!!

    2. I am so very sorry, Joshua. Dictating what not only colleges but state school systems can teach/address…….I think there is a name for that type of rule.

  24. More of a heavy rain threat where that area outlined by the SPC mesoscale discussion than a severe weather threat. Flash flood warning just south of me until 530

  25. Thanks for the heron photo JPDave.

    Those birds are magnificent. We see them glide over at low altitude to land on the side of a nearby pond. They will hold still like a statue for a very long time. Then when the time is right, they strike in a split second.

    The population changes in MA involve beavers, silly hats, and the hurricane of 1938:
    https://www.massaudubon.org/our-work/birds-wildlife/bird-conservation-research/breeding-bird-atlases/find-a-bird?id=948

    You can read about Atlas 1 and Atlas 2 here:
    https://www.massaudubon.org/our-work/birds-wildlife/bird-conservation-research/breeding-bird-atlases

    1. I see them fairly frequently while fishing.

      Wife and I viewed a young one flying back and forth across the river. Learning to fly???

  27. The action has been western MA western CT parts of the Hudson River Valley NYC area. Multiple flash flood warnings with these slow moving thunderstorms. With so much humidity in the air these thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall.

  28. Now at the southeastern part of Cape Breton Island.

    It was a beautifully sunny day driving across Nova Scotia.

    We are at Battery Provincial Park, on the Atlantic. I can’t even explain in words to do it justice.

    Low clouds and fog rolling in, the wind is south off the chilly North Atlantic and we are comfortable here sitting in sweatshirts. It feels great !!

    Ate first hot turkey sandwich at one of the Irving K stops. And a slice of butterscotch pie. 🙂

    2. Tom, I hope you realize that Nova Scotia already has year round DST. Hope that doesn’t happen down here.

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