Tuesday July 15 2025 Forecast (7:26AM)

58 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 15-19)

What’s left of a cold front drifts offshore and dissipates today, but brings lingering showers to Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard, and Nantucket first. High pressure builds offshore with predominant heat and humidity through midweek. Some short range guidance has shown the possibility for an isolated shower / thunderstorm popping up this afternoon and with the higher dew point air and a couple boundaries around from recent rain showers, I can see that as a slight chance, but after the early showers leave southeastern areas, it will be a generally rain-free day. Wednesday’s rain chance is nil. It is Thursday, when a trough approaches and passes, and Friday, when a cold front swings through, that have shower and thunderstorm opportunities, both of which will be focused on more closely starting with my next update. Behind that late-week cold front comes a pleasant air mass for the start of the weekend.

TODAY: Cloudy start with showers Cape Cod / Islands, otherwise a sun / cloud mix with only the slightest chance of an isolated pop-up PM shower. Highs 83-90 except 75-82 CC / Islands. Dew point middle 60s to lower 70s. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lower elevation fog patches. Lows 65-72. Dew point near 65. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 86-93 but a bit cooler coastal areas especially Cape Cod. Dew point 65+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Patchy fog in low elevations. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers / thunderstorms. Highs 85-92, cooler South Coast. Dew point near 70. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Chance of showers and thunderstorms early, otherwise variably cloudy with patchy fog. Lows 70-77. Dew point 70+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 81-88. Dew point 70+, may drop late-day west to east. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, shifting to NW from west to east.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 60-67. Dew point falls toward 60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point sub-60. Wind N up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 20-24)

Northwest flow dominates. Disturbances around July 20 and one or two more after that bring passing shower and thunderstorm chances while most times are rain-free. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 25-29)

Large scale pattern features a ridge of high pressure in the central US. West to northwest flow here brings variable temps averaging near to above normal and passing disturbances can bring a couple shower and thunderstorm chances but again much of the time fair weather would rule.

58 thoughts on “Tuesday July 15 2025 Forecast (7:26AM)”

  1. “2025: The year of the flash flood.”

    Actually, that was 2019, but media hopes you don’t remember it.

    As of July 15, there have been approximately 11 major flood events in the US. The long-term average for the year is 20, which puts us right at about “normal”.

    Again, beware of media, who is actively reporting every drop of rain for the reasons I mentioned yesterday.

    And let me be clear. I am NOT DOWNPLAYING the major events and the tragedy associated with them. This is strictly commentary on media. I’d said I would be adding facts in response to their shenanigans, and I will continue to do so.

  2. Good morning and thank you TK. Made 84 here yesterday with brutal humidity.

    Looking forward to Autumn.
    This weather blows chunks.

    2. 6 for me, bit at 3 had the last 4 letters in the correct position. It did not like the obvious but liked my last guess. Not a word I use for sure.

      1. Great work, JPD. There are so many odd words now. I think it’s a combination of their running out of words and some sort of algorithm that allows them to generate more difficult and less often used words.

  11. 83, 73 here. YUCK!!!
    Thankfully the temperature remains somewhat in check.
    Wind is a little East of due South. It is not likely to ever make
    90 with that wind direction. We shall see and also shall see if the wind direction changes.

  19. Keep whatever that area of disturbed weather is away from Virginia as I will be there next week.

  20. For those who wonder about the growing season in Nuuk, Greenland, it is short but sweet. The wildflowers are in full bloom now. They have a few more weeks to go before the end of the brief summer. I follow Orla Joelsen, who’s a Danish Greenlander. He takes pictures and videos of his surroundings and posts them on Twitter. Here’s a picture of his two children: https://x.com/OJoelsen/status/1945198088517222424

  23. Stacked cumulus clouds are a wonder to behold. As a kid, I thought God lived up there. My parents talked about God a lot (it didn’t make much of an impression on me, as I’m agnostic; more so the older I get).

  24. Awhile ago we had 90 1 with dp 75!! Gimme a break!
    Got big alert from the city, both a phone call and text.

  27. July 15 1954…

    45 states hit 90°F+, 33 of those 100°F+.

    Nearly 60% of the U.S. land area was ≥90°F and 18.2% was ≥100°F. Now that’s heat. Today a paltry 4% of the U.S. will make 100°F+.

    State breakdown for 6/15/1954…

    • 90° in HAWAII (Māhukona)
    • 90° in NEW HAMPSHIRE (Surry Mountain Lake)
    • 94° in IOWA (Bedford)
    • 94° in VERMONT (Vernon)
    • 96° in MASSACHUSETTS (Lake Cochituate, Framingham)
    • 96° in MICHIGAN (Grosse Pointe Farms)
    • 96° in NORTH DAKOTA (Amidon)
    • 98° in FLORIDA (Monticello)
    • 97° in IDAHO (Cambridge)
    • 99° in CONNECTICUT (Waterbury City Hall)
    • 99° in DELAWARE (Middletown)
    • 99° in NEBRASKA (Fairbury)
    • 100° in MONTANA (Miles City)
    • 101° in NEW YORK (Elmira)
    • 101° in WYOMING (Dull Center, Morrisey, Redbird)
    • 102° in COLORADO (Eversoll Ranch)
    • 102° in NEW JERSEY (Little Falls, Paterson)
    • 102° in OREGON (Richland)
    • 102° in PENNSYLVANIA (Carlisle, East Stroudsburg, Newport)
    • 102° in WASHINGTON (Richland)
    • 103° in GEORGIA (Chickamauga)
    • 103° in LOUISIANA (Ashland)
    • 103° in SOUTH DAKOTA (Ardmore )
    • 104° in SOUTH CAROLINA (Cheraw, Greenwood)
    • 104° in WEST VIRGINIA (Hogsett R.C. Byrd Dam, Logan)
    • 105° in ALABAMA (Belle Mina)
    • 105° in MARYLAND (Hancock)
    • 105° in MISSISSIPPI (Clarksdale)
    • 105° in NEW MEXICO (Artesia, Belen)
    • 105° in NORTH CAROLINA (High Point, Lake Michie)
    • 105° in OHIO (Portsmouth-Sciotoville)
    • 105° in TENNESSEE (Lancaster, Loudoun, Savannah)
    • 106° in KENTUCY (Frankfort, Hopkinsville)
    • 106° in UTAH (Zion National Park)
    • 109° in INDIANA (Freelandville)
    • 109° in TEXAS (Vernon)
    • 110° in VIRGINIA (Balcony Falls)
    • 112° in ILLINOIS (Jerseyville)
    • 113° in ARKANSAS (Conway, Mountain Home)
    • 114° in NEVADA (Sunrise Manor in Las Vegas)
    • 115° in ARIZONA (Bouse, Ehrenburg, Parker)
    • 115° in KANSAS (Osawatomie)
    • 116° in MISSOURI (Elsberry, Fulton, Lamar, Mexico, Ozark Beach)
    • 117° in OKLAHOMA (Jay)
    • 121° in CALIFORNIA (Death Valley National Park)

    2. “While there might have been warm temperatures on June 15, 1954, the most notable and records-setting heat occurred later in the season. For example, the highest recorded temperature in Illinois was 117°F (47.2°C) in East St. Louis on July 14, 1954. Other locations like Warsaw, Missouri recorded 118°F, Springfield hit 113°F, and Joplin reached 115°F on July 14, 1954, according to OzarksFirst.com.

      “The heatwave was prolonged and devastating, affecting 11 states from late June through early September. Impacts included numerous deaths, strain on water resources and utilities, and significant agricultural damage, particularly to corn yields in the central Midwest. “

  28. Loving today’s weather. High Summer! And the midpoint of meteorological summer.

    2. I didn’t mind today. But I have AC. I remember years without. But I was younger then.

  31. Beautiful night outside. 🙂

    Puzzled by Channel 10 calling this a heatwave for Boston (Logan).

    Observed 89 today.
    Forecast 92 Wednesday.
    Forecast 90 Thursday.
    Forecast 85 Friday.

    Not a heatwave. Sorry local media. Dispense the hype and get back to the facts, please.

      1. It’s actually going to arrive a little more quickly – during Friday.

        The local news is out of control with hype. Yes it’s very warm to hot. Yes, it’s pretty humid. Not even close to any records. Yes people who are heat sensitive need to take it easy. This is NOT June 24 all over again, and they need to stop acting like it is. It’s pretty much outright lying at this point.

        It’s time for me to start firing off emails over and over – not that it’ll matter much – the greed of wanting ratings for advertising and clicks on social media speaks more loudly to the bosses at these stations than any words of an informed viewer. Sad.

    2. To be fair, MOST of the city hit 90 yesterday. just not the stinken airport where there was a sea breeze most of the day. 🙂 🙂

  32. For a long time, I have thought that shootouts in hockey were the dumbest way to decide a game. There is nothing wrong with a tie in hockey. Welp, I no longer feel like the shootout is the worst way to decided a game. Oh, I still hate shootouts, but a “swing-off?” Really? Dumb. Dumb. Dumb. I remember when the All-Star Game was actually played like a real game of baseball. Pitchers lasted more than 1 inning. Not everyone had to get into the game. The starters played into the 5th or 6th inning on the offensive side.

    1. Yeah that event has kind of turned into a joke.

      I did watch the HR Derby, which I thought was entertaining this year.

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