Monday October 6 2025 Forecast (7:18AM)

92 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 6-10)

High pressure continues to deliver warm and dry weather to our region today, and this continues Tuesday too, but with an increase in both wind and cloud cover Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front. That front will cross the region at moderate speed Tuesday night through midday Wednesday with showers. This will be followed by cooler, drier weather from the end of Wednesday through Friday as another large high pressure area from Canada builds in our direction.

TODAY: Early fog patches dissipate with sunshine dominating. Highs 70-77 South Coast / Cape Cod, 77-84 elsewhere. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear except patchy ground fog forming. Lows 55-62. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny start / cloudy finish. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 75-82 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts late in the day.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely overnight from west to east. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts at times.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with showers likely in the morning. Showers end midday from west to east with a clearing trend late-day from the west. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 11-15)

There remains some uncertainty about the forecast for the long weekend (October 11-13). While it starts dry with high pressure in control, we have to watch low pressure to the south to see how far north it gets. Does it spread rain in or just clouds for a time? Remains to be seen. If rain does make its way far enough north, either or both October 12 & 13 are in play. Fair, cooler weather is expected toward the middle of next week. This entire forecast period will be fine-tuned as we go through this coming week.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 16-20)

Overall pattern still looks dry with zonal flow and a couple quick shower threats from passing fronts.Temperatures variable but close to or slightly above normal overall.

92 thoughts on “Monday October 6 2025 Forecast (7:18AM)”

  3. Good morning and thank yiu TK.

    61 now and overnight low

    Ocean temp: 63. (Boston bouy)

    YAY Pats. What a game, even if riddled with penalties on both sides. For a bit I thought they blew the game with back to back stupid and needless penalties, but the pulled it off.
    The Pats rookie kicker came through despite tremendous pressure. Maye was awesome! Me thinks we HAVE a QB!! I complain about pats management, but kudos to them for acquiring Diggs! That man is a beast!!!!!

    1. They’ve raised the expectation bar.

      Let see how they handle this success.

      New Orleans and Tennessee on the road next, I think?

      Winnable games …….

  5. Thanks TK !

    Appears the euro is gaining some support for its east coast system from other models.

    1. Good work both. I had a good jump with word one so decided to forego my usual second word which tends to backfire. This time it didn’t.

      Wordle 2 for me

    2. Pretty tough, at least for me, for such a common word!!!!!!
      I SUCK at this. I just don’t see words that are obviously there!!!!!

      1. You’ve been doing a great job, JPD. You don’t suck at all. There were options. The outcome depends on some skill and a ton of luck IMO

        1. You are kind, but I know how I am doing. 🙂 🙂 🙂
          I do really well on some words, not so well on others. 🙂

  8. Hurry! Only 80 more days until Christmas.

    Hard to believe though with this mid-summer heat. A bit insane for October imo.

    1. October as I recall has been warm for years. Jackets layered under Halloween costumes is a thing of the past.

    2. Only a few more days and SNOW is possible in Boston.
      Of course not forecasting snow, just saying that I have SEEN it SNOW in the city of Boston as early as October 9th, a mere 3 days away. Climat-wise, we are entering the time of year where SNOW is Possible.

    4. It’s actually not unusual. We’re missing the record highs by a few to several degrees.

      Averages are derived from the ranges, including the extremes. Don’t key on it.

  10. GFS trended somewhat towards the ECMWF and the ECMWF trended a little further south and weaker with the northern extent of precipitation shield with later weekend / early next week system. Still going to go with forecaster experience, intuition, and pattern persistence at this time. For now, I am going to be in the moment, and very much enjoy Monday and Tuesday.

  11. Wow Vicki – that’s great! This could be the start of a long streak of twos for you. 🙂

    I got it in two twos today.

    1. Yay. Excellent. With my record I’m not seeing a streak; but it was fun to get a two, especially since I had two words that worked and uncharacteristically ended up choosing the correct one

      1. I have had it in 2 exactly 3 times in 106 games or 2.8%

        2: 3 or 2.8%
        3: 12 or 11.3%
        4: 31 or 29.2%
        5: 26 or 24.5%
        6: 17 or 16%
        FAIL: 17 or 16.0%

    2. I can just picture you running around in this. You said two twos!!! I heard tutu. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      https://ibb.co/s9FdnwKV

      Seriously OUTSTANDING job!!! You are very very good at this game! NOT for one minute did I think you had more than 2 guesses. Not one moment.

      Curious to know your major in College. I thought is was some sort of Scientific degree, but you seem so well rounded.

      Mine was Mathematics. I did NOT fare so well in English, especially when it got to literature and poetry. I HATED it!!
      So, I am lucky to do as well as I do in Wordle, as I could be doing much worse. 🙂 Considering the lack of reading I did, My vocabulary is better than expected, but not up to par for Wordle.

      1. I did not get it in two today. I got it in four, thus my “two twos” comment!

        I was also a math major in college. I was in a PhD program, but fizzled out, so I guess I’m a dropout. 🙂

      2. I was not sure what two twos means so happy to now know. And now I’m picturing a tutu and cannot get it out of my head

    1. YEs. We were up to 62 DP early last evening before falling off a bit.

      68 with 60 dp here now.

  14. JPD, I don’t recall ever seeing snowflakes in early October. Was that back in your younger years?

    Anyway, we certainly don’t want accumulating snow in October. That pretty much ends the snow season right there as we’ve seen in more recent years (2011).

      1. 1979

        The earliest known date for measurable snow in Boston was October 10, 1979, when a significant storm brought snow to the Northeast, including the city. This remains the record for the earliest first measurable snowfall in the region’s Interstate 95 corridor.
        Details of the Record-Setting Storm

        Date: October 10, 1979
        Impact: The storm was a strong low-pressure system that moved up the East Coast, bringing several inches of snow to cities from Boston to Washington, D.C.
        Significance: It holds the record for the earliest first measurable snowfall in the Boston to Washington, D.C. corridor.

    2. That correlation, as SAK has pointed out with actual statistics many times, is basically non existent. It “works” about 50% of the time.

    1. Don’t apply the current short lived stretch of very warm weather to the rest of the month. That’s not how it works.

    1. I see a circulation off of the Africa Coast. A little late in the season for that, isn’t it?

        1. Yes, well understood. It’s just that the Cape Verde Season “typically” runs August and September. Apparently, it can extend into October in some years.

          The “Cape Verde season” for hurricane development is primarily in August and September, although it can extend from late July into October as Atlantic waters warm sufficiently for tropical waves emerging from Africa to intensify into powerful hurricanes. These storms are named for the islands near their origin point off the coast of West Africa.

          1. Exactly JpDave.

            Decent circulation for a wave off of Africa this time of year. If it develops, likely to go east of Bermuda.

  17. JpDave you were mentioning about snow falling on October 10 1979. One week earlier in Windsor Locks CT an F4 tornado hit Windsor Locks CT. A week later 1.6 inches of snow fell there.

    2. Amazing, isn’t it???
      All sorts of things can happen in October.
      When was the big October snow? 10/20/2011? 2010?

  18. October 29th 2011 for the October Not Easter. Then a year later on the same date Superstorm Sandy. For two straight years where I live Halloween was postponed for a week.

    1. Two straight Halloween’s without power. My oldest grandson who was 4 thought a blackout went with Halloween so ran around the house turning all lights off. ❤️

  20. I remember snow flurries at a high school football game I was at in Canton when I was 10: October 17, 1970. (I found the story on-line in the Mansfield NEWS archives.)

  21. We’ve been noticing a lack of color to most of the foliage
    around our area from Boston to Canton, Westwood, Dedham, Newton, Wellesly and Natick to be specific.

    My wife came up with a term for it:

    Yellow, Brown and Down

    1. Love her term. We used to collect lovely colorful fallen leaves. Now they are curled up and brown

  22. I don’t think the models have the east coast system, if there is one, yet resolved for the weekend.

    I’m just wondering if something does evolve, if it has a chance to go from pure mid-latitude to possibly sub tropical.

  24. The airmass has mixed nicely with a DP drop and a temp rise !! 83F at Logan, I think I saw 86F up in NH

  25. The guidance that had the storm for the weekend backed off on it, and the guidance that didn’t have it now has it. Too funny.

    My discussion above stands unchanged for now.

    Nice SW wind in Boston boosting them over 80. Record is still safe though. 🙂

    I am going to the seacoast for a walk and some moonrise photos. 🙂

  27. A rare, monstrous EF5 tornado that struck the United States more than three months ago was the first of its kind in more than a decade, experts announced Monday.

    A tornado that roared through part of eastern North Dakota in June and killed three people was upgraded Monday to an EF5 with winds greater than 210 mph, the National Weather Service in Grand Forks, North Dakota, confirmed.

    EF5 tornadoes pack winds of at least 201 mph and are the highest level of the Enhanced Fujita Scale, the scale used to determine tornado strength. Tornadoes this strong are rare. Only 60 tornadoes of EF5 strength – including this one – have been recorded since 1950, according to NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center.

    I checked. Out of 79,000ish tornadoes since 1950, 67 officially rated F5/EF5 tornadoes worldwide since 1950, with 59 in the United States and the remaining eight in other countries. Of these, 50 were rated on the original Fujita scale (F5) and nine were rated on the Enhanced Fujita scale (EF5)

  29. Taunton’s greatest October snowfall was five years ago, October 30, 2020, when 3.8″ fell. I remember watching the snow fall while teaching my Spanish lesson remotely from my dining room. The snow was dreamlike. The remote learning was a nightmare. 🙂

Comments are closed.