DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 15-19)
Upper level low pressure crosses our region today and Thursday while an offshore storm does a long cyclonic loop to our east. All the while high pressure, elongated north-to-south, will be located to our west. This set-up brings us variable cloud cover with one disturbance moving through from the northwest with the upper trough today and the offshore storm tossing some clouds back our way at times through Thursday. Can’t rule out a few east-coastal (especially Cape Cod area) rain showers as well. Finally, the offshore low pulls back east and high pressure builds in from the west Friday into Saturday while the upper trough pulls away and a ridge of high pressure builds over the region during this time frame too. This provides fair weather, still a bit breezy and cool for Friday then more tranquil and milder Saturday. Sunday, everything continues eastward, high pressure ridge still overhead aloft and surface high pressure nudging offshore, and this is a set-up for a fair, breezy, and warmer day to finish off the weekend.
TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 57-64. Wind N increasing to 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Rain showers possible especially I-95 eastward. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A coastal rain shower possible, favoring Cape Cod. Highs 55-62. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas / Cape Cod.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy, then clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 10-15 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 61-68. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 20-24)
Low pressure moves in with a rain change early next week, followed by a midweek drier interlude though an upper trough can trigger a few spot showers. Watching another low that may approach late next week. Uncertain outlook here…
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 25-29)
Somewhat active pattern with another one or two low pressure systems that can bring unsettled weather, but the details of looking out this far can’t be determined. No major temperature extremes indicated.
Good morning and thank you TK.
51 here this morning.
Ocean temp: 60 (Boston bouy)
Wordle. 6
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 5
π
I could think of two possible words for the fourth guess. I was lucky and got it in four.
Nice numbers all. I didnβt have the first letter which left me with too many choices.
6 for me too.
https://ibb.co/M56XMrn4
That would be last letter. π
Vicki, I just saw your email from yesterday. I just sent you an email. Could you reply when you can? Would you be able to talk to me on phone? Let me know when you send me an email.
Hi rainshine. I am just getting going. Will look for your email. We can talk by phone too. Itβll be about an hour tho if thatβs ok
>3
That was supposed to be a heart. Doesn’t work on this old computer. But I am sending you love. Thank you Vicki!
Join me for drinks in the caboose? Hey, we at least got the word. π π π
Happy to. The caboose it is!!!
Excellent. Well done!!!
Thank you, TK. I see sun!!!!!
yup, out here. Strange seeing that yellow orb in the sky.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
Nice Sue!!
Super!
Thanks, TK.
Is this possible? A tropical system up here
on Oct 29th????
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2025101506/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_55.png
Forbidden
Same with me.
Thanks TK
Will see what happens with that potential Oct 29th.
The Euro has something, not as strong and a little later
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2025101500/ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_84.png
Interesting
Ditto
Forbidden
These photos are of the same tree around the same date for the past four years:
10-15-22
https://ibb.co/1fwNFfxc
10-08-23
https://ibb.co/pBsgvN54
10-11-24
https://ibb.co/qz31jZ1
10-15-25
https://ibb.co/4gMSSzWX
This was also taken today and contains a bonus bird π
https://ibb.co/zjXg2zF
Looks like a hawk. One of those landing and sat on a neighbors 2nd floor porch/deck. It was awesome. It stayed for a bit.
Wish I took a photo. π
Awesome. I was putting together the tree in my front yard. The differences are so interesting
Love the hawk. Red tailed??
Re: model depicted storms late month.
The models are struggling more then usual starting at day 4. I wouldn’t pay much attention that far out. It’s likely to look much different than that.
I think we know that, but just the same interesting to see that.
π
12z GDPS
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-met&rh=2025101512&fh=186&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
There is a la Nina that has strengthened since mid summer.
Certainly, other factors/teleconnections affect tropical development.
La Nina certainly offers a chance at a very late for the Atlantic system.
Typically, this time of year is more conducive to the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.
Thanks, TK!
Sunrise today in Swampscott.
https://imgur.com/Ex2fyrJ
Beautiful. π
Stunning
Awesome !
Love it!
Thanks, TK.
Did I miss this
https://ibb.co/vCT3H50r
The media barely mentioned it.
Been following that system since it also has implications on the large scale pattern, as many of those former typhoons do.
Alaska sees many such hits like this during any given year (especially if the western Pacific is active with tropical cyclones). This one happened to deliver a nasty storm surge to a vulnerable area. It’s not a very large area, but where it was maximum was devastating. The media pretty much ignored it for some reason.
New post…