Monday November 3 2025 Forecast (7:28AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

This week features an “every-other-day” weather system, though timing brings a lot of the action through during evening and nighttime hours. Today starts it off with what is actually two low pressure areas, the first one from the southern jet stream, making a run out just to our south and tossing its rain shield into southeastern New England later in the day to early this evening, the second being a cold front trailing from low pressure moving across southeastern Canada which brings rain showers to our area tonight. Behind this comes a dry but blustery and cool day Tuesday as high pressure builds toward the region, but creates a tight pressure gradient between itself and low pressure in southeastern Canada. Unless you’re a hardy soul, a jacket and probably a hat will be required if you will be out and about, including heading to vote as it is an election day. The next low pressure area is from the northern jet stream, which is becoming our dominant “weather-maker”, and will bring rain showers to our region later Wednesday, mainly at night. This is followed by another cool, blustery early November day on Thursday, before the “wash-rinse-repeat” pattern sends the next disturbance our way later on Friday with the potential for more wet weather that night.

TODAY: Increasing clouds. Light rain probable by late-day eastern CT, RI, southeastern MA. Rain showers likely end-of-day west of I-495 in north central MA and southwestern NH. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, becoming SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain showers pushing west to east across the region. A slight chance of thunder mainly west of I-495. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 49-56. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW with higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain showers at night. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

Two more low pressure systems with probable impact, one on November 9 and another end-of-period. Overall progression of system slows somewhat as the pattern becomes a little less organized.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Unsettled weather potential very early in the period, and again at the end of the period. Jury is out on whether we see more progressive systems heading through the Great Lakes or a slower-moving pattern of more cut-off low pressure occurring a little further south.

82 thoughts on “Monday November 3 2025 Forecast (7:28AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK

    35 overnight, 41 currently

    Ocean temp: 54. (Boston bouy)

    Wordle: FAIL

      1. But you got it. I wasn’t even close. My brain EXPLODED!!!!
        Luckily I was able to reassemble all of the pieces, else I couldn’t even write this. 🙂 🙂

  4. Thanks, TK.

    For those of you who are interested, I’ve begun to post my November Forbes articles. I’ve heard from my editors that there are merely 3 free articles available each month. You should be able to scroll down to see the titles of my November pieces thus far and click on ones you wish to read: https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/

    1. The implementation of their free article limit is very weak.

      But I’ll never tell – hehe 🙂

  5. 6Z GFS has a nice snow dump for far Northern areas, then has a series of LAKES CUTTERS< one of which cuts West of the LAKES into Manitoba!!! GEESH!!!! That is pathetic. Get it out of the way now!!!

  13. See cool/cold shots following frontal passages, perhaps more cool shots than recent November’s on the 12z GFS and a potential for breezy days. If I remember, November is climatologically our windiest month?

  15. FWIW, just watched this winter forecast issued by one of the news stations in Philadelphia last week. Not particularly impressive as they are going with 16″ for the year (22″ is the average in Philadelphia). They mention La Nina first half of the winter resulting in more mix events in the coastal plain and snow in the mountains/ski areas. Second half of the winter though they are predicting neutral ENSO which could open the door for more plowable snow events in the I-95 corridor from mid Jan – mid March.

    https://www.bing.com/videos/riverview/relatedvideo?q=winter+forecast+2025-26&mid=F5A982AB04ED8E800735F5A982AB04ED8E800735&FORM=VIRE

    I’d take it with a grain of salt as we know there are a lot of other factors beyond El Nino/La Nina and analogs that impact winter weather. Not to mention, we have had many average to decent winters in SNE when the NYC to Wash DC corridor have not. But always curious this time of year to hear what different mets are thinking.

    1. We certainly are overdue for an old fashioned winter here with cold & especially snow storms , will this be the year , to be continued!!!

  16. We’ve gotten a bit of light rain from the southern stream moisture, perhaps a couple hundredths.

    I wasn’t 100% sure it was going to make it to marshfield.

        1. I KNOW that. Let me have my fun. 🙂 🙂 🙂

          Just trying to make a point that a cool spell means nothing for future snow. The only thing it might do is lower the ocean temperature a little bit. 🙂

    1. I think he is being sarcastic about the “NOT normal” part. It will certainly result in below average temps across most of the East but a freeze in the southeast and lake effect snow in November is certainly not abnormal.

      1. I hate when the phrase “this is not normal” is used either sarcastically or not. It always makes it sound like whatever is going on (or predicted) should never happen. Most people will miss the sarcasm too.

        Weather is variable, and there are and always have been extremes.

        Cold weather and snow in these areas is no more abnormal than mild, dry weather. I’m sure he knows that, but using that phrase, even as a joke, is counter-productive and ends up making the actual message get lost.

        1. After reading his next post, I do not think he was joking….

          Ryan Maue
          @RyanMaue
          43m

          Stunning Arctic blast to wallop Eastern U.S. this weekend and early next week.

          A pool of extremely cold air in the middle atmosphere will dump into the Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley.

          -40°C to -43°C at 500 mb is typical of mid-January rather than early November.

          https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/1985460337076814088

            1. Yep. There is no category 6. There have been stronger storms. And the entire concept is bs. 🙂

              Just wait until the hurricane reanalysis project moves beyond 1970.

              And let’s just say, hypothetically, even if that was the case, they are not the “new normal”, because if you look up the definition of normal, the argument falls flat on its face.

              That’s another thing that is drastically overused, the phrase “the new normal”. Most of the time it’s a load of crap. Yup I’m in a direct mood to call out bullcrap today. 🙂

          2. Well, he’s putting an awful lot of stuck in a deterministic solution a week in advance. Risky.

            I maintain, it’s not really “abnormal” either. Weather is full of extremes in all directions. Always has been. Always will be. 🙂

  20. If I didn’t know better, someone hacked Ryan Maue today or I am confusing him with someone else.

    But I’m fairly certain Ryan Maue has always kept things in perspective.

    These posts today seem out of character for what he usually posts.

  21. I joke about winter starting on the time change due to it being dark at 5pm, but …..

    November is squarely an autumnal month.

    Eric just showed tonight Logan’s November highs start at 57F and end at 47F

    The ocean is still in the 50s, Hudson Bay barely has any ice on it.

    It’s hard at sea level in southern New England to get much of any sustained winter weather, just like in May, it’s hard to get much sustained summer weather.

    Like sustained summer weather here, sustained winter weather begins around the solstice.

    Can a big snow happen before then, sure, but most likely after meteorological winter begins and even then it’s so difficult to keep it on the ground til Christmas.

    I’m just writing this because on Facebook, all these weather blogs looking for signs of hard core winter.

    The hemisphere isn’t ready for it yet.

    1. AND are these pundits forgetting HOW ridiculously WARM
      the ocean temperatures are??????

      You need a perfect set up this time of year for any meaningful snow, not that it can’t happen.

      1. OH so sorry, It is on Amazon Prime and is Included for Prime Members. My bad, meant to add that to the post.

    2. Maybe a bit more. This gets a bit ridiculous

      Do we call it clapgate

      Drama in Foxborough: Falcons coach Raheem Morris accuses the Patriots of “clapping” to fake Atlanta’s snap count, causing a costly penalty in the final drive. Patriots deny it ever happened — and video evidence seems to back them up
      FULL STORY: tuneflow.net/drama-in-foxborough-falcons-coach-raheem-morris-accuses-the-patriots-of-clapping-to-fake-atlantas-snap-count-causing-a-costly-cdhbsb-quoctuan123-044e38c66ac9

  26. Eric mentioned possibility of snowflakes in the not too distant future.

    A cold November interspersed with Great Lakes Cutters?

    1. It’ll be very variable. Probably ends up close to normal when we average it all out.

  29. Someone might want to remind the Dallas Cowboys that they have a game tonight. 😉

  30. FYI – Ryan Maue was being sarcastic with his posts earlier about Melissa now being officially classified as a Cat 6. He was actually re-posting a comment from Micheal Mann, an outspoken climate change advocate. Ryan very much does NOT buy into the belief that every extreme weather event that happens is a direct result of climate change.

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