DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)
We switched from Daylight Saving to Standard time this morning! If you have not moved any manual clocks back one hour, now is the time to do so! This means our sunrise, by clock, was “earlier” – in the 6:00 a.m. hour, and the sunset will be prior to 5:00 p.m. today. Happens ever year – nothing new there! Onward we go into the “dark days” of later autumn and today will be one with a cold start and a slightly more pleasant, albeit still cool afternoon with lots of sun and some interrupting high and mid level cloud patches from a passing weak upper disturbance. Remember once upon a time “the models” touted this system as a rainmaker for today. This is why forecasts get updated and not based on model data way out in the future, which is simply guidance with limitations. But yes, a nice early November day for us today as high pressure builds in at the surface while that disturbance is passing by above. This is a signal though for an active and fast-flowing pattern which will bring several low pressure / frontal systems our way. Monday, we’ll see both a southern stream system and northern stream system make a run at our area. These will be close to but not quite phasing until they pass by. The southern stream low passing to our south will toss a shield of generally light rainfall as far north as eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA (maybe up to Metro Boston) later Monday afternoon into Monday evening, while a cold front associated with the northern stream low pressure area passing to our north will sweep through from west to east in the early evening with its own band of rain showers. Ahead of this, Monday will be a very slightly milder day that today is, but behind it call comes another chilly, breezy day for Tuesday, but with dry weather. The next system, a northern stream low pressure and frontal boundary, comes our way late Wednesday to very early Thursday with what looks like a fairly quick round of light rain Wednesday evening with a warm front, favoring areas north of I-90, then a band of rain showers with a very early Thursday cold frontal passage. Another shot of cool air along with gusty wind follows this for Thursday with dry weather returning.
TODAY: Sunshine with passing cloud patches. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Light rain probable by late-day eastern CT, RI, southeastern MA. Rain showers likely end-of-day west of I-495 in north central MA and southwestern NH. Highs 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy early with rain showers in northeastern MA and southeastern NH, then clearing. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.
TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Brief rain potential northern MA / southern NH evening. Chance of a rain shower overnight west to east. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Sun/cloudy mix. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)
Quick-moving pattern goes on into the second week of November with two more system passing by during this period with unsettled weather opportunities (late November 7 to early November 8 and later November 9 to early November 10, based on current expected timing). More detail to come for these days. Temperatures variable โ averaging near normal.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)
Medium range guidance puts less emphasis on the chance for a cut-off low later in the period impacting our region, and more emphasis on a more defined storm track through the Great Lakes with a couple more unsettled weather chances around passing frontal boundaries with temperatures near to slightly above normal for mid month. Will monitor trends here.
Thank you TK.
Walked the shore at 6:30 AM. It was brisk. Wore 3 layers.
Keep thinking that the 2 systems will phase before it gets here, but I am sure you’re right.
Almost went climbing in the Whites, but the wind reports from other climbers look a little daunting.
Good morning and thank you TK
38 overnight, 41 now
Ocean temp: 54 (Boston bouy)
Wordle: 5
Wordle: 3
I thought I might have had it in 2 because I got 3 letters on my 1st guess, but nope. ๐
Then I realized I had put one of the letters on my 2nd guess in the same space and it couldnโt be there.
Anyway, no caboose. On the edge of first class ๐
Wow, awesome.
I’M afraid I am the caboose today, but still on the train.
Yay !!
Ugh. I have done that too. 3 Is great, Tom.
4 here
Great, Vicki !
Nice! I guess I was behind the 8 ball today. ๐
Well done Tom.
It was four for me. I consider myself lucky because the first guess had only one letter and in the wrong position.
Nice as well. I was hopelessly lost. Lucky to get it at all.
Great work, JPD!
Thanks TK !
Autumn was nice !
Onto winter, dark at 5, it could be 90F and that is still winter to me, lol.
Thanks TK.
1,346 โ๏ธ
Too bad Standard Time is only 4 months. Maybe our nation will โwake upโ that this time is the best.
For me, we have 2 keep both time changes, at least with respect to where eastern MA sits in the eastern time zone.
If you stay on standard time year round, the latest summer sunset is 7:25pm and the sun rises at 4:07am. I donโt like that. Something nice about light very late in the evening.
If we stay on DST, the sunrise all winter is AFTER 8am. Itโs hard enough to get up when the sunrises are a bit after 7am
Keep the changes.
Or, in the winter months, if we stay on DST all year, causing the 8am sunrises, the region could for Dec thru Feb push most start times back an hour.
School would start at 9am, the accepted business day would start at 9am.
I wouldnโt want to teach A block with the only natural light coming from lights in the building.
Repeating from yesterdayโs discussion. I remember the 1974 energy crisis wellโฆ.sitting at my desk at work and watching the sun rise at 8:30. Makes it tough for kids waiting for school buses or walking to school especially in snow. But bottom line is the vast majority did not like it
You can never make everyone happy with the time setting. It would be simpler to just correct the root of the problem, the 23.5 deg error in the orientation of the earth’s axis, and declare victory. Then everyone would get what they get all year long!
๐
Thank you, TK.
Explained my 1 minute question on yesterdays but admit to still being half asleep
Hope you got some good rest!
Not in the cards. I blame that one minute ๐ ๐
Thanks TK
I am happy for that extra hour of sleep staying up last night watching that classic game seven of the World Series between the Dodgers and Blue Jays. Will see next season if the Dodgers could be the first team since the Yankees to three peat as champions.
I believe this was the only time that a World Series game was played in November. Does that sound right?
This is what I found
A total of
12 World Series games have been played in November, as of the end of the 2022 series. Seven World Series have gone into November, with the first being in 2001 and the most recent in 2022. The 2022 World Series pushed the total number of November games to 12, and the ongoing 2025 series could add more to the tally.
2001: Diamondbacks vs. Yankees
2009: Yankees vs. Phillies
2010: Giants vs. Rangers
2015: Royals vs. Mets
2016: Cubs vs. Cleveland
2017: Astros vs. Dodgers
2021: Astros vs. Braves
2022: Astros vs. Phillies
Thanks.
That’ll teach me not to believe the Google AI:
“The latest date for a World Series game was November 1, 2025, when the Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 7.”
I suppose it is “the latest date” as in “the most recent date” since it was yesterday!
There ya go. But full disclose, what I posted was
from Google AI as well. ๐ ๐ ๐
Here is another source
https://ibb.co/GDd3GTX
I guess you asked a better question than I did!
๐ ๐ ๐
Hey,,Models are available an hour earlier now!!! YAY!!!!
I was going to say…
Welcome to Standard Time, or in JP Dave’s world “Models-Come-In-Earlier-Time”
๐
Interesting 12Z GDPS
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025110212&fh=198&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=prateptype-imp&m=gdps
Nice start to the SKI Season up North, But NOT here.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025110212&fh=210&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Not unusual as SNE ski season doesn’t typically begin at the half way point of autumn. ๐
Nope, but up North is different.
Yep and I think they will do Ok early on this year.
๐ ๐
We always went to Stowe (which of course is pretty far north) on Veterans Day weekend. The driveway is 1/4 ish a mile long. Weโd need to arrange for it to be plowed before we arrived a majority of the time.
YAY PATS!!
Pats held on to win. Not their best game this year but itโs a win. In the course of a season there will be games like this.
At the halfway point, they are 7-2 and on top of division. Most pundits had them as 9-8 or 8-9 for the season.
Here’s the thing. Not their best game .. definitely. But they pulled out the W in the close game that had some mistakes. That’s a way better team than we had. Last few years, we’d have lost that game.
I think you are saying the same thing. The Patriots 2nd half of the season does not look all that daunting though they play the Bengals, Bills, and Ravens.
10-11 wins, though not a guarantee, will likely get them to the playoffs. Computer models today indicate roughly a 75-85% chance of getting to playoffs. Of course, one win or loss will change those numbers.
Yep! Basically!
Thanks, TK!
Someone needs to tell the Washington Commanders that the game they are playing in started about an hour ago. They haven’t shown up yet. ๐
Just awful. The season is over. Pats are like the commanders of last season.
I was wondering what happened to this graph of temperature and dew point from a nearby station on Weather Underground. Then it hit me!
https://ibb.co/QFVf4NrN
Too funny!
Remember the vertical line test? It fails!
New post…