Wednesday November 5 2025 Forecast (7:02AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

The next in a series of low pressure areas to impact the region approaches today and passes tonight. Ahead of it we see clouds move in, but some sunshine still around to start the day in some locations. Tonight it brings its rain showers through, but as it moves away overnight into Thursday, the bigger story will be the wind that results as the low pressure center, which passes to our north, deepens rapidly while traversing Maine and and moving into southeastern Canada through Thursday. Some damaging wind gusts likely result and isolated to scattered power outage potential exists before winds settle later Thursday. The next system, while not destined to do the blow-up / big-wind thing, it is set to bring another round of wet weather sometime Friday night into Saturday morning, and while it may not completely clear out behind it, I do think we salvage a dry afternoon Saturday and morning Sunday, before the next low pressure area arrives from the west southwest (as the upper flow shifts a bit), and brings another chance of rain later Sunday. Still have some details to work out on the weekend forecast.

TODAY: Early sunshine in some areas, otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a passing rain shower likely including a possible rain squall west to east between 8:00 p.m. and 1:00 a.m. (first southwestern NH, last Cape Cod). Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW 15-30 MPH, with gusts 35-55 MPH from late evening on, including 55-65 MPH potential in higher elevations and Cape Cod.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-30 MPH, higher gusts continuing early, before gradually diminishing from midday on.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.,

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely late night. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

November 10 – upper level low moving through, offshore low pressure development on a frontal boundary, chance of rain showers in our area as clouds linger with temps near to below normal. November 11 (Veterans Day) – shot of chilly air, below normal temps, gusty breeze, but dry weather. November 12 – watch for a disturbance with a minor rain/mix event potential. November 13-14 – return to fair weather with seasonably cool air.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Storm track shifts to Great Lakes with one such system set to take it and bring us unsettled weather around mid period – timing and details TBD.

81 thoughts on “Wednesday November 5 2025 Forecast (7:02AM)”

    2. Excellent Vicki!

      My first guess looked just like yours – nothing. But my second guess didn’t look much like your second one. 🙂

      I got it in four.

  4. Good morning and thank you TK

    41 Overnight, 42 now.

    Ocean temp: 53 (Boston buoy)

    Wordle: 5. Thought I had it in 3 and then 4, nope, 5

  6. Well, interested to see what happens overnight.

    Coastal south shore tends to, along with Cape Cod, end up with some of the stronger wind gusts in these scenarios.

  7. A friend of mine is flying from Logan to Madrid tonite at 9:30. Do you think he will run into delays or get out early enough? Thanks.

  9. Some hope for the Wind tonight. This is From Instant Weather Maps, 6Z NAM and it shows the peak winds for this event.
    At least I scrolled through it and found this to be the most intense at this point.

    https://ibb.co/B2L3HRM9

    1. Great!! I HATE being the caboose!!!

      In all fairness, I had a proper word for guesses 3 and 4 just not the one they wanted. It could have easily been 3 or 4 for me.
      Wordle and I just don’t agree on words!!!!

      1. The words with multiple choices for one letter are the toughest and it truly becomes a game of luck at that point.

  13. I think those high wind watches will be converted to wind advisories. It looks like 40-50 mph wind gusts.

    1. IF the NAM and the HRRR are correct, I totally agree.
      We shall see. I Hope so. We don’t need any damaging winds!!!
      40-50 would be bad enough.

  14. Yesterday the 12z guidance was showing 50-65 mph wind gust potential. It certainly has backed off some. According to a tweet from Ryan Hanrahan yesterday a High Wind Watch is issued when there is potential for gusts of 58mph or higher.

  16. The radio sports talk show hosts are going nuts this morning over the fact that the Patriots didn’t make any moves yesterday.

    Can’t say that I blame them, I wish they made a move or two as well. They better not have any more injuries to key players between now and the end of year. Good luck on that.

    3. Heard some interesting comments yesterday on the Felger and Mazz show.

      They brought up the idea that Vrabel has the team now WORKING together so well that there was some concern that taking 1 or more starting positions away from players may cause a moral issue and disrupt the success of the current group.

      Interesting commentary for sure and I do believe there is some truth to that. Of course, that would depend greatly on the quality of the players brought in.

      In short, as of this moment, I have NO problem with them passing on the trade deadline., however, I reserve the right to change my mind on that should things go South.

    1. Around here it would be a dust devil with leaves. 🙂

      I’ve seen one on a clear day on a lake. It was awesome and it was really ripping up the water with about a 20 foot diameter.
      Watched it traverse a couple of thousand feet across the lake.

    2. “Gustnado” is a chaser / scientist coined term. Once the media gets a hold of a term though – look out! It becomes new and unprecedented. Most of the time, that’s a crock of shit. 🙂

  18. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=MKJS&hours=72

    As I am guessing power is still out for a majority in western Jamaica

    Montego Bay reports 90F with a 75F dp and a heat index of 100F

    I do remember Sue reporting the people who live in Jamaica are acclimated. But, I still feel for them. I am sure plenty of working to start the very beginnings of a slow rebuild or just trying to survive and doing that in a 100F heat index cannot be pleasant.

    1. There is a lot of damage on the western side of the island, with many people no longer having homes. It will be a tough recovery, but the people in Jamaica are strong and will be determined to make it through this together.

      I have also seen resort reopenings r#nging from Nov 15 th to some Sandals resorts not reopening until May 31st. So unfortunately their busiest part of the season will be heavily impacted. The airport in Montego Bay sustained significant damage to 5 of the gate areas, where the roof caved in partially too and allowed a lot of rain water to enter. They started limited operations at the airport this past Sunday.

  19. Its good that the low level jet projection has been easing a bit due to things not coming together as well as projected 24 hrs ago. Can see the sfc low pressure not quite as low in the Gulf of Maine.

    TK, SAK or an other met can verify this next part …..

    Cold air advection, I think, can contribute greatly to mixing the column, so, even at 50 knots above us, if the CAA is strong, a high percentage of that 50 knots could occasionally, here and there, get mixed right down into the boundary layer.

  20. Does anyone have a rough idea of approximate end of major winds tomorrow morning.

    Thank you !!

    1. The “strongest wind” window is 11 p.m. to 8 a.m. with sustained 15-25 MPH lower elevations and 25-35 MPH higher elevations with gusts in the 45-55 MPH range. This is just a tiny shade lower than the previous expectation, but still significant.

      1. Thank you. My granddaughter asked if you’d like to create a separate page dedicated to weather and horse blanketing 😉 😉 😉

    1. Speaking of snow, Eric has flurries for next Tuesday. The way I see it, we have to start somewhere.

      TK – Does Boston and Quincy see its first frost of the season early next week? I see low temperatures of 28 on the extended forecasts.

      I do understand those are “average” not actual temperatures regionwide.

  25. Mike masco tweet and I know it’s early

    1ST MAJOR COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON SET TO DELIVER A WINTER CHILL NEXT WEEK…
    The first true polar front of the season is on track to surge south from Canada late this weekend into early next week, ushering in a sharp and widespread blast of cold air across much of the country.
    As this bitter air mass crosses the Great Lakes, expect lake-effect snow to develop — especially downwind of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie, where warm waters will fuel localized snow squalls.

    Across the #NYC area, temperatures will run 10–20° colder than normal, with highs stuck in the mid-40s as early as Monday and nighttime lows dipping into the 20s and 30s (and even teens for higher elevations outside the I-95 corridor).

    This first cold shot is part of a larger November pattern shift, signaling the start of a dynamic setup featuring wild temperature swings as La Niña interacts with an evolving high-latitude blocking pattern over the Northern Hemisphere.

    While snowfall remains unlikely for major cities this early in the season, this kind of setup can produce early surprises under the right circumstances — so it’s one to watch closely.

    At this time a specific call for early season snow is not showing especially in the MAJOR northeast/midatlantic cities.

    https://x.com/mikemasco/status/1986214266912084018?s=61

  28. It’s become quite a mild evening/night in this brief warm sector in SE Mass.

    Near, even a few obs above 60F.

  30. I don’t think the wind was an issues last night , it was 50 times worse a couple of days ago .

    1. Definitely not 50 times worse. If that had been the case, nothing would be left. 😉

      Some areas were worse overnight, others less so. It depends on where you were. Thankfully eastern areas tended to do better. This was due to a later deepening of the cyclone. To the west, it was worse, which was due to the rain squalls.

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