Thursday November 6 2025 Forecast (6:57AM)

66 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

Low pressure moving by to the north last night was quick-moving, but slower-deepening, which brought in the expected showers, but resulted in the wind under-performing potential, which was great news, keeping any wind damage and power issues to a minimum. Today, we have a gusty, chilly day, with sun and passing clouds in the northwesterly air flow behind the departing storm, rocketing through Atlantic Canada. A few of these clouds can release showers of rain and even graupel with the colder air just above. The quick-moving pattern sends the next low pressure system to our north late Friday into Saturday, its trailing frontal boundary set to bring us another round of showers later Friday night into early Saturday. This system is not going to have nearly as much wind potential with it, so that will not be a big concern. Clearing will be limited behind it but at least some sun can be expected for midday-afternoon Saturday. Quick on this system’s heels is another one via the Ohio Valley, bringing rain back to us Sunday afternoon. A deeper trough associated with this one will slow its departure, and an additional wave of low pressure forming on the frontal boundary as it moves slowly offshore can keep rain in our region into at least early Monday, with still lots of clouds to linger during the day as the upper low crosses the region, producing a few rain showers, maybe even some mix/snow showers by late Monday as colder air arrives. For some, this is the potential to see the first snowflakes of the season, but it’s 5 days out so just keep it in mind for now and I’ll see if it looks more likely as we get closer to that time.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. A quick passing shower of rain and potential graupel can occur. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, gradually diminishing.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.,

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely late night. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely in the evening. Chance of rain / areas of fog overnight. Temperatures generally steady 48-55. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain early. Slight chance of rain showers thereafter. Temperatures steady 48-55 morning, falling slowly afternoon. Wind SW to variable to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts later.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

November 11 (Veterans Day) – shot of chilly air, below normal temps, gusty breeze, but dry weather. November 12 – watch for a disturbance with a minor rain/mix event potential. November 13-14 brings a return to fair weather with seasonably cool air. November 15 sees a chance of unsettled weather from a system moving our way via the Great Lakes.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Storm tracking into the Great Lakes by mid period needs to be watched for redevelopment or cut-off tendencies to bring a chance of unsettled weather back to this area.

66 thoughts on “Thursday November 6 2025 Forecast (6:57AM)”

    1. Already hearing from people (off the blog) to criticize the bad forecast from myself and other outlets. No, it wasn’t a bad forecast. It was a forecast, highlighting the potential. I even used the word “potential” in my discussion yesterday. I think the issue here isn’t the forecast, it’s some people’s lack of understanding and comprehension. That’s where the work needs to be done. I’ve taken to letting each person know to work on that and get back to me. 😉

      1. That stinks, TK !

        Don’t let it get you down !!

        I watch so much less TV weathercasts than I uses to, because the best forecast is here !

        1. We try to watch Pete.
          GETTING intolerable watching any of the local news and it’s propaganda.
          We mute it when they feature that orange menace and/ or his band of idiots from the white house. We only put it on for the real local news.
          SICKENING.

      2. Wow!! Awesome!!!

        Would you care to share the starting word you used?
        I am most curious. ADIEU would have yielded 2 letters, one in position and 1 out. My normal starting word, SLATE. would have yielded one letter out of position. Same as the actual word I used today.

        I have been mixing them up and sort of shooting for getting a word on the 1st guess. I find that even the best starting word yields ZILCH sometimes and that is most discouraging.

        Crazy thought. What if we changed things up a bit and for starting word #1, we all used the same word and then we’re on our own after that. Just an idea that popped into my head.

        1. That’s a fun thought.

          Adieu and Story are the ones I use the most. But I often reverse them. I look for the vowels and add different consonants in. Slate is another I can use.

          That would be a fun idea

          1. I should add that nearly every time I get several letters with my first word and skip the second trying to get it in two, I do worse. I’m a definite two word starter person.

  4. Thanks TK !

    The perigean, nearly full moon looks amazing nearing the western horizon.

    Wordle: 6 Extremely happy with this result, as after three guesses, I had 1 letter in the wrong spot.

  5. Check out 6z gfs for 11/16.
    It will be gone on the 12z run, but nice seeing it just the same.
    Can you say accumulating snow, even for Boston with nearly a perfect set up for this time of year. Too bad it won’t happen.

  6. KIllington got some decent snow overnight and still snowing , even down at snow shed base. Nice

  7. I’m glad the wind wasn’t bad last night. The two weather stations nearest me show maximum gusts of 10 mph and 13 mph. It’s almost dead calm now.

    I got Wordle in four today.

    2. Nice work SClarke. That is about the top speeds here. After a few days ago where I suspect some branches etc are still loose, I’m very glad too

  9. As mentioned above, 6Z GFS

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025110606&fh=246&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Kuchera Snow

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025110606&fh=258&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    10:1 snow

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2025110606&fh=258&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Snow Depth Change

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snodpc_acc-imp&rh=2025110606&fh=258&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    IF ONLY. ha ha ha ha

  10. Thank you, TK. I oddly had a feeling all along that you were not absolutely sold on the big winds.

    43 here up from 41.

        1. He explained WHY he was downplaying the winds.
          Moving too fast and not deepening as fast as previously expected. He was excellent!!!!

    1. Cool. Starting words are tricky. Even the best of the best will fail at times. Can’t catch them all. It depends upon the word.
      Thank you. Amazing game.

  14. For a while I’ve been using a first Wordle guess that has no chance of being the solution. It’s a less-common variant spelling. But, I like it: “meany.”

    I can’t have a fixed second guess because I play using the so-called “Hard Mode” setting. This requires that once you find a letter you have to use it in all the following guesses. I’m not sure it’s really harder.

    1. I used that mode for a while. Not sure why I stopped. Maybe I’ll switch back for a few days.

    2. Interesting. It looks like we all use different starting words.
      Funny game.

      I was playing some past games yesterday and whatever starting word I used, it gave me a bunch of letters and I was able to get it in 2, however, using the same word for the next game gave me nothing and I ended up getting it in 6. I wish there were a magic starting word, but there isn’t. a great starting word might yield a bunch of letters for one word and ZILCH for the next. There are too many words for a one word guess to fit all of them. Just not possible.

  15. Oh my goodness. Far too young. Prayers fir his loved ones, cowboys and all football fans, and all of his nfl family

    The Dallas Cowboys announced the death of defensive end Marshawn Kneeland on Thursday. He was 24.

    The team made the announcement in a statement, which read:

    “It is with extreme sadness that the Dallas Cowboys share that Marshawn Kneeland tragically passed away this morning. Marshawn was a beloved teammate and member of our organization. Our thoughts and prayers regarding Marshawn are with his girlfriend Catalina and his family.”

  16. Very sad news coming from the Dallas Cowboys. Marshawn Kneeland scored a touchdown on a blocked punt Monday night against Arizona.

    1. I had no idea that the Drought Monitor Maps were subject to the federal government. Glad to know that they will continue.

  21. After I posted this morning, looking upstream I decided to add the chance of a quick shower of rain and possibly graupel.

    This has verified. Graupel falling at Fitchburg at this time.

    2. Nothing like this has any correlation to the winter itself. Graupel can happen anytime we have cold air aloft and cold enough air at the surface so the rimed snowflakes don’t melt before they reach the ground.

    1. Nice YouTube video from Tim Kelley just posted as well with some video of the graupel in Beverly today, more pictures from the ski areas, and his snow forecast for the next few weeks. Going to be some serious early season snowpack building in the mountains as well as Quebec over the next few weeks. He also opines a bit on the winter forecast at the end….

      https://youtu.be/qkptPK9JFtc

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