DAYS 1-5 (MAY 5-9)
A healthy southwesterly air flow will create a gusty wind today but also transport warm air into our region, making it the warmest day in several weeks in general. Of course, ocean-modified air will keep the South Coast to MA South Shore cooler than the rest of the region, typical for spring. We’ll see plenty of sun, but clouds start to increase later as we see the first influence of an approaching cold front to our west. This front will not have a significant impact on our weather until Wednesday, when showers arrive from west to east. A few thunderstorms are also possible, with most activity occurring later in the day and at night, due to a wave of low pressure moving by on the front, slowing its eastward progress. After the front goes by, a second wave of low pressure will slow its progression offshore. This means that clouds will probably be fairly widespread at least to start Thursday, but most additional shower activity should occur to the southeast, just impacting Cape Cod and the Islands for the most part. But the delayed clearing eventually gets here, and fair weather dominates later Thursday through Friday, along with it being somewhat cooler. Saturday’s weather is in question. Another upper low visits the Northeast, and a disturbance accompanying it may bring back cloudiness and the chance of some wet weather as well. Don’t cancel any Saturday plans just yet. It’s possible this disturbance threat has more bark than bite, or its timing is such that it arrives at night instead of daytime. I’ll monitor trends over the next few days…
TODAY: Sunny to partly cloudy through mid afternoon then increasing clouds mainly west of I-95 later in the day. Highs 59-66 Cape Cod / Islands, 67-74 eastern CT and RI to MA South Shore and Cape Ann, 75-82 elsewhere. Wind SW increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts 35-45 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A brief evening shower possible southwestern NH. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers possible, chance of thunderstorms, favoring areas west of I-95. Highs 66-73 except cooler South Coast to MA South Shore. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, especially in the evening. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of morning showers, mainly Cape Cod / Islands. Highs 58-65. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 42-49. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Potential for rain favoring later in the day. Highs 58-65. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 10-14)
Blocking pattern re-establishes. Cooler weather favored with pop-up showers underneath an upper low early in the period. Mid period rain potential. Late period fair weather expected.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 15-19)
Blocking pattern holds as does the cool overall regime but looks drier over wetter.
Good morning and thank you TK
56 here after low of 52
Ocean: 47
Wordle: 5 way too many choices. I used 3 before getting it in 5, with several choices remaining. Someone could fail by simply not using the correct choice.
Looking at several models, there may be too much of a Southerly component to the wind to allow 80+ in much of the area. Prime area’ for 80+ would be Merrimack Valley and Southern NH. We shall see. Perhaps I am blowing
Smoke.
Nice, JpDave !
Blowing pollen maybe!
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 4
Way nice! Good job Tom.
4 as well
Excellent 4 TJammer
Nice !
Excellent, Tom and JPD
SPC does throw a 2% tornado, hail, wind contour across a small portion of far Northern New England for later today.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1200_torn.png
Up to 62 here.
I am going to reduce my expectations from yesterday and put my Over/Under here in JP at 77. We shall see what happens.
65 and rising rapidly
I bet Boston (Logan) gets its first 80 of the season. I believe technically it’s around May 1st.
Thank you, TK. Up to 59 from a low of 46
Choices almost got me
Wordle 6
SOOOOOOOOOO MANY of them today. I went through all the ones I could think of and literally tried to guess which one Wordle was throwing at us. I took me 3 times and I could easily have gone to 6 or failed. I consider myself lucky to get it in 5. 🙂
I did the same. Choices are the hardest for me
Welcome aboard !
This says it all. 😀
https://ibb.co/Myb5t67r
64 at the airport where wind has turned a bit more to the West with wind SSW now instead of virtually due South.
68 here.
I got Worde in 3.
What really helped was getting three letters, including the first one, on the first guess, although all out of position.
Awesome. It was the first letter that I struggled to find
I can see that happening!
Me as well as the choices were overwhelming.
Outstanding!!!
Superb SClarke !
Thanks, TK!
Thinking the over / under is 77F for me.
That is the same number I chose. Let’s see if we are correct.
That wind shifted from South to SSW. COuld make a huge difference. I may break 80 here yet and dash my over/under. 🙂
I’ll go with 81 here. Although I’m consistently wrong
Thanks TK
64 at the airport and 66 here.
63 here
still 66 here.
Thanks Tk . 68 in pembroke
There is an awful lot of cloudiness around and even a few showers.
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
This will put a damper on the march to 80 today.