Saturday Forecast

32 Comments

1:08PM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 12-16)
A warm front passed by the region this morning with most of the rain and showers well ahead of it. The air is not that unstable in the warm sector so not really expecting any showers or storms during the day today. A cold front will set off showers/storms in western New England late today and this evening but they will weaken as they head eastward through the region overnight and some areas may see nothing at all. High pressure regains control of the weather Sunday and keeps control for the remainder of this period right into midweek. You will likely notice an increase in warmth and some humidity by Tuesday and Wednesday. During this time a possible tropical system may be in the western Atlantic and stir up ocean swells which may reach the beaches by Wednesday.
THIS AFTERNOON: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 72-77 except 77-82 far inland. Wind light SE to S.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight risk of thunderstorms after 10PM from west to east. Lows 62-67. Wind light SE to S.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 60s. Highs from the upper 70s to middle 80s.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle to upper 60s. Highs from the lower 80s to lower 90s, warmest interior areas.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 17-21)
High pressure to the south should give way to a new high from the north with continued fair but slightly cooler weather August 17. A progressive trough in a fairly fast west-to-east flow should bring a warm front across the region by August 18 and a cold front by early August 19 resulting in a period of unsettled weather. This timing is a little faster than what was suggested yesterday. Behind this would be fairly typical moderately humid August weather with a risk of a few showers/storms otherwise mainly rain-free conditions.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 22-26)
High pressure should be in control for most of this period with drier weather and temperatures near to above normal. Some medium range guidance has suggested another possible tropical system off the coast at some point so just something to monitor going forward.

32 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    1. For sure, in a summer that has been quite nice overall. Slightly wetter than normal, and very close to normal in temperature. We’ve had a few cooler unsettled stretches, but that should surprise nobody, given we live next to the North Atlantic. Good thing our prevailing wind is west, and not east. 😉

  7. This morning Dave Epstein promised dewpoints in the 50s all week but based on the discussion above…not so with higher humidity returning. That figures!

    At least most of the summer, cold fronts have been moving right along and not stalling like they can do this time of year. Hope it continues. 🙂

  11. I figured they would come out angry after the bullpen melt down last night. I did not expect Severino to be bad today for the Yankees. Sale goes tomorrow night but the two times the Yankees have faced Sale they won so will see what happens tomorrow.

    1. At least they have a better than even chance of 2 out of 3 with Sale pitching. I would not have a good feeling otherwise. Probably no chance at all.

      1. Also come to think of it, the Red Sox do not do well on ESPN Sunday night games vs. Yankees…home or away.

        1. Definite advantage with Sale over Jordan Montgomery on paper although Jordan Montgomery has not pitched bad this year for a guy who got that 5th pitching spot out of spring training.

          1. Well, if he is with the Yankees he must be a decent pitcher at the very least. You never know. At least with Sale the Sox have more than a fighting chance regardless of the opponent. I can’t really say the same for the rest of the staff unfortunately.

            1. If Porcello can pitch like he did last year and Price by some miracle could pitch well in the postseason which he has never done then you got a dangerous team with three real good starters in the playoffs.

  12. When the NHC classifies the system east of the Bahamas, I predict the first classification will be a tropical storm with winds of 50 to 60 mph. Though it won’t impact the U.S., I’m surprised they didn’t fly into this thing today. My impression of the satellite loop is that this thing is getting its act together quickly this evening.

    1. As long as it doesn’t impact the east coast or SNE the NHC can do whatever it wants to with it AFAIC. 😀

      1. The GFS is really not doing well with the tropics. I have seen many runs since the upgrade where it raises a tropical system over the water 30mb in 6 hours both here and in the western Pacific while over water. Hope they fix it it at some point :).

        1. meterologists even the developers for the new gds did not want to even put it out yet. But because of current budgets they had to cut it short so noaa can keep other programs

        2. We were warned. 😉

          I’m not even really looking at it at all. It’s already proven its uselessness.

            1. The various tropical models are OK but it depends on the set-up, so that can shift. As far as the conventional models, they all suck beyond a 3 days, the GFS is poor even within 3 days, the NAM occasionally is ok in the short range but can be WAY off so it’s not reliable. The ECMWF is half-decent with a system that is ALREADY developed, not in forecasting the development of a system.

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