Tuesday Forecast

71 Comments

7:11AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 4-8)
High pressure hangs on with nice weather to start today then clouds move in ahead of a warm front, but rain holds off until later tonight, and will favor northern MA northward as the front moves into the region but has trouble pushing too far to the north on Wednesday, a day in which temperatures may range quite widely from north to south across the region. The front will remain in the vicinity as a wave of low pressure moves along it, bringing more widespread showers Wednesday night and Thursday. All of it pushes offshore and high pressure moves in with improving weather to end the week, though the front will be sluggish to move along at first so clouds may linger on Friday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun then increasing clouds. Highs 62-69. Wind light SE.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain late evening and overnight, mainly north of I-90. Lows 50-57. Wind light variable.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain ends north early. Showers arrive west to east evening. More humid. Highs 58-65 north, 65-72 south, but possibly a 72-79 area interior eastern CT or far southern MA. Wind light variable, mostly N to E in southern NH and northern MA, and mostly S to SW in southern MA, CT, and RI.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers, possible thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 73-80. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers ending. Less humid late. Lows 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 71-78. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-53 interior, coolest valleys, 53-58 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 71-78, but cooling back to upper 60s coast afternoon. Wind light variable to NW but coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 9-13)
High pressure controls with fair weather to start the period, but the overall pattern being similar with trough eastern Canada and ridge Great Lakes / Midwest, will send a couple disturbances through the area with shower and thunderstorm threats, variable but overall seasonable temperatures and a lack of early heat.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 14-19)
Gradual transition toward a more zonal pattern, but overall result similar here to the pattern during the 6-10 day period.

71 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.
    A tad chilly this morning as it was 49 when I got up and 55 by the time I left for work.
    BEAUTIFUL out there once again!!!

    re: Bruins
    Well, St. Louis showed up and gave the B’s a game. I guess this one was destined
    to go 7 all along. And now, imho, either team can win this thing. It is clearly not
    a lock for Bruins or Blues.

    1. Its a nice autumn day without the fall foliage.

      I was impressed by the Blues. I think that their talent is not at the level of the Bruins. But, their physical play is really good. I don’t consider them a dirty team. I don’t understand the radio commentators in Boston who suggest that.

      1. St. Louis is pretty damn good and they certainly don’t give up.
        The Bruins will have to WORK for the cup, that’s for sure.

        Dirty? No more than the Bruins.

    1. Yup, there sure is a difference in the Spring and Fall with equivalent
      sun angles. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. What am I missing – May is 66/50 and Oct 61/47 while June is 76/60 and Sept 72/57 They seem quite close with the tad warmer averages in spring.

          1. The analogy Philip, would be turning on the heat in a cold house. The heat (sun) is blasting, but the house takes a while to warm up. (Spring)

            Turning on the AC in a hot house. The AC (lower sun angle and shorter days) is blasting, but the house takes a while to cool down. (Fall)

        2. Not missing anything 🙂

          Think about it though …… If you compare May to September, September is about 5 to 6 degrees warmer and accomplishes that with a sun angle that is 20 to 30 degrees lower in the sky and about 4 hrs less sunlight per day.

          Same idea with April and October. Much higher sun angle in April than October and much more daylight too, yet October is about 5 to 6F warmer than April.

          1. Thanks for the analogy Tom. It took awhile to digest it, but I think I understand. 🙂

            It’s still not going to stop me from complaining once again come next spring probably. 😉

          2. Thanks, Tom. I had a response typed and then lost it.

            I tend to compare the months with the solstices (June/Sept). I see your point when you compare the May/Sept and you surely have more knowledge re sun position.

            I also think there is a perception we all have. In spring 60 is cool and people wear slacks,etc. In fall 60 is a relief. That is just natural.

  6. Another example of delayed max and min temps after the solstices and lagging into the next season …..

    Take the day’s high temp : usually about 3 to maybe 4 hours after the highest sun angle of the day.

    Day’s low temp : usually at sunrise, not in the middle of the night.

    1. IIRC from an Earth Science course back in college, 2:00 PM usually has the highest temps of the day.

      1. I disagree and I don’t care what your text book says.
        Tom is correct. In Summer high temps are around 4PM give or take. In Winter, high temps are around 2PM ish.

  8. The thing with spring is that we deal with winter chill still in Canada. In the fall we have the summer warmth to contend with Sun is most intense in June closest to the solstice. July is our hottest month with August usually our muggiest. The heat season can continue into September but the humidity starts to go back down. Spring will eventually be the only time in which we see below average monthly temperatures probably within the next 20 to 30 years. This based on climate models that I have seen with research professors as an undergrad.

    2. That would probably mean below average snows for our winters as well. Say it ain’t so. 🙁

      1. We have had many snowy winters that averaged milder than average.

        It is not a direct correlation.

      2. Actually could mean the opposite the climate models were slightly increased visually but there was no statistical significance when it came to snowfall. One possible reason is because of increased precipitation. Another is increased -ao events with increased warmth mid-lat will lead to increase times of cold air interacting with warmer moist air increasing storms. BUT we will have increasingly less avg winters it would be a bunch of snow 1 year the next almost nothing

  9. I’ve met Chara quite a number of times in my neighborhood. He can be spotted at the Whole Foods on Cambridge Street, usually in the salad bar section. Very friendly man. Bags his own groceries. His wife is about 2 feet shorter than he is. I’m a whole lot shorter, too. He’s about as humble a guy as you’ll meet. He loves the U.S. and New England (he also loves his home country of Slovakia). He’s taken his kids to the White Mountains several times, he told me.

    I find hockey players modest, accessible, and down to earth. More than players in any other sport, in my opinion. They’re also tough as nails. Ballerinas, snipers, and boxers, all rolled into one. A sport as graceful as it is violent, though for some irrational `reason’ I tolerate the violence in hockey more than football. I adore hockey, and always miss it so much when the season is over.

    I like the way the Blues play. I think their coach is doing the smart thing: Force the stars on the Bruins to the outside with physical play, disrupt any rhythm the Bruins have, and use defensemen to shoot on net, hoping for rebounds. They scored 3 goals on rebounds last night. It’s going to be very tough to beat the Blues. But, I think the Bruins can. Cassidy is a stand-up coach. I like the fact that he gently chastised his star forwards a bit.

    1. I totally agree about the hockey players.

      I played 18 holes of golf with Don Marcotte many years ago.
      I have also met Tyler Seguin and Shawn Thorton.

      Unbelievably nice people, so down to earth and friendly.

      1. Not that I’ve had any personal experience but are baseball players the complete opposite? Just wondering since they make the most money of the other sports and may tend to look down at everyone else, etc.?

        Just a random thought regarding the current topic.

        1. I do not know nor have I ever met any pro athletes other than the hockey players mentioned above. Therefore,
          I am not in a position to comment.

  13. Good positive points from Meteorologist Ben Noll in this tweet
    Good things about a cool June?
    Lower electric bill.
    Comfortable classrooms.
    Better for sleeping.
    Well-behaved hair.

  15. I’ve always wondered why the winter storms seem so hard to figure out yet on June 4th
    People with seemingly near 100% confidence are ready to throw in the towel on the whole month of June if not the entire summer as being cool or even cold?
    Are the patterns at this time of year just more predictable?

    1. No, I don’t think patterns are more predictable in summer. And clearly summer is not over, even if June turns out cooler than normal.

      I have a leak in my car’s coolant system. My mechanic told me just now that “it’s okay to drive it now, but you’ll need it fixed by the end of the month when the weather changes to its normal pattern.” He must be a weather nut. And, he’s probably right. Heat is coming as it always does. And my poor car will suffer if the coolant system leak isn’t fixed.

  17. I just found a way, in the climate data section on Taunton NWS, to get Logan’s climate data for the last 18 years (2000 – 2018) for any given day of the year.

    I ran it for a few days, including today.

    The average high temp for every June 4th since 2000 (not including today has been 66.5F) a good 5F below the 30 year average.

    When school ends, I may need to chart this for meteorological summer up to the end of astronomical summer. I’d be curious to say septembers last 18 yrs of temps vs the 30 year average.

    1. I do recall that growing up around Boston in the early 1970’s that it did “seem” to fully be “summer” by end of the school year. I remember some awfully hot Field Days..,,,,

      1. Because the seasons have shifted. Not that anyone has said that before. 😈 I also remember a fall wardrobe at the start of school in fall and mittens, hats and winter coats under our Halloween costumes.

        1. I can remember in elementary school back in the 1960’s it was hot as early as May and we would make paper fans in class.

          1. Global Warming has changed everything, no doubt about it. Our seasons are clearly out of whack compared to 50+ years ago.

            1. You simply cannot blindly attribute it to “gw” (man-made) or as it is called these days, climate change, at least not fully. Remember that there are a lot of things that impact the long term climate. There are other things to take into account, most significantly decadal indices, and very importantly, the long term solar cycle.

              1. All those indices that impact long term climate is impacted by anthropological induced climate change. Long term solar cycle could be going in certain directions but the earth orbit have settle differences that go on over decades. Based on orbit placement we should be colder not warmer.

                1. people can’t deny our impact on the climate nor that its not rapidly changing. We are seeing a change that should be happening over decades not over 20 to 30 years and the fact that we are on the edge of our 6th mass extinction event proves it.

  18. Before we stamp June as a cool month, we probably should let it occur first.

  20. Matt I didn’t say we aren’t impacting it. I said to him that you cannot BLINDLY attribute it to that only. I see it done all the time.

    1. and I have seen people use that phrase or something similar trying to distract/make an argument against anthropological climate change.

  21. Picture looking east of departing ISS during last night’s clear sky fly-by. It was very cool. Sorry for the long link. I’m just pulling them from FB/net.

    https://scontent.fbed1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/62024946_10157344461742265_7670966248133361664_n.jpg?_nc_cat=106&_nc_eui2=AeH-bz1CDx6m3Q_Wgmb11umyFTCUsMM8_J0t_IpPrJfSd1h01jno__MvxDVISUw9uFspvoifWmricKnYLkt2p1ATXgDM32m8fh-rOJgZYUWUNw&_nc_oc=AQn32xFmZEibtf_VyHTy_BtT7BylD3yYF9b8D8xLwYyTMr8uxw64ITi32OC3BjdLWqM&_nc_ht=scontent.fbed1-2.fna&oh=e102886b79dce808a423b4aa64c604f3&oe=5D8B60DC

    1. Looks like a UFO. Did it make a pit stop in Woburn?

      Kidding aside, that is very cool. Just as cool as June so far.

      You are correct, by the way, June hasn’t happened yet, at least not about 86% of it.

  22. Matt, I appreciate your concern about the climate and our environment. I am similarly concerned, especially in light of our president’s decidedly unscientific way of approaching our environment and climate change.

    However, if I may offer some perspective. Awareness of our environment and mankind’s impact on it is MUCH greater than it was when I was growing up in the 1960s and 70s. Most people now care about the environment, and recycling is a standard practice. This just wasn’t the case 45 years ago. Many people use bikes not only for recreation but also to commute or simply as a means of transportation. Wasn’t the case in my youth. Electric cars are here, as are electric buses, much more efficient jet engines, etc … Again, not the case when I was growing up. There is less pollution of our fresh water than in the 1960s and 70s. We still have a long way to go. But, there has been progress.

    One might counter what I am saying by referring to data that suggests the past 30 years have been the worst in terms of global warming. That may indeed be the case. But, I would argue that: a. We’re not sure about how much of global warming is due to humans. I’m confident some of it is, but we don’t know precisely how much. b. The portion that is due to humans has more to do with the tremendously rapid industrialization of China and India (with almost no regard for the environment) than the U.S. I am not saying America doesn’t contribute to the carbon footprint. We do in a major way. But, so do China and India, which 30 years ago were still mostly in a pre-industrialization phase.

    I place some of the blame on U.S. companies that not only moved their manufacturing overseas for labor costs reasons, but also to avoid environmental regulations. This is why I am ever so skeptical about CEOs like Tim Cook when they talk about the importance of the environment, and how much they care about it. Hypocrisy is rampant, in my view.

    1. I agree with most of what you say. I will add though that china is leading the charge in terms of solar panels
      Europle in general is leading the charge in green tech
      We do know how much this cycle of climate change is anthropologically induced.
      Natural vs natura/human influences
      https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-07/models-observed-human-natural.png
      CO2 (carbon dioxide) CH4, (methane) and N2O (Nitrus oxide ) all increased to unpresidented levels started industrial age.
      https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-07/ghgconc2000-large.jpg
      Solar energy and surface temperature
      https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-07/sunsenergytemp-large.png
      The USA is aweful in that we put our waste in other countries. Many industries go to these developing countries We here int he USA and many countries in western Europe are considered post industrial and are service based industry control with us getting most of our stuff from over seas due to increase wage requirements and other regulations. This is why there is an argument that we need to help these developing countries so that these companies don’t leave to get cheaper labor and less restrictions.

      1. Thanks for the links, Matt.

        I do agree that we have a long way to go and that our environment is our most important resource.

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