8:12AM
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)
Veterans Day 2018, bright, chilly, and breezy, but at least it’s not wet, and that’s lucky given the frequency of wet days this autumn. That pattern will continue with the next wet weather system Tuesday and perhaps another threat late in the week which I’ll discuss in the second section of the blog. No big changes to anything I said yesterday. The track of Tuesday’s low may be just a touch further southeast but that won’t really have much of an impact on what was going to happen anyway, and that is another good slug of soaking rain. Before the storm’s arrival, it’s interesting to note that smoke from California’s wildfires may give the sky a hazy appearance even before the high cloudiness increases on Monday. Still expecting the coldest air of the season so far to follow Tuesday’s storm. Forecast details…
TODAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below freezing morning, 30s afternoon.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 18-26 interior, 27-34 coastal areas and urban centers. Wind light variable.
MONDAY (VETERANS DAY OBSERVED): Smoke-filtered sunshine followed by increasing cloudiness. Highs 43-50. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Thickening overcast. Rain starts pre-dawn, perhaps as a brief mix Worcester Hills and Monadnock region. Lows 32-38. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Overcast. Rain, heavy at times, tapering to lighter rain/drizzle late. Areas of fog. Highs 40-47. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts near the coast.
WEDNESDAY: Windy. Sun/cloud mix. Slight risk of a passing snow shower. Temperatures fall into 30s day, 20s night.
THURSDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the upper 30s to lower 40s.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Storm threat exists for November 16 but at the moment I’m leaning toward an incomplete connection between the polar and subtropical jet streams with the mean burst of energy missing this area to the southeast and just some rain/snow showers around, fair weather following although breezy and chilly on November 17, then clouds and a risk of light precipitation (possibly mix to rain) November 18 as a disturbance not really seen by guidance yet moves into the region. Fair and slightly milder weather to end the period as the jet stream relaxes and a flat ridge overtakes the East.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
Currently expecting important travel/holiday/shopping time to be a fairly quiet stretch of weather with perhaps a weak system bringing light rain at some point around November 23 or 24. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.