DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 14-18)

Will it rain? Will it not rain? If it rains, how much will it rain? Questions without answers. Well we have some answers, but not all of them are complete or confident, but we’ll get to that. First we have a beautiful Sunday to enjoy before our weather pattern takes a turn. Today’s weather is brought to you by Canadian high pressure and brings us lots of sun, a chilly morning compared to recently, but a nice rebound to near normal afternoon highs with low humidity. It’s interesting to note that this morning’s 7:00 a.m. temperatures showcase some of the regional / local differences you can have. Boston, for example, is exhibiting the urban heat island effect with 65 while a typical cool spot, Norwood, sits at 53, just a few degrees above the upper 40s. Meanwhile, out on the islands, ocean water keeps Nantucket modified at 68 while the relatively low elevation air port at Martha’s Vineyard sits at 54. These are the types of things a forecaster has to take into account when they need to get very specific with temperature forecasts, and it’s often easy to forget and have certain areas outside your temperature range, even if the forecast was “generally” good. Anyway, nice day today, and then the change begins Monday, slowly though, as high pressure slides offshore. As a broad area of weak low pressure begins to expand slowly northward along the US East Coast, we’ll first notice some increase in cloud cover, though the humidity rise will be hardly noticeable at first. It’s the Tuesday-Thursday period when we will have our highest humidity and a greater threat of some rain in the region. The model guidance is now all over the place with rainfall amounts – with the 3 models I mentioned yesterday having kind of flip flopped overall, ranging from a tenth of an inch of rain (European model) to a more moderate rainfall event (GFS model’s 06z run after a heavier one on the 00z run), with their colleague the Canadian model getting fancy with a heavier rain event for northeastern MA and southeastern NH while the rest of the region is left out, having just light rain. What does this tell you? It tells you that the guidance is not very helpful for this event just a few days out from it. But since Tuesday is day 3 on a Sunday morning update, and it looks like the main event, whatever that turns out to be, will be Wednesday to early Thursday, I can’t say I’m surprised. To be fair, while not a winter pattern, the set-up of the surface features looks a little like what you see in a colder season storm (just not as strong) so the configuration of that pattern and exact placement of features will be key in determining just how things unfold. So another day must go by before I really try to nail down details, and for now I am going to go with a light to moderate rain event for Wednesday, ending Thursday, and adjustments will be made as necessary.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring the South Coast. Highs 72-79, coolest coast. Dew point 60+. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely eastern MA, RI, and southeastern NH. Chance of rain elsewhere. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Dew point around 60. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible in coastal areas.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 55-62. Dew point lower to middle 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning. Sun/cloud mix afternoon. Highs 75-82. Dew point 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 19-23)

High pressure brings fair and warmer weather with manageable humidity for August 19 through the August 20-21 weekend based on current timing. Humidity increases along with a shower/thunderstorm chance early the following week as high pressure shifts off the Atlantic Coast.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 24-28)

Overall trend is for weak westerly to southerly flow with limited rain chances and near to above normal temperatures. Still don’t see a pattern that brings consistent enough rainfall to do a lot of drought reduction.

C-19 Chat Post – 8-14-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 13-17)

If you are getting up to a blanket of clouds overhead, think of it as the toll booth at the entrance of a very nice weekend, and the toll is a rather cheap one, as we just have a few hours of clouds to deal with over eastern areas from a passing offshore disturbance. Otherwise a magnificent mid August weekend is ours as high pressure becomes dominant and we have low humidity and dry weather. In fact the only negative aspect of this stretch is it allows more building of the drought, but enjoy the nice weather for what it is. Humidity will be making a come back early to mid next week, but this time without the heat. This will take place as the high moves away Monday and a broad but weak area of low pressure to our south tries to head in this direction. With the exception of one really bad GFS run (06z), all reliable guidance now has a fairly minimal impact on our area from this system. If this is correct, it’s not great news, because the possibility of beneficial rain to help the drought diminishes greatly in the scenario being depicted by most guidance, and that is to take the bulk of the rainfall initially out to the south, then turning northward and northwestward too late to help us (though parts of northern New England, especially Maine, would do better). So while our weather becomes more humid and somewhat unsettled later Monday into Wednesday, I’m less optimistic about a helpful rain event.

TODAY: Lots of clouds especially eastern areas into mid morning, exiting from west to east, lastly on Cape Cod, by late morning, with a sun/cloud mix after. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point ranging from the upper 40s to middle 50s most areas but still near 60 across Cape Cod before falling into the 50s. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH, a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Ground fog patches forming over interior lower elevations. Lows 51-58, coolest interior lower elevations. Dew point near 50. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. A chance of showers near the South Coast by late-day. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 61-68. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 72-79, coolest coast. Dew point 60+. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Dew point near 60. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 18-22)

Low pressure trough lets go of the area with maybe a spot shower or thunderstorm otherwise fair and warming up August 18, then high pressure takes over with dry and warmer weather and most likely a return to moderate humidity through the August 20-21 weekend, and maybe a bit more heat and humidity sneaking in by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 23-27)

High pressure dominates with below normal rainfall and near to above normal temperatures during the last full week of August.

C-19 Chat Post – 8-13-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 12-16)

A frontal boundary went by overnight with Friday’s morning showers occurring before the sun came up, which leaves us with a nice day today – sun/cloud mix, much cooler than recently, and finally much lower humidity. Other than a disturbance bringing some cloudiness later tonight and for part of Saturday morning, we’re setting up for a very nice mid August weekend, courtesy of high pressure – lots of sun, manageable temperatures and low humidity. Enjoy if you can! Early next week, high pressure gives way to a broad but weak trough of low pressure which will increase the cloud cover, humidity, and eventually rainfall chances – although it worries me a bit, regarding potential drought relief, that all of the medium range guidance today already looks less impressive for that rain chance. This will be something to monitor. Will keep Tuesday’s shower chance in the forecast for now.

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Dew point falling into 50s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Mostly cloudy overnight. Lows 56-63. Dew point near 50. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Lots of clouds until mid morning, then mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point near 50. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows 61-68. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 72-79. Dew point 60+. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 17-21)

Less impressed by the guidance regarding the rainfall threat for early in this period, but will keep the shower chance in the forecast for August 17, with a few additional showers and thunderstorms possible for August 18. Dry trend for later in the period. Not looking for the return of hot weather at this time, although somewhat of a warming trend will likely occur.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 22-26)

High pressure dominates with below normal rainfall and near to above normal temperatures during the last full week of August.

C-19 Chat Post – 8-12-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 11-15)

A disturbance passes southeast of New England today bringing a short-lived rainfall episode to RI and southeastern MA, maybe a brief sprinkle to the northwest of there, then improving weather but limited sun after that. Humidity will still be at moderate levels with a light southerly air flow. Tonight and early Friday, a cold front crosses the region with a shower chance, and this will open the door to cooler and drier air to flow in during Friday. The weekend looks fabulous with high pressure and dry air in place. High pressure shifts offshore and the approach of a low pressure trough Monday means an increase in cloud cover eventually, but still rain-free.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy through midday with an episode of rain RI and southeastern MA and a few sprinkles possible further north on the I-95 belt. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to S 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming N.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of showers during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 56-63. Dew point falling to lower 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy early, then mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point near 50. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 16-20)

Don’t look now but we have a shot of beneficial rain from low pressure drifting up the Eastern Seaboard in the August 16-17 time frame. I’m not going to say lock it in yet but it’s our best shot in a while at widespread rainfall that doesn’t fall all at once then run off. Will monitor and fine-tune. It would come with higher humidity but not hot weather, in fact below normal temperatures. Showers and thunderstorms may occur August 18 with lingering instability before we dry out and warm up later next week, based on current timing.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 21-25)

Looking at a “summer zonal” flow overall with mostly fair weather, moderate to higher humidity and mostly near normal temperatures, but may end up with a push of cooler/drier air from Canada before the end of the period.

C-19 Chat Post – 8-11-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 10-14)

The hot spell is broken, and we’ll be in a cooler regime through the coming weekend. Thunderstorms brought up to an inch or two of rain to some areas Tuesday afternoon and early evening, especially south of I-90. Despite some locally heavy rainfall, the drought continues for the region and will for the foreseeable future, as we have not been able to get any widespread beneficial rain events in succession. I briefly had hope for some beneficial showers behind our frontal passage, but that is not going to materialize. Only a swath of showers will cross southeastern areas early on Thursday. We’ll keep moderate humidity in place both today and Thursday, with coolest air today and a bit of warm-up Thursday ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. This front will cross the region Thursday night and early Friday and may produce a few showers, followed by a delivery of much drier air. This is going to set up a beautiful mid August weekend as high pressure arrives.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 73-80, coolest in eastern coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely overnight mainly eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Chance of passing showers elsewhere. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy start with showers likely southeastern MA/RI. Otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming N.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of showers during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 56-63. Dew point falling to lower 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 55-62, warmest urban areas. Dew point near 50. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with light coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 15-19)

High pressure shifts offshore and a broad low pressure circulation over the Middle Atlantic States combine to send higher humidity air back this way next week, but this time without the high heat, as a southeast to south air flow will be dominant with maritime modification. This low pressure trough should result in up to 3 days of greater rainfall opportunities, which would be potential good news for drought relief.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 20-24)

A typical August pattern looks like it will be with us heading into late month – weak zonal flow, warmth and some higher humidity at times, but also watch for an intrusion of drier/cooler air from Canada at some point as well. Still not seeing any solid signs of drought-busting rainfall, even from the tropics, but looking this far out into the future is of course a lower confidence forecast.

C-19 Chat Post – 8-10-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 9-13)

A back-door cold front made it down through the NH Seacoast region to about eastern and northern reaches of Cape Ann MA during last night. Today, it pushes back the other way keeping all of us in the heat and humidity combo for one more day before a cold front moves across the region this evening. Ahead of this front there is a very good chance of thunderstorms, but the coverage may not be widespread, but rather scattered to numerous, and the leaning is toward the southern half of MA southward for the heaviest cells this afternoon into this evening, some of which can be severe. Areas to the north should pay attention too during this afternoon as a few stronger storms are still possible there as well. Once the front moves by, the heat is pushed out, but as is typical for August, there’s not a strong push of drier air right behind this boundary, so while Wednesday is to be a considerably cooler day, the humidity will still be elevated and we’ll see lots of clouds with a general northeasterly air flow. Sadly, what I had hoped would be a beneficial rainfall event from a wave of low pressure doesn’t seem like it is in the cards now, but we’ll watch for a surprise. That wave looks weaker and fairly quick moving, timed for Wednesday night and early Thursday, favoring RI and southeastern MA where a few hours of rainfall may take place before the region ends up with a fairly nice day Thursday – sun/cloud mix, still a bit humid, but not hot. Another frontal boundary pushes through Thursday night into Friday, and this may kick off a few more showers during about a 12 hour period of time as we transition to much lower humidity and a cooler ending to the work week. High pressure builds in with great weather to start next weekend.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms likely, some of which may be strong to locally severe. Highs 90-97 except 83-90 South Coast. Dew point around 70. Wind SW 10-20 MPH except variable under 10 MPH early NH Seacoast and northeastern MA.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly this evening and especially south of I-90. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 73-80, coolest in eastern coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely overnight mainly eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy start with showers likely southeastern MA/RI. Otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming N.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of showers during the morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 56-63. Dew point falling to lower 50s. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 14-18)

Fair weather should last through the end of the weekend on August 14. After that a slow increase in humidity and eventually a shower chance by the middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 19-23)

Weak zonal flow pattern. Some alternating between summer warmth and humidity and a little drier/cooler air from Canada possible, but rainfall is expected to average below normal.

C-19 Chat Post – 8-9-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 8-12)

Our hot weather stretch is nearing its end with 2 more days to go of 90+ (for most). While the Bermuda High continues to provide the heat and humidity, there may be a sneak-preview of the coming cooler air when a back-door front sneaks down the coast of Maine and NH to about Cape Ann MA tonight into Tuesday before being pushed back to the north. So for several hours, the temperatures in those areas can be quite different than much of the rest of the region. This frontal boundary may enhance the development of the air mass showers and storms that will be forming here and there later today, if any should be in that region, so keep an eye out for that. On Tuesday, our final push of heat comes just ahead of an approaching cold front, which will initiate a more widespread batch of showers and thunderstorms for the region in the afternoon and evening hours. We’ll have to watch for any of these to be strong to locally severe. As this boundary passes, it’s going to open the door to cooler air for midweek, but as is typical for an early to mid August cold front, the humidity is not going to just vanish. That will remain rather high for a couple days, and with the front coming to a halt just to the south before starting to dissipate, a little low pressure wave coming along it may result in some beneficial shower activity, at least for the South Coast region, mainly Wednesday afternoon and night based on current timing. I think this should pull out of the region by early Thursday, and we’ll have a nice, mild to warm but moderately humid summer day on that day. Another frontal boundary will deliver drier air to the region by Friday, which also looks like a fair weather day at this time, but much cooler than the week will start out.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Isolated pop-up showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening, any of which can be on the stronger side. Highs 90-97, except 83-90 South Coast. Dew point upper 60s to middle 70s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 68-75 except 61-68 NH Seacoast in northeastern MA. Dew point upper 60s to lower 70s except lower to middle 60s northeastern MA to NH Seacoast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, strongest South Coast, except NE up to 10 MPH northeastern MA and NH Seacoast.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms likely, some of which may be strong to locally severe. Highs 90-97 except 83-90 South Coast. Dew point around 70. Wind SW 10-20 MPH except variable under 10 MPH early NH Seacoast and northeastern MA.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 75-82, coolest in eastern coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers early, mainly South Coast. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point 60s. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Dew point falling to 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 13-17)

August 13-14 weekend looks fair with temperatures slightly below to near normal with high pressure holding unsettled weather to the south of New England. A little uncertain following this as we’ll be near an area of unsettled weather but high pressure may be able to keep the region dry into early next week as well.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 18-22)

Weak zonal flow pattern. Some alternating between summer warmth and humidity and a little drier/cooler air from Canada possible, but rainfall is expected to average below normal. We’re also getting to the time of year where we have to watch for possible tropical moisture from the south, and some medium range guidance has hinted at “activity” but that’s nothing unusual to see so far in advance. Just a reminder that tropical season is a wild card in the medium range uncertainty for the next several weeks…

C-19 Chat Post – 8-8-2022

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 7-11)

The hot and humid spell goes on for another 2 days, and then we lose the heat but keep the humidity Tuesday through Thursday as a frontal boundary moves slowly into and across the region from north to south. Today and Monday will feature the air mass pop up style showers and thunderstorms which will be mostly isolated and occur mostly during the afternoon to early evening. The shower and thunderstorm threat goes up with greater coverage expected Tuesday and Wednesday. A wave of low pressure on the frontal boundary has the potential to enhance the activity so we got a shot of beneficial and much-needed rainfall on Wednesday. After this, the question becomes how quickly will we see improvement, with Thursday being a day of uncertainty. If the boundary is slow enough, we get a day dominated by cloud coverage and additional shower chances. If it clears the region a little more quickly, we dry out more quickly. I’m slightly leaning toward the slower scenario for now but with low confidence, and fine-tuning will definitely be needed in the days ahead…

TODAY: Mostly to partly sunny. Isolated to scattered afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms. Any thunderstorms can be locally strong to severe with wind damage being the greatest threat. Highs 88-95 except 81-88 some coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s to lower 70s. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH but some east coastal sea breezes possible. Variable winds with moderate to strong gusts possible around any storms.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 68-75. Dew point upper 60s to 70. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 89-96, cooler South Coast. Dew point near 70. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms in the evening. Areas of fog. Lows 68-75. Dew point upper 60s to lower 70s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 82-89, cooler in some coastal areas. Dew point around 70. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH, a few higher gusts possible.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point upper to middle 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 75-82, coolest in eastern coastal areas. Dew point upper 60s. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 77-84. Dew point 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 12-16)

High pressure builds in with cooler, drier weather to start the period, seasonably warm and dry weather for the August 13-14 weekend, then the high pushes offshore with an increase in humidity and possibly shower chances early in the following week.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 17-21)

Still leaning toward a little more up and down with temperature, zonal flow pattern but allowances of cooler / drier air to come down out of Canada. Despite upcoming rain chances, not seeing a longer-term wetter pattern to end the ongoing drought, but will continue to watch for this.