DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

The Greenland Block pattern continues. A fairly weak, fast-moving disturbance crosses are area today with lots of clouds and a brief, minor precipitation threat in the form of potential light rain/mix north and a few rain showers South Coast, followed by a return to breezy weather Thursday and Friday with a passing sprinkle/flurry possible each day as upper level low pressure crosses the region. High pressure provides a fair weather interlude with less wind Saturday before the next disturbance moves rapidly our way via the Great Lakes Saturday night into Sunday with another rather brief period of precipitation – leaning toward rain for most of the region with a low pressure track just to the north and a redevelopment overhead and just to the east as the system moves quickly offshore. The windy, chilly conditions return during Sunday behind that system.

TODAY: Cloudy into midday with a touch of light rain/mix possible mainly I-90 belt northward, and some rain showers South Coast into early afternoon. Clouds think and break for some sunshine afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A brief passing rain/mix shower possible. Highs Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. A slight chance of a passing sprinkle/flurry (if early enough). Highs 44-51. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 26-33. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. A period of rain – some mix possible southern NH briefly. Lows 35-42 early, then rising slightly. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy very early with rain ending, then a sun/cloud mix and a slight chance of a passing rain shower. Highs 43-50. Wind W to NW increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

Blocking pattern stays in place but shifts orientation eastward slightly during this period. We’ll watch for the next low pressure system mid to late period heading for the Great Lakes with a possibility to redevelop closer to New England.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 22-26)

No changes to this part of the outlook with expected main storm track into Great Lakes and a bit milder pattern for our region. But any storms do need to be watched for redevelopment further south and east depending on the degree of blocking in place. This is the pre-Thanksgiving travel period so the weather becomes very important during this stretch of days and more refining of this forecast will be upcoming.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

The large scale pattern now features a “Greenland Block” set-up with high pressure over the ice block super-sized island, forcing colder air into the northeastern US along with a series of disturbances. Today is Veteran’s Day and I’d like to thank any veterans reading for their service! Veteran’s Day ceremonies outside today will be met with a gusty breeze and below normal temperatures today as we are in a strong westerly air flow behind a cold front. Enough instability and cold air combines for a few light convective showers developing in our area and/or migrating this far from the Great Lakes. Precipitation will be insignificant, but for some areas the first snowflakes of the season will be seen. The next disturbance comes our way via the Great Lakes Wednesday, and while upper levels cool to produce a mainly cloudy day as the trough passes overhead, the surface temps will moderate a little with a southwesterly breeze. Spotty very light rain (maybe brief mix if early enough and far enough inland) can occur, but for the most part it will be the cloudiness that’s dominant and not the precipitation. Thursday will be today junior with a gusty breeze, a chill, and maybe a passing sprinkle or snow flurry, and Friday will be a similar but with a slightly lower chance of a sprinkle or flurry, mainly in higher elevation areas. Saturday will feature fair weather with high pressure in control to start the weekend.

TODAY (VETERAN’S DAY): Clouds with intervals of sun. A brief snow flurry or sprinkle of rain possible, favoring higher elevations north and west of Boston. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A touch of light rain possible anywhere at times, even some early-day mix may occur mainly north of I-90. Highs 47-54. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A brief passing rain/mix shower possible. Highs Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. A slight chance of a passing sprinkle/flurry (if early enough). Highs 44-51. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 26-33. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Blocking pattern stays in place but shifts orientation eastward slightly during the course of this period. Initially, a system will head east southeast through the Northeast in a west northwest air flow and can bring some light snow/mix/rain to the region to end the weekend on November 16, with some unsettled weather potentially lingering into November 17 if the system is strung out enough as it moves underneath blocking high pressure to the north. Fair weather dominates the middle of next week but toward the end of the period low pressure heads for the Great Lakes and brings clouds and maybe a precipitation chance back to the region at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

No changes to this part of the outlook with expected main storm track into Great Lakes and a bit milder pattern for our region. But any storms that track into the G.L. need to be watched for redevelopment southeastward or quasi-cutoff tendencies depending on the degree of atmospheric blocking still in place. So there remains some uncertainty and low confidence here.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

At upper levels, a low pressure trough will continue its slow trek across the Northeast early to mid week. At the surface, a warm front continues to drift northward across the region with light wind, areas of drizzle and fog in place, with a few rain showers as well, with a more southerly air flow set to take over toward midday as that front lifts northward and a cold frontal boundary approaches from the west. A wave of low pressure developing on that boundary will prolong occasional rainfall through the daylight hours. Tonight, the low moves beyond our region and opens the door for a drier, colder air mass from the west. Tuesday, Veteran’s Day, will be a chilly and windy day, with mainly dry weather, but we’ll have to watch for passing sprinkles of rain and flurries of snow due to cold air aloft associated with the upper level trough. An additional disturbance will dive out of the Great Lakes region and through this trough on Wednesday, bringing us lots of clouds. Previously, my forecast called for any precipitation with this system to remain north of our region, but I do need to include the chance for a little light rain/mix here, albeit insignificant. After the departure of this system, Thursday’s weather will resemble what is expected on Tuesday with breezy, chilly conditions, with a slight chance of a passing light shower of rain/mix/snow in a few areas. I’m expecting a little faster timing for the disturbance I previously mentioned for the start of the weekend, which shifts Friday’s forecast to include the chance of brief, insignificant precipitation.

TODAY: Overcast. Area of fog and drizzle with isolated to scattered showers this morning, then periods of rain this afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind variable under 10 MPH early, becoming S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Rain showers and a possible thunderstorm early, followed by breaking clouds. Lows 33-40. Wind shifting to W and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY (VETERAN’S DAY): Clouds with intervals of sun. A brief snow flurry or sprinkle of rain possible, favoring higher elevations north and west of Boston. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A touch of light rain even some early-day mix may occur mainly north of I-90. Highs 47-54. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A brief passing rain/mix shower possible. Highs Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. A rain/mix shower possible. Highs 46-53. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

High pressure brings fair weather to the region for the November 15-16 weekend with seasonable temps. Storm tracks into the Great Lakes early next week bringing a shot at unsettled weather to our region, followed by a return to fair weather toward the middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

Watching one or two low pressure systems to track toward the Great Lakes with the potential to redevelop closer to New England bringing additional unsettled weather chances. Low confidence forecast. Still no temperature extremes indicated.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

An upper trough moves slowly through the Northeast today through Tuesday. It first produces unsettled weather from an initial low pressure area approaching from the southwest later today when its warm front generates some rainfall, especially later this afternoon and evening. A low level onshore flow will add moisture for drizzle and fog tonight into early Monday, and as the first low’s cold front reaches the coast Monday, additional low pressure triggered by the upper trough will prolong rain chances through the day, which finally come to an end in the evening as the low moves by and pulls the front offshore. Behind this comes a shot of colder air for Tuesday, Veteran’s Day, along with a mix of sun and abundant clouds as the upper low still has to finish crossing the region. These clouds can produce a sprinkle of rain or a light snow shower (especially in higher elevations) but no serious precipitation will occur. It will be “seriously chilly” and quite breezy however. So if you plan to be outside for Veteran’s Day ceremonies or any other reason, my suggestion is to dress for below normal chill and a biting breeze with wind chill temps in the 30s. A disturbance in a northwesterly air flow will bring lots of clouds to our region Wednesday, though I expect any light precipitation to stay north of our region. This will be followed by fair and windy weather Thursday. Temperatures will remain below normal through the mid week period.

TODAY: Partial sun early favoring eastern MA and the South Coast, otherwise mainly cloudy. Patchy light rain north central MA to south central NH early to mid morning. Rain chances increase from south to north late-day. Chance of thunderstorms South Coast region end-of-day. Highs 48-55, coolest coast. Wind N shifting to E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Occasional drizzle. Periods of rain evening including a thunderstorm chance mainly Cape Cod area. Temperatures steady 48-55 or may rise slightly. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog early. Periods of rain. Highs 55-62. Wind S 5-15 MPH, shifting to W late.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY (VETERAN’S DAY): Clouds with intervals of sun. A brief snow flurry or sprinkle of rain possible, favoring higher elevations north and west of Boston. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 47-54. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

The upper flow sends one more disturbance our way via the Great Lakes from the west northwest around November 15 with brief light precipitation possible. After this, the upper flow shifts to take a more robust low pressure system into the Great Lakes mid to late period. Depending on the degree of high latitude blocking in place, we’ll have to watch for that system, if it occurs as prognosticated, to try redeveloping and/or cutting off closer to our area with a greater thread of unsettled weather. This is not a high confidence forecast but a current best-guess. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)

The pattern that establishes itself toward the end of the 6 to 10 day period continues here as well, although this outlook does remain lower than average confidence at this time and I’ll continue to monitor pattern trends and medium range guidance’s reaction to them. No temperature extremes indicated.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

A weather pattern that has featured fast-moving systems has slowed a bit with a broad trough to move through the region this weekend into the start of the new week. The cold front that was approaching our region and sent showers into the area last night has slowed to quasi-stationary and is allowing additional showers (even a few downpours with potential thunder for Cape Cod) over much of our region this morning, after which we will see a drier interlude with some partial clearing starting this afternoon. During this time, the frontal boundary will sag to the south and east, but another approaching low pressure area that it connects to will start to push it back northward as a warm front on Sunday, bringing us another episode of wet weather Sunday afternoon and evening. As that low center moves by to our west, a trailing cold front will amble into the region as we get to Monday, but again the front will be nearly parallel to the upper level flow for a while as the trough axis will be yet to move through from the west. This will allow yet another wave of low pressure to form, move up across the area, and prolong the rain chances well into Monday. Finally, this wave moving by and eastward advancement of the trough will signal an end to this unsettled weather episode and the arrival of a chilly, dry air mass Monday night and Tuesday (Veteran’s Day), with a gusty breeze and below normal temperatures. Outdoor Veteran’s Day ceremonies that take place Tuesday will have to contend with the gusty chill, but at least it will be a precipitation-free day. Another disturbance dives southeastward from the Great Lakes bringing lots of clouds back Wednesday. I’m not 100% sure yet if we see any precipitation from that disturbance as it may stay to our north. Depending on timing, if we do, a little light mix of rain/snow could be seen in portions of our region, but I’m leaning dry for now.

TODAY: Cloudy with occasional rain showers this morning including a slight chance of thunderstorms over Cape Cod. Partial clearing with a bit of sun possible this afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W shifting to N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Early partial sun, then cloudy. Periods of rain in the afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind N shifting to E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Occasional drizzle and a chance of rain. Temperatures steady 48-55. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog early. Periods of rain. Highs 55-62. Wind S 5-15 MPH, shifting to W late.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY (VETERAN’S DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 47-54. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Upper flow shoots disturbances our way via the Great Lakes with the potential for short-duration precipitation events and near to below normal temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 18-22)

Despite a lot of wishy-washy medium range guidance, leaning toward an upper pattern that sends a couple systems into the Great Lakes, which would be a slightly milder but still variable temperature pattern here with one or two opportunities for unsettled weather.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

A cold morning to start the day today but a decent temperature rebound follows as a southwest wind becomes established ahead of an approaching trough and cold front. This front will bring a round of rain showers late tonight to early Saturday morning before departing to the east. The air behind that front isn’t too chilly so look for it to feel rather mild for early November on Saturday with a sun/cloud mix. We’ll not be able to eek out a fully nice weekend through as another upper trough and associated surface low pressure area will approach on Sunday with rain chances coming back during the afternoon after a dry start. This trough will be a little deeper and larger in size than its predecessor and allow a second low pressure wave to form on the frontal boundary heading off the coast, prolonging rain chances into Monday – timing looks like morning to midday with a later-day drying trend. Follow this system comes a shot of much cooler air for Tuesday, Veteran’s Day, along with a gusty wind but dry weather.

TODAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely late night. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Early partial sun, then cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 51-58. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain likely until midday. Breaking clouds later. Highs 52-59. Wind S 5-15 MPH becoming variable then shifting to W.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 32-39. Wind W-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 41-48. Wind W-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

More clouds from a passing disturbance November 12 but precipitation chances look minimal at best. Next shot at precipitation comes at the start of the November 15-16 weekend – details uncertain. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

Storm tracking into the Great Lakes early to mid period needs to be watched for redevelopment and more unsettled weather into our area. Drier trend later in the period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

Low pressure moving by to the north last night was quick-moving, but slower-deepening, which brought in the expected showers, but resulted in the wind under-performing potential, which was great news, keeping any wind damage and power issues to a minimum. Today, we have a gusty, chilly day, with sun and passing clouds in the northwesterly air flow behind the departing storm, rocketing through Atlantic Canada. A few of these clouds can release showers of rain and even graupel with the colder air just above. The quick-moving pattern sends the next low pressure system to our north late Friday into Saturday, its trailing frontal boundary set to bring us another round of showers later Friday night into early Saturday. This system is not going to have nearly as much wind potential with it, so that will not be a big concern. Clearing will be limited behind it but at least some sun can be expected for midday-afternoon Saturday. Quick on this system’s heels is another one via the Ohio Valley, bringing rain back to us Sunday afternoon. A deeper trough associated with this one will slow its departure, and an additional wave of low pressure forming on the frontal boundary as it moves slowly offshore can keep rain in our region into at least early Monday, with still lots of clouds to linger during the day as the upper low crosses the region, producing a few rain showers, maybe even some mix/snow showers by late Monday as colder air arrives. For some, this is the potential to see the first snowflakes of the season, but it’s 5 days out so just keep it in mind for now and I’ll see if it looks more likely as we get closer to that time.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. A quick passing shower of rain and potential graupel can occur. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, gradually diminishing.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.,

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely late night. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely in the evening. Chance of rain / areas of fog overnight. Temperatures generally steady 48-55. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain early. Slight chance of rain showers thereafter. Temperatures steady 48-55 morning, falling slowly afternoon. Wind SW to variable to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts later.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

November 11 (Veterans Day) – shot of chilly air, below normal temps, gusty breeze, but dry weather. November 12 – watch for a disturbance with a minor rain/mix event potential. November 13-14 brings a return to fair weather with seasonably cool air. November 15 sees a chance of unsettled weather from a system moving our way via the Great Lakes.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Storm tracking into the Great Lakes by mid period needs to be watched for redevelopment or cut-off tendencies to bring a chance of unsettled weather back to this area.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

The next in a series of low pressure areas to impact the region approaches today and passes tonight. Ahead of it we see clouds move in, but some sunshine still around to start the day in some locations. Tonight it brings its rain showers through, but as it moves away overnight into Thursday, the bigger story will be the wind that results as the low pressure center, which passes to our north, deepens rapidly while traversing Maine and and moving into southeastern Canada through Thursday. Some damaging wind gusts likely result and isolated to scattered power outage potential exists before winds settle later Thursday. The next system, while not destined to do the blow-up / big-wind thing, it is set to bring another round of wet weather sometime Friday night into Saturday morning, and while it may not completely clear out behind it, I do think we salvage a dry afternoon Saturday and morning Sunday, before the next low pressure area arrives from the west southwest (as the upper flow shifts a bit), and brings another chance of rain later Sunday. Still have some details to work out on the weekend forecast.

TODAY: Early sunshine in some areas, otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a passing rain shower likely including a possible rain squall west to east between 8:00 p.m. and 1:00 a.m. (first southwestern NH, last Cape Cod). Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW 15-30 MPH, with gusts 35-55 MPH from late evening on, including 55-65 MPH potential in higher elevations and Cape Cod.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-30 MPH, higher gusts continuing early, before gradually diminishing from midday on.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.,

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely late night. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

November 10 – upper level low moving through, offshore low pressure development on a frontal boundary, chance of rain showers in our area as clouds linger with temps near to below normal. November 11 (Veterans Day) – shot of chilly air, below normal temps, gusty breeze, but dry weather. November 12 – watch for a disturbance with a minor rain/mix event potential. November 13-14 – return to fair weather with seasonably cool air.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Storm track shifts to Great Lakes with one such system set to take it and bring us unsettled weather around mid period – timing and details TBD.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

An active early November pattern has established, but it’s a fast-flow aloft with quick-moving systems. One such went by last night with a batch of showers and even some embedded thunderstorms around. Today’s weather behind that will be windy, chilly, but dry, with strongest wind through early afternoon before it starts to ease later in the day. But it stays breezy as the next system approaches and the wind flips from northwest to southwest Wednesday. Another quick-moving low will pass to our north Wednesday night with a round of rain showers, and Thursday’s weather will remind you much of today’s behind that one. And on we roll with another wind shift to southwest and a slightly milder day Friday, with the next low pressure system making a run into the region later Friday night and early Saturday with additional rain showers. Clearing may be a little stubborn or fail to occur on Saturday as the frontal boundary become parallel to the upper flow, the latter of which will be turning a bit more southwesterly. Currently, I do expect the rain threat to end, clearing or not, for that afternoon, but I’ll keep an eye on it as it wouldn’t take much additional bending of the upper air pattern to keep the rain shower threat going.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 49-56. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 35-50 MPH, strongest over higher elevations and in exposed coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW with higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.,

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely late night. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

Next low pressure area brings a rain chance November 9 to end the weekend, favoring the afternoon. Watching for a quick shot of colder air early next week – mainly dry and windy but can’t rule out a passing shower of mixed precipitation or snow with the advance of the colder air. Temperatures moderate slightly but some unsettled weather opportunity returns later in the period with low pressure heading for the Great Lakes.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Primary storm track into Great Lakes, but if systems are strong enough / far enough east we need to watch for redevelopment or even cut-off with any system. Too early to say which day(s) would be most likely to feature unsettled conditions, just the overall pattern to keep an eye on during this period with more detail to be figured out in time.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

This week features an “every-other-day” weather system, though timing brings a lot of the action through during evening and nighttime hours. Today starts it off with what is actually two low pressure areas, the first one from the southern jet stream, making a run out just to our south and tossing its rain shield into southeastern New England later in the day to early this evening, the second being a cold front trailing from low pressure moving across southeastern Canada which brings rain showers to our area tonight. Behind this comes a dry but blustery and cool day Tuesday as high pressure builds toward the region, but creates a tight pressure gradient between itself and low pressure in southeastern Canada. Unless you’re a hardy soul, a jacket and probably a hat will be required if you will be out and about, including heading to vote as it is an election day. The next low pressure area is from the northern jet stream, which is becoming our dominant “weather-maker”, and will bring rain showers to our region later Wednesday, mainly at night. This is followed by another cool, blustery early November day on Thursday, before the “wash-rinse-repeat” pattern sends the next disturbance our way later on Friday with the potential for more wet weather that night.

TODAY: Increasing clouds. Light rain probable by late-day eastern CT, RI, southeastern MA. Rain showers likely end-of-day west of I-495 in north central MA and southwestern NH. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, becoming SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain showers pushing west to east across the region. A slight chance of thunder mainly west of I-495. Clearing overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 49-56. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW with higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 29-36. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain showers at night. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

Two more low pressure systems with probable impact, one on November 9 and another end-of-period. Overall progression of system slows somewhat as the pattern becomes a little less organized.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Unsettled weather potential very early in the period, and again at the end of the period. Jury is out on whether we see more progressive systems heading through the Great Lakes or a slower-moving pattern of more cut-off low pressure occurring a little further south.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

We switched from Daylight Saving to Standard time this morning! If you have not moved any manual clocks back one hour, now is the time to do so! This means our sunrise, by clock, was “earlier” – in the 6:00 a.m. hour, and the sunset will be prior to 5:00 p.m. today. Happens ever year – nothing new there! Onward we go into the “dark days” of later autumn and today will be one with a cold start and a slightly more pleasant, albeit still cool afternoon with lots of sun and some interrupting high and mid level cloud patches from a passing weak upper disturbance. Remember once upon a time “the models” touted this system as a rainmaker for today. This is why forecasts get updated and not based on model data way out in the future, which is simply guidance with limitations. But yes, a nice early November day for us today as high pressure builds in at the surface while that disturbance is passing by above. This is a signal though for an active and fast-flowing pattern which will bring several low pressure / frontal systems our way. Monday, we’ll see both a southern stream system and northern stream system make a run at our area. These will be close to but not quite phasing until they pass by. The southern stream low passing to our south will toss a shield of generally light rainfall as far north as eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA (maybe up to Metro Boston) later Monday afternoon into Monday evening, while a cold front associated with the northern stream low pressure area passing to our north will sweep through from west to east in the early evening with its own band of rain showers. Ahead of this, Monday will be a very slightly milder day that today is, but behind it call comes another chilly, breezy day for Tuesday, but with dry weather. The next system, a northern stream low pressure and frontal boundary, comes our way late Wednesday to very early Thursday with what looks like a fairly quick round of light rain Wednesday evening with a warm front, favoring areas north of I-90, then a band of rain showers with a very early Thursday cold frontal passage. Another shot of cool air along with gusty wind follows this for Thursday with dry weather returning.

TODAY: Sunshine with passing cloud patches. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Light rain probable by late-day eastern CT, RI, southeastern MA. Rain showers likely end-of-day west of I-495 in north central MA and southwestern NH. Highs 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy early with rain showers in northeastern MA and southeastern NH, then clearing. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Brief rain potential northern MA / southern NH evening. Chance of a rain shower overnight west to east. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW with higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloudy mix. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

Quick-moving pattern goes on into the second week of November with two more system passing by during this period with unsettled weather opportunities (late November 7 to early November 8 and later November 9 to early November 10, based on current expected timing). More detail to come for these days. Temperatures variable – averaging near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Medium range guidance puts less emphasis on the chance for a cut-off low later in the period impacting our region, and more emphasis on a more defined storm track through the Great Lakes with a couple more unsettled weather chances around passing frontal boundaries with temperatures near to slightly above normal for mid month. Will monitor trends here.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

A cool opening weekend for the month of November, starting rather breezy today as the air flows around the back side of a storm in eastern Canada, then diminishes for Sunday as high pressure builds in. We’ll still see some cloud patches around today from back-side-of-low air flow, and Sunday maybe some high and mid level cloud patches from a small upper disturbance moving by. The weather pattern going forward through these first several days of the 11th month of 2025 will be active, with a “system” about every other day. During this period our timing is later Monday and later Wednesday. The Monday system actually is two systems, one southern stream and one northern stream. My thoughts are we see no phase, the southern one passing just out to sea to our south, while the northern stream features low pressure tracking eastward, passing to our north, and dragging a cold front through here Monday evening when there can be some rain showers. This sets up a breezy, cool, dry Tuesday with a northwesterly wind. But the fast-moving pattern sends a small high pressure area just to our south and the wind switches to southwest Wednesday ahead of the next low pressure and frontal system – a slightly more robust northern jet stream disturbance. This brings the chance of more significant rain showers by that evening.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine / cloud patches. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower. Lows 41-48. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

TUESDAY: Early clouds, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Chance of rain late. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

Similar pattern – quick moving systems passing by. A cool, breezy, dry November 6. Next small system moves through with a rain/mix shower chance late November 7. Timing suggest next wet weather chance is brief but better later November 9. Will fine-tune. Temperatures variable – averaging near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Watch for a storm system tracking through the Great Lakes early to mid period with more unsettled weather. Late period indications of a broad, slower-moving or potentially “cut-off” type system bringing another chance of unsettled weather. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)

Low pressure lifts northward from northern New England into the St. Lawrence Valley today, bringing us drier but windy weather for Halloween. We may see a brief passing sprinkle of rain in a few locations, but for the most part it’s dry, mild at first then cooler, and quite breezy to windy. As previously mentioned, some wet leave patches may still be around on some streets and walkways into this evening, so use caution if walking or driving, particularly during the trick-or-treat time frame. Our weekend will be cool and dry with an assortment of clouds, but also some sunshine each day, with dry weather continuing Monday as well. Monday night and early Tuesday, a trough in the polar jet stream sends low pressure north of us with a cold front passing by. Meanwhile, a southern jet stream system will make a run at the region but the moisture from it should stay mostly to our south with a lack of interaction / phasing between the two jet streams. Briefly unsettled weather is possible early Tuesday before dry but windy weather sets in.

TODAY: Lots of clouds, intervals of sun, and a slight chance of a brief passing sprinkle of rain later. Highs 55-62 by midday, then slowly cooling. Wind SW to W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

HALLOWEEN EVENING: Cloud / moon mix. Temperatures fall from middle 50s to upper 40s. Wind W 10-20 MPH but gusts in the 25-35 MPH range but can exceed 40 MPH in higher elevations and over Cape Cod.

OVERNIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloud / sun intervals. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers early. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

Weakening split flow pattern with less involvement from southern jet stream which fades while the northern jet stream becomes dominant. Brief rain/mix showers possible November 6 with passing disturbances / fronts. Otherwise a mostly dry pattern with temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

One or two systems can impact the region but no major storminess expected. General low pressure track through Great Lakes creating variable temperatures for our area.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)

High pressure in Atlantic Canada and approaching low pressure from the south continues to produce broad scale onshore flow with a stratus cloud deck and areas of drizzle today while high and mid level clouds increase and thicken unseen above that. As low pressure passes just west of our area and redevelops overhead tonight and very early Friday, we’ll have an area of moderate to heavy rainfall, partially enhanced by a moisture connection to distant Hurricane Melissa which will be approaching and passing Bermuda – although the bulk of this enhanced moisture does pass just east of our region. Friday, low pressure will lift northward through Maine and into far southeastern Canada, with an elongated center stretching back to the west – north of our region. This will kick up a moderate, gusty westerly wind with generally dry weather for Friday, but I cannot rule out a quick-passing afternoon shower, especially north of I-90, favoring the hills of north central MA and southern NH, from wrap-around moisture and a little orographic enhancement. Any of these would be brief in locations that they did occur. While it’ll be relatively mild during the daytime on Friday, we’ll have a quick cool-down with a continued gusty wind during the evening, and lot of clouds passing by the waxing gibbous moon adding to the spooky vibe for Halloween evening. We do need to be mindful of a couple of things regarding trick-or-treat and travel by foot or car. Areas of downed leaves that were soaked during the previous rainfall may not have fully dried out, and that can create slick spots for walking or driving. Additionally, stronger wind gusts can create a hazard for falling branches from weaker trees. Use extra caution. The gusty wind will continue into Saturday, shifting more from west to northwest as the low pressure area progresses further into Atlantic Canada. The wind will slacken later Saturday and Sunday. During the cool weather this weekend, we’ll have a sun/cloud mix both Saturday and Sunday, but the clouds likely end up more dominant on Sunday due to the passage of an upper level disturbance. Monday’s weather looks fairly tranquil and a little less chilly with a weak area of high pressure following the departure of Sunday’s upper disturbance.

TODAY: Cloudy. Patchy drizzle. Rain arrives late-day / evening southwest to northeast. Highs 50-57. Wind E 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with rain, heavy at times. Lows 48-55. Wind SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. An early-day shower possible north of I-90. A late-day shower possible southwestern NH and north central MA. Highs 57-64. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloud / sun intervals. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

Weakening split flow pattern with less involvement from southern jet stream which fades while the northern jet stream becomes dominant. Brief rain showers possible early November 4 and brief rain/mix showers possible November 6 with passing disturbances / fronts. Otherwise a mostly dry pattern with temperatures near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

One or two systems can impact the region but no major storminess expected. General low pressure track through Great Lakes creating variable temperatures for our area. More detail on day to day weather for these days as it gets closer.

HURRICANE MELISSA UPDATE

The hurricane crossed Jamaica yesterday and is currently (as of this writing) crossing eastern Cuba, set to track through the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands later today, weakening, and finally making a close pass to Bermuda late Thursday / early Friday, continuing the weakening process and beginning its post-tropical transition. As previously mentioned, a minor moisture infusion may occur into our upcoming storm system, but not one that will significantly enhance our rainfall amount potential. Consult the latest advisory from NHC for complete information about this system.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 29 – NOVEMBER 2)

Broad-scale onshore flow continues and the lower levels are more moist so that the stratus cloud coverage is more extensive, and this will be the case today, though there can be enough dry air working in to cause some breaks in the clouds and maybe even a few intervals of sun. Also, we may see some drizzle patches off the ocean. A low pressure area will offshore to the southeast will move away today. We then turn attention to the next storm system developing to our south, destined to take a track just to our west later Thursday then redevelop over Maine on Friday before heading into Atlantic Canada. Any moisture infusion from the tropical activity well to the southeast should miss our area (may clip Downeast Maine on Friday). We will, however, have a nice slug of rainfall with the system over several hours from evening Thursday to pre-dawn Friday, which does help to continue to reduce our precipitation deficit. Behind this system, expect a breezy, drier, but mild day Friday. There may be a lingering shower with the departing storm system’s occluded front first thing in the morning, and a little wrap-around moisture can trigger an afternoon shower in the hills of southwestern NH and north central MA for a brief time. Otherwise, heading into the trick-or-treat hours it looks like variably cloudy skies will play with the waxing gibbous moon and a gusty breeze will add some spookiness to the overall feel of the evening. Watch for fallen leaves that can still be wet from previous rainfall when walking and/or driving and stay safe! …. Heading into the weekend (and the first 2 days of November), high pressure brings fair but breezy weather Saturday as the high center is to our west and still producing a fairly tight pressure gradient in combination with low pressure in Atlantic Canada. This will relax a bit on Sunday. Previously I was eyeing a potential disturbance for some unsettled weather Sunday, and while the system is still technically there, it will likely be insignificant and only bring some cloud patches and no threat of any precipitation, so basically a dry weekend forecast is the result.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle possible especially eastern coastal locations. Highs 48-55. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Possible drizzle. Lows 43-50. Wind NE to E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Patchy drizzle. Rain arrives late-day / evening southwest to northeast. Highs 50-57. Wind E 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain, heavy at times. Lows 48-55. Wind SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. An early-day shower possible north of I-90. A late-day shower possible southwestern NH and north central MA. Highs 57-64. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloud / sun intervals. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

Trend is for a split flow on the large scale with a weakening southern jet stream and more dominant northern jet stream. Interaction of the two can produce a brief rain event about November 4, but there’s also a chance this interaction fails to occur and we just have a frontal passage from the northern stream system. Another disturbance approaches by the end of the period with a rain/mix shower threat. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

Next best shot at a passing unsettled weather system is mid to late-period. Temperatures near to slightly below normal.