7:01AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 22-26)
High pressure brings fair weather today, low pressure diving across the Great Lakes and crossing the Northeast brings unsettled weather Tuesday, then a shot of chilly air arrives behind this for midweek with high pressure building in with fair weather into late this week.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 35-42. Wind light SW.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of rain midday and afternoon which may begin as some sleet interior MA and southern NH. Highs 45-53. Wind light SE.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a risk of rain showers early, then clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind variable becoming NW increasing to 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 46-53. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Diminishing breeze. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs in the 40s.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 27-31)
The period of October 27-29 is highly uncertain, detail-wise, but is likely to be unsettled and possibly quite stormy for a portion of it. Timing and specifics are still unknown. There could still be a scenario which brings 2 separate systems nearby or over the region (October 27 and 29) and a scenario where it is one main system (October 28). These scenarios also leave open the possibility for frozen precipitation to be included especially for interior higher elevations. The weather should turn more tranquil toward the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
Watch for another possible storm system in the first days of November as the temporarily stormy pattern continues. Temperatures near to below normal.

8:11AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 21-25)
A disturbance moving through with a little wet weather to start the day leads in a fresh mass of colder air which will overtake the region as the day goes on with a gusty, chilly breeze even as the sun makes a re-appearance later. A more tranquil Monday then another gusty but slightly milder Tuesday, but not without a couple rain showers around as a warm front / cold front combo passes through the region courtesy a fast-moving but small low pressure area diving southeastward across the Great Lakes. This brings in another shot of colder air for midweek. Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy start with areas of rain into mid morning then a mix of sun and clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind NW increasing to 15-25 MPH and gusty.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-33. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty, gradually diminishing overnight.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 35-42. Wind light SW.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. A few rain showers possible. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 26-30)
Fair weather to start the period then the threat of unsettled weather with the current feeling that an initial storm will pass out to sea to the south and a second storm will bring a rain/wind threat late October 28 into October 29 with drier weather back to end the period. Not high confidence on timing and details yet.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 31-NOVEMBER 4)
Another storm system may move through as November arrives with dry weather to start and end this period. Temperatures near to below normal.

6:47AM

This is a very quick version as I’m on my way out the door for the Southern New England Weather Conference, a.k.a. geek-out day. 😉

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 20-24)
Warm front gets by the region about dawn and cold front arrives tonight. In between we get a pretty decent Saturday out of the deal. Sunday turns windy and chilly across the region. The next cold front will pass through the region Tuesday. None of these will have a great deal of unsettled weather with them. Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouds most dominant early and late when a rain shower is possible. Sunshine in between. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a rain shower possible early. Lows 38-45. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain showers mainly morning hours. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a rain shower. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 25-29)
The period starts dry with temperatures near to below normal, then some moderation. Late-period brings that long-watched storm threat, but details still unknown this far in advance.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 30-NOVEMBER 3)
A little more unsettled with another system or 2 to impact the region, but strength and timing will not be known for a while.

7:04AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 19-23)
Not a whole lot of change to be made for today’s update. After a cold start today, it moderates nicely and we have a milder Friday afternoon and milder air lasting into Saturday before another strong cold front delivers a new shot of chilly air to the region Sunday into Monday. Another cold front approaches Tuesday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A rain shower possible overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH with gusts to 40 MPH or greater over Cape Cod and the islands.
SATURDAY: Clouds most dominant early and late when a rain shower is possible. Sunshine in between. Highs 61-68. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a rain shower possible early. Lows 38-45. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain and snow showers. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a rain shower. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 24-28)
Right now it appears an area of low pressure on a front to the south of the area will stay far enough south not to bring any additional precipitation during the October 24-25 period I’d been watching, and high pressure will then take control throughout the period which starts cooler than average then moderates to near to above average.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 29-NOVEMBER 2)
This looks like a more unsettled period with probably 2 storm systems to impact the region, likely early and again late in the period (about October 29 and November 2). Plenty of time to work out details.

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 18-22)
A short, sharp, shot of air more typical of late November than mid October today. This was introduced by a band of showers late Wednesday, along with some strong and gusty winds, and a second round of gusty winds with isolated rain and snow showers in a few locations overnight. But today will be bright and very chilly. But a quick moderation will follow after a cold start to Friday, and this milder air will hang around into Saturday before another cold front charges across the region and introduces another shot of chilly air for Sunday into Monday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill from the upper 20s to middle 30s.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-35, coldest interior areas, least cold urban centers and immediate shore. Diminishing NW wind.
FRIDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 53-60. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 59-66. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to middle 60s.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain and snow showers. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 22-26)
Cold front passes October 23 with a new shot of cool air. Front may hang up just to the south and allow low pressure to move along it south of the region with an unsettled weather threat for a portion of October 24-25 before high pressure moves in with fair weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 28-NOVEMBER 1)
Guidance signals of a storm are consistent on models for late October but inconsistent on timing. Will eye this period and focus on October 29-30 at this time.

7:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 17-21)
Today will be a rather nice day by October standards but another cold front is on the way and will bring the coldest air we’ve seen in quite some time for Thursday. A moderation occurs Friday after a very cold morning, one which will end the growing season in a large portion of the region except urban centers and the immediate coast, and another cold front passing through during Saturday will bring another surge of chill for the second half of the weekend. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers late-day mainly north and west of Boston. Highs 54-63. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Isolated rain showers evening mainly Boston area southward. Slight risk of a passing rain/snow showers southern NH, central and northeastern MA late night. Lows 31-39. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW but with gusts of 25-45 MPH expected.
THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill from the upper 20s to middle 30s.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-35, coldest interior areas, least cold urban centers and immediate shore. Diminishing NW wind.
FRIDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 53-60. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to middle 60s.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated rain and snow showers. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 22-26)
Fair with moderating temperatures October 22. An early rain shower threat then breezy and cooler October 23 as another front passes. This front may settle just south of the region with a low pressure area on it so will have to watch for nearby unsettled weather at mid period in case it ends up further north. Fair and cool by late in the period in either case.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 27-31)
Continuing to see guidance signals of a possible storm during this period but it remains too early to be certain of this.

7:22AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 16-20)
A new weather pattern has arrived and this one will feature frequent shots of chilly air. A cold front moved through last night with some fanfare in the form of downpours and gusty winds, which lasted for several hours after the downpours, but will settle down during the day. Another cold front will charge across the region Wednesday evening and introduce air more seasonable for late November or early December for Thursday. A temperature moderation will follow this but the next wave of chilly air will be approaching during Saturday which may end up a little unsettled with a rain shower threat. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, gradually diminishing during the day.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 54-63. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A passing rain shower possible early. Lows 34-40. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW with higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill from the upper 20s to middle 30s.
FRIDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Lows from the upper 20s to middle 30s. Highs in the 50s.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to middle 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 21-25)
A windy, chilly October 21 behind a cold front. Fair with moderating temperatures October 22. An early rain shower threat then breezy and cooler October 23 as another front passes. This front may settle just south of the region with a low pressure area on it so will have to watch for nearby unsettled weather at the end of the period in case it ends up further north.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 26-30)
Fair and generally seasonable to start the period. There have been signals on some guidance for a possible East Coast storm late in this period but cannot say with any confidence whether or not this will occur. Something to monitor going forward.

7:23AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 15-19)
Once upon a time the was a hurricane named Sergio in the Pacific Ocean. He crossed the Baja and the southwestern US, produced wintry weather in the Rockies and severe weather in the Plains and Midwest. He’s much weaker than he once was but still can run pretty fast. Today his jog takes him from the Great Lakes to southeastern Canada, but along the way he’s picked up a warm front and a cold front, that dangle from him as he moves along. That warm front will bring a round of showers to the region this morning and midday and that cold front will slide across the region tonight producing showers and even a few thunderstorms. Once Sergio has departed for distant lands the door will be open for a fresh chilly air mass from Canada. This arrives overnight and during Tuesday as high pressure scoots across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. This high then goes south of the region Wednesday which briefly and slightly moderates, but is still a cool day nevertheless, but mild in comparison to the air mass that arrives behind the next cold front, which passes during Wednesday night. Thursday will be quite chilly and breezy, feeling more like a day in the middle of November. You’d be fooled more readily if the leaves were still not to peak color and still on the trees. But even this brief sting will be short-lived as it moderates again Friday. But suffice it to say we have entered a much cooler weather pattern in comparison to what we had going on for quite some time. Forecast details…
TODAY: Clouding over west to east early to mid morning. Rain showers arriving west to east mid to late morning through midday before tapering off to isolated showers. Clouds may break for sun at times during the mid to late afternoon. Highs 58-66 occurring late-day. Wind light variable this morning, S 5-15 MPH this afternoon, gusting 20-25 MPH by late in the day.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers and possible thunderstorms crossing the region west to east. A few brief downpours with gusty wind possible, especially eastern CT, eastern MA, and RI. Humid evening, drying overnight. Temperatures steady in the 60s may even rise briefly evening. Lows 43-50 by dawn. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible, shifting to NW from west to east.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible evening. Highs 54-63. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Windy. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
FRIDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Lows from the upper 20s to middle 30s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 20-24)
Weekend of October 20-21 starts milder with a rain shower risk Saturday then turns breezy and chilly again Sunday. Fair October 22 then a rain shower risk as the next front passes October 23. This front may settle just south of the region with a low pressure area on it so will have to watch for nearby unsettled weather at the end of the period in case it ends up further north.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 25-29)
Fair and generally seasonable to start the period. There have been signals on some guidance for a possible East Coast storm late in this period but cannot say with any confidence whether or not this will occur. Something to monitor going forward.

7:24AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 14-18)
Quick update here, basically moving yesterday’s forecast forward with a few tweaks. High pressure slips south of the region today. Sunshine will be about today but it will be filtered by high cloudiness as some warmer air arrives above us. Low pressure (former Sergio), tracks north of New England late Monday, pushing a warm from through first, then a cold front through in the evening, with a couple rounds of showers, one with each front. A dry and chilly northwesterly air flow follows this Tuesday through midweek, reinforced by a second cold front passing by late Wednesday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 56-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind light SW.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. A couple episodes of rain showers. Highs 58-65. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 44-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 53-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows from the lower to middle 40s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 19-23)
Dry with a cold start and milder finish to October 19. Weekend of October 20-21 starts milder then turns breezy/chilly again as a cold front bisects it but probably produces little or no precipitation in the process. Fair, slight moderation in temperature late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 24-28)
A wet weather threat possible around October 24-25 followed by mostly dry weather. Temperatures near to below normal.

8:14AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 13-17)
A disturbance moving rapidly west to east across the region this morning and midday with cover the area with a canopy of cloudiness and also produce some periodic rain, but this will move out in quick fashion leaving behind only the risk of an isolated instability shower popping up in a few locations as colder air arrives aloft during the afternoon. This sets up a chilly Saturday night. Can’t rule out patchy frost over interior low elevations although with recent warmth, the ground may be just too warm to support much in the way of it. High pressure dominates, its center passing south of the region, with plenty of sun and a slightly milder afternoon after a cold start Sunday. Things are moving along quickly and the low pressure area that was once Sergio, a Pacific tropical system, will pass northwest of New England late Monday dragging a rain shower-producing cold front through the region. A dry and cool northwesterly air flow follows this front for Tuesday, with a second cold front approaching by later Wednesday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy with periods of rain morning-midday. Sun and passing clouds with a risk of an isolated rain shower early through mid afternoon. Complete clearing late-day. Highs 52-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 36-42 except 43-49 immediate shore and urban areas. Wind light W.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 40-47. Wind light SW.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Rain showers arriving west to east late-day. Highs 58-65. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 40s to lower 50s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Lows from the lower to middle 40s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 18-22)
Breezy/dry/chilly October 18 with a delivery of Canadian air. Westerly flow, dry and a little milder October 19. Weekend of October 20-21 starts milder then turns breezy/chilly again as a cold front bisects it but probably produces little or no precipitation in the process. Fair, slight moderation in temperature end of period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 23-27)
A wet weather threat possible around October 24-25 otherwise generally dry early and late period. Temperatures near to below normal.

7:30AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 12-16)
The post-tropical version of Michael passes just south of New England today and has spread its rain shield across southern CT, RI, and southeastern MA where it will be for a few hours before heading out to sea along with the storm as dry air overtakes the region today. A quick-moving disturbance will bring cloudiness and the threat of a little rain to the region during the first half of Saturday before the remainder of the weekend is dry and cool. The remains of Pacific tropical cyclone Sergio will track through the Great Lakes and drag a cold front this way wit a shower risk Monday before more dry and cool air follows that. Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy start with rain south and east of a line from northeastern CT to Boston, moving out from west to east during midday. Clearing west to east this afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind NE 15-35 MPH South Coast shifting to N then NW. Wind lighter N to NW increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts elsewhere.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Increasing clouds overnight. Lows 42-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain morning-midday. Clearing afternoon. Highs 52-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 36-42 except 43-49 immediate shore and urban areas. Wind light W.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Lows from the lower to middle 50s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 17-21)
Quick moving front may produce a rain shower around October 18 otherwise mainly dry weather and below normal temperatures this period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 22-26)
Watching for 1 or 2 low pressure systems to impact the region with potential wet weather. May be the type of pattern where a few areas see their first snowflakes as well. Temperatures mostly below normal.

7:35AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 11-15)
The back-door front slipped through NH and northeastern MA which sits in the upper 50s to near 60 early this morning but hasn’t made it all the way to the southwest where temps sit in the upper 60s to 70, and it will generally remain like this for a while before that front pushes back to the northeast and the areas damp/cool turn warm/muggy. The foggy/drizzly conditions in the cool air will just be replaced by showers, which are possible anywhere this morning and likely everywhere this afternoon, some of then heavy with even a thunder risk later in the day and in the evening as a stronger cold front pushes in from the northwest, also having picked up some moisture from Hurricane Michael in the process. The remains of that once very powerful storm will be passing south of New England Friday, having lost its tropical characteristics and also become much weaker. It will prolong the rainfall near the South Coast into Friday morning before a drying trend overtakes the region. Much cooler air is on the way for the weekend, but a little wrinkle has appeared in the form of a minor disturbance that will bring cloudiness and the risk of a little rain for a portion of Saturday morning and midday as it moves rapidly west to east. Sunday will be the nicer of the two weekend days. Monday, the weather will head downhill again as the remains of what was once a Pacific tropical system (Sergio) head through the Great Lakes and drag a cold front toward the region. Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle with scattered showers morning. Widespread showers and a chance of thunderstorms with possible heavy rainfall afternoon and evening. Damp north and east and muggy south and west morning, muggy all areas afternoon. Highs 67-74. Wind light NE in northeastern MA and southern NH morning, SW up to 10 MPH elsewhere, then SW 10-20 MPH all areas afternoon.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Numerous showers, some heavy, with a chance of thunderstorms through late evening, then diminishing. Areas of fog. Muggy. Lows 62-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW overnight.
FRIDAY: Cloudy start with rain likely South Coast and a chance of rain showers elsewhere, then a clearing trend. Drying. Temperatures generally steady in the 60s cooling into the 50s evening.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain morning-midday. Clearing afternoon. Highs 52-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the middle 50s to lower 60s.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Lows in the 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 16-20)
This period will feature mostly dry weather with a possible brief interruption of rain showers around mid period with a reinforcing cold frontal passage. Temperatures generally below seasonal averages.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 21-25)
There are signals for some unsettled weather both early and again later in the period. Temperatures near to below normal.

7:33AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 10-14)
This update will be short and sweet, as there are basically no changes from yesterday. Today will feel like summer. Tonight, a front will slip down from the Gulf of Maine, bringing a rather quick temperature drop. While this cool air invades the region from northeast to southwest at the surface, the warm and humid air will continue to flow just over that and another cold front will be approaching from the northwest, which itself would bring numerous showers, though these will be somewhat enhanced due to an infusion of moisture from Michael, a land-falling powerful hurricane day on the Florida Panhandle today, weakening to a tropical storm as it passes across Georgia and the Carolinas through Thursday. The front that came through as a back-door cold front will likely return back to the northeast as a warm front yet again Thursday night, just ahead of the cold front from the northwest, which will finally start pushing everything out of here as the center of Michael’s remains passes south of New England on Friday during its transition to an ordinary low pressure area. The passage of this low may be close enough to hold some rainfall in near the South Coast for a portion of Friday morning before a drying trend overtakes the entire region. Friday itself will still be somewhat mild as we’ll have to wait for a secondary cold front to deliver much cooler air by the start of the weekend as it passes by early Saturday. High pressure will be in full control Sunday – a perfect autumn day. Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Highs 75-83. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Cloudy with areas of fog, patchy drizzle, and a chance of showers overnight. Humid evening, damp overnight. Lows 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to NE from northeast to southwest.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle with scattered to numerous showers morning. Widespread showers and a chance of thunderstorms with possible heavy rainfall afternoon and evening. Damp morning, muggy afternoon. Highs 67-74. Wind light E morning, SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Numerous showers, some heavy. Chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Muggy. Lows 62-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy start with rain likely South Coast and a chance of showers elsewhere, then a clearing trend. Lowering humidity. Temperatures generally steady in the 60s cooling into the 50s evening.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Lows from the middle to upper 40s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 50s to lower 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 15-19)
Low pressure that was once Pacific Hurricane Sergio will pass north of the region October 15 bringing a front with rain showers through. Much of the remainder of the period will be dry with below normal temperatures through a reinforcing cold front is due around October 18.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 20-24)
Trend for this period is mostly dry weather other than a minor rain shower threat from a couple frontal passages, and near to below normal temperatures dominating. May have to watch for the approach of a larger wet weather system by the end of the period.

7:20AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 9-13)
Another warm surge is on the way, coming in behind a warm frontal passage this morning and lasting through Wednesday. But quick changes will follow this as our warm-up is attacked from 2 directions, the first being the friendly warm front which will have turned around and sneaked back as a a back-door cold front that slips in via the Gulf of Maine late Wednesday night into early Thursday, bringing a rather quick temperature drop. While this cool air invades the region from northeast to southwest at the surface, the warm and humid air will continue to flow just over that and another cold front will be approaching from the northwest, which itself would bring numerous showers, though these will be somewhat enhanced due to an infusion of moisture from Michael, a land-falling hurricane Wednesday on the Florida Panhandle, weakening to a tropical storm as it passes across Georgia and the Carolinas through Thursday. The front that came through as a back-door cold front will likely return back to the northeast as a warm front yet again Thursday night, just ahead of the cold front from the northwest, which will finally start pushing everything out of here as the center of Michael’s remains passes south of New England early Friday during its transition to an ordinary low pressure area. The passage of this low may be close enough to hold some rainfall in near the South Coast for a portion of Friday morning before a drying trend overtakes the entire region. Friday itself will still be somewhat mild as we’ll have to wait for a secondary cold front to deliver much cooler air by the start of the weekend as it passes by early Saturday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny with patchy fog morning. Partly to mostly sunny afternoon. Increasingly humid. Highs 73-79. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 62-68. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Humid. Highs 75-83. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Cloudy with areas of fog, patchy drizzle, and a chance of showers overnight. Humid evening, damp overnight. Lows 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to NE from northeast to southwest.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle with scattered to numerous showers morning. Widespread showers and a chance of thunderstorms with possible heavy rainfall afternoon and evening. Damp morning, muggy afternoon. Highs 67-74. Wind light E morning, SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.
FRIDAY: Cloudy start with rain likely South Coast and a chance of showers elsewhere, then a clearing trend. Lowering humidity. Temperatures generally steady in the 60s cooling into the 50s at night.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy early then mostly sunny. Lows from the middle to upper 40s. Highs from the middle to upper 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 14-18)
Chilly and bright start and milder and filtered sun finish to October 14. Moisture from former Pacific Hurricane Sergio, in the form of a low pressure area passing northwest of the region with a trailing cold front, brings a chance of showers sometime during October 15 to early October 16. The remainder of this period looks generally dry with below normal temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 19-23)
Trend for this period is mostly dry weather other than a minor rain shower threat from a frontal passage around mid period, and near to below normal temperatures dominating.

7:36AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 8-12)
We have had plenty of air mass changes lately, and another one occurred Sunday afternoon and evening as a cold front dropped down from the north and cooled the region off again. We’ll remain in that cooler air today before the front goes back to the north as a warm front early Tuesday, bringing one more taste of summer into the region Tuesday and Wednesday. The next weather change will be slightly more dramatic as a stronger cold front approaches from the west Thursday and moisture from Gulf of Mexico TS Michael, forecast to be a hurricane before landfall on the FL Panhandle, gets involved with the front and enhances the rainfall. The actual system should pass just south of the region early Friday, but far enough south to keep its heaviest rain and strongest wind offshore, although a slight shift to the north in that track and things could change. For now will go for a quicker improvement in weather on Friday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy. Patchy drizzle. Isolated rain showers. Highs 57-63. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Patchy drizzle. Scattered rain showers. Damp. Lows 50-56 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SE under 10 MPH shifting to S.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Humid. Highs 68-75. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Humid. Highs 76-83. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Muggy. Rain showers likely especially afternoon and night with the potential for heavy rainfall. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain especially southeastern areas early, then clouds/sun and breezy. Less humid. Temperatures fall through the 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 13-17)
October 13-14 weekend looks dry and quite cool, sun/cloud mix with a gusty breeze Saturday, more sun Sunday. Wave of low pressure may bring unsettled weather October 15 before more dry and chilly weather follows this.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 17-21)
Current indications are for a fairly quiet pattern with mainly dry weather and below to near normal temperatures.