DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 29 – MAY 3)

High pressure has given way to the effect of two low pressure systems – one doing a little retrogression off the coast and another approaching from the west. The squeeze-play is on, and clouds have increased – mainly a deck of stratus off the ocean, but even with a few breaks trying to develop in this deck today we’ll have increasing clouds above that from the west. I do not expect any precipitation today – just clouds. Later tonight, though, we may get one batch of light rain from the offshore system wheeling into eastern areas while another area of rainfall moves in from the south and west as the eastward-moving system starts to merge with the system to its east. A redevelopment of the surface low will take place and that will move by just to our south and east early Thursday. The first half of that day looks wettest, but it stays cloudy and damp thereafter. The disappointment is that while we could use substantial rainfall to help with ongoing long-term dryness / drought, we’re not really going to see it from this upcoming event. After it moves by, an upper trough remains in place in southeastern Canada and the northeastern US. For us that means cool weather and a daily sun / cloud mix Friday through Sunday. A few pop-up showers can occur in a pattern like this. For our region, the chance is greatest on Friday and then decreases through the weekend, so overall it doesn’t look too bad as we open up the month of May.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 53-60, coolest coast. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain arrives overnight. Patchy fog overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind NE to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain, tapering off to a few showers and areas of drizzle by early afternoon. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Patchy fog. Lows 40-47. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Clouds and intervals of sun. A pop up shower possible. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A shower possible evening. Lows 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Some sun / lots of clouds. A pop up shower possible. Highs 53-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sun / cloud mix. A pop up shower less likely but not impossible. Highs 56-63. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 4-8)

High pressure shifts off the Atlantic Coast to our south and low pressure heads into the Great Lakes. This allows moderating temperatures early next week, but the frontal system of the Great Lakes low pressure area brings the chance of unsettled weather May 5 before we return to fair, cooler weather middle to latter portion of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 9-13)

The large scale pattern can still carry some blocking which may impact the finer details, but even with that, some progression of systems can be expected through our area due to the orientation of blocking. This does mean that temperatures can be up-and-down, leaning toward the cooler side of normal, with a couple unsettled periods (rain chances).