Thursday July 30 2026 Forecast (6:56AM)

70 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 30 – AUGUST 3)

Anomalous low pressure sits over our region but weakens today with persistent overcast and showery weather but a decrease in shower intensity and coverage with time. The low them pulls away to the east on Friday with improving weather – more sun and just a chance of a quick-passing shower. Temperatures which run quite a bit below the seasonal average today will begin to recover a little bit on Friday, but much more so as we start the weekend Saturday with sunshine in response to high pressure moving in. Weather systems will be a little more on the move by this weekend and the trend has been for a quicker exit of high pressure offshore Sunday and the approach of the next trough and frontal system from the west, which will increase the amount of clouds we see on Sunday, but with any showers and thunderstorms likely holding off until evening or nighttime, first to the west then expanding eastward. This would linger into Monday before a clearing trend arrived as the front moves through and offshore. Timing and details of that frontal passage will be refined in the next few blog updates.

TODAY: Cloudy. Foggy areas particularly early in the day. Numerous showers and widespread drizzle tapering to scattered showers and patchy drizzle. Highs 66-73. Dew point 60s. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH, gusts can reach or exceed 20 MPH especially in eastern coastal areas.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Becoming partly sunny. A pop-up shower possible. Highs 73-80. Dew point falls under 60. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 57-64. Dew point falls toward 50. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point 50s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point rises to 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring eastern areas and favoring the morning hours. Highs 78-85. Dew point near 60. Wind shifting to W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 4-8)

A little bit of a change here. We have to watch for a potential small cut-off low that hangs back behind the early-week frontal passage and may bring additional shower chances to our region early in this period, after which the trend should be to mainly fair weather and generally seasonably warm temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 9-13)

A general west to east flow should take a couple of troughs / fronts through with shower and t-storm chances, but with majority of the time featuring fair weather. Temperatures slightly variable but averaging around normal.

70 thoughts on “Thursday July 30 2026 Forecast (6:56AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank yiu TK.

    Best of luck with today’s procedure if I Have the day correct.

    64 here and that is the low.

    Ocean: 64

    Wordle: 4

    Reply

    1. I have a surgical consult tomorrow to lay down the details of the procedure and a timeline. I suspect it will take place sometime this autumn. It will also have a fairly quick recovery timeline. 🙂

      Reply

  2. Almost August.

    August generally features falling temperatures with ave high 81 or 82 at Boston on 8/1 to 77 on 8/31.

    However, it can also be blazing hot from time to time, especially early in the month. What will we see this year?

    Likely no tropical systems, but one never knows.

    Reply

  3. 1.75 for rain here. Will add a little bit more to that today.

    For most of the region, a very healthy rain event. For a few areas, maybe a little “too much” but still no major flooding issues – just some localized ones, which was expected to be the case anyway.

    Some eastern areas were a bit short-changed, but still received some benefit from the event, which is still not over, but in its slow wind-down process.

    I agree with WxWatcher’s comment in general. While I am not sure I completely agree that the drought is already done (this is a long process, recall), I do agree it’s well on its way to being put to bed.

    Looking far enough ahead I can see a pattern of more regular rainfall, in terms of more frequent systems to pass by with chances, and fewer lasting spells with no rain. We’ve really been in this pattern already since early July, so we’re “on the way”.

    Reply

  5. Wordle 5

    Can’t get lower than 5 lately which is ok. Starting words seems to go in a cycle where they are a big help for a while then they give next to nothing for a bit.

    Reply

    1. That was fun!! May I please have another.

      I got it in 4. I should have KNOWN what that word was. Pretty sneaky!! 🙂 🙂

      WELL DONE!!!

      Reply

  9. Thank you TK! Wishing you the best with your consult.

    Wordle: Joining the crowded 4 car. Big party today and I insist that Vicki join us.

    Reply

  11. As of 5 a.m. we had a total of 1.33 inches of rain. At 10pm last night, only 0.50 inches.

    Got Wordle in 4. Only because I had 4 out of 5 in the correct position after 3.

    Reply

  12. Thanks, TK!

    Flash flooding for lower southwestern Rhode Island from a cell that doesn’t seem to want to move.

    0.88″ in the bucket here.

    Reply

  15. Good morning everyone.
    Big time turbulence flying into PVD around 1 30 yesterday afternoon huge towering storm clouds no lightning. Plane had to come into the coast at the RI CONN border going north then a sharp right turn in order to land into the southeast wind. Where I just left Sarasota received 4 inches of rain in a few hours this morning. They really needed the rain down there also like us up here in SNE.
    I’m heading back there in Mid October hopefully no tropical issues here and down there.

    Reply

      1. This one disrupted my thought pattern totally and completely.
        I can think of 5 letter words, but coming up with 6 letter words is much more challenging!!! I am stuck after guess #1

        Reply

          1. Darn. You can do 4-7 words. It’s pie simple. I’ll keep to five going forward. I have a short lived subscription to nyt for $4.00 a month. I use its cooking app a lot. I’m yes I know that’s why I can make these. It’s just a matter of entering the word you think of when they do the rest

            Technically only Tom needs to share one but please feel free JPD. I’m getting bored with what I have.

            Reply

          1. But you got it rather easily. It was a great word. No complaints there. I just picked a lousy first guess!!!!

            Reply

  21. Thanks TK.

    Another gorgeous day down here in Salisbury MD. After the thunderstorms Tuesday night we have had mostly sunny skies and breezy conditions yesterday and today with temps in the low 80’s (which is actually below normal for this time of year). Really lucked out as the mid Atlantic can get extremely hot and sticky this time of year (as it was the last time we were down here for a tournament a few years ago).

    Reply

  22. Just incredible rainfall totals in the Albany area the past few days. Some areas received 10″ of rain in 24 hours, exceptionally rare for anywhere in the northeast, especially considering this was not even a tropical system. Talking to my mother yesterday, she missed the worst of it in Amsterdam but still got a ton of rain. Obviously lots of flooding reports and water rescues on the news.

    Steve LaPointe
    @CBS6Steve
    22h

    Extraordinary rainfall amounts estimated by radar and being confirmed by ground spotters over the past 24 hours with rain still falling.

    https://x.com/CBS6Steve/status/2082523474711503255?s=20

    Reply

      2. Amazing totals! Some of my family used to live in Schodack Landing (10.14″), Kinderhook (11.47″) and Valatie (10.31″).

        Reply

  25. Thanks, TK.

    The rain totals in the Albany area are truly astounding.

    Severe drought conditions persist in much of Northwestern Europe. The drought there has been and continues to be much worse than here. And their summer has been abnormally warm to hot, with repeated heatwaves.

    Reply

    1. Quasi-stationary low. Abundant moisture. Convergence. Upslope.

      It’s all you need.

      And again, the use of one-in-200 year event (which is being used for this one) is tricky. People do need to understand that definition of that.

      For example, a 1-in-1000 year event occurs somewhere on earth several hundred times per year. How? If you know the definition of a 1-in-1000 year event, you’ll understand it perfectly.

      SAK and I have repeated that definition across social media countless times, but many stories in media misrepresent the term, which I loathe, to be perfectly honest.

      Reply

  28. Drier air is beating the crap out of the decaying low, more so than I expected. Hence more breaks of sun. I didn’t really expect any of those today.

    Reply

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