DAYS 1-5 (JULY 28 – AUGUST 1)
Much of the region is covered in a stratus cloud deck to start today out due to increased low level moisture on a light southerly air flow, which is taking place as a trough of low pressure approaches. Surface low pressure to our west will redevelop over the northern Mid Atlantic tonight and then wheel its way toward southern New England while rapidly maturing and occluding, becoming quasi-stationary as it then begins to weaken through Thursday, finally drifting off to our east during the day on Friday. This evolution means a period of unsettled weather, beginning with a shower and t-storm chance mainly west of Boston later today, peaking Wednesday afternoon through early Thursday with the most widespread and heavier shower and embedded thunderstorm activity takes place, but slow to wind down with lingering showers perhaps until early Friday. Any rain we do receive is, of course, beneficial since we remain in a long term precipitation deficit. Hey! August 1 is day 5! And that’s the first day of the first weekend of the final month of meteorological summer. And you know what? It looks like great weather will have returned by then as high pressure builds in!
TODAY: Low clouds break for partial sun in some areas during this morning. Clouds return west to east midday on with a shower and thunderstorm chance increasing west of the I-95 belt by later in the day. Highs 76-83. Dew point middle 60s to near 70. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Widespread showers and potential thunderstorms with heavy downpours likely – starting out most likely west of I-95 and south of I-90 then progressing northeastward during the day. Areas of fog. Highs 66-73. Dew point 60s. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts near the coast.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lingering showers and drizzle. Areas of fog. Lows 58-65. Dew point around 60. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Patchy drizzle. Areas of fog. Highs 67-74. Dew point 60s. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A pop-up shower or thunderstorm possible. Highs 73-80. Dew point falls under 60. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 56-63. Dew point falls toward 50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 2-6)
August 2 looks dry with high pressure in control. Weather pattern after that leans toward a more humid southwesterly air flow with opportunities for showers and thunderstorms at times, but not excessively wet. Temperatures generally around seasonal averages but may go above normal by the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 7-11)
A couple opportunities for showers and t-storms, but overall pattern features more dry than wet time. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.
Thanks TK
Good morning and thank yiu TK
70 here up from 67
Ocean: 65
Wordle: 4
South Natick Damn on the Charles river is being demolished. I hate to see that go as that was my favorite Spring time fishing spot. Work is scheduled for completion some time in October of this year. It will interesting to see how it all will end up looking.
Despite what all officials say, I am concerned about what it does to the large mouth bass population. We shall see. I guarantee another bass will NEVER be caught any where near where the damn is now.
The fish will be dispersed up and down stream to better habitat for them.
Here is some more info. bte, damn = dam
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kp0zgxH3FyM
Actually, damn may be appropriate.
This is sad. And frankly, I don’t understand the reasoning behind it.
I agree with Joshua. And I often have little use for the word Progress
Nice 4, JPD
sad to hear this. Do they give a reason??
That was a favorite picnic spot for us. We often went to what was called the Goat across the street. And a satellite of Lola’s that is in Natick center for their lasagna.
Here are the reasons, the best I can find:
Natick is demolishing the South Natick Dam to eliminate a high-hazard safety risk, restore a natural free-flowing river ecosystem, and secure federal and state funding that made removal cheaper than ongoing repairs. The Charles River Watershed Association prioritized this project to improve water quality and migratory fish passages.Safety and Structural IssuesHigh-hazard rating: The state Office of Dam Safety labeled the 1934 structure in “poor condition” due to mature tree growth on the earthen berm.Failure risk: A major storm could breach the dam and cause massive property damage downstream.No practical use: The dam no longer serves any active purpose for flood control or power generation.Environmental and Watershed RestorationFree-flowing water: Removal creates 19.6 miles of uninterrupted water flow along the Charles River.Ecosystem health: Eliminating the barrier helps migratory fish populations return and reduces the risk of harmful algae blooms.Natural habitat: The project restores natural wetlands and brings back native wildlife.Financial and Practical FactorsGrant availability: State and federal funding covered the cost of removal rather than the expensive alternative of fixing it.Preventing future costs: Repairing the dam would only delay further erosion, requiring more expensive fixes in future decades.If you’d like, I can share more details on the timeline for completion or how the local parks and water levels will look once the project finishes this fall.
Very nice 4 and sorry to hear what’s being down to your fishing spot.
It is what it is. I’ll have to find some place else. 🙂
Thanks, TK.
Thank you, TK. 72/69. And no comfy 40s overnight. We had a low of 63
Wordle 5
I really liked my third and fourth words. Sadly, NYT did not. On till tomorrow
Nice, Vicki.
Thank you!!!
Nice 5!
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 3
Big change in overnight temps from the last many.
Super 3, Tom!
Thanks Vicki !
Wow!!! You’re on a roll Tom!
Great 3. I thought for certain I had it is 2!!!
They didn’t like my great word!!! Oh well. Then I wasted guess 3 on some letters I wasn’t even sure was a word. Obviously Wordle didn’t like that. THen I came to me for guess #4.
I am happy with that. 🙂
Thanks TK! Big increase in humidity this morning
I got Wordle in 3. This was very lucky since I messed up on the second guess and failed to move a yellow letter.
Excellent SClarke !
Very well done!!!
Yay for your 3!!
RRFS A and HRRR with big projected rain totals in central and western southern New England with this next feature.
Upper level low, I think everyone can feel the increase in moisture this morning, this has the potential of an atmospheric river off the Atlantic, on radar, it will be streaming in from SE to NW for many, many hrs tomorrow morning before pivoting more E to W, then NE to SW, etc.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp&rh=2026072800&fh=43&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026072800&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.goes.noaa.gov/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=09&length=24
Ironically, that band of rain, I think may progress through eastern areas much more quickly than western New England and thus, the areas in biggest drought in eastern Mass probably get the least amount of rain. Maybe .5-1” followed by some backside mist and drizzle.
Certainly flood potential out there!!!
Wordle 2 today! Had 3 green on first and naile it on 2. Bet there be some more good scores.
Superb, congrats !!
Outstanding!!!!!
Impressive!!
Awesome 2
Thanks Tk
Slightly under a 20F jump in dps in about 12 hrs overnight.
As late as 7pm last night, Logan was going back and forth from a dp of 47F-50F and now it’s 66F.
At least it’s not hot and our house is still holding onto some of the recent cool/dry air from the past several days, but I believe the AC will be going on soon.
Ours will be on this afternoon for certain!
87° 81° dewpoint down here in Sarasota. Back to RI tomorrow. Morning storm rolled in from the Gulf this morning. Lots of lightning. I’ll try not to bring the humidity with me. Hopefully for JP Dave we never have that type of humidity or even close for the rest of the summer up there.
Have a great day everyone.
Thank you Robert. I have never seen an 81 dew point here
that I can remember. We had a 78 dew point last year and one day it was close to that this year.
I “think” the record dew point for Boston is 82. Nope I stand corrected. Apparently it is 79
Boston’s all-time record high dew point is 79°F, which has been tied on specific historical dates including July 27, 1940, and August 11, 2001. Extreme summer humidity spikes in the area occasionally reach the upper 70s, putting “feels-like” heat index values well past the 100°F mark.Humidity Extremes in BostonRecord Dew Point: 79°F (July 27, 1940, and August 11, 2001)Recent Humid Spikes: Dew points of 77°F to 79°F have been approached during intense summer heatwaves (such as in 2001, 2025, and 2026), driving heat indices near 110°F.Seasonal Context: Dew points above 70°F are considered oppressive and tropical for New England, drastically increasing the risk for severe weather and heavy rainfall.
Thanks for the stats JP-Dave.
The dew point in Minneapolis hit 82 yesterday! Amazing considering they also have Minus 60 wind chill in the winter!
Thanks TK
Thanks, TK!
Robert, I was once in 81-degree dewpoint on vacation on the Outer Banks. That was tough!
Also, Robert, how are Sarasota and Siesta Key doing two years after Hurricane Milton? How is the reconstruction? My college roommate lives in Siesta Key and had to rebuild his coastal home. Such a beautiful place!!!
Everything is back. A few reminders but 99% back or some business never reopened. The beach is back 100%. Sometimes the middle of the beach floods with the torrential storms. Yes it’s a beautiful place. You can watch a live YouTube camera mounted on top of the pavilion.
Thanks TK.
Some action showing farther East now in Connecticut
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Lightning with those….
https://weather.us/lightning/connecticut/20260728-1605z-d.html
Rain came down hard for about 10-15 minutes so I could confirm the radar is correct. Now it is starting to lighten up. A couple rumbles of thunder thrown in as well.
82/69 here while it is 73/66 at the airport.
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4 Congrats to all who solved! The two and threes are most impressive!
Welcome to the 4 car.
Nice, Sue !
Very nice Sue
Sniffing cause I’m all alone in the caboose
Today actually feels like the heart of summer, brings home how we have been in a stretch feeling like hybrid summer/autumn, at least in marshfield, right at the coast, with many low 70s and dps 45-53F.
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KBDL&hours=72
0.46” in some of those CT echoes
That’s up to 0.89”
1.11” in 1 hr in Windsor locks, CT
So, can see why isolated locales out there could jackpot at 4-6” as these are just a clump of showers/storms well ahead of that main atmospheric river that’s destined to move in late overnight into early tomorrow.
Back to summer reality today, as Tom and others have pointed out. Yesterday and during the weekend the air kind of smelled like early autumn. Today it smells like summer.
A smile compliments of New baby horse being a baby
He doesn’t like not having shade in his paddock so granddaughter hoses him periodically
https://streamable.com/l7bv58
And then of course a roll in the dirt to make everything messy again
https://streamable.com/gyzkmk
And back to weather. We had a quarter of an inch in about 10 minutes earlier no thunder and lightning
We just got over 1/2″ of rain in less than 20 minutes. I was out driving and the roads (I-190 and Rt 2) were treacherous. There is still thunder and lightening.
Wow. Far more impressive than mine yikes. Glad you are safe.
A whole lot of nothing here.
As was anticipated, a nice beach day in general. All of the shower / t-storm activity has been inland. The coast has been in and out of some cloudiness, with a bit of a cooling breeze too, but overall quite nice.
Tomorrow things go downhill at the coast, the peak of the rain is afternoon and night, and then showers linger Thursday before improvement Friday with just a slight chance of a quick shower or storm on the back edge of departing, much weakened low pressure.
81/66 here after being up to 84.