7:34AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
Discussion…
A couple adjustments will be made in this forecast. Giving more weight to the northern jet stream and less to the southern jet stream. I think one of the common difficulties the medium range guidance sets are having is over-forecasting the strength of southern jet energy and mistiming disturbances in the northern stream. So this is the current thinking: A mild west southwest air flow arrives today and boosts temperatures to the plus side of normal, something we have not seen much of this month. But this will be short-lived as a cold front charges eastward with an arrival time of Wednesday morning. While this is ongoing, a plume of moisture that had moved from the Gulf of Mexico to the waters off the US Southeast Coast will get drawn northward ahead of the front. As it starts to curve to the east, it should clip southeastern MA and RI with a period of rain Wednesday morning, but showers associated with the front should dry up as they try to cross the mountains to the west and north of the region. By later Wednesday, colder air will be flowing in and this will set up a dry and chilly Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. However another frontal boundary will approach from the northwest by late Thursday and some cloudiness will arrive in advance of it. Where I previously thought moisture to the south may fan some cloudiness into the region Thursday/Friday, I no longer feel this will be an issue. However, Friday may still turn out to have more cloudiness from advancing milder air from the west, and this should be here by Saturday for another short-lived stay.
Forecast Details…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 54-60. Wind WSW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH mainly in the afternoon.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Rain likely Cape Cod and Islands and chance of rain remainder of southeastern MA and RI toward dawn. Lows 42-48. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy through mid morning with a chance of rain RI and eastern MA except cloudy through late morning with rain more likely Cape Cod and Islands. Clearing late morning. Sunny afternoon. Highs 45-53 morning, falling through the 40s afternoon. Wind SW 5-15 MPH morning, NW increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 22-32, coldest interior valleys, mildest coastline. Wind NW 10-20 MPH early, diminishing overnight.
THURSDAY – THANKSGIVING: Mostly sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 38-45. Wind light variable.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Slight risk of brief very light rain NH/MA. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Risk of a rain shower late-day or evening. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 26-30)
Transition back to below normal temperatures in the November 26-28 period but I’m not sure yet of the weather details. Not completely letting go of a chance of a storm system the models still don’t see. Faster-flow may allow moderation the last 2 days of the month.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 1-5)
Low confidence. Fine line between a block and zonal pattern as we have talked about. Will re-evaluate but for now leaning toward mild followed by cold with an unsettled period in the transition.

2:46PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 20-24)
Discussion…
Again no major changes. Some temperature downs (today) and ups (tomorrow), etc. for this period with the most notable weather event being a period of rain favoring southeastern MA and RI Wednesday morning as moisture from the south gets drawn north northeastward ahead of a cold front. High pressure passes south of the region before this with today’s gusty and chilly west northwest wind and stray snow flurries giving way to dry and mild but continued breezy weather Tuesday. By Thanksgiving, we’re back into the chill but with less wind as high pressure moves overhead and hangs on into Friday with fair weather – though Friday’s sky may not be cloud-free due to some moisture to the south.
Detailed forecast…
REMAINDER OF DAYLIGHT: Sun, passing clouds, isolated snow flurry far west of Boston. Highs 36-43. Wind WNW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 52-58. Wind WSW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain in the morning, especially RI and southeastern MA. Clearing afternoon. Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s but may fall during the afternoon.
THURSDAY – THANKSGIVING: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the upper 30s to lower 40s.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 25-29)
Weekend November 25-26 is mainly dry except a period of rain showers possible late Saturday or Saturday night with a cold front. Breezy and milder Saturday, breezy and colder Sunday. Still watching for a rain risk Monday November 27 that some models are not seeing as of yet, followed by drier and a brief chill-down followed by moderation. Confidence level still very low on the end of this period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 30-DECEMBER 4)
Zonal pattern expected with quick-moving, weaker systems and quick air mass changes.

1:15PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 19-23)
Discussion…
Generally favorable weather for errands and travel during the next few days leading up to Thanksgiving which is Thursday November 23. A strong cold front is moving offshore now and the door is open to windy, dry, and colder weather through Monday. A plume of lake effect snow will reach western New England tonight and as it breaks up coming over the mountains I cannot rule out a stray snow flurry making it a little further east into the WHW forecast area. Still looking for slight temperature moderation Tuesday before the next front flies through on Wednesday, but an area of moisture to the south will mean that some of this may be drawn northeastward by the front. However I think most of this will remain south and east of the region, getting push back to the southeast later Wednesday and setting up a dry Thanksgiving. But with this area not too far away some high cloudiness may continue to fan back up into the region during the holiday.
Detailed forecast…
THIS AFTERNOON: Sun and passing clouds. Temperatures falling into the 40s. Wind W 15-25 MPH with gusts 35-50 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight risk of isolated snow showers north central MA and southern NH. Highs 36-43. Wind WNW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain or rain showers morning. Clearing afternoon.Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs from the upper 40s to lower 50s but may fall during the afternoon.
THURSDAY – THANKSGIVING: Partly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the upper 30s to lower 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 24-28)
Low pressure is expected to pass south of the region Friday November 24 (Black Friday) with some cloudiness but precipitation should stay to the south. Fair weather over the weekend November 25-26 with no more than a stray rain/snow shower on a cold front which before it will be a breezy and slightly milder Saturday and and after it windy and colder Sunday. A storm may be nearby or over the region November 27-28 which may start as a mix but be mainly rain. Low confidence on this.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 29-DECEMBER 3)
A more zonal pattern returns with a fair and chilly end to the month and then some unsettled weather and moderation in the first few days of December.

Please visit the contest page ( http://www.woodshill.net/?page_id=3218 ) and leave your guess for total snowfall, to the nearest tenth of an inch, for these cities…

Boston MA
Worcester MA
Providence RI
Hartford CT
Concord NH
Burlington VT
Portland ME

9:13AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 18-22)
Discussion…
The 5-day run-up to Thanksgiving is here and many will be doing errands, finishing yard work, and perhaps doing some outside decorating and then comes the travel period for those departing or arriving for the holiday, so this is a high stakes period for weather impact. What can we expect? Variety, which is typical, but nothing that should result in any significant travel trouble. Let’s break it down day by day… Today, high pressure slips away and a warm front approaches, but it will take until tonight for its rain to reach the region so outside activities that need dry weather are a go for today! The warmest part of today will be tonight when the front passes and temperatures rise, and being in the warm sector will make the region very vulnerable to showers and even downpours as strong cold front approaches early Sunday. This front will cross the region from west to east by late morning and midday exiting via Cape Cod by early afternoon. The mild air of the morning will be replaced by wind and cold during the afternoon and this will continue through Monday, which will have a winter feel. A few stray snow showers may make a run at the higher elevations of southwestern NH and northwestern MA during the day, but don’t hear the word “snow” and suddenly think the wrong way. It will be a fine day for travel – just very chilly and windy. Look for dry and milder weather Tuesday as high pressure slips south of the region and we get a piece of “backside warmth”, relative to the season of course. Another cold front will cross the area Wednesday and may bring a passing rain shower as we’ll still be in relatively milder air, but it will turn colder again behind this system.
Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Clouds increase / sun fades. Highs 45-50. Wind light SE to S.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain through midnight. Scattered to numerous rain showers after midnight. Lows 40-45 evening. Temperature rising into the 50s overnight. Wind light SE to S evening, S to SW 10-20 MPH overnight.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy through early afternoon with episodes of rain showers, a few possibly heavy, and a slight risk of thunderstorms. Partly cloudy mid afternoon on. Highs 55-60 morning. Temperature falling into the 40s afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts morning, shifting to W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind W 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Slight risk of isolated snow showers north central MA and southern NH. Highs 36-43. Wind WNW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers. Lows from the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs in the 50s but may fall late.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 23-27)
The front that goes by the day before will sit south of the region for 2 days and will allow a wave of low pressure to pass not too far south of the region and this will probably just bring a shield of cloudiness to the region later Thanksgiving Day and early Black Friday (November 23-24), but no significant weather problems are expected. More detail to come. Looking milder for November 25 and cooler November 26 as a cold front comes through during the weekend. During this time a short-lived blocking pattern may be establish and immediately amplify the pattern enough for a storm system to impact the region by the end of the period with odds favoring rain over anything frozen.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 28-DECEMBER 2)
Amplified pattern delivers a shot of cold air to end November then moderating temperatures as December arrives and the flow flattens again. No major storminess expected.

7:32AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 17-21)
Discussion (edit of previous)…
A dry but windy and chilly day today between yesterday’s storm system and the next one coming over the weekend. Clouds arrive Saturday but rain holds off until night, then lingers into Sunday morning before the wind and cold return and last into Monday before it moderates Tuesday.
Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Increasing sun. Highs 42-47. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 42-47. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain evening. Rain showers likely overnight. Temperature rising to 50-55. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Temperatures falling into the 40s morning then to the 30s by late afternoon. Wind W increasing to 15-30 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 30s to lower 40s.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 22-26)
A cold front comes through dry November 22 just turning it breezy and colder again, lasting through the Thanksgiving holiday November 23. Moderating temperatures and mainly fair weather for “Black Friday” and the weekend November 24-26 though rain may arrive by the very end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 27-DECEMBER 1)
Storm favoring rain November 27 followed by fair/colder, then moderating as November ends and December begins.

3:29PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Discussion…
No major changes today with a system currently moving through that consists of a cold front parented by low pressure passing north of New England and a newly developing low passing across far southeastern New England into the waters east of the region by this evening. Showers will wrap up and just a few more additional ones may slide through from west to east as this system departs and then dry air takes over and fair weather arrives, albeit with a gusty wind and chilly air through Friday and Friday night. The next in the train of systems arrives later Saturday but we may get through most of the day rain-free. By the time it gets here any chill that was around early in the day will be long gone and we’re just looking at a rain event Saturday night and Sunday morning. Behind this system comes another bout of wind and the return of colder air during Sunday, which will see falling temperatures as it dries out. When we get to Monday, it will be dry but very chilly and made to feel even more so by a gusty wind which will continue.
Detailed forecast…
REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON: Widespread showers end west to east. Temperatures 40s NW, lower 50s SE. Wind variable 5-15 MPH shifting to W but stronger at times over southeastern MA with gusts up to and over 30 MPH at times.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with isolated showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 33-38. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-47. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain by late day. Highs 42-47 by late day but rising to 48-55 at night. Wind light W morning, light SE afternoon, S 10-20 MPH overnight.
SUNDAY: Cloudy start with a chance of rain early, then partly cloudy. Temperatures falling into the 40s morning then to the 30s by late afternoon.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the upper 30s to middle 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
Pre-Thanksgiving travel weather will be favorable Tuesday/Wednesday November 21-22 with a cold front crossing the region producing only a few rain and/or snow showers most likely early Wednesday. Current timing suggest dry on the holiday November 23 with chilly air in place, then maybe brief light rain/mix possibly November 24 otherwise mainly fair and moderating temperatures at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 26-30)
The final days of November are still expected to see a bit of a blocking pattern develop with an increased risk for stormy weather, watching around the November 27-28 time frame but odds favor rain over snow for southern New England based on current pattern expectations. As always will monitor as this forecast is low confidence.

3:09AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 15-19)
A small area of high pressure provides most of the area with nice weather today but its orientation allows a northeasterly air flow which will hold some cloudiness across southeastern MA especially Cape Cod. A front approaches from the west Thursday, parented by low pressure which will pass north of New England, but along the front a piece of energy aloft will ignite a new storm system which will result in a significant bout of rainfall. As the new storm gets north of our latitude by Thursday night, drier and chilly air will arrive from the west resulting in a brighter but brisk Friday. But the weather pattern is continuing to feature fast-moving systems and the next one will arrive during Saturday with rain arriving during the day from west to east, peaking at night when it will likely be the mildest part of the day, but be gone by Sunday morning which will be another day that turns blustery with falling temperatures as the next cold air mass arrives.
TODAY: Sunny to partly cloudy except partly to mostly cloudy southeastern MA. Highs 42-48. Wind NE 5-15 MPH over southeastern MA, light NE to N elsewhere.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 32-38. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain arriving by midday and may start as brief snow/mix north central MA and southwestern NH. Embedded heavy rain and possible thunder later in the day favoring southeastern MA and RI. Highs 44-50. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy early with rain ending. Breaking clouds following. Lows 33-37. Wind variable 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W and increasing to 10-20 MPH with gusts to 30 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-48. Wind W 10-20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain arriving west to east, may start as brief mix interior. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s late day or night.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy very early with any rain ending, then sun/cloud mix and windy. Temperatures falling through the 40s into the 30s by late.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 20-24)
Thanksgiving Week looks mainly dry overall with one cold front causing a risk of a few rain showers late November 21 and possible snow showers early November 22 and another approaching front with possible rain showers by November 24. A cold/breezy November 20, milder and more tranquil November 21, then colder again November 22 and Thanksgiving November 23 before moderation at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 25-29)
Still looking at a blocking pattern with at least one chance for some storminess but low confidence forecast at this time. Will continue to re-evaluate the pattern going forward.

3:41AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 14-18)
No real changes to the previous discussion. Low level moisture hangs in today with clouds, which then break up under high pressure Wednesday. West to east flow brings the next wet weather system through the region Thursday followed by the arrival of the next Saturday. In between those will come a bright and dry day on Friday.
TODAY: Any spotty light rain/snow ends early otherwise cloudy. Highs 39-45. Wind light N to NE.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind light NE to N.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 42-48. Wind light variable to SE.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely. Clearing late. Lows from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Breezy. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 30s to middle 40s.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain arrives and may start as snow/mix interior areas. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s late.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 19-23)
Storm system departs November 19 leaving windy and drier weather with falling temperatures. We transition into a pattern of more blocking with high pressure over Greenland and a trough in the eastern US. This should result in another most likely minor low pressure system impacting this area sometime between November 21 and 23 but unsure of details at this time. Fine-tuning to do.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 24-28)
A blocking pattern is expected to continue into this period and this may result in 1 or 2 storm threats heading into the late part of the month. Will monitor the pattern evolution.

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 13-17)
The pattern for the time being is zonal (west to east) but active. A weak low pressure system will pass through the region today and tonight but precipitation (mainly rain) will be limited. Two dry days will follow, and the next system, a little more potent but with milder air ahead of it, will bring a more widespread but short-lived rain event Thursday, mainly the first part of the day. The will be followed by a push of windy, dry, colder air by Friday.
TODAY: Cloudy. Spotty light rain/mix/snow with no accumulation. Highs 36-42. Wind light N to NE.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-39. Wind light N to NE.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 39-45. Wind light N to NE.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind light NE to N.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 42-48. Wind light variable to SE.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely morning. Clearing afternoon. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Windy. Lows from the middle 20s to lower 30s. Highs from the upper 30s to middle 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 18-22)
This busy pre-Thanksgiving period for shopping and travel will likely be impacted by 2 storm systems, the first on November 18-19 weekend with rain possibly starting as snow/sleet interior areas Saturday followed by drier but windy and much colder on Sunday. After a more tranquil but chilly early week we’ll have to watch for another system near the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 23-27)
A blocking pattern is expected to occur and this may result in 1 or 2 storm threats heading into the late part of the month. Will monitor the pattern evolution. At this time not seeing any return to the warm pattern we had previously.

11:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 12-16)
Discussion…
The air is warming slowly at the surface and aloft and the warming above us creates some clouds that were abundant at dawn but have decreased since with a bit of drying moving in. But eventually these clouds will win out again by tonight and continue to dominate Monday as a disturbances moves through, igniting a new storm offshore. While that storm will not be close enough to impact this area significantly, during the process we may see some patchy light rain/mix and some higher elevation snow but with no impact. A break between systems Tuesday then the next one, in a little more potent form, arrives from the west at midweek.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-44. Wind light W morning, light S afternoon.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-38. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of light rain at times, may mix with and turn to snow higher elevations north central MA and southwestern NH late. Highs 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows from the upper 20s to middle 30s. Highs in the 40s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain late. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers morning. Partly cloudy afternoon. Breezy. Lows from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 17-21)
A dry interlude November 17 before the next storm system arrives to bring wet weather (some interior mix?) on November 18 then departs but leaves wind and cold in its wake for November 19-20 before becoming more tranquil but still quite chilly November 21.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
A blocking pattern develops with high pressure over Greenland and this forces the jet stream to the south. So far it looks like it will not amplify enough for major storminess during this period but something to watch.

8:18AM

On this Veterans Day I would like to thank all that have served in the armed forces to protect our freedom!

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)
Discussion…
Dress for winter temperatures if you are heading out to any Veterans Day ceremonies this morning and early afternoon. The most harsh will be this morning as temperatures climb through the 20s and the wind still remains gusty, but midday and beyond will be less so as we recover into the 30s with less wind. There will be 100% sunshine at least. High pressure moves right overhead tonight and this will prompt temperatures to fall all over again due to radiational cooling. As that happens a slight increase in the moisture in the air will cause frost to form, so anybody heading out to drive early Sunday may have to deal with scraping ice or waiting for the vehicle’s defrost system to melt it. A combination of increasing moisture from the south and an approaching disturbance from the west will increase the cloud cover and moderate the temperature on Sunday. The disturbance, though weak as it approaches and moves through during Monday, will begin to intensify offshore as it moves away, and just enough cold air will be around for some minor snow accumulation in the higher elevations of central MA and southwestern NH by Monday evening. Fair weather is expected Tuesday between this system and the next approaching disturbance which will return more clouds to the region by Wednesday and possibly some light rain by Wednesday night, based on current timing and the thought that it will be a little milder going into the midweek system.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 34-42, mildest Cape Cod. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty early, diminishing during the day.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 12-17 interior valleys, 18-25 elsewhere. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-44. Wind light W morning, light S afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-38. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of light rain at times, may mix with and turn to snow higher elevations north central MA and southwestern NH late. Highs 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows from the upper 20s to middle 30s. Highs in the 40s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain late. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)
Small low pressure system intensifies while departing Thursday November 16 which should turn out dry/breezy/cool. High pressure should bring fair weather Friday November 17 but clouds may be increasing ahead of next low pressure system which brings unsettled weather to start then windy and drying later in the November 18-19 weekend with fair and chilly weather for November 20.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)
A blocking pattern develops with high pressure over Greenland and this forces the jet stream to the south. So far it looks like it will not amplify enough for major storminess during Thanksgiving Week but something to watch.

3:54PM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)
The cold has arrived, and will behave as advertised. There are no major changes to the outlook other than to inform you that the energy for the coming unsettled weather looks like it will keep its focus more to the south and therefore cloudiness will be the dominant feature as opposed to precipitation when we get to early next week. In the mean time, the wind/cold will be the story through Saturday morning, so bundle up for any football games and Veterans Day ceremonies.
THROUGH EVENING: Clear. Temperatures fall from the 30s to the upper 20s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill in the 10s.
OVERNIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-15 except 15-22 urban areas and immediate coast. Growing season ends anywhere it has not up to this point. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill near to below 10 at times.
SATURDAY – VETERANS DAY: Sunny. Highs 35-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-15 deepest valleys, 15-23 elsewhere. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of light rain and snow at night. Highs 40-47. Wind light SE.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Slight chance of light rain. Lows from the lower 30s to near 40. Highs from the middle 40s to near 50.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)
Next system approaches from the west and likely returns clouds to the region and a risk of light mix/rain late November 15 into early November 16 followed by dry weather through November 17. Watching for a possible storm system on the weekend of November 18-19 but low confidence at this time.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)
Thanksgiving week currently looks fairly dry and on the cool to cold side with a northwesterly flow but far too early for too many details.

3:02AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)
A frosty start will be followed by a decent temperature recovery to over 50 for many areas today. But this brief “warm-up” will be a memory after an arctic cold front comes through the region by early Friday, introducing the coldest air in quite some time to the region, along with wind, during Friday, and continued quite chilly but with less wind Saturday. The next low pressure system approaches later Sunday and brings a risk of wet weather by Monday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A passing rain shower possible overnight. Temperatures fall into the 40s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight risk of passing snow showers morning. Temperatures fall into the 30s. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, gusting 30-35 MPH. Wind chill temperatures falling into the 20s then the 10s.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 30s to lower 40s.
SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Lows from the upper 10s to middle 20s. Highs in the 40s.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Temperatures steady in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)
Watching low pressure which may try to hang close to or just south and east of the region for a portion of this period. Fine line between fair and foul weather so further analysis will be needed to figure out how things run during mid November.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)
The uncertainty of the period preceding this now throws this period into a little uncertainty. Leaning toward fair weather to start, stormy weather to end, but very far away and much to figure out.

7:31AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)
Wave of low pressure through brought the first snow flakes to parts of the region (mainly north and west of Boston), and rain elsewhere is departing but a northeast wind behind it may hold cloudiness in over southeastern MA much of the day while a clearing trend takes place elsewhere. High pressure moves in tonight which will be clear and cold, ending the growing season in areas it has not ended already, except possibly Cape Cod, but they will not escape a regionwide freeze this coming weekend. Before that happens, we’ll enjoy a fair and slightly milder Thursday before an arctic cold front crosses the region Thursday night and early Friday, opening the door to a taste of winter air. A windy/cold night is in store for any high school football playoff games on Friday night, and a very cold morning can be expected for Veterans Day ceremonies on Saturday.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy early with a bit of drizzle or a passing rain shower southeastern MA. Clouds lingering in southeastern MA much of the day with sun returning elsewhere. Highs 46-53. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH, diminishing late.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 20-26 interior valleys, 27-34 elsewhere. Widespread frost as well as hard freeze in areas under 28. Wind calm.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A passing rain shower possible overnight. Temperatures fall into the 40s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight risk of passing snow showers morning. Temperatures fall into the 30s. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, gusting 30-35 MPH. Wind chill temperatures falling into the 20s then the 10s.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 30s to lower 40s.
SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Lows from the upper 10s to middle 20s. Highs in the 40s.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)
Low pressure moves through the region with a rain risk November 13. Another disturbance may bring unsettled weather during November 15. Otherwise a fair weather interlude November 14 and dry weather returning later in the period. Temperatures variable, near normal overall.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 18-22)
Expect a progressive pattern, fairly weak weather systems and changeable temperatures.