Monday June 14 2021 Forecast (7:44AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 14-18)

Today and Tuesday will be the unsettled days of the “work week” as a couple of frontal systems traverse the region underneath a low pressure trough. This will result in several opportunities for showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday and Thursday, high pressure will build in from the west with fair and seasonable weather, but some lingering troughiness and chilly air above will trigger diurnal cloud development each of those days with the sun’s heating. Right now, leaving showers out of the forecast. Friday, that high pressure area will slide offshore and we’ll warm up nicely.

TODAY: Most sunshine early to mid morning in eastern areas otherwise mostly cloudy with episodic showers and embedded thunderstorms. Highs 68-75. Dew point near 60. Wind S 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms evening. Partly cloudy with patches of fog forming overnight. Lows 58-65. Dew point upper 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Episodes of showers and thunderstorms especially through mid afternoon. Highs 71-78. Dew point lower 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy ground fog forming. Lows 51-58. Dew point lower 50s. Wind W under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 74-81 but may turn cooler in some coastal areas. Dew point upper 40s. Wind NW up to 10 MPH but possible coastal sea breezes.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Dew point upper 40s. Wind NW to variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 75-82, coolest coastal areas. Dew pinte lower 50s. Wind variable to NW up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87, cooler South Coast. Dew point upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 19-23)

West-to-east flow dominates the pattern. A cold frontal passage brings a shower and thunderstorm chance June 19 and the next warm front / cold front combo is due later June 21 and June 22 with additional unsettled weather. The summer solstice occurs late evening of June 20.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 24-28)

Overall west-to-east flow pattern is expected to continue but slowly weaken. Wave of low pressure brings a rain chance early in the period then high pressure shifting offshore may bring warmer/hotter weather later in the period.

56 thoughts on “Monday June 14 2021 Forecast (7:44AM)”

  5. Thanks TK !

    I wonder if the entity just east of Cape Hatteras gets classified as a tropical storm by late morning ?

    Looks really good on radar, has banding on its east semi-circle and plenty of thunderstorms.

      1. Look right at the top, initiating discussions at 11am on tropical depression 2.

        I follow this, even offshore, because they can be good wave machines eventually for us.

  6. Thanks TK.

    I heard this morning on WBZ radio that today is the earliest sunrise of the year (5:07 a.m.) 🙂

    Does this mean that tomorrow morning we start going back “the other way” already? 🙁

  7. Thank you, TK. Dark and thundery and rainy here since about 8:30…just as I was about to head out for coffee on the deck. Dark enough that I turned lights on. That might not be unusual, except I barely use lights at night. I like my fairie lights better 🙂

  9. Good morning!

    Including today, five more classes to go! Full day on Friday with students.

    Half-day teacher day next Tuesday, June 22 and then we’re done!

        1. Thanks, everyone!

          Trying to keep everyone focused with an end-of-the-year project that’s due Thursday!

  10. Oh ….. keeping my eyes open for the bear. Supposedly a couple streets over this morning. Who knows ??

        1. We just had an announcement to avoid the front of the building on mask breaks because Mr. and Mrs. Fox and their kits are on campus!

          1. Awwwww. So fun. Our fox and groundhog got in two fights last year. I have not seen either since the second.

          2. I was in either third or fourth grade in Belmont when we had to be picked up by parents. There was a pack of wild dogs that had dragged another dog into the schoolyard. It was a couple of days as I recall before they were caught. I honestly don’t recall a time when we had wild animal warnings.

              1. These were domestic dogs that had been abandoned. Not uncommon anywhere. I know the guess was they had rabbies, but I was too young to remember.

  14. That lighter rain I mentioned didn’t last long. We are up to 0.87 inch. Still 60 with a 60 DP

    1. Had a few peppers into the swath that went through. May be winding down for a bit. No watering plants and grass tonight. Yay

  17. Tropics are active especially for June. That EAW in the eastern Atlantic could be interesting the next few days, we have seen how those tiny systems can cause havoc for the weather models. The Wave that just moved through to the south of me last night is what looks to kick the broad low in the Gulf northward towards the Gulf states.
    And as I expected TD2 has pissed off Sak.

    1. The advisory calls it “Tropical Depression 2” not “Subtropical Depression 2”. Of course, that’s ignoring the fact that it’s on a front. Note in NHC’s definition of a subtropical cyclone the phrase “they are non-frontal”.

      “Subtropical Cyclone:
      A non-frontal low-pressure system that has characteristics of both tropical and extratropical cyclones. Like tropical cyclones, they are non-frontal, synoptic-scale cyclones that originate over tropical or subtropical waters, and have a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center. In addition, they have organized moderate to deep convection, but lack a central dense overcast. Unlike tropical cyclones, subtropical cyclones derive a significant proportion of their energy from baroclinic sources, and are generally cold-core in the upper troposphere, often being associated with an upper-level low or trough. In comparison to tropical cyclones, these systems generally have a radius of maximum winds occurring relatively far from the center (usually greater than 60 n mi), and generally have a less symmetric wind field and distribution of convection.”

  20. Periodic downpours continue in Back Bay. The grass is very green. Trees and bushes look healthy, too.

  22. 0.79″ from today.

    Pockets of heavy rain all afternoon. I got drenched getting to my car and ran into sheets of rain on the commute home.

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