Friday January 27 2023 Forecast (7:20AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 27-31)

After the next 5 days, we’ll have made it through the first 2 months of meteorological winter without a widespread significant snowfall for southeastern New England. It’s happened before, but it’s not something we see frequently. La Nina has certainly made its mark in this way on our area. Will that trend hold into February? Probably not. But that’s for sections beyond this first one, dealing with the final 5 days of the first month of 2023. Today, we have a rare day for this month where the sun will shine most of the time. Other than some patchy clouds, a mainly clear sky will be ours as a small area of high pressure moves across the region. Enjoy it. Our weekend doesn’t look as sunny, but it doesn’t look that bad either. Minor weather systems will have relatively minor impact. First a weak cold front moves across the region early or midday Saturday, more a trough than a front, as there won’t be much “cold” to be delivered behind the boundary. In fact, Saturday will end up a milder day than today will be. A fairly weak area of low pressure moving through the eastern Great Lakes will head for northern New England and the St. Lawrence Valley later Sunday before heading into southeastern Canada Monday. This system will push a front north of us as a warm front early Sunday then drag a weak cold front across the region later Sunday through early Monday. These two systems only come with minor precipitation threats with otherwise mainly dry weather conditions. A small area of high pressure is expected to bring fair and seasonably chilly weather to our region for the final day of January.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Slight chance of a snow shower mid evening to overnight. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a passing snow/mix/rain shower through midday. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early becoming variable, then S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of light rain/mix south and east, light mix/snow north and west. Lows 31-38. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Gradually increasing sun. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 1-5)

Watching potential for winter precipitation event early in the period, a shot of much colder air to follow, and a slight moderation by late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

Overall pattern looks a little colder with another storm threat early to mid period.

71 thoughts on “Friday January 27 2023 Forecast (7:20AM)”

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Sorry to report, but you have a typo on the Tuesday outlook

    TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 35-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

  7. Bow,NH, had a 1.9 earthquake last night. It was centered on the street behind my brother’s house. He said all the neighbors were outside wondering what had happened

    1. Speaking of quakes, Matt Noyes mentioned on air this morning that he felt a “frost quake” last night. I don’t understand the technical explanation but he said that it occurs only when temperatures are below freezing. He also mentioned that he lives in the Merrimack Valley. Perhaps that is what your brother felt?

      1. We had them often in our Framingham house. They were loud and you’d think the house was splitting in half. But it was a whole lot colder than this before we heard them.

        Bows was an actual quake reported by USGS. It identified the center at Bow Bogs and Allen Rd. The streets behind my brothers house.

      3. I wonder if what Matt felt was the quake in Bow. Would make more sense than a frost quake. Just hasn’t been cold enough around these parts for frost quakes, or at least how I
        understand them. But who knows. Just a thought. 🙂

        1. According to Matt, it was 29 degrees at his house and as far as he was concerned, it was the proper temperature for one. Up until this morning I never even heard of a “frost quake”.

          Since I’m not a met either, I can’t confirm or deny what Matt might have felt last night.

            1. We need TK, SAK and/or WxW for their take of these “frost quakes.” Maybe I have heard/felt them over the years but never knew what was going on. 🙂

                1. We had them regularly. The echoed in the neighborhood and were amazingly loud inside …especially when they tended to happy in the wee hours of morning. They were only in an addition that had a narrow slope roof.

        2. I’d agree with you, JPD. I understand it isn’t always the case, but it was far colder than 29 when we had them and they often followed a quick drop in temp.

  8. Here are the winners of the Mass DOT snowplow naming contest. The entrants were all from school children.

    Now I may think that naming winter storms doesn’t work, but the snow plow names are awesome. I love the idea. Reminds me of the Trolly names at Ogunquit Maine. 🙂

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/PiM8QGMhZKAroQPW9

    2. I like this idea as well. Now will they be narrowed down to one final winner or will there be a bunch of plows with these names?

        1. Yes, they are. I wasn’t picking a winner, just pointing
          out my favorite out of all of them. Any one of them
          could be the “WINNER”

    1. Agreed I haven’t heard of them occurring or experienced with those temperatures. Only when it is super cold.

    2. This makes some sense to me. Although I’m tempted to agree re needing very cold temps. But we do have a lot of water in the ground and the snow layer in Merrimack valley is not deep.

      I’d like to know which night he heard it. If Wednesday, it could have been the earthquake. If not, then being a met, it is possible I guess. Hmmm maybe I’ll write to him 🙂

  11. Based on what I have been reading here about “frost quakes” it’s obvious now that Matt Noyes mistook the Bow NH quake for a frost quake. As a meteorologist he should know the difference as it certainly wasn’t anywhere near a typical low temperature. He specifically pointed to his area (Merrimack Valley) that was 29F.

    This was the 4:00 am newscast.

    1. You may be right. But I’m not sure we can really know until we know the time he heard the noise. And I have the sense there was more than one report, so we’re they at different times

    2. I just heard his 4 am forecast. He said ground was frozen and thawed enough to let some of the melted water to into crevices. When it refroze, it expanded which causes the frost quakes.

      As he explained, it makes sense. And doesn’t need extreme lows. He also indicated this was last night. The earthquake was not last night. I also don’t find any earthquakes listed for last night in NH.

      I’m hoping he answers my tweet.

      1. Then why is everyone here saying that very cold temperatures are required? So they are not, as long as they are below 32F?

        1. I don’t know. It’s why I’m hoping to hear from Matt. I also posted a tweet above from a met in MD who is saying same as Matt.

    1. But they do show sun and some winter-like cold. I’m in the minority here on this, but I’m okay with cold and sunny (though I’d prefer snow to be included). I am NOT okay with what we’ve been having the last 4 to 5 weeks.

    2. You know what that means Dave!

      They tried to give us snow off and on when the pattern wouldn’t change. So now, it’s “cold & dry, kiss ’em goodbye” on the models which means you know it’ll snow a couple of times! 🙂

      It’s all about the pattern, not the particulars, on those silly little meteorological comic strips! 😉

      1. I understand what you are saying, but it gets depressing
        when NOTHING is showing up. I know thing can and do change, but this is getting tough. 🙂

        1. Remember 1979-1992? Ouch. Most of the winters sucked for snow lovers. 😉 We had about as many great storms during that time as we packed into 2 winters in the snowy period after that. 🙂 This was back when I really wanted it to snow non stop, so that was rough. I was kind of a JPD back then. 😉

          1. Yup, lean years. I just don’t know why at my age, I still love SNOW? I guess I am a real New Englander.
            Born and raised here. 🙂

            If it doesn’t come fairly soon, I will be doing my SPRING dance!!

            1. I love it too, but I’m just fine when it doesn’t snow as well. I take whatever, not that this is new news to anybody on this blog. 😉

              1. I love all weather as you know. But like JPD snowstorms make me feel like a child again. Like thunderstorms, I think they have special memories wrapped up in them.

        2. Don’t turn your back on the first couple of days of February, and file for future remembrance around Feb 6-8, Feb 12-14, Feb 16-18, and Feb 21-23. 😉 Not to give you false hope, but just note these for now and we’ll talk later. 🙂

    1. Based on everything I know, it would not have have been cold enough or dropped rapidly enough for any cryoseism events recently.

      The rumbling in NH yesterday has been confirmed as a very minor 1.9 magnitude earthquake near Concord NH. While quakes of under 2.2 are generally nearly impossible to feel (or hear), one close enough to the surface can be detected by the folks that are basically right on top of it.

      2. I always thought the same thing. But the 1.9 was not yesterday. It was Wednesday evening. This I know for sure as my brother called me

          1. I found it. The page I had viewed was cut off on my laptop but correct on my phone. Wednesday it was. 🙂

        2. It is sure a coincidence …and I believe Gibbs rule 39….but we were not there and really need to hear from Mike. There is a very unusual level of water in the ground so typical May or may not be typical.

          Can a 1.9 have aftershocks? It would explain some of this of the after shocks are further from the quake center? I know my brother and neighbors didn’t hear or feel anything yesterday. And they are absolutely on top of it

          Centered is in circle and red dot brothers house

          https://imgur.com/a/HAasVjt

          1. I’m definitely no seismologist but I would think any quake could technically have aftershocks, or maybe in the case of a very minor shake it would just be considered a series of very small movements.

            I believe that one could theorize that there could be underground noise and movement created by excessive water, depending on the makeup of the ground. May have been a situation where it was just maximized in that one area, and enough to show up on instruments and be felt in the neighborhood. Perhaps it was an even rarer “groundwater quake”. 🙂

            1. I don’t know how far aftershocks occur from center. I have to ask my BIL. And because the amount of water in the ground is extreme, it could be exactly what Matt said.

              So we have three possibilities

  15. Sue, if your reading, I think I saw a part of Halifax surrounding a lake was flooded because the “dam” between the 2 lakes, part of it gave way and then the water from 1 lake poured into the other lake causing flooding.

      1. I really miss the 80s & 90s TWC.

        I tried to watch it last night for a few minutes and there was a program on that was so bad it was painful.

        Apparently “green skies” are a new thing. Um, no they’re not. Us old folks are still paying attention. 😉

        “If you see a green sky, there’s a really good chance that something really bad is about to happen.” Nothing like wording it with max gloom & doom and making it sound like Mulder and Scully will be showing up in an FBI car soon. 😉 Oops, just dated myself on that one. 😉

          1. I feel bad. I know it’s not the meteorologists there. It’s all program directing. It got away from what it was really intended to be. I kind of equate it to MTV, created for music videos, morphed into programming for people who like partying until it’s unsafe and jumping off roofs into pools, hoping they don’t land on the cement next to the pool. Kind of sad. :/

            But, that’s entertainment?

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