DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 15-19)
An upper trough lingers over the region today which will be cool with a sun / cloud mix – the first batch of clouds starting to dry up as they move in from the north this morning, but additional diurnal cumulus / stratocumulus taking their place midday into afternoon – but less abundant than yesterday, hence more sun. It will be cool today and you’ll notice a breeze return to areas that were calm and frosty overnight. High pressure will dominate our weather Monday through midweek with fair weather and a slow milder trend each day after chilly nights and early mornings.
TODAY: More sun than clouds. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 49-56. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 51-58. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind calm.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 20-24)
A trough or front goes by early in the period with a brief cool-down but high pressure remains dominant with near to above normal temperatures through next weekend. It can turn a bit more unsettled at some point as we enter Thanksgiving week but this is highly uncertain this far in advance.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 25-29)
A more active pattern is indicated during this period of time which includes Thanksgiving (November 26). Details not possible this far out, but just something to watch for evolution.
Thank you TK as always.
Munich Over / Under: 48F
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 4
Nice Tom
Sweet 4!!
Good morning and thank you TK
42 up from 35
Ocean: 53
Wordle: 5 Most Laughable score. I’ll post a spoiler alert below as you have to see this to believe it. 🙂 🙂 🙂
SPOILER ALERT
My laughable path to today’s wordle solution!!
https://ibb.co/gb4vq4ZS
It’s even funnier looking at it again. I HATE it when WORDLE does this!!!!
Your last 3 and mine are identical
🙂
You covered all the possibilities there! 🙂
🙂 🙂 🙂
Oddly the pats schedule I have says game at 3:30. Now I’m seeing 9:30 am? I suspect time difference has something to do with this. But is it really 9:30??
Yes, 330 Munich, 930 our time.
Thank you. I was thinking that might be it. Guess I’d better myself going.
Thank you, TK. Up 10 degrees from our low of 40
Go Pats.
I see Sutton made Boston Globe headlines. And not for anything good.
Wordle 5. Good word
One your favs. 🙂
There were so many possibilities, I feel lucky that I got Wordle in 4 today.
Indeed. Great job
Super 4!
Thanks TK
PV…
Earliest OBSERVED break-down event (by 17 days). “Observed” does not mean “ever”. We have not been “observing” the PV “forever”. It’s very important to keep such things in the proper context.
A theory of mine: HTE may have played a roll in the early collapse, in which the winds reverse for a time. Well, they’re already back to blowing the “right” direction, and a lot of reliable guidance now indicates that the PV will re-strengthen toward the end of November. In the mean time, the brunt of the cold surge is heading into Europe and Asia. Joshua mentioned the colder trend in Europe. This is what it’s from.
It’s important to watch your info sources on social media. There are a lot people out there who don’t know enough meteorology to fully analyze a situation before trying to predict it.
Not all PV splits mean cold/snowy pattern in the northeastern US. This one certainly won’t. Does that mean we can’t see shots of cold and some snow? Of course not. It’s November, and this time of year is when the odds of both go up, based on climatology, before we factor in the pattern. But even a prevailing pattern quite often has interruptions. That’s how you can get the cold shot, or the snow event in some locations, such as the one we just saw in parts of NNE and NY.
As far as my own expectations through the next 2 weeks, well if you read today’s blog post then you know them. 🙂 So no need to repeat it here.
I’m not sure what we’re going to get from the Patriots today, but we’re about to find out. 🙂 Either way, off to make a big ole coffee and poke at indoor projects while I put the game on screen but listen on the radio (and yes, I can sync the picture and the sound here from the two sources).
I had planned on the final yard cleanup split over yesterday & today, but I never stopped yesterday and finished it all! 7 barrels of yard junk sit at the curb for this week’s collection and the property is ready to receive cords and Christmas lights which has to happen before Thanksgiving this year. 🙂
Patriots up 3-0. Should be 7-0 but costly mistakes were made in the red zone. But they are out to the lead.
UGH!!@ MISSED TACKLE!!!@! CAN’T DO THAT!!!
7-3 LIONS
Maye injured
Headed to locker room.
If he can’t come back; this game is lost.
That’s not necessarily true.
Of course it is.
And Maye may be injured
Last year no bad injury, this year record. DIdn’t they have a new facility? Like come on. Whatever they did different this year, isn’t it
Coincidence. Nothing other than that.
Maye: ankle, questionable to return, per Mike Reiss
Hope he returns. Devito isn’t going to cut it.
Hopefully.
At least they have they bye next week, so that helps a little.
It would help if the D can get a stop with Detroit starting at the 3. Even if they give up a few first downs, a stop with no points given up.
Sure. That will happen. Not
Except that it did.
This is a tough, tough offense to stop.
You load up on Gibbs, they have plenty to beat you in the air.
Drop back and Gibbs easily runs over you.
I hope I’m wrong, but I think they are giving up 40+ again today.
The lions have had this core for a few seasons and they have underachieved not getting to a Super Bowl, have they even gotten to a conference championship?
40?
Maybe not, but plenty.
Try can’t stop GIbbs. They are getting schooled.
Ugh!!@!
My daughter has Gibbs (and Allen at QB). She is 7-2 in her fantasy football league.
So, I’m happy Gibbs is getting her decent points, already, in this first half.
I need Pop to get some catches and yards 🙂
Thank you TK!
Wordle: 4
Wondeful.
Great Sue and to everyone else above on Wordle !
Wordle 4 as well. Similar guesses on second letter
Great Tjammer !
Nice
Awesome 4s, Sue and Tjammer
I am getting tired of 3 and out!!@
Can AJ Brown ever catch tge ball???
Das war’s. Die Patriots sind für dieses Jahr raus. Sie sagte das mit einem Augenzwinkern
Sie werden nie wieder ein Spiel gewinnen – niemals!
HAHA!
Das stimmt absolut.
🙂 🙂 🙂
I think they are done for the playoffs this year and well, they still have the Dolphins, so there is one game they can win this year.
lol ……
Don’t forget the hapless Jets as well
Google Translate says haha!
Yet another 3 and out. Pathetic. Maye had better come back.
Gibbs again!!! I’ve seen this movie before.
There you go !
Need at least 3 out of that interception.
MAYE RULED OUT FOR THE REST OF THE GAME. wonderful!!!@ Geez!!!
3 and out AGAIN@!! This time after we got an interception!!
GIMMIE A BREAK!!!!!@!!
This isn’t a surprise.
Unfortunately, we traded for a #1 wide receiver who has a degenerative knee condition and may not return to what he was in Tennessee and Philadelphia.
Tons of injuries, much tougher schedule and now your QB is injured.
In the long term, the Pats will be fine (seasons to come).
But with the Chiefs, Broncos and Vikings still to come after this game, it’s likely that this will be somewhere between a 7-10 and 8-9 season.
And that’s ok, I don’t think it’s a peek of what’s to come in the next few seasons, but it’s the reality of this particular season.
Sadly, I agree.
Patriots will need at least 9 wins to be in the playoffs. 10 wins, though not a lock, would be better.
Somewhat of a long shot, still can win today.
If they come back and win this, it should go to the top of the most shocking wins in Pats history.
(In my opinion) 🙂
NOT going to happen. Devito can’t connect and AJ Brown REFUSES to catch the ball!!!!!!
With Maye, I think we would WIN this game!!!!
The Pats are showing “some” signs that they might be able to stop Detroit. We NEED some offense!!!
28-3. Same score as the Atlanta Falcons in the Super Bowl.
It’s going to be a VERY different result, that’s for sure!
They are DONE for the postseason for all practical purposes. 🙁
I think both of those are prematurely spoken. ESPECIALLY the 2nd statement. The first one – probably right. But there’s still a lot of time left on the clock and as we’ve seen before, quite a bit can happen in not a lot of time.
I’d like you to lay out the reasons why you believe they are “DONE” for the post-season as of November 15.
Where do I start? See below later. 🙁
There’s actually no reason to count them out of the post season on November 15 at their current record.
Agree.
I promised to list them and I will later today or this evening. A promise is a promise. 🙂
No reason? really? Can they make the playoffs?
Sure if they get their house in order. that is a BIG if.
What I am saying is we cannot count them OUT.
AJ Brown looked done for the day. Headed back to the locker room.
Hamstring. Can this guy stay on the field? What a BUST of trade this is!!!
I only wish the Pats had kept Kayshon Boutte who is having a great season. I don’t say that with 20-20 hind sight. I never liked the trade.
Stefon Diggs is doing pretty good with the Commanders as well. We could’ve kept him also.
They make some strange plays for strange reasons
AGREE 1,000,000,000 percent. THAT was a DUMB-ASS trade beyond belief!!!
Thanks, TK.
Yesterday’s Euro big storm near the coast, now shows as a LAKES CUTTER. my favorite type storm!!! NOT!!! and a Western Lakes Cutter to boot, the worst kind!!!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&fh=348
I do feel for snow enthusiasts, if that really happens.
However, I would be laughing at all the weather pages who have been posting non stop on the SST event and how it might lead to cold and snow in late November.
I hope it’s a warm rain storm just for them. These folks don’t forecast, they wishcast because they are so desperate for snow and it’s obnoxious.
SSW …. I’m losing my own mind 🙂
I’m really kind of hoping this is the winter those pages go down in flames ….. but one can hope. They are just such a hindrance to people looking for real weather info.
Reasons why the Patriots are DONE for the postseason:
1. Too many injuries at too many positions. They need to get SUPER HEALTHY during the break.
2. Their remaining schedule has 4 teams with winning records and 3 teams with losing records. This will leave them with a final record of 8-9, NOT a playoff team.
Teams remaining with winning records: Minnesota, KC, Buffalo, Denver.
So you basically know the outcome of all of those games before they happen? And they can’t win without every player at 100%?
I still haven’t seen a valid reason for counting them out before these games happen. There’s actually a reason why they PLAY them.
I believe November is typically the cloudiest month of the year. So I am very happy to look at the forecast of sunshine for the entire week. That can really help those with seasonal affective disorder
This month is going to come in on the + side for sunshine.
From a colleague:
Official weather observations (METARs) are now available for Bethel Airport in ME. The airport code is “0B1.” Reports are sent every 20 minutes. You can look at them all here.
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=K0B1