Saturday Forecast

42 Comments

9:26AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 20-24)
The weekend will be dominated by a westerly flow and mild air and will eliminate the existing snow cover (where it is) once again, except for some of the larger piles remaining from the above normal snowfall of early winter, and some of the snow cover protected by woods or on north-facing slopes of hills where it was deeper and persisted from previous events. “Forget the snow, tell me about the Patriots game!” If you say that, then I can’t tell you about Tom Brady’s status but I can tell you that the game will be played in dry weather with a game time temperature about 45 degrees and that it will cool to the upper 30s by the end of the game with generally light westerly breezes. However, there is colder air on the way and will arrive via a cold front from the north in the early hours of Monday. This front will not get too far south of the region but will get far enough to allow the colder air in as a storm system heads for the Great Lakes, where it will traverse on its way to passing north of New England by later Tuesday. But the cold air that moves in will set the stage for some snow and sleet at least over interior southern New England for a time on Monday night before it warms enough for rain in all areas Tuesday. Beyond this, windy, and colder conditions will return as dry weather arrives behind the departing system for the middle of next week. Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly cloudy with most clouds through mid morning. Highs 45-52. Wind W 10-15 MPH, gusts to 20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-10 MPH, gusts to 15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy with most sun through mid afternoon. Highs 43-50. Wind W 5-10 MPH, gusts to 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to N.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Rain coast, rain/sleet/snow interior at night. Highs 35-42. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows from the upper 20s to middle 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny and windy. Temperatures falling from the 40s to the 20s.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 25-29)
Fair, cold start then moderating trend January 25-27 as high pressure dominates and slips off to the east by later in the period. Early indications are for low pressure tracking north of the region and a mild rain or rain shower event January 28 followed by a quick cool-down and windy weather at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 30-FEBRUARY 3)
A fair/cold end to January and a milder and unsettled start to February is the very early call for this period.

42 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK!

    I suppose some interesting precip issues for the interior on Monday but for most here at the coastal plain nothing but a few temperature swings for the foreseeable future.

    My main concern is for Brady’s HAND.

    1. The p-type for Monday night looks to me like one of those marginal situations that can go either way, but eventually it’s just too warm all around for anything frozen. The temp swings will probably be more impressive than the storms themselves over the next couple weeks as I see it now, but always watching.

      The allusion to the snow event before January’s end has to do with one potential model screw-up not seeing a low pressure wave that forms right behind the cold front around January 28/29 and comes up with mix/snow. I’ve seen that set-up do that to us in the past and a couple things remind me of it, but not enough to lean that way at this point in my forecast as posted above.

  6. Brady will play tomorrow guaranteed. I believe the injury that I heard about the knuckle is true and I’m hoping he’s not practicing because of precautionary measures . Tom can and has played some incredible games in past performances from missing practices. I am also suspecting the pats might be , big might be letting this play out a little to throw a little curve ball to the Jags. What I will say is hand injured or not this game scares me and I said that last Sunday . The Jags will not come in here and lay an egg it’s not happening . I’m very concerned with the protection of Brady and the Jags trying to completely take Gronk out as the guy on him is a larger guy than Gronk . Lastly Jags will be playing like last Sunday with the mentality of we will show you as nobody has them winning against the pats this week . 98.5 man all week I’ve screamed at the radio all week as it’s the easiest game ever by anybody to advance to the SB. Go pats that’s all I got enjoy the game . Hope the pats have an unbelievable game plan .

    1. I believe what is worrisome for fans is that he is now listed as “Questionable”…whatever that actually means.

      1. Trust me he’s playing ( at least he starts ) and the fans should be worried. This whole thing this week is very strange. I will say if hoyer plays and looses you will be seeing a big battle going down at the club house.

        1. Oh Yeah, he IS PLAYING. NO DOUBT (good name for a band).

          I’ll wager he plays the whole game, unless it is a blow out.

  7. This morning Barry mentioned that on this date in 1978 Boston received 21.4″ of snow. I was a senior in high school and I had a nice 4 day weekend. The storm began early Friday morning IIRC and school was canceled the following Monday. 😀

    The Monday cancellation was announced that Friday evening so I didn’t have to wait over the weekend to find out. 😉

    Also IIRC it was a nice cold, fluffy snow unlike the February blizzard to come but I will defer to JPD and/or TK to confirm.

    1. Both storms were powder. The January as well as the Blizzard. Here the Blizzard of 78 was a heavy powder.

      1. Beg to differ on the blizzard as “all” power. Temp at Logan was at 33F for a time anyway but never mixed. I don’t recall temps at the very end though. It was certainly plenty cold when the first flakes fell. 😀

    1. There is no official last day, but if you want to define one, use February 2, the climate midpoint of the snow season.

  9. If I remember correctly wasn’t there a big rain event in between the January event that is being mentioned and the blizzard of 78?

    1. I honestly don’t remember. All I can tell you was there was much snow left
      and especially snow banks and piles before the Blizzard. That is what
      contributed to it being so bad. There was no place to put it. They had to send
      out a fleet of front end loaders to clear the roads. The regular plows could
      not handle it, especially any roads that were neglected during the height of the storm. It was UNBELIEVABLE!!! NOTHING has come close since, even storms
      that had similar accumulations. Just not the same.

      1. Yes there was a rain event but it didn’t melt all that much of the previous snow. There were still plenty of piles around the city.

        1. Just about all of the snowcover from the January 20 storm was wiped out on January 26. Yes there were some large piles left from plows, but that was about it. All that was left on the ground was 1 or 2 inches of frozen crust in protected areas.

  10. The February 1978 storm was powder in MOST areas, but not at Logan the entire time. They had an intrusion of warmer air mid storm that the snow was wetter during. Snow changed to rain on Cape Cod after 6-12 inches and then they ended as snow showers.

    2. So I was correct about that 33F temp! 🙂

      Looking back, it’s a wonder that there wasn’t a brief mix with sleet in Boston if nothing else.

  11. It is ironic that you should have be having a discussion of the snow depth right before the Blizzard. It is funny that my memories and reality are sometimes not the same. (I am becoming my grandfathers!) I remember a substantial snowfall on the ground from the January 20 storm before the Blizzard. I looked this up last night. There was little or no snow on the ground. I am sure there were still significant snowbanks. These are the snow depths on the morning of February 6, 1978:

    Boston: 3″; Providence: T; Blue Hills: 3″; Woonsocket: 4″; Worcester: 10″; Taunton: 0″

    1. So far I am amazed how a 10 year old TK remembers such detail! I am several years older and I clearly have memory gaps. 🙂

      2. Philip: I read your recollection of no school of no school on Friday, January 20 through January 23. I, too, was a senior in high school (Mansfield High School, Class of 1978; Go Hornets!). I don’t remember the no school arrangements for that storm. However, I remember having school on the morning of the Blizzard. We got out of school at 11 am on February 6. A normal 5-minute drive for mom took 45 minutes to get home!

        We had no school from February 7 through Sunday, February 26 which included the February school vacation! I didn’t make up a single day from that winter because I was a senior and we got out around May 15!

        1. We didn’t have to make any of it up either – they waived it. 😉 And we had the same days off too. Went to school Monday February 6. Walked home as the Blizzard was getting underway. Next school day was Monday February 27. I will note that in the 2nd of my two 1978 blog posts.

        1. I have no idea. I’m busted.

          Give me a date during my life and within 1 minute or less I’ll tell you what day of the week it was. Sometimes it only takes me a second or 2. I just have a very strange memory for details in some areas and other places where I can’t remember nearly as much.

          1. You have a remarkable gift! 🙂

            I don’t suppose you have any inkling as to what tonight’s winning lottery number is, by chance? 😉

  13. On the day the storm began I had a normal day and got out my usual 2:00 pm time. It was snowing steadily and very windy to say the least as I had difficulty walking against the stiff wind. I had the rest of that week off but I had to return to school the following Wednesday. In addition February vacation was cancelled since I went to private school my last three years of high school. Oh well. 😀

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