Sunday Forecast

7:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 29-MAY 3)
Low pressure moves in today and then spins around and does a mini loop over New England as if to remind us of the stormy pattern we endured not so long ago, but also like a farewell as we have a big change in the weather pattern above to take place right as the month changes. This is when high pressure will build along the East Coast as the low departs and brings a taste of summer weather to the region. Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Mainly cloudy. Rain showers likely, most numerous mid to late morning southwestern NH, central MA, and eastern CT, and most numerous late morning and midday southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI. Highs 55-62. Wind variable 5-10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Lows 45-51. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated to scattered rain showers. Highs 52-59. W 5-15 MPH shifting to N.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 57-63 South Coast, 64-71 elsewhere. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s South Coast, upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the upper 60s to middle 70s South Coast, upper 70s to middle 80s elsewhere.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 4-8)
A front will be in the region for much of this period so timing it in regards to temperature and precipitation threats is difficult this far in advance. Preliminary call is that May 4 is warm but brings a risk of showers, May 5 is cooler but the South Coast may run a rain risk, May 6 is warmer with a slight risk of showers, then additional temperature fluctuations and shower threats possible May 7-8 also. Don’t read this as a rainy period of days as there will probably be stretches of very nice weather between wet weather threats.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 9-13)
For now going with a typical springtime up/down temperature pattern with a few episodes of unsettled weather.

40 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. There is actually a decent area of snow on the backside of today’s system in upstate New York. Whether there is actually any accumulation I have no idea.

    1. Probably too warm at the ground for much accumulation. We’re actually going to be only a few degrees away from being cold enough pre-dawn tomorrow for snow as close by as the Worcester Hills. I don’t think it will happen though.

    1. I’m willing to bet a small fortune that Vicki will appreciate this as well. πŸ˜‰

        1. I need to incorporate that into my social media posting…
          You’ll probably see it show up there soon. Today I’m inundating people with pictures & song posts (soon). πŸ˜‰

              1. I enjoyed all your choices. That was my brothers favorite song and he’s gentle on my mind today πŸ™‚

  2. Had some sunshine and it popped to 63 here.
    I’m guessing it will contribute to more showers later. πŸ˜€

  3. The low pressure area that the ECMWF model has threatening the region around May 9-10 has its origins in the tropics, but would not be a tropical cycle when it got to a position of threat (if it happens at all).

    1. I would be curious as to the “origin” of the May 9-10, 1977 event. Interesting coincidence though.

        1. Certainly didn’t think so. Was it a typical Mid-Atlantic coastal that tapped into anomolous very late season cold?

    1. Icelandic and Irish skies. And sometimes Holland and the UK similar sun-to- clouds-to-rain-back-to-clouds-to-rain weather phenomena on a given day. While New England has variable weather, it’s generally not as variable on a given day like it is in Iceland or Ireland. Every 20 minutes weather can change in Ireland and Iceland, and often does. In the case of Iceland, a perpetual low spins seemingly forever nearby producing variability, but interestingly very rarely a thunderstorm. The range of temperatures, especially in Southern Iceland is very narrow. Boston gets much colder than Reykjavik, and much warmer.

  4. Philip, the large scale pattern that produced the May 1977 snowstorm was basically a “phased omega block”. That is, the classic omega closed low / ridge / closed low was across the US, but in Canada the pattern was also pretty much the same, except that the ridge tilted northeast across Hudson Bay and helped nudge even colder air southward into the eastern member of the 2 closed lows over the US. The upper low situated itself just so, and was strong enough with enough cold air aloft to produce the snow event. Logan recorded a half inch of snow, Providence at 7 inches, with similar amounts in many of Boston’s western and northwestern suburbs (4-8 inches), just over a foot fell at Worcester, and the jackpot region was the hills in northern Worcester County with 15 to 20 inches. There was very little snow in the CT Valley but another area of significant accumulation in the higher elevations of western MA and CT. The vast majority of the measurable snow fell in the evening hours of the 9th to the early morning hours of the 10th, during darkness.

    1. As I recall major tree damage because leaves were opening and snow was wet. Truly bad combination

      1. I know I have mentioned this before but will repeat it… I remember Woburn having a special collection with trucks going around and collecting all the branches that people gathered up and put at curb side, and of course the tree companies were busy taking care of larger limbs and whole trees in some cases that succumbed to the weight of the snow.

        1. I remember that as well.

          The late March 1984 storm was hard on trees so it isn’t hard to imagine what a May storm did for damage.

  5. The one snow event in my life that produced a lot of tree damage and power outages was the October Nor’easter of 2011.

    1. You just missed the march 1984 event πŸ™‚ πŸ˜‰

      I can say that was the closest to the October 2011 that I recall.

  6. Second time in an eight week stretch their in 2011 lost power for multiple days. The first coming with Irene.

    1. We did also. And then the next October. My grandson was 4 and 5 then and thought for the next few years Halloween meant everyone lost power

      1. I should say we were in the middle of our two week vacation at Humarock when Irene arrived. We went home on Saturday and returned on Monday to no power in Scituate. It returned fairly quickly though

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