7:21AM
DAYS 1-5 (JULY 10-14)
Another day of smoke in the atmosphere from Canada. It’s not that Canada is having their worse fire season ever, it’s that our weather pattern has been one that transports that smoke down this way a little more than we have seen in other recent years, so just in case the media gets bored and decides to try to convince you that Canada’s burning down … it’s not. So other than high altitude smoke, what’s up? More of the same, seasonable heat and a bump up in humidity the next couple days, but not to unbearable levels just yet. That will reserve itself to a number of hours on Friday when we will also introduce the risk of showers and thunderstorms as a cold front traverses the area. Some guidance has indicated that a few thunderstorms may also develop on the leading edge of the more humid air which will pass the region Thursday, but I’m not going to buy into that at this time, just adding some more cloudiness to the forecast. Even Friday’s activity may end up rather limited as the conditions, though coming in waves, may not be all that supportive of organized or strong showers and storms. But any time you have some heat, some humidity, and a front, you should keep an eye on things just in case. Weekend? Looking great for the most part. A high pressure area returns fair and less humid weather to the region Saturday, and a weak disturbance may cause a passing shower or storm Sunday but otherwise that looks like a mainly dry day as well.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Smoke-filtered sunshine. Highs 85-92, except cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. More humid. Highs 86-91, cooler South Coast. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers/thunderstorms possible after midnight. Humid. Lows 67-74. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers/thunderstorms probable at times. Muggy. Highs 78-85, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Patchy fog. Lowering humidity. Lows 63-70. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 83-90, coolest Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 63-70. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a passing shower/thunderstorm. Highs 83-90, coolest Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 15-19)
General west to east flow with mean high pressure ridge position in the Midwest. Minimal threat of showers/thunderstorms at times, with a risk later July 15 into July 16, and perhaps about July 19, based on the timing of systems in the jet stream. Temperatures in this pattern should average somewhat above normal, but without prolonged high heat.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 20-24)
High pressure ridge may slide eastward for the July 20-21 weekend resulting in more heat, then head back to the Midwest and Upper Plains allowing the heat to ease again after that. Shower/thunderstorm threats will exist a couple times with passing disturbances, but it’s impossible to time such threats this far in advance.