8:59AM
DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 7-11)
A frontal boundary will sit just southeast of the region this weekend, drifting slowly to the southeast with time. Some leftover moisture riding up behind the nearly stationary front today will produce some light precipitation in parts of the region through late morning. The southeastward drift of this front will result in a wave of low pressure moving along it to pass far enough south of the region to keep just about its entire precipitation shield offshore as it goes by, clipping only Nantucket and possibly outer Cape Cod with some light rain/snow early Sunday. A trough of low pressure will move through Sunday evening and may produce a snow shower in a few locations. A sliver of high pressure will bring fair weather Monday before the next threat of unsettled weather Tuesday. However, with this system we’ll avoid a larger storm resulting because 2 main pieces of energy will not phase – the southern system passing harmlessly out to see while a weaker northern disturbance brings patchy light precipitation, followed by a push of drier air by Wednesday. Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy through more sun possible north and west of Boston later in the day. Areas of very light to light rain/snow until late morning. Highs 41-48. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly to partly cloudy. Chance of snow/mix/rain Nantucket and possibly outer Cape Cod in the morning. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing snow shower possible evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 25-33. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered areas of light rain/mix/snow possible. Lows in the 30s. Highs in the 40s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 12-16)
This period of time is fairly difficult to figure out weather-wise not only given that spring has so many influencing factors in place with a cold Canada, a chilly ocean, and a building warm air mass not all that far to the south of New England. In addition, the boundary of that Canadian cold and southern US warmth will never be all that far away. My best guess for now is for a quick push of warmer air and possibly a rain shower on April 12 on the milder side of the boundary, then a shot of cooler air and a breezy but dry day on April 13. High pressure should bring fair weather April 14 but with it centered in eastern Canada and not off the US East Coast that is a recipe for a chilly coastline and milder air in the interior, but not the potentially very warm shot of air that once looked possible. Sometime during the period of April 15-16 a trough will move through from the west but it may be rapidly weakening as it does so, pushing just a frontal boundary through with a passing brief period of precipitation but temperature averaging near to slightly below normal. Plenty of time to fine-tune this period of time especially as April 16 is Patriots Day / Marathon Monday.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 17-21)
The current indications are more strongly for a continuation of passing systems with a couple periods of unsettled weather, and temperatures averaging near to mostly below normal through the middle of the month.