C-19 Chat Post – 3 – 7 – 2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 6-10)

A warm front moves through this morning with fog and eventual rainfall. This afternoon we may break out to partial sun as the warm air arrives. Tonight and Monday, clouds dominate ahead of and with the passage of a cold front as low pressure moves along it with a cool-down from northwest to southeast and another period of rain that should end before it’s cold enough for mixing with any frozen precipitation, but by Tuesday morning, even though it looks drier than it previously did, we may need to watch for some black ice due to colder weather. We’ll see breezy and chilly weather but with dry conditions Tuesday as low pressure departs and high pressure approaches. This high will bring fair weather through Wednesday as well before another high builds in with fair weather continuing on Thursday. We’ll see a wave of low pressure passing to the south of the region late Wednesday to early Thursday, but this is expected to be a miss at this time.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy with areas of fog through midday including rain showers later morning and midday. Clouds break for some sun afternoon. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 53-58 interior RI and southeastern MA, 59-64 elsewhere. Wind S under to MPH, shifting to SW and increasing to 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Lows 47-54. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Highs 50-57. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain with areas of fog in the evening. Areas of black ice possible overnight especially north and west of Boston. Lows 30-37. Wind variable shifting to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 33-40. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 11-15)

Another round of unsettled weather March 11-12, initially milder then colder weather arrives during the March 12-13 weekend with a drying trend. Unsettled weather may return yet again by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 16-20)

As we head through the final days of astronomical winter, we’ll continue to see an unsettled pattern with variable temperatures, odds favoring cooler.

C-19 Chat Post – March 6 2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 5-9)

With high pressure offshore and a warm front approaching from the west today, your Saturday will be milder than the mid winter feel of Friday, but will have filtered to limited sun due to abundant high cloudiness moving in as warmer air moves in above. Eventually the clouds thicken and we probably lose the sun before it sets today, but we stay dry through the daylight hours. Tonight as the front moves closer, a batch of light precipitation will move across the region. It may be patchy in nature, but it also may be met with surface temperatures near or slightly below freezing over some interior locations, so while not widespread, a few areas may see briefly slippery untreated surfaces. Keep that in mind over interior locations if you are out tonight. Overnight, the temperature rises, putting an end to any of that. Sunday, we see the warm front push to our north as its parenting low pressure area moves across southeastern Canada. A lobe of energy will send some rain showers across our area mainly Sunday morning, and some drying behind this may allow for breaks of sunshine in the afternoon – a little more optimistic forecast than I had previously for Sunday. We’ll have very mild air, with 60+ possible for high temps in many locations, except where a southwest wind is coming off colder ocean water, so our South Coast region will be cooler with upper 40s and 50s expected. We’ll also have to deal with quite a bit of wind as well, but at least it won’t be a biting cold wind. But now comes the time I must remind you that this is March, and spring is not here quite yet. A cold front will settle southeastward across the region Sunday night and Monday. There will be some rain showers with the front, then a period of rain-free weather behind it for a while. But the front is not going to get that far as it goes by before a wave of low pressure comes along from the southwest along it, bringing rainfall back for Monday, especially afternoon and evening. We’ll have to keep a close eye on the temperature profile as this front sits just to the south, as there still can be some ice/snow involved at least over the interior areas and higher elevations well northwest of Boston. Right now though, I think it will be limited those areas, and unlike yesterday, I’m a little more optimistic for Tuesday that we see an earlier exit to the precipitation, eliminating the snow threat, and bringing the improved weather in sooner, with high pressure then moving in for fair but chilly weather heading to the middle of next week.

TODAY: Filtered to limited sunshine with lots of high cloudiness. Highs 35-42. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A couple periods of light rain possible, but some light icing possible over interior areas mostly north of I-90 and west of I-95 evening. Lows 30-37 evening, then slowly rising temperature overnight. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH evening, increasing to 10-20 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely through midday. Partial sun afternoon. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 53-58 interior RI and southeastern MA, 59-64 elsewhere. Wind SW 15-25 MPH with gusts 30-40 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Lows 47-54. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Temperatures steady 47-54 early, then falling, especially southern NH and northern MA, where 30s are possible. Wind shifting from SW to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow/ice/rain southern NH and northern MA, rain to the south. Temperatures falling to 28-35 by morning. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 33-40. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 10-14)

A couple more low pressure systems threaten with unsettled weather during this period, and with marginal and variable temperatures some frozen precipitation can be involved.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 15-19)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather with a fairly active pattern expected to continue into the final days of winter.

C-19 Chat Post – March 5 2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 4-8)

High pressure provides cold Canadian air but dry and tranquil weather with abundant sunshine today, before slipping offshore Saturday and allowing for a slight moderation, as clouds move in ahead of a warm front. This front may produce a light variety of precipitation Saturday night as it moves through and can result in some slippery travel for a short while. After the front passes, we warm nicely on Sunday but that day will be unsettled with a good chance of rain showers. The low pressure area parenting that warm front will move well north of our area as it races into eastern Canada. Its cold front will sink across our region during Monday and south of the area by Tuesday. As this boundary goes by the region slowly, a couple more waves of low pressure will move along it, with additional unsettled weather. Most of this should be in the form of rain Monday, but depending on the timing of both the front and the low pressure waves, some freezing and/or frozen precipitation may become involved at least in parts of southern NH and northern MA before we see it come to an end. That part of the forecast requires fine-tuning in the days to come.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 29-36. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Sunshine then increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Spotty light rain with some freezing rain possible mainly interior locations north of I-90 during the evening. Lows 30-37 evening, then temperatures rise overnight. Wind SE up to 10 MPH, shifting to SW and increasing to 10-20 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs 47-52 South Coast, 53-58 interior RI and southeastern MA, 59-64 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Temperatures steady 47-54 early, then falling, especially southern NH and northern MA, where 30s are possible. Wind shifting from SW to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow/ice/rain southern NH and northern MA, rain to the south. Temperatures falling to 28-35 by morning. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow/ice/rain, ending during the day. Clearing possible late-day. Highs 33-40. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH, gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 9-13)

High pressure brings dry weather to start the period, but the active pattern continues with 1 or 2 low pressure systems bringing additional unsettled weather threats after that. Temperatures below to near normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 14-18)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather with a fairly active pattern expected to continue.

C-19 Chat Post – March 4 2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 3-7)

Low pressure exits to the east and high pressure approaches from the west today. After some minor snowfall accumulation away from the South Coast during the overnight hours, we’ll have a blustery and chilly but dry day. High pressure builds in for fair and cold but more tranquil weather Friday. High pressure shifts offshore and temperatures moderate slightly Saturday, but with clouds moving in ahead of the next low pressure system, which will send a warm front toward our region. This front may produce a variety of precipitation sometime Saturday night before it pushes through the region Sunday. I’m a little more optimistic this front makes it through at this time so I’m leaning toward a milder / rain shower scenario for Sunday. Additional unsettled weather is expected Monday with another system moving into the region right behind the weekend one. This one looks like a milder system as well with more of a rain threat than anything else.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 29-36. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Sunshine then increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of snow/mix/rain. Lows 28-35 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind E up to 10 MPH shifting to S.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers likely evening. Lows 38-45. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain, mainly afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind W to variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 8-12)

Rain may end as snow or snow showers March 8 as it turns colder then dries out as a front pulls offshore. High pressure brings fair weather mid period before unsettled weather returns later in the period with temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 13-17)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather with a fairly active pattern expected.

C-19 Chat Post – March 3 2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 2-6)

One minor low pressure system went by last night with some snow and mostly rain for the region. We’re between that and another approaching one today with dry weather and some sunshine during the day. Tonight’s system will bring more rain (south) and snow (north) with a bit of an accumulation possible. High pressure builds in with fair weather and below normal temperatures Thursday through Saturday, though each of these days will have its own distinguishing characteristic, with Thursday being the breezy one, Friday being the coldest one, and Saturday showing some increasing clouds ahead of our next weather system. This system is expected to bring unsettled weather to our region on Sunday, and it may be a situation where a warm front moving in has trouble moving through, cold air is trapped, and some variety of precipitation is the result. Fine tuning to come.

TODAY: Sunshine, patchy clouds. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding up. Late evening and overnight snow/mix north, mix/rain south. Snow accumulation of a coating to 1 inch possible away from the South Coast. Lows 29-36. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Sunshine then increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Thickening overcast. Lows 25-32. Wind E under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain/mix/snow. Highs 33-40. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 7-11)

Additional unsettled weather is possible early in the period with a low pressure area and frontal system in the vicinity. We may have a brief surge of warmer air before it turns colder again with dry weather by mid period. Unsettled weather may return by late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 12-16)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather as we likely sit near a battle zone between cold to north and mild to south.

C-19 Chat Post – March 2 2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 1-5)

Hello March! Definitely not stormy or windy enough to be coming in like a lion, so we’ll call it a restless lamb with 2 clipper lows to visit us in the first 60 hours of the month, one passing by tonight and another Wednesday night. Both low centers likely track far enough north so precipitation is limited and enough mild air is involved for more rain than snow, but some areas, especially away from the South Coast, can see some snow from each. The worst would be minor accumulation and temporary slick spots each evening, so be on the look-out for that. Cold high pressure moves in Thursday through Friday then tries to hang on Saturday, but by then we’ll be seeing clouds move back in ahead of an approaching warm front.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow/mix/rain showers trending to mostly rain showers. Minor snow accumulation possible interior areas especially away from South Coast Lows 28-34 evening may rise overnight. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snow/mix/rain showers likely. Lows 29-36. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind calm.

SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 6-10)

Unsettled weather with a variety of precipitation possible and a possible complex temperature profile during March 6-8 (lots to sort out here), then dry/chilly weather toward the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 11-15)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather as we likely sit near a battle zone between cold to north and mild to south.

C-19 Chat Post – March 1 2022

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Canadian high pressure brings breezy, cold, dry weather for the final day of February today. High pressure moves offshore Tuesday and we moderate a little. Then a pair of clipper low pressure systems will traverse the region, one Tuesday night and another about 24 hours later, both bringing minor precipitation events. After the second low moves away, high pressure will approach Thursday then build in Friday with a dry, colder end to the week.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 interior areas, 10-15 coastal and urban locations. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow/mix/rain showers (mix/rain most likely near South Coast). Lows 28-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snow/mix/rain showers likely. Lows 29-36. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 5-9)

Pattern becomes unsettled with one system bringing a chance of rain/ice/snow to the region during the March 5-6 weekend and another system bringing a precipitation threat during the March 7-8 time frame. Battle between cold to north and mild to south leaves temperature outlook uncertain.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 10-14)

Temperatures near to below normal. Additional unsettled weather as we likely sit near a battle zone between cold to north and mild to south.

C-19 Chat Post – February 28 2022