Friday November 25 2022 Forecast (8:49AM)

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 25-29)

This is your Black Friday blog update. Thanksgiving weather was very nice around our area with lots of sun, seasonably cool air but light wind. Today’s different as we have a generally cloudy sky and rain showers traversing the region as a trough and frontal system pass through. This will move out tonight and high pressure will bring us another nice day on Saturday. But a progressive pattern means that can’t last too long as the next disturbance approaches later in the weekend with clouds advancing Sunday. This still looks like a 2-part system to me with one batch of rainfall later Sunday into Sunday night, and a follow up rain shower chance for several hours Monday. Finally these are beyond us and we can say hi to nice weather again for Tuesday as another area high pressure arrives.

TODAY: Mainly cloudy with rain showers around through midday. Breaking clouds later in the day. Highs 46-53. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 34-41. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 49-56. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Chance of rain late-day. Highs 50-57. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain evening. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers morning-midday Highs 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, shifting to W with higher gusts later in the day.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 36-43. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55.Wind W 5-15 MPH.


The upper pattern is expected to feature a ridge of high pressure over the southeastern US while much colder air sits just to the north in Canada. The main storm track will be to our north so we can expect a couple of frontal passages with odds favoring rain showers over anything frozen, eyeing late November 30 and the end of the period for these threats.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 5-9)

Battle zone between the mild US Southeast and the colder Canada. Pattern looks a little more unsettled and variable in temperature during this time.

39 thoughts on “Friday November 25 2022 Forecast (8:49AM)”

  1. Thanks TK and sorry to hear about the positive test. Take it easy, get some rest and hope you and your son feel better soon.

    We decided to make the trip to Stratton this am for opening day and so far we are glad we did. There is no one here and it is precipitating lightly (rain at the base and snow at the top)

  2. Sorry to hear about you and your son getting coivd. Take care and take it easy.

    Thank you for today’s outlook.

  3. Thanks TK.

    So sorry about the “tryptophan” remark in the previous blog. I had no idea you had a serious illness. You and your son get well soon!

    1. No worries. It was funny. 🙂
      Funny thing is, tryptophan is kind of a myth. Yes, it can make you tired, but you’d have to eat so much turkey to get that much, you’d be quite sick long before it put you to sleep.

      People get tired because they tend to eat more at a time of day they typically don’t in the absence of typical stresses. 🙂

      I’m doing ok. I’m a tough cookie. 🙂

  4. Pattern change “may” be coming, but so far all I see is a PARADE
    of CUTTERS!!!! )(#$*()@#*$)(&@)*#$&*(@&#)$(&@)(#$*)(@#*$(

    1. Basically the pattern I described for end Nov / early Dec. No surprise there. I think around Dec 10 things switch up for a while. There may be a borderline case before that in transition.

  5. Thank you, TK. So so sorry you and your son tested positive. Please take care and please don’t worry about updates here. We are 100% fine while you rest.

    1. I’m actually feeling pretty “good” in a relative sense. I think I’ll be able to update daily right on through. 🙂 This seems to have hit him a little harder. He rarely gets anything, but when he does, he gets it good…

      The irony there is that I take medication that reduces the action of my immune system, technically making me immunocompromised…

  6. Take good care, TK (and your son).

    Thank you for the forecast.

    Maybe we can get all the cutters out of the way by, say, December 10th. From that day forward have every low pass the benchmark, with highs over Southern Quebec.

    By the way, I made the mistake of watching an entire football game last night. It was entertaining. But very frustrating. I’ll never understand the logic of the rule that says Henry’s catch was an incompletion. It’s not just a weird rule. It’s inconsistent. Of course, inconsistency isn’t just in the rulebook. It was also, frankly, an embarrassingly inconsistent game for the referees. Obvious holds and facemasks missed. I don’t normally moan and complain about the officiating. But last night it was very bad.

    Ultimately, the Patriots did shoot themselves in the foot. The personal fouls were real and also very dumb, as were several other plays, too.

    1. Thanks!
      You’re welcome!

      As far as the game goes, the team is still doing better than I thought they would be at this point in the season, so I’ll take it. 🙂 It was an entertaining football game, just not with the outcome I’d have liked. 🙂

      1. The Patriots are a competitive team and can’t be taken lightly but they don’t quite have the capacity to actually pull off an upset win against elite playoff teams. Sooner or later they “choke”. Guess what, their remaining schedule is made up of playoff teams.

        Enough said. 🙁

          1. I don’t think the day or time of game has any impact on the outcome of it. That’s a cultural myth. But as far as the team goes, they are about mid to just above mid pack in ability. Good. Not great. Not bad. Definitely not terrible.

    2. I agree re Henry’s TD. And face masks missed. Mac did very well. The coaching continues to be a problem. They need to be able to bounce back from errors… takes time and I think they will get there.

      The end of the buffalo game was awesome. I am a buffalo fan also and was on the edge of my seat

      1. Henry had clear possession of the ball when he made sure
        the ball crossed the plane of the goal line. That is a touch down right there. After this point it doesn’t matter if he lost control of the ball. Same thing if one were to fumble after crossing the goal line. Once that is accomplished it is a touch down and it doesn’t matter what happens after that.

        The NFL rule about having to survive hitting the ground after the catch simply does not or SHOULD NOT count
        once the goal line is crossed.

        I about threw my shoes at the TV after that one!

        That was a real BUMMER. Not that it mattered as they still would have lost. They could not Stop The Cousins-Jefferson combo!!! Absolutely had NO ANSWER for it. That is why they lost.

        1. I absolutely agree re TD.

          I heard a funny comment today. It was that BB is an excellent coach. He’s just been off the last few years. I just about spit my tea out. Gee, what changed a few years ago.

  7. Congrats Boston Bruins!
    First team in NHL history to go 12-0 at home to start the season. 🙂

      1. Fought back today. Got down 2-0 to Carolina – a very fast team. Starting goalie injured – had to leave game. Back-up went in after a shaky game 2 days ago, played great! Survived most of OT with a clearly faster team and ended up winning it off a Pasta blast. 🙂

        They have often struggled on these day-after-Thanksgiving matinee games, and they did for a while, but the difference between this team and many others is they never let it get away for good.

  8. Thanks, TK…

    Caught the end of the Bruins game after the USA v. England soccer match. Very exciting!

    USA played (at times, outplayed) England, but came up with their second draw of the tournament. They face Iran Tuesday afternoon in a must-win game to move onto the knockout round.

    I read the Barcelona on-line newspaper daily and found this:
    (translated into English from Google Translator) Don’t tell my students that I used Google Translator!!! Hahaha! 🙂

    Once this ‘meteorological armistice’ is over, the end of November and the beginning of December threaten with great changes. Everything indicates that the so-called ‘beast from the East’ is approaching, a large mass of cold air that has already visited Spain on other occasions. According to the meteorologist Roberto Granda, from, this air mass will drop in Europe and it is possible that it will reach Spain.

    1. Iran is a good team. They’ll have their hands full.

      Interesting watching the European weather. I used to do it on a daily basis. 🙂

  9. Thanks everyone for the well wishes.

    We are doing OK. This is definitely no picnic. But as I mentioned earlier, I have been in worse shape than this more than once, the worst being the flu in 2001. That said, this is still no piece of cake. I feel ok with tylenol but lousy when it wears off.

    Symptoms are still considered “moderate” more than anything else – I can’t say anything is severe. My son and I are isolated in this house and I am taking the opportunity since we can’t do our decorating project to catch up on other things that kind of suffered this year – so there’s a plus there. I always try to make the best of whatever situation I have instead of lamenting what isn’t going well.

    Just really wish somebody would snag these TSO tickets from me. 🙂

    1. Joshua would know much, much more than I but isn’t there an approved drug that can be taken within days of feeling symptoms that considerably shortens the length of suffering from Covid? I believe it’s called “plaxavoid”?

      1. Yes there is. But I think I’m too late and may also be disqualified because of meds I take for my immune system. To be honest, my symptoms are not severe enough that I feel like I need it.

        It’s also highly experimental at this stage leading me to be a little uncertain about whether or not I want to go that route. I think I’ll just let my system fight it.

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