Monday August 10 2026 Forecast (7:13AM)

87 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 10-14)

The Bermuda High set-up has broken down and given way to a zonal (west to east) flow for this week. There are 3 disturbances to watch. The first is a trough of low pressure passing to our north with a spike extending southward, which will move through our region tonight with a shower and thunderstorm chance. This leaves most of today fair with hazy sun (wildfire smoke aloft) and after a slightly less humid start, a return of higher humidity, which hangs around through Tuesday but with fair weather returning. The second disturbance will be a weak low pressure area passing south of the region early Wednesday, but right now I expect any rain associated with it to remain just south of our region off the South Coast, so other than some morning cloudiness in southern areas, expect another day of fair weather. The third disturbance will be low pressure passing to our north Thursday. Its warm front goes by early Thursday, followed by its cold front later Thursday. This brings a couple opportunities for showers and thunderstorms to our region, the details of which can be worked out over the next few days. Behind this system, a slight cool down arrives along with much lower humidity and fair weather for Friday.

TODAY: Hazy sun, clouds increase late-day. Highs 82-89 except 75-82 South Coast. Dew point starts the day around 60 then climbs above 65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A couple showers and thunderstorms possible. Fog patches form. Lows 66-73. Dewpoint 65+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 81-88. Dew point near 65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear north. Clouds increase near the South Coast. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60+. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Clouds limit sun south of I-90 morning, otherwise sunshine expected. Highs 81-88 except 74-81 coast. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms possible. Highs 78-85. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 57-64. Dew point falls into 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 78-85. Dew point near 50. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 15-19)

Fair, mild, low humidity August 15-16 weekend. Higher humidity and shower / t-storm chances return earl or middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 20-24)

Fair weather early and late period. Higher humidity and shower / t-storm chances mid period.

87 thoughts on “Monday August 10 2026 Forecast (7:13AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    70 up from 69. Dp 62
    Made 91 yesterday

    O ean: 69

    Wordle: 3

    Definitely feels more comfortable today, at least for now. That humidity is coming back later today.

    1. Nearby to us, Orange was 57F.

      We opened the camper windows last night, could feel the cool air coming in.

  11. 71F / 64F

    1st time I’ve walked the shore in a few days where I wasn’t sweating head to toe.

  12. A weather related confession.

    I posted yesterday that I climbed Mt Cardigan on Saturday. The mountain is 3,100 feet, not tall, and the elevation gain during the hike was 1,200 feet. The trail I took was rated moderate.

    It was extremely humid and I did not carry enough H2O to compensate for it. By the time I got down, I was experiencing symptoms of dehydration. A strong reminder of 1) knowing the weather but not thinking about the effects and 2) always remembering the toughest mountain to climb is the one you’re on. Lessons re-learned.

    1. I hear you big time. Once climbed mt. washington in September with shorts and no water. The summit temperature was 30 degrees!!!! Brrrrr
      That was DUMB!!!!!!! Good thing I was very young at the time like 20 years old or so.

  16. The over / under for today looks to be tough to say, but I’ll go with 80F.

    The Almanac has me reaching 90F.

  18. Today, we are back to around May 1st daylight.

    We had aphelion back on July 6th, around 94.5 million miles away. The earth has come about an earth-moon distance closer to the sun since, taking away about 250,000 miles away to a distance of 94,250,000 miles away.

    It’s the earth’s tilt, as we all know that causes the seasons, but I still enjoy tracking the earth-sun distance and the earth-moon distance for its effect on the tides.

    1. We’ve lost about exactly 8 degrees of solar angle since June 21st and that is now accelerating, to the point of losing 1 degree every 3-4 days, which will max at the equinox to 1 degree every 2-3 days.

    2. This business about angles and distances always reminds me of my six years of Catholic school education (K-5). I somehow survived it.

      One time I was called upon to explain why it’s warmer in summer than winter. I stood up and explained about the tilt of the axis. After that the nun said, “Well, okay, but what’s closer in the summer?” After I hesitated, she said, as a hint I suppose, “Mister … is closer.” I knew that in fact Mister Sun was farther away, so I blurted out, “Mister Moon!” She went on to explain that summer warmth was caused my the sun being closer. I argued my case to no avail.

      Later in the day I was walking down the hall and the teacher called me over to a group of teachers that had gathered. She said that she was told that I was correct in what I said. But, she never said anything to the rest of the class!

      I also had a big argument over a test question about the moon which I never won. If the teacher was right in this case, Pink Floyd would never have produced “The Dark Side of the Moon”. 🙂

      2. Listening to my wife’s school stories, I’m not sure if any of the nun’s she had would have even admitted just to her, that she was correct. 🙂

        1. I guess this nun was part of the younger generation!

          One last memory:

          One of my classmates was Harold Fox. His father owned a nearby zoo called Fox’s Wild Animal Farm, which is kind of funny in itself. 🙂

          Every year the class went to the zoo. One year our teacher was the elderly Sister Mary Joachim who was using crutches at the time. She got too close to the baby elephant and it grabbed one of her crutches in its trunk. I still have that image of the elephant and the nun fighting over the crutch, and I can hear the poor woman’s screams!

          3. Thankfully I was spared the Catholic School experience.

            I did, however, have to attend CCD in the 1st and 2nd grade at St. Catherine’s in Norwood. The nun I had was an ABSOLUTE WITCH! THE MEANEST,NASIEST INDIVIDUAL you would ever want to see!!! I HATED that person!!!!!!!!!! HATED the whole experience. Really SOURED me on the Catholic Church.

    1. 100% agree. Very nice breeze. I was standing outside talking to my brother after my work shift and enjoying that. 🙂 Temp was 83 when I left .. dew point 63. That’s about 10 degrees lower than the recent spike.

  21. 87/64 here, but I was just out and it felt like a 100 and wicked
    humid!!! Still YUCK to me! I would rank it as a SUCKY DAY!!!!
    Give me upper 70s and DRY DRY DRY DRY!!!!!

        1. I’m with you JPD. I don’t understand why some here on this blog lately (TK included) have been posting that this HHH stuff is so nice. Y-U-C-K!!!

          1. Because maybe sometimes people don’t all have the exact same opinion about everything. It’s pretty simple to understand, actually. 🙂

            I LIKE hot humid weather. I ALWAYS HAVE. I also always will. I’m not going to change my opinions of weather, or anything else for that matter, based on whether someone else likes it or not. I don’t expect them to do that for me, either.

          2. To each his own. Frankly I am SICK TO DEATH OF IT!!!!

            My wife can’t even leave the house! It’s horrible!!!!
            I can at least go out, But the other day I got sick from this crap!!!!

            I came back from running some errands and just walking from the driveway to the door It was so Hot I thought I was going to die!!!!! Of course that was coming from the Air conditioned car. 🙂 May have had something to do with it.

  22. PM notes…

    -Not as humid today as expected. I thought 65+ for everyone by now. Still a lot of upper 50s to middle 60s dew points as of mid afternoon.

    -No changes to the ongoing forecast. Logan’s high so far is 81 with a wind off the water. They may jump to around 84 briefly around 5 p.m. if we get a wind shift there.

    -Temps regionwide are modest. Warm, certainly not anything approaching advisory level heat. Warm spot in the region so far is 87 at Norwood. Nothing to write home about here folks.

    -Trend is cooler in the medium range. We’re certainly not having a “summer to remember” by any stretch. Kind of ordinary, pretty much how I described it would be. But, we’re only a few days beyond half way, so we’ll see if mother nature has any surprises up her sleeve from here on. I don’t detect any shenanigans right now.

    1. Just in time for us to leave Sunday and head down to the eastern Caribbean! At least that southerly wave, which does look like it may cross St Lucia, should be weak, getting sheared apart, and hopefully through there by Sunday. The northerly one, which looks more likley to develop into a named storm, appears from those spaghetti plots like it will get pulled to the NW and well north of the Lesser Antilles. Hopefully this holds. I will be monitoring closely…

      1. Nice !

        It seems to be working out perfect, as the storms seem to be weakening (I’d prefer not to ride out a storm in a camper), yet the cirrus blowoff has covered the lowering sun on the western horizon.

  25. Clarification… A lot of social media posts are talking about “the strongest El Nino on record by winter”. The phrase “by winter” is INCORRECT. The El Nino, if it manages to become the strongest on record, will be peaking in October and November. That is autumn, not winter. It will be WEAKENING during winter, likely below that “strongest on record” threshold by January. An given that December is 2/3 autumn, I’d say it’s pretty fair to say this is going to be an autumn peak, and a winter decline.

    The information is clearly there for them all to see, but they are relaying it incorrectly.

    In my opinion, it’s a bias issue. They want SO BADLY to see what this magnitude El Nino would do if it were peaking during winter, that they’ve convince themselves it will be. Well, it won’t be. It will be peaking BEFORE winter.

    Once again, just here to keep it real folks. One of the reasons this weather blog exists. Carry on! 🙂

  26. Perseid Meteor Shower peak is coming up. We may have some clouds to contend with on peak night (Wednesday), but if the sky is clear enough, a new moon is great news.

    Speaking of new moon, that will be causing a partial eclipse of the sun here early to mid afternoon Wednesday, but only a small amount of the sun (under 20%) will be covered in this area.

  29. Thanks, TK.

    It’s funny in baseball how during hot streaks everything seems to go your way, but when you cool off you can’t buy a run or so it seems. The Sox are in the cooling off phase. What I am hoping for is eventualky some balance. Just play .500 or a bit above the rest of the way. We’ll see how it goes.

  30. Weather today was marginally better.

    But yesterday my body crumpled
    Could not ride my bike far at all. The heat and humidity did a number on me. It’s frustrating not to be able to enjoy the outdoors in summer.

    I realize some folks like this weather. I envy them, also for their toughness. I kind of melt like the wicked witch.

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