39 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

1. TK thank you for the update. Would today’s showers be afternoon or evening?

   1. Any time.

2. Thanks TK. For those going to the weather conference today enjoy.
   Hope this pans out for all the snow fans like myself. Tweet from meteorologist Ben Noll.
   https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/791985674219954176?lang=en

3. I just don’t see how all this call for a bunch of early snow is going to happen. You need some moisture and storm systems. It doesn’t just magically appear because it’s cold. It’s been dry for months. I don’t see the pattern flipping “overnight” to wet and stormy to bring a lot of early snow.

   1. After the first presentation we just had at this conference I’m that much closer to confident that we’re not getting buried in SNE this coming winter.

      1. Who presented? And why are you more confident?

         1. Dave Vallee from NWS. Looking at all episodes from drought with current and expected ENSO. Very consistent.

            1. Thank you. We shall see. 😀

            2. And how does this very wet October, in an otherwise dry pattern, factor in?

               October was not supposed to be this wet, yet
               it was.

               In short, I am not convinced just yet. 😀

               1. No significant correlation.

                  1. It has to mean something. 😀

                     1. Even if that is true, it can be nearly negligible.

4. I’m in the blackstone/WHW camp with regard to not expecting a lot of snow. Nothing scientific. Just a sense that we have not been able to get precip together for a while and nothing I hear from TK makes me think we will any time soon. And I could easily be misreading or missing something TK said.

   1. I am not just yet. I may jump on later, but not ready at the moment. 😀

      1. And conversely I may jump off 🙂

5. Thank you TK

   Enjoy the conference. And the day. I hear we had a spectacular full rainbow this morning. Sadly I missed it

   1. Observed it for 1/2 hour coming down here and got a photo.

      1. How is it seen at such great distances. Is it the same rainbow?

         1. Every time you move, you see a different bow. As long as the optical conditions support a bow where you are, you’ll see it. With a high based rain area and a low sun with clear sky east, the support was long lasting over a vast area.

6. Thanks TK !

   Enjoy the conference !

7. Thanks TK. Almost time for our annual snowfall contest!

8. I am not convinced of below normal snowfall. I’m leaning around normal at this time. I be posting my winter predictions like usual. The weekend of thansgiving with my maps

   1. Nothing a lock yet but this setup during drought has almost always produced a mixed to dry winter then an evolution to wetter spring.

9. How is a rainbow seen from NH to at least south central MA. And they had one in CA yesterday. Barry said sunrise rainbows are more rare

   http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/10/29/massachusetts-rainbow-sunrise/

   1. See my explanation above.

10. How was Ryan Hanrahan and how was his presentation?

    1. He’s just finishing and it was excellent.

11. Watching him on a television he seems like a nice guy and very knowledgable.

    1. Same in person.

12. Vicki, Saw the huge rainbow this morning on my run in the Esplanade Park. Beautiful sight against a dark sky to the west.

    Am now in east central Vermont where most of the leaves have either fallen or are about to. A dreary, cold rain (I mean very cold) has enveloped the region. I just spent about two hours in the rain watching my niece play her final soccer game of the year.

    I’m always mesmerized by the differences in climate, vegetation, and foliage that one sees during a relatively short 2 hour plus drive from southern to central New England. Though past peak the trees in the Public Garden are still displaying vivid yellows and reddish-orange. But, as I went up I-93 past Woburn I noticed a distinct dulling of the colors. [I still find foliage that’s no longer bursting with color to be quite appealing.] Continuing my journey on I-89 the colors dim further and as you rise in elevation you see many trees that have shed their leaves and are ready for the long winter which lies ahead. Going back in time 5 days I was on the isle of Nantucket which is about 95 miles or so from Boston as the crow flies. Yet another entirely different climate with its attendant differences in tree and plant life. Though all the arboreal plant life still bore most of its leaves there wasn’t much foliage to speak of, the soil is sandy, and the landscape fairly barren and devoid of tall trees.

13. Joshua glad you saw the rainbow. I sure wish I had. But an amazing photographer I have had the pleasure of becoming friendly with captured it. She is helping me put together a picture wall with her photos….some Sutton and some VT. I will add the rainbow to the pictures.

14. Thanks TK for the explanation. It makes sense a bit but that is on my side and not yours. I also believe in signs. And that this appeared coast to coast, I figure it means something. As we know a rainbow can only mean something full of happy

15. Great time at the conference today! Was to nice to see you as always, TK, and a pleasure to meet SAK as well. Many informative presentations on a wide variety of subject matters. I love the fact that each year I go I seem to know more of the faces in the crowd. We have so many great meteorology professionals and enthusiasts in this area.

    1. What’s the general consensus on the winter forecast .

       1. Never really came up. 🙂

    2. It was a great conference.

16. Great day today . Was in Kingston at 8am on a brush removal job than another job along a pond front in Pembroke my side business is just taking off in a big way . Rest of the day was estimates and actually was able to clean my own yard . Few sprinkles earlier but just a nice rebound after yesterday’s cold and raw day.

    1. Nice John. So glad you are doing well !!

17. New post!

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