5:37PM

SUMMARY…
In came the back-door cold front Friday morning and the cool ocean air along with it over southeastern NH and eastern MA. It has taken longer for the front and somewhat cooler air to push further west away from the coast. In fact, as of mid afternoon Friday, the temperature ranged from near 50 along the eastern coast of MA to near 90 in Hartford CT. Though a difference of nearly 40 degrees over about 200 miles, this is not all that unusual an occurrence for this part of the country at this time of year. Now as we get into evening area of low clouds and fog are coming in from the ocean and this will become more widespread during the later evening and tonight as the marine layer becomes established. This low overcast and areas of fog will burn off in most areas Saturday as the wind turns more to the south, but this southerly wind off the water just south of New England means that the low clouds will be much slower to break along the South Coast and it may never completely clear there. Temperatures respond and warm up inland but less quickly along the coast. By Sunday, a southwesterly wind flow means warmer for most areas except still somewhat cooler along the South Coast and especially across Cape Cod. A frontal system to the north and west of the region is expected to cause showers/thunderstorms in northern New England but none of those will reach southern areas as it looks now, meaning that Mother’s Day will be rain-free across southeastern New England. By Monday, this front pushes a little closer with a slight risk of a spot shower or storm but overall most of the activity should still remain to the west and north. By Tuesday, finally the front swings through as it is kicked along by a disturbance from the west. At the same time, remnant moisture from the first named tropical system of the year, Ana, will be making a close pass though most of its moisture should remain offshore just to the southeast. By the middle of next week look for a return to somewhat cooler and drier weather, with a slow warm-up commencing by the end of the week as high pressure dominates.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Low clouds and patchy fog take over. Lows 47-55. Wind NE to SE 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Low clouds and areas of fog give way to sun by afternoon in most locations except low clouds persisting southern RI and south coastal MA including Cape Cod. Highs 58-65 coast, 66-74 interior areas. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 52-60. Wind light S to SW.
SUNDAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny South Coast including Cape Cod, partly cloudy to mostly sunny elsewhere. Highs in the 80s interior areas ranging down to the 60s South Coast. More humid. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers/thunderstorms possible mainly interior MA and southern NH late. Lows 58-66. Highs 67-75 South Coast, 75-83 elsewhere.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 45-50 interior, 50s coast. Highs 60s coast, 70-75 interior.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 60s coast, 70s interior.

7:29AM

SUMMARY…
Nothing about the weather in the next 7 days will be atypical of past Spring seasons in New England. High pressure brings sun and warmth today with some cooler conditions along the coastal areas, but this will become a much more pronounced cooling especially in eastern coastal areas and even inland somewhat during Friday afternoon when a back-door cold front arrives. The sunshine expected on Friday may be replaced by a low overcast at least in eastern coastal areas by late day or evening. That cool air may remain in place into Saturday before getting pushed away again by a returning west to southwest wind flow, which will strengthen through Sunday, Mother’s Day, bringing another preview of Summer. This continues Monday then comes to an end due to a cold front Tuesday and Wednesday. Some showers and thunderstorms are expected with this front, as early as later Monday, but more likely Tuesday. Any rain will be welcomed as top soils are dry and we also have elevated risk of brush fires across much of southern New England.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 60s South Coast, 70s immediate East Coast, 80-85 inland. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows in the 50s, around 60 urban areas. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Sunshine, may be replaced by late-day with low clouds especially southeastern NH and eastern MA. Highs 60s coast, 70s interior, falling into the 50s eastern coastal areas and 60s interior during the afternoon. Wind light W to NW shifting to NE and increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts from northeast to southwest, especially southeastern NH and eastern MA.
SATURDAY: Low clouds dissipate, sun returns. Low 50-55. Highs 60s coast, 70s inland.
SUNDAY – MOTHER’S DAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s except cooler South Coast.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms late. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.

7:34PM

SUMMARY…
Your long awaited above normal temperature pattern has arrived and will last through the weekend. As is always the case in the Spring, there will be modifications based on locations. A weak cold front settled through southeastern New England Tuesday and a second weak boundary will try to sneak down the coast through Wednesday. At the same time a narrow area of high pressure will sink southward over the region and push a disturbance south of the region overnight and early Wednesday. Cloudiness with this disturbance will be over the region tonight but exit Wednesday morning, and the day turns out quite bright. Coolest air will be along the coast with some onshore wind while it is somewhat milder inland. By Thursday expect high pressure to be centered to the south with warmer air for most areas, the exception being the South Coast and Cape Cod. On Friday another area of high pressure will nose down over the water to the east, and allow for an onshore wind and somewhat cooler air. This cooler influence may linger into early Saturday before the wind flow turns more to the southwest and transports Summery air into the region later in the weekend and very early next week, until low pressure and a front approaches by Tuesday with the threat of showers/thunderstorms.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 50s with a few upper 40s interior valleys. Wind light SE shifting to N.
WEDNESDAY: Clouds linger southern areas early otherwise mostly sunny. Highs upper 50s to lower 60s coastal areas, middle 60s to lower 70s interior areas. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows upper 40s to middle 50s. Wind light W.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60s immediate coast ranging up to 75-80 inland. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s, possibly much cooler coast.
SATURDAY: Early low clouds then sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs 70 coast to 80 interior.
SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the 80s, cooler South Coast.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s, cooler South Coast.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms. Lows in he 60s. Highs in the 70s, cooler South Coast.

3:24AM

SUMMARY…
A strong southwesterly flow will transport the warmest air of the Spring so far into southeastern New England today. Again, as usual, a modifying effect off the cooler water will impact the South Coast. A cold front settles southward across the region early Tuesday and sits just south of the region as a disturbance moves along it. This will bring more cloudiness and the chance of showers. A second boundary will push down from the north Wednesday. This one will not have any moisture with it but may turn the wind a little more onshore on eastern coastal areas before the boundary weakens and lifts back to the north on Thursday. This will allow it to warm back up a little though not to the levels of today. I’m a little uncertain about how the Friday-Sunday period works out at this time, but for now I’ll lean toward the warmer scenario with a southwest flow to start then a shift to a more southeasterly flow later in the weekend with some cooling, and more cloudiness as a disturbance moves in from the west. The end of week and weekend are low confidence and very subject to change.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50s Cape Cod and Islands, 60s remainder of South Coast of MA/RI and Cape Ann MA, 70s to lower 80s elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s South Coast, 60s to lower 70s elsewhere. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Highs 58-68, coolest East Coast.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Lows 50-58. Highs 60-72, coolest South Coast.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows 52-60. Highs 62-72, coolest South Coast.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-60. Highs 65-75, coolest South Coast.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.

This is only a quick forecast update. Full discussion and forecast posted this evening.

10:33PM

7:28AM

SUMMARY…

Low pressure offshore nudges just far enough eastward for some clearing today but throws another batch of clouds back at southeastern New England Wednesday. Another system takes its place late in the week with more cloudiness but for now leaning toward the bulk of any rainfall staying offshore. We’ll see how fast this second system departs as it is the key to the weekend forecast, in terms of the level of improvement. Will lean optimistic for now but keep in mind that if that low doesn’t get out of here fast enough, it will impact the weather at least for the start of the weekend. If high pressure sets up just right we could have a legitimately warm day Monday with the exception of the South Coast, but that is many days away.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

TODAY: Clouds dominate the morning. More sun afternoon. Highs 50s coast, around 60 inland. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly clear. Lows upper 30s inland, lower 40s coast. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 55-60 coast, 60-65 inland. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s coast, 60-65 inland.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Risk of rain especially eastern areas. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs around 60.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows around 45. Highs around 65 but cooler coast.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs around 70 but much cooler South Coast.

5:47PM

SUMMARY…

The cool pool of air over the northeastern US will sink slowly to the southeast and allow a surface low to move southwest then south in the waters east of New England, keeping the weather unsettled through Tuesday. Some improvement is expected by the middle of the week as this feature moves away to the east and a very weak ridge of high pressure tries to move in, but is replaced by low pressure to the south by late in the week with a threat of more unsettled weather. The uncertainty of Spring means it is not clear how quickly the weather will improve heading into next weekend, but for now will go for steady improvement.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-43. Wind light NW to N.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Areas of light rain and drizzle. Highs 43-48 coast, 48-54 inland. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain and drizzle. Lows 38-43. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to isolated rain showers. Highs 45-50 immediate coast, 50s elsewhere. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s coast, 60s inland.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50s coast, 60s inland.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs 50 coast, 60 inland.

SATURDAY: Sun and clouds. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows around 50. Highs 60 coast, 70 inland.

11:18AM

SUMMARY…

No changes to the previous discussion at this time.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Sun and passing clouds. Clouds more dominant in areas north of Boston especially northeastern MA and southern NH with a slight risk of a light rain shower. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of drizzle and a chance of rain. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-40. Highs 50-55.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60 but cooler coastal areas.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60, cooler coast.

7:09PM

SUMMARY…

Yes, it can snow in April. Yes, Boston saw a few flakes early Friday morning. Nothing highly unusual. That was the result of some energy moving through the region underneath an upper level low pressure area, which will remain parked across New England and southeastern Canada into the weekend before drifting southeast and capturing a surface low offshore and driving it westward late in the weekend and early next week. This will turn the current pattern of clouds and sun with pop up showers into a more general overcast with a better chance of some wet weather by later Sunday and Monday before partial improvement takes place heading toward the middle of next week. But another low pressure area may be nearby or just to the south by the end of next week with the threat of additional unsettled weather.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

EVENING: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures in the 40s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

OVERNIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Clouds more dominant afternoon and favoring areas north of Boston especially northeastern MA and southern NH with a slight risk of a light rain shower. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny morning. Mostly cloudy afternoon with a chance of rain showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of drizzle and a chance of rain. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-40. Highs 50-55.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60 but cooler coastal areas.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the 50s.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs around 60, cooler coast.

4:28PM

SUMMARY…

A cool pool of air aloft associated with upper level low pressure will create daily clouds and a risk of a few rain and even mix/snow showers in a few locations through the weekend. Though most showers will be in the form of rain, the mix/snow would be possible with some of the activity lingering into the nighttime hours and occurring in higher elevations north and west of Boston. By the start of next week, the orientation of upper level low pressure may be such that a surface low can back up and bring a more solid overcast and risk of some wet weather into the region. By the middle of next week, the cool pool should shift further east but with southeastern New England still under its influence.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THROUGH EVENING: Variably cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Temperatures cooling into the 40s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. A shower of rain or mix possible north central MA and southern NH. Lows in the 30s. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Highs upper 40s hills, 50-55 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers of rain/mix/snow mainly hilly areas west and north of Boston early. Lows in the 30s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH and gusty.

SATURDAY & SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated rain showers. Highs in the 50s both days. Lows Saturday night 35-45.

MONDAY & TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/drizzle. Lows around 40. Highs 45-55, coolest eastern coastal areas.

WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Lows 35-45. Highs 50-60.

12:41PM

SUMMARY…

One more mild afternoon ahead of a cold front. This front crosses southeastern New England this evening with showers and possible thunderstorms, then a cool air mass arrives as we return to a pattern of below normal temperatures during the coming days. Upper level low pressure will provide some instability with a few showers possible each day through the weekend. A surface low offshore may back up enough to bring more general overcast and possible wet weather early next week.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Increasing clouds. Highs in the 60s except 50s South Coast. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a couple rounds of showers west to east through 2AM, then breaking clouds. Lows in the 40s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty, shifting to W.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated afternoon showers. Highs in the 50s. Wind W 10-20 MPH and gusty.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain/drizzle. Lows 40-45. Highs 45-50 coast, 50s inland.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 40-45. Highs in the 50s.

11:20AM

I’ve started my journey home to New England but while I wait at the gate here’s an update. Full blog tonight!

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

THIS AFTERNOON: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs in the 60s except 50s South Coast. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows from 40 rural areas to 50 Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s South Coast,  60-65 elsewhere. Wind SW to S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Low 40. High 55.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny.  Low 40. High 55.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 40. High 55.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 45. High 60.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Low 45. High 50.

5:38PM

Quick update from far away!

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows in the 40s. Wind W around 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and clouds. Isolated showers. Highs in the 60s but only 50s coast. Wind light variable then SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy.  Lows in the 40s. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs around 60, cooler coast. Wind light N shifting to E.

MONDAY: Clouding up. Rain late. Low 45. High 55.

TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain to showers. Low 50.  High 60.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny.  Scattered showers. Low 40. High 55.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy.  Isolated showers. Low 40. High 55.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny.  Low 35. High 55.