Thursday June 25 2026 Forecast (7:00AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 25-29)

High pressure hangs on with dry weather during the day today but clouds will tend to increase ahead of a warm front extending from low pressure moving northeastward into the Great Lakes. As this low continues its journey into and across southeastern Canada tonight through Friday, its warm front will traverse the region with a band of showers and possibly some embedded thunder in the late night hours tonight to early morning hours Friday, exiting eastern areas around or shortly after the break of day. During the day Friday, we’ll spend many hours in the warm sector of the low with increased humidity and southerly wind. Short range model guidance has trended toward slightly more instability available for the development of showers and thunderstorms ahead of and along an approaching cold front later in the day. These will evolve from northwest to southeast. The coverage and intensity of storms will help to be determined by any sunshine we see in the warm sector, which is a factor in the instability. We also have a couple of other atmospheric ingredients in place to support storms becoming strong to possibly severe. It’ll be important to stay weather-aware during the day on Friday while this threat is present. Showers and storms will exit via the South Coast Friday evening as the front sweeps through the region, but the front will slow just offshore and a weak wave of low pressure is expected to slide eastward along it as we begin the weekend. This will delay complete clearing across much of our region, and where cloud cover is most extensive – to the south – we can see a period of rainfall skirt the South Coast region Saturday morning and/or midday. Other than a low chance of a pop-up diurnally-driven shower over inland locations Saturday afternoon, the bulk of the region will see dry weather with mild air and lowering humidity levels. Sunday and Monday both look like mainly fair weather days with weak surface high pressure in control, however a very weak trough at upper levels keeps the air up their just cold enough to support the potential for a pop-up shower or thunderstorm in isolated locations, favoring Sunday, so I am keeping this remote chance in the forecast, just in case.

TODAY: Sunshine followed by increasing clouds. Highs 75-82, coolest South Coast. Dew point near 60. Wind S to SE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers arrive. Chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Showers linger in eastern areas early. Late-day showers and thunderstorms likely from northwest to southeast. Potential for strong to severe storms. Highs 78-85. Dew point peaking in upper 60s. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Any early showers / thunderstorms southeastern areas will move out. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Lots of clouds morning to midday including the chance of light rain near the South Coast, then a sun / cloud mix including the slight chance of a pop-up afternoon shower over inland locations. Highs 75-82. Dew point falls below 60. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Fog patches lower elevations. Lows 55-62. Dew point lower to middle 50s. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Sunny start, then a sun / cloud mix. Slight chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm during the afternoon. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 58-65. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Remote chance of an isolated afternoon shower. Highs 78-85, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 30 – JULY 4)

General pattern features weak northwesterly flow aloft and high pressure dominating the surface. Temperatures near to above normal with mainly dry weather other than slight chances for pop-up air mass showers or thunderstorms a couple days. A little more day-to-day detail as we get closer to the holiday period.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 5-9)

Fairly benign pattern overall but a little more available moisture and a disturbance or two in the region can increase the shower and thunderstorm chance from time to time.

60 thoughts on “Thursday June 25 2026 Forecast (7:00AM)”

  4. Yesterday was my first hike of the season at Mt. Watatic. The air was very clear and it was a bit breezy.

    I got Wordle in 3 today.

      1. Outstanding! I guess I am behind the 8-ball with my 1st guess choices as once again today I got ZILCH with the 1st guess.
        Next 2 weren’t a whole lot better. I was lucky to get it in 5.

        1. It seems to be feast or famine with first choices. With only a few periods of exceptions, I have used the same first two words from the start. Lately, they have really helped. (I realize I just jinxed myself.). But there are stretches when I get nothing. And it does seem to come in groups.

  5. Thank you, TK.

    Up to 66/61 from a low of 53. Loving the 50s overnight. Lovely evening on the deck with a warm fire

  7. Thanks, TK!

    72 at 9 am

    Thanks, Longshot, for the drought map. I have been “spot mowing” the lawn throughout the last couple of weeks. I just mow the grass where there is shade. The side lot, which is in total sun, has been brown and burnt for at least six weeks.

    1. HUH WHAT!!!!! Since when is 85 dangerous heat.
      Of course, they didn’t include the dew points with that.
      Is the dew point also 85? yeah, that must be it. 🙂

      Where did you find this? this is nuts!!!

      1. I saw it on X and for a laugh I had to post this. Now if it was showing high temperatures in the upper 90s low 100s I could see calling that dangerous heat. The temperatures being shown as I said earlier is just classic summer weather. It is nothing unusual.

      2. European houses are not built for heat, they are built different than houses in the USA. In my travels, I have learned that the climate changes what is considered dangerous and whats not dangerous heat.
        When I lived in New England what we all call dangerous heat is one thing. Heat wave is 3 days of 90+
        meanwhile in the Caribbean Gotta have the humidity on top of that for a week with Dust.
        Here where I live now in Warrnambool Victoria, its typically in the 50s to 60s, in the summer there are periods of time in the 70s, some 80s and the occasional 90 day usually windy with the risk of fire. As someone that use to live in the Caribbean I started to get chills when it was in the 70s here 90s feel like a furnace to most people but Im like . ahhh warmth lol. It all depends on what the climate is and what your body is use to and regulated too.,

    2. I think they forgot to mention that this warning pertains to running with scissors in 85F.
      🙂

  10. Including today, the kiddos in the City of Taunton schools still have four days of classes left. They are going to the last possible day, Tuesday, June 30. The city had eight snow days, three from the big January storm and five from the Blizzard. My old district of Middleborough also had eight snow days, but sought and received a waiver from the Department of Education for the required 180 days of school. DESE knocked off two days from Middleborough’s calendar. Their last day is tomorrow.

    Taunton refused to seek a waiver from the 180-day requirement stating that they would be honoring all of the contracts with the school workers. Per diem staff (cafeteria workers, paraprofessionals, bus drivers) and all non-salaried staff don’t get paid for snow days.

    1. My daughter teaches in Medfield. Their last day was June 18th.
      Of course, Medfield is notorious for not calling off school.

      1. I can’t recall how many snow days sutton had. Our last day was June 17. Uxbridge too

        Do you celebrate the Jewish holidays, Capt?

  11. 78/60 here.

    I hear a cardinal singing outside. I love hearing them. We have several hanging around and we see/hear them at least a few times a week. Love those birds.

  14. I’ve been loosely following the temps in France. They are breaking all sorts of records. Very few homes have AC in homes. I Found this

    “A high of 44.3 degrees Celsius (111.7 Fahrenheit) was measured in parts of Landes, in the southwest.

    The record of 29.8 C for France’s national thermal indicator — an average of day and nighttime temperatures measured at 30 weather stations — was only the latest in a series of never-before-registered highs heaped on Europe in this latest heat wave.

    “Further record-breaking temperatures are expected, including some that could surpass all previous records, regardless of the time of year,” the Météo-France weather service said, adding that the conditions were comparable to a 16-day heat wave in August ⁠2003 that caused an estimated 80,000 excess deaths across Europe.

    At least 48 people have died in France from drowning as they tried to escape the crippling heat, authorities said. ”

  15. Thanks, TK.

    Two very intense heatwaves this June across Northwestern Europe and also most of France, as Vicki mentioned. These are unlike any of the relatively infrequent heatwaves I experienced there in the 1980s and 90s. And this time around the temperature records were obliterated.

    An area of high pressure has been spinning and practically stationary east of the British Isles and west of Denmark. It’s an unusual position. During the first June heatwave the area of high pressure was further north and east and more typical of what are called Scandinavian highs, which from time to time bring warm to hot summer weather and cool to cold winter weather.

    There is relief on the way, courtesy of a blob of colder air that has been stationary near Iceland and will be moving in a southeasterly direction, bringing with it some periodic showers. But unlike after the first June heatwave time when truly cool air moved in (my daughter told me it got fairly cold at night), this time the air will be modified. My guess is temps will remain normal to above normal (70s), but no more 90s.

    South America has been experiencing fairly intense cold, particularly in southern Argentina, southern Brazil, southern Chile, and Uruguay.

    I guess we should count our blessings. Yes, we had a fairly warm to hot first half of June. But it’s been mostly seasonable since then.

    1. Parts of Russia have been colder than normal and parts of Turkey much colder than normal with snow in the mountains.

      I never want to downplay the heat in Europe and its negative effects on people. But I think it’s important to note what’s happening around the globe. While the earth is warming and more so in some spots than others, there are still pockets of colder than normal areas. I think some of the fluctuations are normal and some are enhanced by changes in the climate. Historically, climate changes have occurred independent of mankind’s use of fossil fuels. Now it appears that we could be exacerbating the impact through our actions, such as burning of fossil fuels. Having read tons of articles on the topic, I am still unsure how much of the change is owing to our footprint, if you will, and how of it is naturally cyclical. I am NOT an expert, so I defer to actual experts when it comes to ciimate change.

      I think Jimmy Carter and George W. Bush said it well when it comes to our environment and our energy supplies: “Be prudent stewards of the earth.” This is an important non-alarmist message, in my view. I wish we had more politicians who would express this. Instead, politicians have managed to polarize another issue into a binary world in which there’s either cataclysmic climate change or there’s nothing to worry about. As is the case with most things, the truth lies somewhere in the middle.

      1. Excellent comments Joshua. Thank you. Mac spoke of the impact of high heat in Europe and that was well before global warming became noticeable.

  16. Sending positive thoughts for Joshua’s son.

    And for Tom. Hoping he heads home today.

  17. Thanks TK.

    Noticed earlier when looking at the 12z models that the NAM’s are way north with the rain for Saturday. If correct it would be a rainy start to the weekend in SNE. Eweather posted about this earlier as well:

    https://x.com/Eweather13/status/2070163993465905232?s=20

    Not much support though when looking at the 12z RRFS and HRRR which keep the showers and storms south across PA and NJ.

    We are heading down to Columbus, NJ (east of Philly) tomorrow for a softball tournament this weekend so am very interested how this shakes out. Right now, tomorrow and Sunday look good down there and Saturday looks wet. But if the NAMs are correct, Saturday could end up much drier as most of the moisture misses north.

    1. While I am rooting for the NAM’s personally, I really am not buying what they are showing. We’ve seen this type of thing many times before and it is usually out to lunch and corrects itself last minute.

  23. With regard to the intense heat in much of Europe, I heard yesterday morning on ABC GMA that the entire European continent is warming at the fastest rate on the planet specifically due to global warming. Surprisingly El Niño was not mentioned in this context. It’s a wonder.

    TK – Here is my thought. Could the Gulf Stream be contributing as well?

    1. No, and no.

      We’ve now heard that every continent is warming faster than every other continent. That’s media being media. I’ve learned to separate that kind of b.s. from actual science. So I disregard it without proper context.

      I also thought the Gulf Stream is collapsing (which it’s not, by the way).

      It’s getting to the point now that media in general can’t keep track of the stories that leave out certain scientific information, so they’re starting to contradict themselves on a regular basis.

      I cite the 1995 story that said Myrtle Beach would be gone in 25 years. It’s still there.

      I’m far from a “denier”. In fact, I’m not one at all. My problem is with media’s message. If they can’t get that right, eventually they lose everybody. It’s time to get the facts in line and leave narrative aside. The only “narrative” should be truth.

      (See my reply to Matt below.)

  24. My brother is at State College PA right now for a conference and has a thunderstorm going through. It reminded him of the trip we did when we where kids to the area in which one of the nights we had very severe thunderstorms with a Tornado near by our camp. We remember the Noaa weather radio doing the alarm and saying State College. Its these small things you remember on the trips as brothers.

  25. As a marine and environmental scientist that studies global change ecology ( climate change, diseases, invasive species, pollution etc impacts on the environment) and restoration in the face of these stressors.

    Climate change is real no question on that
    Humans have a major impact on their environment not even talking about climate change.
    We are causing harm at local, regional and global scales.
    Sucessful conservation and restoration has shown what is possible if people work together as well

    If we stop harming the environment, we have seen how quickly mother nature can heal herself.

    Humans has a major impact on our climate and we been doing it since the villages of North Africa where they built trees around their villages for multi-purposes. One for Food, one for shade, it made the villages cooler, it protected them from grass fires but also its been shown that it also increased rainfall for them. Complete change of the local environment.

    There is no way our burning of fossil fuels does not impact the environment.

    The ship regulations where change a handful of years ago, and could have been linked to the temporary warming of northern latitudes shipping routes

    There was a recent study put out last year that showed that we actually saw a dip in CO2 emissions. We are seeing increased green tech being used over the past 5 years. Now imagine if these where given the tax breaks, these where given the millions that oil and gas get from our taxes? How much quicker this would go?

    As I have continued in the field, I have cointinued my distain for a certain side of the aisle way more than the other but both sides have issues and not all members are responsible.
    Most people agree we need to take care of our planet and want this, but we have people with money and power that get in the way.
    There is a reason why they where trying to take out the oceanographic monitoring system and it wasn’t to replace it with something better.

    Regardless of if you think climate change is human caused or not, there is so much we can do that will make this planet better if we just listen to the facts and act on them.

    2. I agree with this all for the most part. We might see a few things a little differently but I think overall we generally feel the same, most especially about the fact we need to take care of home, not harm it.

      Nature knows how to heal, but the job will never be finished if we keep inflicting harm.

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