11:41AM

Rain showers end soon. Partly sunny PM. 50 again.

Storm Friday may start as snow especially Boston north and west before rain wins out.

Windy weekend!

More in full update this afternoon.

4:39PM

The mild pattern goes on, with no snow in sight. There is some rain in sight however, in the form of showers tonight as the leading edge of warmer air moves in, and a more widespread rainfall Thursday night into Friday as a stronger low pressure area moves into New England. Behind this storm expect a very windy start to the weekend as it dries out.

Forecast for eastern MA and nearby neighbors…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely from around 8PM to just before sunrise. Low 37-42. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. High 55-60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Low 40-45. Wind SW 10-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. High 50-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain, ending late. Low 40. High 49.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 30. High 45.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and breezy. Low 25. High 40.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 28. High 43.

TUESDAY: AM rain showers. Variably cloudy. Low 34. High 43.

5:13PM

We’ll go from clear & chilly tonight to sunny and milder Tuesday, a few showers will then usher in a period of mostly cloudy and very mild weather for the middle of the week, with a more widespread rain possible by Friday, leading to a dry, cooler, and windy weekend. All those changes take place this week – but still no significant snow to be found.

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, southern NH…

TONIGHT: Clear. Low ranging from 10-15 in deeper valleys to middle 20s immediate coast. Wind NW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. High 42-47. Wind light variable becoming S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Becoming cloudy. Scattered rain showers especially after midnight.  Low 37-42. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. High 55-60. Wind SW 10-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 40. High 54.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Low 42. High 52.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy and windy. Low 30. High 45.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and windy. Low 25. High 40.

4:12PM

Another week, more of the same pattern. No need to really go into much explanation, as it is just a repeat of previous. The overall pattern will continue to feature milder than normal temperatures and no significant winter storms. The early part of the week will feature fair weather, with a tendency for a more unsettled middle and end to the week. Details will be hard to pin down regarding cloud cover and timing of any precipitation, due to a fast-flowing jet stream, so check back for daily updates.

Forecast for eastern Massachusetts and adjacent Rhode Island and southern New Hampshire…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Low ranging from 15 deeper valleys to upper 20s Boston & coast. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Mostly sunny. High 37-42. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Low ranging from middle 10s inland valleys to middle 20s coast. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy morning. Partly sunny to mostly cloudy afternoon. High 42-47. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming S increasing to 10-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 37-42. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. High 50-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 40. High 54.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Low 41. High 49.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny & windy. Low 31. High 44.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 24. High 40.

3:13AM

Just an updated forecast for now, full discussion and forecast for the week ahead later today.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. High 38-43. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Low 19-24. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Sunny. High 35-40. Wind NNW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 22. High 46.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 36. High 51.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Low 39. High 47.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers. Low 36. High 44.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 21. High 37.

5:43PM

A potent but small disturbance will cross southern New England this evening with rain and snow showers, becoming mainly snow showers as it turns a little colder. Expect minor accumulation of snow at best, but snow could fall heavily in a few locations for brief periods of time, along  with gusty winds (snow squalls). This would have the capability of making roads slick for a very brief time, before quick melting due to warm ground.

High pressure will dominate with dry and chilly weather Sunday-Monday as a storm passes well south of New England. The next warm-up begins Tuesday and lasts for much of the week, along with a return to some unsettled weather at times, but no major storms.

Boston Area Forecast…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain and snow showers trending to just snow showers with time, along with isolated heavier snow squalls, ending by 1:00AM. Clearing overnight. Low 25-30. Wind W 10-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. High 38-43. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Low 19-24. Wind NW 10-15 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Sunny. High 35-40. Wind NNW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 22. High 46.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 36. High 51.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 39. High 47.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Low 36. High 44.

3:22PM

Well, it may not be true that we’ve seen no winter at all, but it sure has been easy compared to last year. Hints coming here and there, but they never linger. One such hint may come on Saturday night, with some snow showers as a disturbance comes along in the northern jet stream. And that northern jet stream is key to a storm missing us well to the south on Sunday. It is not going to link up with the southern jet stream, which will be carrying that storm well south of New England, leaving us with a fair and chilly middle and end of the Presidents Day Weekend.

Looking into next week, it looks like another mild one, with some eventual unsettled weather, more likely in the form of rain than snow, sometime around midweek.

Boston Area Forecast…

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny in the morning. Partly sunny in the afternoon. High 42-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers changing to snow showers during the evening then partly cloudy with isolated snow showers possible later at night. Minor snow accumulation may occur with a few snow showers. Low 25-30. Wind W 10-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. High 35-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 20-25. Wind NNW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Mostly sunny. High 35-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 22. High 44.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 32. High 47.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Low 36. High 43.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. AM rain showers. Low 34. High 44.

7:33AM

Apologies for lack of update yesterday.

Quick Boston area forecast now – full discussion and forecast update this afternoon.

TODAY: Cloudy with a rain showers this morning. Clearing this afternoon. High 43-48. Wind SW under 10 MPH shifting to W and increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 26-31. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. High 41-46. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Minor accumulation possible. Low 25-30. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. High 37-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Sunny. Low 18. High 37.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 22.  High 44.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. PM rain showers. Low 33. High 47.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. AM rain showers. Low 37. High 48.

3:03AM

No doubt you’re already hearing talk of a possible weekend storm. Though there is some evidence of this even for this area, I’m not biting yet. The only change to the previous forecast is to introduce more cloud cover for Sunday as the storm passes south of the region. No other changes at this time to the previous discussion and forecast.

Updated Boston Area Forecast…

TODAY: Partly sunny. High 42-47. Wind NNE 5-10 MPH shifting to SE.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Low 35-40. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers early. High 43-48. Wind SW 10-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 26. High 42.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 19. High 37.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Mostly sunny. Low 19. High 40.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 22. High 44.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 25. High 39.

9:47PM

Another outlook with no major storms. A few days of very mild temperatures dominate through Friday. One weakening low pressure system passing by the region today and a second slightly stronger low tracking over New England and redeveloping just to the south Thursday night and early Friday will be about all the weather action that will take place. A cooler, quiet Presidents Day Weekend is expected as another storm passes south of New England.

THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 32-37 tonight & Wednesday night. High 43-48 Wednesday. Wind light variable.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. High 41-46. Wind NNE 5-10 MPH shifting to SE.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Low 35-40. Wind SE under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers early. High 44-49. Wind SW 10-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 26. High 42.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 19. High 37.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Mostly sunny. Low 19. High 40.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 22. High 44.

3:38PM

A chilly and breezy Monday is winding down and now it’s time to talk about what it upcoming for the next 7 days,  including the Presidents Day Weekend (February 18-20).

For the model-followers, I am basing this forecast largely on the ECMWF today. The GFS looks “confused” starting at about day 3.

A milder southwesterly flow will become established on Tuesday then becoming very weak on Wednesday as a weak disturbance passes over and just south of southern New England. This system will not be worth more than a few very light snow or rain showers early Wednesday. High pressure north of the region on Thursday should provide enough dry air for at least some sun as another low pressure area organizes to the southwest of New England. This system will send a primary low pressure area into the Great Lakes Thursday night and Friday which will redevelop just south of New England Friday, but there will be too much warm air in place for any snow in southern New England (though northern New England, especially the mountains of NH and a good  portion of central and northern Maine may see some significant snow from the low pressure system). The low should be lifting away by early Saturday as drier and cooler air starts to flow into New England behind it, setting us up for a largely dry and somewhat chilly (but not too cold) Presidents Day Weekend. A low pressure area over the southeastern US at that time should sail out to sea well south of New England.

Boston Area Forecast Details…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 19-24. Wind W diminishing to around 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Clouding over. High 41-46. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Low 31-36. Wind SSW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of light snow or rain showers in the morning. High 41-46. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Low 28. High 42.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Low 35. High 44.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Low 29. High 40.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 23. High 38.

MONDAY – PRESIDENTS DAY: Mostly sunny. Low 19. High 36.

4:16PM

The quiet winter of 2011-2012 goes on. We’re looking at another rather benign week with no major cold and and no major storms. The cold blast of Sunday (which wasn’t even really that severe anyway) lingers early Monday in the form of a very cold morning, but temperatures will recover to freezing or a little above during the course of the day. Mild temperatures dominate the rest of the week with high temperatures at or over 40 pretty much daily. The only weather systems to look at will be a weak frontal system moving through late Tuesday and a weak to moderate low pressure area expected around Friday. It should be warm enough with both of these systems so any precipitation will likely be in the form of rain in the Boston area.

Forecast for the next 7 days…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 10-15. Wind W 10-20 MPH and gusty. Wind chill below 10.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. High 32-37. Wind W 10-20 MPH and gusty.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 25-30. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. High 42-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Low 35-40. Wind SW 5-10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. High 41-46. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 28. High 41.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Low 34. High 44.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 32. High 41.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 26. High 40.

11:16AM

Updated Boston Area Forecast … Full discussion and forecast for the week ahead this evening.

TODAY: Mostly sunny into mid afternoon then becoming partly sunny by late afternoon. High 23-28. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH. Wind chill below 20.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy early then becoming partly to mostly clear overnight. Low 10-15. Wind WNW 10-20 MPH with gusts up to 25 MPH. Wind chill below 10.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. High 33-38. Wind W 10-15 MPH with gusts up to 25 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 32. High 45.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 33. High 44.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Low 26. High 41.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of mix/rain. Low 32. High 43.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 26. High 40.

4:07PM

A brief shot of modified Arctic air will come in tonight and last through early Monday. Now by normal standards, this air mass is not that extreme, but it will feel pretty cold in comparison to many of our days this winter. But as has been typical, it will not last, as the mild pattern will return Tuesday and beyond.

Boston Area Forecast…

TONIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Low 14-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SUNDAY: Mostly to partly sunny. High 23-28. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Low 8-13. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. High 30-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 28. High 42.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 34. High 45.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 25. High 40.

FRIDAY: Chance of rain or snow. Low 28. High 41.

8:40AM

Disorganized storm sideswiping MA may produce an inch or 2 of snow over interior SE MA and very little in the remainder of the Boston area.

Shot of cold air follows for tonight (watch for flash freeze on untreated surfaces due to melting snow before the cold air arrives) and Sunday, followed by moderating temperatures Monday.

Mild pattern returns  Tuesday into midweek!

Updated Boston Area Forecast…

TODAY: Cloudy. Light snow except a few moderate bands of snow mainly SE of Boston. Accumulation less than an inch most areas, up to 1 or possibly 2 inches parts of interior SE MA. High 33-38. Wind N increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Low 10-15. Wind NW 10-15 MPH and gusty.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. High 25-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 6. High 34.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. PM rain or snow showers. Low 29. High 42.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 29. High 45.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy.  Low 25. High 40.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Low 30. High 44.