DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 2-6)

Yesterday’s arctic cold frontal passage has delivered an air mass to the region that is reminiscent of our January weather pattern – dry and very cold. Bright sunshine will help offset the cold slightly if you manage to be in it but out of the biting wind that will work to make it feel colder than it is. High pressure building across the Mid Atlantic will extend itself northward far enough tonight into Monday so that while we remain cold, we’ll see the wind diminish somewhat. Dry weather will prevail with only some high level clouds crossing the region tonight with a weak disturbance aloft. High pressure builds offshore by Tuesday at which time we’ll start a notable warming trend, along with a sun / cloud mix – the clouds generated by warmer air aloft overrunning what is left of our cold surface air mass. Unsettled weather is going to be our midweek weather feature with a strong low pressure area tracking from the Midwest through the Great Lakes. We get its frontal systems – first a warm frontal passage with lots of clouds and maybe some brief light rain early Wednesday. Before its cold front arrives with a ribbon of significant rain later Wednesday to early Thursday, a push of very mild air should drive temps to 50+ over most of the region Wednesday. The details of Thursday’s weather are a little hard to bring into focus at this point. We will see that cold front move through and the initial burst of rain exit, and the beginning of a temperature fall. The question at this point is whether or not a wave of low pressure forms on the front south of our region and moves up, or forms closer to or even beyond our area. The former scenario could result in additional rain, changing to snow as the cold air arrives. The latter scenario would just feature a brief period of rain showers switching to snow showers with less precipitation. Fine-tuning of this part of the forecast will take place the next few days…

TODAY: Abundant sunshine. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25-35 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 19-26. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind S to SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain early, favoring central MA and southern NH. Rain showers likely late-day, favoring areas west of I-95. Highs 48-55, coolest South Coast. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with widespread rain showers. Areas of fog. Lows 41-48. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely early. Chance of rain/mix/snow showers late. Highs 48-55 early, then falling. Wind shifting to N 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 7-11)

Fair, colder March 7. Low pressure passing south of the region may be close enough to bring snow/mix to the region during a portion of the March 8-9 weekend, with fair and cold weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 12-16)

Active pattern with near to below normal temperatures leaves us vulnerable to storminess which can include mix/snow heading into mid March.

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 1-5)

I used to love the concept of the meteorological seasons, and while I don’t loathe it, it doesn’t hold the appeal it once did, other than “hey it’s kind of neat to fit a season into 3 calendar months, 4 times over (March-May, June-August, September-November, December-February). I’ve morphed into really just appreciating the natural shifts and the way our own solar system marks its time by what it shows us in our sky and what we see in our surroundings. All of that said, today marks the start of “Meteorological Spring”, for what it’s worth, and today will also bring a spring preview – not that we didn’t already have some of that during the mild interlude this week, during the last several days of February. But it continues today, followed by a harsh reminder in under 24 hours that it is still actually winter, when we see our high temperatures on Sunday 25 to 30 degrees colder than what we see today. Ouch! How does this come about? Well, a warm front moved through the region overnight. If you were up late, you may have seen some wet snow, even with some accumulation, well north and west of Boston, which was then a light mix / rain as you got closer to the city and just a little light rain at most from the city southward. While today’s weather features plenty of clouds, it does feature mild air in the warm sector between the aforementioned warm front and an approaching cold front. The latter will pass by later today, and up until that time we can see a few rain showers around. But it will be mild, with many areas topping 50 for a high temperature. The exception this time will be the South Coast and Cape Cod, where some sub-50 highs will the result of a southwesterly wind coming off chilly ocean water. Once the front passes by later on though, the arrival of the cold is immediate. A snow shower may occur in parts of central and northern MA into southern NH, otherwise a clearing process will begin as the temperature performs a free-fall dive. This sets us up for a bright but biting cold Sunday with much of the region staying sub-freezing all day. This comes along with wind that will make it feel colder, only offset slightly by the higher-angle sun which will shine without interruption, other than a few passing fractocumulus clouds. That’s your weekend – a tale of two seasons. Looking into the early to mid portion of next week, we keep the cold, lose the wind, and gain a few clouds Monday as a weak disturbance passes by, but not with enough moisture to cause any precipitation. Surface high pressure builds from the Midwest to the Mid Atlantic later Monday and Tuesday, with our region on the northern periphery of it. The result here is fair weather but some varying amounts of clouds, and also a noticeably less cold Tuesday. By Wednesday, the next low pressure area is heading into the Great Lakes, and its warm front brings an overcast with a good chance of at least a period of rain.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Highs 48-55, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy early with a passing snow shower possible mainly I-90 belt northward, then clearing. Lows 17-24. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts 25+ MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunshine with a few passing clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with gusts around 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 19-26. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind S to SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 43-50. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 6-10)

Low pressure moving from the Great Lakes to southeastern Canada brings a cold front through the region with rain showers likely during March 6. Wildcard potential: Watch for low pressure wave coming up along the front as it turns sharply colder which can bring a period of rain/mix/snow later that day or at night. Fair, colder March 7. Low pressure passing south of the region may be close enough to bring snow/mix to the region during a portion of the March 8-9 weekend, with fair and cold weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 11-15)

Active pattern with near to below normal temperatures leaves us vulnerable to storminess which can include mix/snow heading into mid March.

NOAA / NWS Staffing Discussion (March 24-30 2025)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

We close out February today with a day that features sun, passing clouds, chilly air, and a gusty breeze, but one hazard on the ground this morning is patches of black ice on untreated surfaces that did not dry from yesterday, in areas that temperatures have temperatures in the mid 30s or lower (surface temperatures can be 32 or lower). Watch out for that until mid or late morning when the combination of dry air, sun, and wind should largely eliminate it. As we start March, we’ll do so in a pattern with frequent changes. Saturday will be an unsettled day as low pressure moves rapidly west to east, passing just to our north. Its warm front may provide a burst of snow with minor accumulation in southern NH and parts of northern MA in the early morning hours, with some lighter mix/rain to the south, before we get into a mild interlude with a sun/cloud mix, and possibly a rain shower to accompany the low’s passing cold front later in the day. Sunday and Monday will feature dry weather, cold air, and a gusty wind as we get a delivery of polar air from Canada. High pressure brings a more tranquil Tuesday but clouds will start to increase ahead of our next low pressure visitor…

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clouding up. Pre-dawn snow/mix north with up to 1 inch of snow in southern NH, lighter mix/rain south. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to SE.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy morning with precipitation tapering off quickly. Variably cloudy afternoon with a passing rain shower possible. Highs 48-55. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts midday, then NW late-day.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 16-23. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 5-9)

Low pressure (most likely track through Great Lakes) brings unsettled weather to start the period, followed by a shot of colder air, then a winter weather chance around March 8-9.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 10-14)

Two additional storm systems can impact the region with precipitation. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

As we close out February and start March, we’ll do so with an active weather pattern that brings frequent changes in the weather. I’m writing this blog this morning while in atrial fibrillation and waiting for my corrective meds to kick in so I’m going to be quick, then expand on this in comments later. One system moves through today, low pressure passing to north, brief snow/mix to the north otherwise rain at times. It clears out tonight – watch for black ice formation on surfaces that do not dry off. Friday’s a fair but windy and colder day. The next system races in, similar in track, on Saturday with some snow to the north, rain to the south at first, then generally a rain event as the warm front makes it through most of the region before the cold front comes charging along. Behind this system comes a shot of cold air with below normal temperatures, and a return to dry weather into early next week.

TODAY: Cloudy. Brief snow/mix northern MA / southern NH to rain, otherwise periods of rain tapering to showers. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH then SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Breaking clouds. Watch for black ice formation on untreated surfaces. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher guts, shifting to NW.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of a passing brief rain or snow shower. Highs 37-44.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Pre-dawn snow/mix north, rain south. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to SE.

SATURDAY: Cloudy morning with mix to rain north, rain south, then scattered rain showers. Mostly cloudy afternoon with additional passing rain showers possible. Highs 40-47. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 4-8)

Fair weather early period. Unsettled potential mid to late period. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 9-13)

Two additional storm systems can impact the region with precipitation. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

Watch for black ice on untreated surfaces until mid morning!

High pressure provides fair and mild late winter weather during today. Low moves quickly across the region Thursday with unsettled weather. This system may bring a burst of snow north / rain south initially before just some rain showers. Cold air returns at night and may cause some black ice formation as it clears out. Friday, a secondary cold front coming through can produce a rain or snow shower as it leads colder air back into the region. Another quick-moving system delivers some snow and rain Saturday before departing Sunday. More details on the weekend soon.

TODAY: Sunny start, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 28-35. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. A period of snow/mix north of I-90, rain I-90 belt south, then scattered rain showers. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early, then SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing rain or snow shower possible. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Snow to mix/rain, tapering to rain showers. Highs 38-45. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 3-7)

Fair weather early period. Unsettled potential mid to late period. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 8-12)

Two additional storm systems can impact the region with precipitation. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)

A late winter mild spell, rare this winter, will be ours for a few more days. Today and Thursday will be the mildest of the next 3, but also the most unsettled with frontal systems moving through with unsettled weather chances. Today’s is a late-day rain shower chance with an approaching weak low pressure area and attendant frontal system. Thursday’s chance is higher than today’s for the region overall – most coverage, and longer-lasting. There may be just enough cold air around so that Thursday’s “event” can start as snow/mix for areas away the South Coast before it’s a rain shower event from there. Between these, Wednesday’s a fair weather day but a few degrees less mild than the other two as a brief shot of modified Canadian air passes through. Friday’s delivery of Canadian air will be stronger, along with a cold front that may produce a rain or snow shower. As we welcome March on Saturday, we will do so with the arrival of another low pressure area via the Great Lakes with rain/mix/snow resulting.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible late-day. Highs 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A rain shower possible eastern areas very early. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Chance of snow/mix/rain (best chance snow/mix north of I-90) early, then rain showers likely. Highs 43-50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early, then SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing rain or snow shower possible. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Snow to mix/rain. Highs 33-40. Wind NE to SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 2-6)

Temperatures below normal. Unsettled weather then improving March 2. Fair weather interlude March 3-4. Unsettled weather returns March 5-6.,

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 7-11)

Unsettled weather and below normal temperatures will be dominant during this period. Details TBD.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

February’s final five will present a manageable late winter weather pattern. Temperature, for a change, will spend the majority of this period floating around above the long term average – something we haven’t seen much of this winter. We won’t be breaking any records, but despite a couple of episodes of unsettled weather (Tuesday and Thursday) that come in the form of rain showers, it’ll be a pretty nice winter stretch with a dominant westerly flow and a lack of Canadian cold, though it does start to make a comeback on Friday. This may be accompanied by a few rain to snow showers. Before that happens, this milder stretch will allow our fairly widespread ice-packed snow cover to loosen up and start to shrink up. By mid to late week, most walkways and roads that still have ice and snow should have lost most of it. A down-side to this pattern. It’s “pot hole weather”. While some urban and immediate coastal areas hang slightly above freezing at night, the daytime warming and nighttime freezing cycle will result in an increase in pot holes. Keep an eye out for your car rims and suspensions!

TODAY: Cloud / sun mix. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 44-51. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. A passing rain and snow shower possible. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 1-5)

March starts with the return of a colder pattern. Rain/mix/snow potential on the March 1-2 weekend, and another low pressure impact is possible by the end of the period, with fair weather in between.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 6-10)

Unsettled weather and below normal temperatures will be dominant during this period. Details TBD.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

If winter were a rock concert, the storm of last weekend and the follow-up freeze was the last song of the main set, and as we finish up the final weekend of the month and head down the home stretch of the month into the coming week, it’s the pause between the main set and the encore. The question will become how many songs are in the encore, but that’s not going to be answered for a while. The “break” is what we get this period. High pressure slides off the Mid Atlantic Coast today as a mid level disturbance departs our region with clouds giving way to more sun. The early to middle portion of the week will feature a modest warming trend through Tuesday, reversing to a modest cooling trend during midweek. Monday’s previously-discussed disturbance appears to be weak enough to not cause any precipitation – just some clouds. Tuesday, the next one moves through and may produce a rain shower late in the day, with milder air in place. Another one comes along Thursday, and there’s a bit more uncertainty with the track, though while it will be a little colder than the Tuesday one, it will be a marginal temperature situation, but probably a fairly weak system, with a threat for light rain/mix/snow, to be fine-tuned.

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 36-43. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 24-31. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloud / sun mix. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A passing rain shower possible. Highs 41-48. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

Colder trend. Low pressure moving through with unsettled weather at the start of the period. Additional unsettled weather from low pressure impact on the March 1-2 weekend, but details TBD.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 5-9)

Highest potential for unsettled weather March 5-6, again March 8. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Over the next several days, you’ll experience a temperature moderation, but a “modified moderation”, so to speak, due to much of the region having a few to several inches of an ice-crusted snow cover. This reflects a lot of incoming sunlight back to space and doesn’t allow it to do as efficient a job at heating, despite its higher / increasing angle. So a high temperature that would have been 50, for example, in a bare ground situation, may only be 46 or 47. But still, we will be moderating, and those 40+ temps are coming to much of the region early next week, even as early as tomorrow in the coastal plain where the snow cover is the thinnest or incomplete. But even today, still a chilly one, won’t feel as cold as recent days with somewhat less wind. We’ll see some patchy clouds around early today then abundant sun as the weather is controlled by a high pressure area to the south (Mid Atlantic Coast). A moisture-starved disturbance will move through our region tonight and early Sunday with lots of clouds, but no precipitation. These clouds break for sun during Sunday midday and afternoon as high pressure slides off the Mid Atlantic Coast, but despite it being a few degrees “warmer” that today, it won’t feel it due to a kick-up in the breeze once again. Looking ahead, our mild interlude is good for 3 additional days, Monday through Wednesday, during which time it will be mostly fair, but variably cloudy. We will stand the chance to see a brief rain or snow shower late Monday and a better chance at a few rain showers later Tuesday from a couple disturbances passing to our north, and a cold front swinging through the region early Wednesday will probably produce only some clouds, but will also mark the end of our brief break (more in the next section, after the detailed forecast).

TODAY: Limited sun morning / abundant sun afternoon. Highs 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusts around 20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 17-24. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Lots of clouds morning / sun and clouds afternoon. Highs 36-43, mildest along the coast. Wind SW 10-15 MPH, gusts up to 25 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind SW diminishing to under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a passing late-day rain or snow shower. Highs 38-45. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a snow shower, mainly north. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Highs 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

Colder trend. Watching two potential low pressure impacts for snow/mix/rain chances February 27-28, and March 1-2.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 4-8)

Highest potential for unsettled weather March 5-6, again March 8. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

Time for a breather – a break from the active pattern and persistent cold. While today itself will be a breezy and chilly day, the pattern during the next 5 days will be fairly quiet in comparison to recently experienced weather. This weekend, high pressure dominates with more tranquil conditions and a temperature moderation. The milder interlude lasts into early next week, although we’ll have a couple disturbance to pass through between later Monday and sometime Tuesday that can produce a few snow and rain showers, but no major issues. And that’s about it! Enjoy the break!

TODAY: Cloud / sun intervals. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind NW to W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 21-28. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain or snow shower late-day. Highs 37-44. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of a snow shower, mainly north. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of a rain shower. Highs 39-46. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 26 – MARCH 2)

Colder trend. Watching two potential low pressure impacts for snow/mix/rain chances February 27-28, and March 1-2.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 3-7)

Highest potential for unsettled weather March 5-6. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 20-24)

An ocean storm will pass well southeast of New England tonight. The precipitation shield from the storm itself will have the greatest impact on Nantucket and maybe Outer cape Cod where up to a few inches of snow will fall. Snow from ocean-effect can occur in a few bands from Cape Ann to the MA South Shore to the remainder of Cape Cod from this afternoon through tonight, and later this evening into overnight, a larger area of light snow or snow showers can occur anywhere from I-95 eastward as a result of a trough of low pressure between the offshore storm and upper level low pressure passing by to our northwest. The latter two triggers will be responsible for only coatings of snow where it occurs. So all in all, a side-swipe from from the storm far southeastern areas, and not much else. After this, Friday is a fair, chilly, and breezy day, and high pressure will dominate the weekend with fair weather and a slight temperature moderation. A weak low pressure disturbance can produce a few rain or snow showers in the region on Monday with relatively milder weather in comparison to the recent pattern.

TODAY: Variably cloudy – high clouds moving in from the southwest, thickest in southeastern areas, and lower clouds coming in from the northeast off the ocean with afternoon snow showers possible mainly Cape Ann, MA South Shore, Cape Cod. Highs 23-30. Wind N to NE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy with additional snow showers possible in aforementioned areas with patch accumulations of under 1 inch, and a period of steadier snow Cape Cod / Islands, accumulating 1 to 3 inches, with possibly over 3 inches on Nantucket. Lows 13-20. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 25-32. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-30. Wind NW to W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 21-28. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain or snow shower late-day. Highs 37-44. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 25 – MARCH 1)

A weak disturbance can cause a rain or snow shower again on February 25. Colder air returns middle of next week. Watching two potential low pressure impacts for snow/mix chances February 27-28, and later March 1.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 2-6)

Below normal temperatures prevail along with an active pattern again, bringing threats of unsettled weather on March 2 and again late period.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 19-23)

The big wind bag in eastern Canada is finally losing grip on our region, and while you’ll still feel a biting breeze if you are stepping outside this morning, you’ll definitely notice as the day goes on there is less wind, and that, combined with mid February sun will have a different feel than the last 2 days, despite the temperature still failing to reach seasonal normal for a high. The sun will become filtered at times by high clouds, in advance of a storm system that we’ve talked about at length this week. The outlook remains the same on it. The low becomes quite strong as it emerges into the Atlantic waters off the Southeast / Mid Atlantic Coast, but tracks too far southeast of New England for a direct hit. I’ve talked about this as a sideswipe, and that’s what it will be, giving some accumulating snow to Cape Cod and the Islands, particularly Nantucket. I’m still looking for some very light snow or flurries for a portion of RI and eastern MA from an interaction with upper level low pressure to the northwest, but this looks like the “lesser version” rather than the “overproducing” one. Additionally, a northerly air flow can produce a few ocean-effect snow shower bands, also most likely to impact Cape Cod. One can get far enough west to clip Cape Ann MA and maybe coastal Plymouth County for a brief time. The timing on all of this is Thursday evening and night, and it’s outta here by early Friday, when fair weather returns. Good news too to add for those of you weary of the cold and the active weather pattern. A break comes with fair weather extending through the coming weekend, along with a modest temperature moderation…

TODAY: Ocean-effect clouds across Outer Cape Cod this morning / midday. Sunshine otherwise, becoming filtered at times by increasing high clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH, gradually diminishing.

TONIGHT: Considerable high clouds. Lows 8-15. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 23-30. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of snow Cape Cod / Islands, accumulating 1 to 3 inches, highest on Nantucket. Periodic light snow or flurries RI and eastern MA mainly I-95 belt eastward with under 1 inch. Lows 13-20. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-30. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 24-28)

Down the home stretch of February we go next week. Looking for a couple minor systems to bring a few rain/mix/snow showers with moderated temperatures early in the week, a midweek shot of colder air returning, then a potential winter storm threat later in the week. More details to come.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 1-5)

Below normal temperatures prevail along with an active pattern again, bringing threats of unsettled weather on the March 1-2 weekend and maybe again by the end of the period.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

A large storm system in Atlantic Canada continues to impact our region with gusty wind and cold weather today before losing its grip by Wednesday. The high wind warning was extended by the NWS for Worcester and northwestern Middlesex Counties in MA where wind gusts in excess of 55 MPH are still possible today, and a wind advisory continues elsewhere where wind gusts at or above 45 MPH are still possible today. Late Wednesday and Thursday a storm will emerge off the US Southeast Coast and track offshore, passing far enough southeast of New England to spare a direct hit snowstorm, and bring a side-swipe snow event to southeastern MA, mainly Cape Cod, but a trough between that system and an upper low to our northwest will bring the potential for some light snowfall to the remainder of the region for a while late Thursday. This should be a very minor event for these areas. High pressure building into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley will extend eastward enough for dry weather late this week, with some temperature moderation expected – a little break from the coldest weather we’ve been enduring.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 22-29. Wind W 15-25 MPH, gusts mostly 30-40 MPH, but a few gusts to 45+ are possible with 55+ a potential in higher elevations of north central and central MA as well as adjacent southern NH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 8-15. wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 24-31. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing high clouds. Lows 8-15. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Thickening overcast. Afternoon snow likely Cape Cod and Islands, possible elsewhere in southeastern MA and RI. Highs 23-30. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with snow most likely Cape Cod and Islands with up to a few inches potentially, and a chance of some light snow elsewhere. Overnight clearing. Lows 13-20. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-30. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 23-27)

Weak systems can bring a few mix/snow showers between February 23 and 25 and a larger storm system may threaten around February 26. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 28 – MARCH 4)

March 1-3 is a watch period for a potential storm system impact. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

The storm system that brought the variety of precipitation over the weekend is still having an impact today in the form of icy ground and powerful winds. A high wind warning is up for much of the region, with a wind advisory for southeastern MA and RI / eastern CT. Gusts of 45-55 MPH can occur in the advisory area, 55-65 MPH in the warning area. These winds can cause tree damage and resultant power outages, as well as flying ice – crusts of ice that formed atop the snow cover that can lifted by the wind and flung through the air. Additionally, it’ll be wicked cold – with high temps in the 20s and the wind making it feel like the single digits and teens today. While the day is mostly dry, a few light snow showers will likely occur too, but these should be minor with no additional impact to travel. The windy and cold weather will continue through Tuesday too, but the wind will ease up in comparison to Monday – still though, a harsh winter day. The only difference at this point in the winter is the sun angle is noticeably higher and this can help take the sting out of the cold if you’re able to be in the sun. Wednesday’s weather continues cold and dry, with even less wind as the big storm that caused the wind loses its grip on us. However, this large circulation will have some impact on our next storm threat – the already much talked about Thursday storm threat. Low pressure develops down the coast and moves offshore. We’ll be watching the track of the storm to see if it comes close enough for a widespread significant snow event, or is far enough offshore for just a side-swipe. I’m continuing to lean toward the latter, with the low driven more east northeast out to sea rather than up the coastline. This means the greatest threat for accumulating snow will most likely be in southeastern MA – favoring Cape Cod. But there are still a few days to fine tune this forecast. Friday, expect fair and cold weather as high pressure builds in.

TODAY (PRESIDENTS DAY): Sun/cloud mix. Slight chance of a passing snow flurry. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 20-30 MPH, gusts 45-65 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 21-28. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 8-15. wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 24-31. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing high clouds. Lows 8-15. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Thickening overcast. Snow possible, favoring eastern and southern areas. Highs 23-30. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of snow mainly southeastern MA early, then clearing. Lows 13-20. Wind N to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Below normal temperatures prevail with a potential minor to moderate winter weather event mid period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 27 – MARCH 3)

February 27 and March 1-2 are watch periods for potential winter storm impacts. Temperatures below normal.