C-19 Chat Post – 3-22-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 21-25)

An area of high pressure elongated from east central Canada to the US Mid Atlantic will feed us dry and cool air for the next few days. It will be breezy as well between that ridge and low pressure over eastern Canada. By Wednesday, the northern high center will be closest to us and we’ll see clouds moving in ahead of an advancing area of low pressure from the west. This low will bring us unsettled weather from Wednesday night through Friday as it moves into the Northeast and also redevelops. The system will be mainly a rain producer, though enough cold air around at the start of the precipitation Wednesday night may mean that some areas, especially interior higher elevations, can see snow at the beginning. Somewhat drier air will try to work in during Friday but it may be a slow process with the redeveloped system being slow to move away and upper level low pressure still over the Northeast.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Patchy clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow and rain. Lows 32-39. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind ENE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with rain and areas of fog early, then breaking clouds with a passing rain shower possible. Highs 48-55. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 26-30)

Upper level low pressure is expected to move across the region over the March 26-27 weekend with unsettled weather and below normal temperatures meaning there can be rain and snow showers both days. Drier between this and another potential disturbance by the end of the period as temperatures remain on the cooler side of normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 31 – APRIL 4)

Eyeing the potential for a quick warm-up in the first few days of April as the pattern may re-adjust for a while, as this has shown up on several pieces of guidance more than once. However, not close to confident this will happen yet as other medium range guidance has completely different ideas. Knowing we’ll have cold in Canada and a warm US Southeast, it can go either way, or we can be stuck between the two in the battle zone still.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-21-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 20-24)

Low pressure still impacts our region today as an upper level system crosses the region, and later today a surface trough passes by. But it will not be a bad day either as we welcome spring with the vernal equinox at 11:33 a.m. There are some low clouds and areas of fog around to start the morning, but we have enough drying taking place with a developing southwesterly air flow with a low center to our north that we will end up with some sunshine today as well, and fairly mild air as well since the chilly air waits until after the trough to pass this evening. That trough may produce a few rain showers in the region this evening after a generally rain-free day. We turn cooler for the first several full days of spring though, first with dry weather in response to Canadian high pressure. By late Wednesday, our next low pressure system approaches, and if the moisture from it arrives quickly enough, precipitation may start as snow for portions of the region Wednesday night, before this becomes a rain event for Thursday.

TODAY: Early foggy areas, then a sun/cloud mix. Chance of rain showers evening. Highs 55-62. Wind SW-W increasing to 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow and rain. Lows 32-39. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 25-29)

Drier, cool March 25. Unsettled and cool weather expected during the March 26-27 weekend – too soon for details. Drier, cool late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 30 – APRIL 3)

A little more up and down temperatures possible as we will be near a boundary between chilly air to the north and warmer air to the south, but this means the pattern will still likely be unsettled as well.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-20-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 19-23)

The final full day of winter will have a bit of a spring feel to it as we are still on the milder side today with showery weather. There is a frontal boundary though that will sit over the region, keeping northern MA and southern NH a little cooler for a good part of the day. Along with the showery episodes, triggered by a broad low pressure area moving into the Northeast, we’ll also see areas of fog. One of the impulses coming along later today and this evening will make the atmosphere unstable enough for possible thunder. Once this goes by, we’ll get some drier air into the area overnight and Sunday as the low pressure circulation begins to move away. We welcome the arrival of spring with the Vernal Equinox at 11:33 a.m. Sunday, and the day, despite being breezy, will be fairly mild, as colder air is locked up behind a trough that won’t come through our region until the evening. This may trigger a quick rain shower, and it will introduce cooler air for the first couple full days of spring early in the week. Another cold front will deliver colder air to the region by late Tuesday and Wednesday, at which time we’ll start to see clouds advancing ahead of our next storm threat, which may start as snow for at least parts of the region as early as Wednesday evening. But that’s several days away so there’s plenty of time to focus on it later…

TODAY: Cloudy. Episodes of showers. Areas of fog. Highs 45-50 southern NH and northern MA, 50-55 elsewhere. Wind NE-E under 10 MPH southern NH and northern MA, SE-S up to 15 MPH elsewhere.

TONIGHT: Cloudy evening with areas of fog and passing showers, along with a possible thunderstorm. Breaking clouds but patchy fog overnight. Temperatures steady 45-55 or may even rise briefly. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH evening, SW similar speeds with higher gusts overnight.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a rain shower late afternoon or evening. Highs 55-62. Wind SW-W 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Patchy clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of snow/mix/rain at night. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 24-28)

Low pressure impacts the region with what ultimately ends up as a rain event to start this period, and a follow up system brings a precipitation threat around mid period, but less certainty as to the character of that system. Drier weather takes over later in the period. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 29 – APRIL 2)

The pattern in this time frame likely finds us in that previously-mentioned battle zone between Canadian cold and southeastern USA warmth, and I’m leaning toward the colder side winning out here, including additional precipitation threats which are obviously too far away to speculate much on.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-19-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 18-22)

Another morning with areas of dense fog to start, but unlike yesterday, as that fog burned off to increasing clouds, today it will burn off to increasing sun as a weak ridge of high pressure moves into the region behind yesterday’s passing weak low pressure area. It warms up nicely one the sun gets busy today, but with a weak pressure gradient, this is a recipe for a coastal sea breeze which will end the warm-up party early for coastal areas. Low pressure moving into Ohio Valley today will then move into the Great Lakes Saturday and across northern New England and southeastern Canada Saturday night through Sunday. This will bring unsettled weather to our region for the weekend. Saturday will be the wet day with rain quite likely. Sunday ends up drier and breezy but with an additional rain shower possible as a cold front swings through later in the day. Sunday is also the day we welcome the arrival of spring with the vernal equinox at 11:33 a.m. High pressure brings fair and seasonably chilly weather early next week, but a disturbance will have to be watched for a potential interlude of light precipitation at some point later Monday to early Tuesday, based on current timing.

TODAY: Low clouds and areas of fog early morning especially eastern MA, otherwise sun dominates. Highs 57-64 coast, 65-72 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH including coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Clouding up. Chance of rain overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Highs 47-54. Wind E to variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm evening, then breaking clouds. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Slight chance of brief light rain/mix. Lows 32-39. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 23-27)

We’ll be in a battle zone between Canadian cold and southeastern US warmth. A couple of low pressure systems likely impact our area with precipitation. Can’t even rule out some frozen stuff falling from the sky at some point.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 28 – APRIL 1)

We’ll continue in a battle zone between southeastern USA warmth and Canadian cold, leaving us vulnerable to a couple episodes of unsettled weather.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-18-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 17-21)

Today starts with some areas of dense fog. If you don’t have the fog, you get to see the sun to start the day before clouds move into the region in advance of low pressure. This weak storm system will track just south of New England tonight, bringing some light rainfall mainly to southeastern portions of the WHW forecast area later today into this evening before moving out later at night. This leave us in a slot of drier and milder air for Friday, so it will attempt to warm nicely, though this warm-up may be quickly thwarted by developing coastal sea breezes due to a weak wind field, then regionally ended by the passage of a cold front from the north and northeast later in the day or in the evening. Another low pressure system, this one rather broad and containing more moisture, will bring wet weather for the start of the weekend as it passes to our northwest. As it goes by, drier air will start to return for the second half of the weekend, though there still could be a passing rain shower on Sunday. The vernal equinox – the astronomical arrival of spring – occurs at 11:33 a.m. EDT on Sunday. High pressure brings fair and seasonably cool weather for Monday.

TODAY: Areas of fog morning. Increasing clouds. Scattered light rain this afternoon favoring eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Highs 47-54. Wind S shifting to E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Evening light rain/drizzle possible southern and eastern areas. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind NE-N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds early then more sun. Highs 55-62 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH including coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Chance of rain overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Highs 47-54. Wind E to variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Chance of a rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 22-26)

Overall pattern leaves us near a battle zone between lingering Canadian cold and early spring warmth to the south. A fair, milder start to the period here likely gives way to unsettled weather mid period then drying, cooler weather late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 27-31)

We’ll continue in a battle zone between southeastern USA warmth and Canadian cold, leaving us vulnerable to a couple episodes of unsettled weather late in the month.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-17-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 16-20)

Today will start cloudy as a low pressure area that brought some wet weather last night moves off to the east, but will clear out as high pressure builds in from the west. Low pressure passing south of the region will return clouds to the region Thursday, and eventually some wet weather over southern and eastern areas later in the day into the evening hours. Friday’s set-up will be similar to today’s but the high pressure area building in behind the departing low will be a little further south, so areas that do not develop a sea breeze will warm up quite nicely, before high pressure in eastern Canada sends a frontal boundary through the region turning the wind northeast to east for Friday night into Saturday. At the same time low pressure will move through from the west bringing an episode of wet weather. This system will move off to the east and drier weather will arrive during Sunday, although it will be cool and breezy that day to welcome the arrival of spring. The vernal equinox occurs at 11:33 a.m. EDT Sunday.

TODAY: Cloudy start, then increasing sun. Highs 50-57, but cooler in some coastal areas. Wind N to W up to 10 MPH but local sea breeze possible at the coast.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear, then clouds return. Lows 36-43. Wind S under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain midday and afternoon favoring eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Highs 47-54. Wind S shifting to E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Evening light rain/drizzle possible southern and eastern areas. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind NE-N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Lots of clouds early then more sun. Highs 55-62 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH including coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Chance of rain overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 47-54. Wind E to variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusty.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusty.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 21-25)

Overall pattern leaves us near a battle zone between lingering Canadian cold and early spring warmth to the south. A fair, milder start to the period here likely gives way to unsettled weather mid period then drying, cooler weather late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 26-30)

We’ll continue in a battle zone between southeastern USA warmth and Canadian cold, leaving us vulnerable to a couple episodes of unsettled weather late in the month.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-16-2022

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 15-19)

Low pressure passes north of our area today and its cold front will drop southward into the region later today through tonight with a few rain showers possible. This front pushes to the south on Wednesday which will be fair and slightly cooler. Low pressure passes south of the region later Thursday bringing some rainfall to especially southern and eastern areas. Friday’s forecast is uncertain, as we may be dealing with leftover clouds and a light northerly air flow behind the Thursday system to start the day, and a fairly weak pressure gradient between that low, a stronger low approaching the Great Lakes, with high pressure in between to our south will allow for the development of an onshore breeze if the sky clears out between Thursday’s system and the next approaching low pressure area. Friday looks like a fair weather day, but it may not see as widespread warmth as you have seen advertised in many forecasts. By Saturday, the aforementioned low approaching will be moving in with more wet weather.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. A late-day rain shower possible southern NH and northern MA. Highs 44-51 South Coast, 51-58 elsewhere but may fall back to the upper 40s eastern coastal areas. Wind SW up to 10 MPH except coastal sea breezes in the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely southern NH and northern MA. Chance of a few rain showers southern MA southward. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Early clouds, then sun returns. Highs 45-52. Wind N to E up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 35-42. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain midday and afternoon favoring eastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Chance of coastal drizzle. Highs 45-52. Wind E up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Evening light rain/drizzle possible southern and eastern areas. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind NE-N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 53-60 southern NH and northern MA as well as South Coast, 61-68 in between these areas. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 47-54. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 20-24)

Drying/cooler March 20-21 in time for the arrival of spring (vernal equinox 11:33 a.m. March 20). Fair, milder mid period. Unsettled, cooler late period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 25-29)

We’ll sit in a battle zone between southeastern USA warmth and Canadian cold, leaving us vulnerable to a couple episodes of unsettled weather late in the month.

C-19 Chat Post – 3-15-2022