DAYS 1-5 (MAY 24-28)
This may be one of the slowest onsets of a rain event I’ve observed. The eastern edge of the rain in a sharp edged form sat at the southwesterly edge of the WHW forecast area much of yesterday afternoon and evening, finally advancing somewhat to the east during the night, but continues to battle dry air in its attempt to reach the coast even after the day has dawned today. Here in Woburn MA, for example, I’ve had a few brief instances of a few drops of rain, but never enough to start wetting the ground, and as I watch the radar loop, you can see the echoes drying up as they move into the I-95 belt in my region. This battle will finally be won by the rain as we move through the morning and the rest of the day here, and eastern areas join already-wet western areas for a pretty wet and cool Sunday as low pressure south of our region sends its warm front slowly our way. This front will pass by tonight, at least partially, as the system will be occluding (low pressure passing by to our north) as its cold front starts to catch up with the warm front. The cold front will waste no time crossing our region during the first half of the day on Memorial Day, keeping shower chances in the picture until early afternoon when they end west to east. Outdoor parades / ceremonies marking the holiday will have to deal with at least scattered showers. A drying trend expands across the region along partial clearing later in the day, and we may set up for another nice sunset across parts of the region Monday evening. A warmer, drier westerly flow will be here Tuesday into Wednesday with a little more “summer preview” weather, but when we get to Wednesday, we need to watch for a shower or thunderstorm as a cold front drops down from the north. This is part of a pattern shift to a more amplified set up – evolving omega block with low pressure in the western US, high pressure in the central US, and low pressure near or just east of New England. You’ll notice this with the arrival of cooler air Wednesday night or Thursday. After a shower / t-storm threat Wednesday comes the chance of a pop-up instability shower on Thursday.
TODAY: Overcast. Periods of rain. Highs 52-59. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of drizzle. Patchy fog. Temperatures steady 52-59. Wind NE 5-15 MPH becoming variable to SW in some areas east of I-95.
MONDAY (MEMORIAL DAY): Mostly cloudy through early afternoon with a good chance of showers. Partial clearing later in the day. Highs 58-65 coast, 65-72 inland. Wind S to SW in some areas east of I-95, mainly N to NW elsewhere expanding across the region.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Wind NW to W up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloud / sun intervals. Highs 66-73 South Coast / Cape Cod, 74-81 elsewhere. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Afternoon and evening shower and thunderstorm chances north to south. Highs 68-75 South Coast, 76-83 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. An evening shower possible south of I-90. Lows 50-57. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A pop-up shower possible. Highs 63-70. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 29 – JUNE 2)
Indications are for upper level low pressure to sit just east of our region May 29 with additional shower potential and cool air in place, then pull far enough away for a diminished shower threat and milder weather for the May 30-31 weekend before high pressure builds in with fair weather to begin the month of June. This continues to be a low confidence outlook – check updates!
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 3-7)
Indications are for cooler than average but also drier with limited shower chances during early June. This is due to a trough in place but axis far enough east so we’re drier over wetter, but this also prevents any sustained very warm to hot weather as well.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Barely a drop of rain overnight. Just starting to sprinkle now.
Logan picked up a whopping 0.01 inch overnight.
56 up from a low of 53
Ocean: 53 down 2 degrees since yesterday AM
Wordle: 4
Thank you, TK. 50 up 3 degrees from our low. 0.18”. I had noticed the rain just scooting south of us yesterday too.
Nice 4, JPD. Wordle 5 for me
Got a story you might appreciate JPD
My son and DIL are on an island off of the coast of Maine. He was excited to go because work in their house and OT had not given him time to fish this spring. He ended up meeting my DIL here and leaving his car rather than drive to RI after work in Boston and turning back around to head to Maine.
A bit after they left here I saw what looked like snow sticks leaning against our mailbox. I didn’t give them much thought till I noticed the reel at the base of one. He’d left his rod and reel behind and was too far north to turn around by the time I realized what it was.
Ugh! Hope he had his credit card with him to pick up a new road and reel. Sounds like something I would do. 🙂 🙂
Oh dear. And he was hoping there was some fishing gear in the shed of the house they are at but does have his cc. Someone might have suggested he get whatever he needed and she would cover cost 😉
You got it. Nice.
We have moderate steady rain now.
I got Wordle in 4.
Nice 4.
Welcome to the 4 car. Will we remains the engineers or will be booted out??? 🙂 🙂
Thanks TK
Local radar
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Joining the 4 car. Still waiting on the rain
Great 4. All 4s today with the exception of one silly person. It’s getting lonely back here in the 5 car
Welcome to the 4 car. 🙂
Temp up to a balmy 52 with 0.29” in the bucket.
I declare a pajama day
Thanks Tk
Great day for my customer as I put down fresh loom & seed yesterday
Thanks TK! Well the 15 weekend beach season begins this weekend and us beach goers will take the loss to start the season 0-1. How the season goes is how I end up rating my “summers”. Now concerned about next weekend – social media hypers are rumbling about wind chills in the low 40s next Saturday morning. That would be silly. Back to my indoor projects…
Balmy 55 here!!!! STUPID MAY WEATHER!!!!!
Thanks TK.
Miserable day here in Coventry CT. Raining and 49.8F. Up to 0.60” in the rain gauge since the rain started here yesterday mid afternoon.
Dumb-Ass New England Spring weather. Gotta love it. Of course as soon as the holiday weekend is over, it will turn beautiful.
Go figure!!!!
I wonder if today met TK’s criteria for a top 10 day of the year?
I love weather like today. Not to mention, we’re in a long term precipitation deficit. Any rainfall we can get is good right now.
Yesterday was beautiful. Today is mostly wet. Tomorrow is iffy in the morning, then improves. All in all, given that it’s SPRING in the northeastern US, and what a typical spring is like, this is not really that bad a weekend at all.
And yes, I will remind everybody that our spring is running WARMER and DRIER than the long term average. One of the better ones we’ve had around here. 🙂
Gotta love it, and I do! 🙂
And we’ve had some really nice holiday weekends to balance out the more typical ones. Yesterday was excellent for outdoor activity! Today’s a good day for a walk in light rain. 🙂
HE HE HE
You can have it!!!
If today were, say a Wednesday, not problem. Just typical Spring Weather, but to have it on a Holiday Weekend! Sorry to say, that just plain SUCKS!!!!!
Well, at least it’s not all 3 days. 🙂
And at least the forecast for today (at least on this platform) has been pretty much unchanged for days. Sunday was always looking like the “wet day” of the 3. Yes tomorrow is partly wet, but we salvage a lot of the day tomorrow.
And many areas make a run at 70 later in the day which will seem quite mild compared to today. 🙂
That is true. We’ll see how tomorrow turns out and as nice as you thought yesterday was, it still left much to be desired, imho. To each his own
88° 73° dewpoint in Sarasota. I feel blessed that I’m able to come down here and enjoy the warm to hot weather. Looking like a pattern change here mid week storms out in the Gulf moving on shore with beneficial rain. Most of the state is in extreme drought conditions.
Thank you TK!
Joining the crowded 4 car and making room for Vicki to join us.
Awwww thank you. And well done.
Nice
Brickyard in Indy is between 2 rain areas. I think they get the race in. A few showers to their southwest may cause a short delay late in the race, or they could dissipate or just miss.
Just 24 hours ago, short range guidance had a much wetter scenario. Overdone on rain.
Out here, most of the guidance has over-forecast rainfall for our region as well for this event. Nothing new there.