DAYS 1-5 (MAY 31 – JUNE 4)
Today we wrap May up with a much less stormy day than we had yesterday, however we remain under upper level low pressure on the eastern side of an omega block configuration, and that leaves us vulnerable to additional unsettled weather. The next disturbance drops into this trough via eastern Canada later today and lingers into Monday, bringing us a couple additional rounds of showers, the first later this afternoon into this evening, and the second early Monday. We can still see pop-up showers from diurnal heating Monday and Tuesday afternoons, but those should be rather isolated. High pressure brings more sunshine without a shower chance Wednesday. By Thursday I still expect dry weather but we may see more cloudiness again from a combination of a disturbance to our north and west and another offshore to our south.
TODAY: Sun then quite a few clouds. Mid to late afternoon shower threat develops from north to south including a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 62-69. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with showers possible in the evening then partly cloudy overnight. Lows 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs 65-72. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. An isolated shower possible. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 50-57. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind W up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 65-72, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 5-9)
The omega blocking pattern starts to weaken gradually including de-amplifying for a more northwest to southeast flow. Watching a cold front that can bring a shower and thunderstorm chance on June 6 and some lingering cloudiness as the front may be slow to depart on June 7. That’s about the only bump in the road I can see right now in an otherwise fairly benign pattern that lacks a lot of rain as well as any sustained warmth.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 10-14)
Borderline block to zonal .. transition toward more zonal continues as far as I can tell, but quick reversal to temporary blocking again is not completely out of the question. Overall looking at limited rain chances and somewhat variable temperatures not straying too far from seasonal “typicals”.
Good morning and thank you TK,
Up to 60 from low of 42
Ocean: 51
That storm brought the ocean temperature down with a combination of upwelling and Colder surface water being transported by the wind from the Gulf of Maine. At least that is what I think happened.
Wordle: 3 Interesting word. I just tried it on guess 3 and it was the word.
A water mixing is probably what drove the temp down a bit. Not straight upwelling but a “turbulence” as the temperature is pretty chilly not too far underneath the slightly warmer surface water.
Makes sense. Thank you
Thank you, TK. Up to 53 from a low of 36 with brilliant sunshine. Hoping the clouds will stay away tonight so we can see the blue micromoon and planet alignment
Excellent 3 JPD. After guess 2, I had four letters with one in correct position. After trying a bunch of combinations, I did the same thing you did. And was surprised.
Wordle 3
Nice 3 and welcome to the 3 car. Wonder if we will have company?
Thanks TK !
Wordle: 6 (a new word for me)
We lost power for about 3 hrs yesterday, got it back just before headed to a graduation party for our youngest daughter’s long time friend.
You got it, which is always good.
Never heard the word; or if I did, I have forgotten. Great to get it
Superb 3’s JpDave and Vicki !!
Thank you Tom.
Thank you, sir. Do you have power?
Yes, came on after about 3 hrs out, we were out from about 11am – 2pm. But, we were headed out the door right when it came back on. But, it was nice to leave knowing it was going to be on when we got back later on.
Entering today, May 31st at Logan, 18 of the first 30 days of the month have had temperature departures (both ways) of 5F or more
Of those 18, 5 have been 10F or more (both ways) and if those 5, three of them have been 15F or more (above avg).
So, there’s not been a ton of close to average this month, it’s been either really, really warm, or to a slightly lesser extent, really, really cool. But the last 2 really, really cool days have occurred last Sunday and yesterday, Saturday. The timing is what it is.
Great info. Thank you, Tom!!
Sure.
Oh, looking at the climate data from Norton NWS climate section.
Looking again, the first 7-10 days of the month ran closest to avg, but it’s been the last 3 weeks that have had a bunch of anomolous warm/hot days and cool days with less centered around the average.
Thanks Tom. This gives some support of the idea I posted as a reply to TK’s penultimate post on yesterday’s forecast:
“I have a guess as to why people think this is an unusual spring. I don’t know this for a fact, but I have a feeling that the standard deviation of the temperature is greater than usual. It’s those outliers that get people’s attention.”
Thanks Tk
I also got Wordle in 3 today.
Thing about spring…of the 4 seasons it’s the least likely to have a day where the temperature is close to average. In other words, as I frequently say, it’s the most volatile of the 4 seasons. It always has been. 🙂