DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 8-12)

Low pressure cutting across southeastern Canada will drag a trough then a cold front across our region today. These boundaries, while advancing rather quickly, have little moisture to work with, thus limiting the shower chance with just isolated to scattered activity occurring along each boundary. Post cold front, there will be a quick clearing trend so that most areas from the I-95 belt westward end the day with abundant sunshine while the last of the clouds push through RI and southeastern MA with the last of any showers exiting those areas by sunset. While we have a mild day today, the breeze will be active, shifting from southwest to west, then northwest as each boundary moves through. Tonight and Friday see the delivery of a cooler air mass on a northwesterly breeze with dry weather. High pressure moves overhead Friday night, setting up radiational cooling under a clear sky with calm wind. This leads to the chance of frost again mainly in areas away from the coast and urban centers. Saturday itself will feature plenty of sun and a nice temperature turn-around after the chilly start. High pressure slides off to the northeast by Sunday when we’ll see increasing cloud cover ahead of incoming low pressure. This system, a combination of a mid latitude system from the west and tropical moisture associated with whatever remains of Hurricane Isaias in the Gulf – expected to make landfall on the Gulf Coast this weekend. While the storm will rapidly weaken once it does that, the moisture plume associated with it will join the system from the west and bring us a period of rain Sunday night into Monday before exiting the region. Based on current projections, I am not expecting that system to be excessive in terms of rainfall, and not a strong wind event either. I will monitor trends for a more precise timing prediction and refine that soon.

TODAY: Variably cloudy morning-midday with passing showers possible. Partly to mostly sunny remainder of day with a slight chance of an additional shower RI & southeastern MA mid to late afternoon. Highs 67-74. Wind SW shifting to W and eventually NW 10-15 MPH, higher gusts of 20-30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts during the evening.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially midday.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40 except 38-45 immediate coast and urban centers. Wind N under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-45. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 63-70. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 55-62. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain and areas of fog early, then mostly cloudy. Highs 62-69. Wind E shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 13-17)

Shower chance October 13 with cold front crossing the area. Fair, breezy, cool October 14 then continued fair and more tranquil later next week as high pressure builds in.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 18-22)

Rain chance early in the period, then a drier pattern returns. Temperatures near to below normal.