DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 7-11)
The slow transition from the warm spell to a cooler period of weather is still ongoing, and after yesterday’s thunderstorms / downpours we still have the frontal boundary sitting across our region this morning with additional rainfall. This will be with us for a while before the final wave of low pressure moving by our region enters the Gulf of Maine and pulls the front offshore. While this low intensifies and accelerates into Atlantic Canada, its associated upper low will move across our region, keeping us mainly cloudy, and delivering additional showery weather to our region tonight, finally ending early on Sunday. This is when a clearing trend will begin, but the chilly air aloft will still promote additional clouds developing and crossing the sky on Sunday, so even though we clear the “storm clouds” away, we still have the diurnal clouds to deal with, limiting the sun at times, especially during the first half of the afternoon when it can even become mostly cloudy again for a while. The northwesterly flow that becomes established behind this storm system will be with us early in the week with 2 more troughs / cold fronts to come through, one during Monday and another later Tuesday. Either of these can trigger a few light rain showers but for the most part this will be a dry, breezy, seasonably cool period. When we get to Wednesday, a lighter westerly air flow and dominating high pressure will provide pleasant mid November conditions for any outdoor Veterans Day ceremonies.
TODAY: Cloudy morning with periodic rain and a few heavier showers favoring the I-95 belt eastward. Mostly cloudy with a possible shower this afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind NE to NW up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 45-52. Wind NW to variable up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Cloudy early morning with showers favoring eastern coastal areas, then a sun / cloud mix. Highs 54-61. Wind W increasing to 10-15 MPH with gusts over 20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, then clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sunny, then a sun / cloud mix with a late-day brief rain shower possible. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 12-16)
Watching potential low pressure impact in the window from late November 12 to early November 15. Details to-be-determined but quite a range of possibilities is on the table this far in advance ranging from a miss/graze to a full impact with gusty wind and rain (even some inland higher elevation mix/snow). Many days to bring it into focus. Fair weather returns end of period.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 17-21)
Drier pattern indications here. Temperatures variable but averaging near to slightly above normal.
Thanks!
Wordle 4. Another uncommon word
some snow anomaly from the ECMWF made by Ben. https://www.bennollweather.com/climate-graphics